13:53
Yesterday it was castration of prisoners, today 40 killed prisoners of war. We already know that those exchanged have crushed knees, broken arms and legs and other torture injuries. Then the raped and murdered children. All summary executed civilians and so on endlessly. The Russians do as they always have since the ravages of the 1700s…
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We only get to know a fraction and what applies now are offensive weapons so Ukraine wins this as soon as possible, the abuses are completely incomprehensible and Ukraine is dying for our freedom. MBT is probably already partly in place but more is needed.
22:18
I’ll have to take this tomorrow but it seems like they are moving units down from Izyum and Donbass to Crimea – southern front – Kherson now. Maybe harder to get over to Kherson.
Everything they send down to Crimea is perfect because it will be locked in at Crimea as soon as Melitopol changes owner.
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Also starting to get a bit suspicious here because FIRMS shows crazy pre-strikes east side of the Dnieper but north of Khakovka and west of Melitopol. What they plan here only Ukraine knows and it might be the area that has had the most depots and bases but otherwise that indicates they plan to rush across the Dnieper in boats north of Khakovka.
Infantry and boats I thought but the Russians have apparently found a car ferry that they run back and forth to Kherson with so maybe Ukraine has something similar going on here?
22:34
Very much conflicting information now, they pull back, they add…
I think they have strengthened Kherson as long as they could but now it seems to be over with that and then it becomes harder to plug the holes quite quickly.
Then they shall reinforce the eastern side of the Dnieper, Crimea and the southern front as well but they weaken in Donbass and up at Izyum instead.
Ukraine is not stupid enough not to try there as well and get results, that’s probably why there is movement at Izyum and somewhere in Donbass.
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Everything they have sent into Kherson will be wiped out quite soon. Then after a while everything they have east of the Dnieper and down in Crimea as well. That together is probably 35,000 – 40,000 men at least?
Then they shall try to hold the two remaining areas east of Izyum and down in Donbass with what they have left when Ukraine releases 10-15 maneuver brigades and really starts pushing hard there too.
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Ukraine has started reinforcing the southern front with new brigades.
23:41
Yes exactly, you remember my big depression when I thought they gave up their best killing ground Lysychansk and then the Russians would slide over to other front sections.
Now they continue to press towards the Bakhmut – Siversk line and it’s going terribly and the BTG is grilled like the worst park party.
They try to push forward towards Bakhmut and it goes so-so, they don’t try to encircle Bakhmut and moreover the southern part has a decent anchor in Chasyiv Yar and they haven’t even gotten there.
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How did they get the units to Kherson?
12:27
What has the thread discussed about ATACAMS?
Now the Senate has voted for it and the message was that they should be in place within 3 weeks? Is it two levels up?
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Erik14 et.al are usually early, so the usual disclaimer, and Erik was probably the first with it a few weeks ago when USA-Ukraine scaled hands on it, just that it formally needed to be decided.
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Now the Russians have their depots gradually out of range, 100 km or something. Fun for them when ATACAMS comes and takes them out too. There is probably some main depot that still makes a moon crater in Donbass.
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Surely the restriction now will be that only depots and weapon platforms can be fired upon on Russian territory.