10:39 – Johan No.1
I probably mixed up Ahkp with Alligator, which is down to the last ones 😀
11:58 – MatsExtrude
Thanks for the situation report!👍
16:40 – Johan No.1
Thanks yourself and a little over two weeks until Mariestad, grill chips, and ranch dip.
21:47 – Johan No.1
Insanely good pep talk by Elon (😂😂)
https://twitter.com/wallstreetsilv/status/1730978940062151017?s=46&t=GS619hCB6cw0WXGPKN0Lvw
10:34 – Johan No.1
The lions.
https://twitter.com/ukrainiansquad/status/1730623755573993833?s=46&t=XV_nUiX1zNPWxp3aLnZTvA
Today’s calendar window will probably be goals scored deep inside Russia?
The Accent man summarized it understandably and it is a journey into absolute death – Russia is unable to defend itself in all its shining arrogance.
Something has also changed in the relationship with the West because previously we, as the guardians of the higher moral cultures, prevented Ukraine from carrying out these liberation feats. Does it feel like the West will force Ukraine into a bad peace as Bild leaked?
I think it feels quite the opposite right now 😀
https://youtu.be/KP3D5NZhwak?si=G8m_Xpzde1sioqw9
How will this develop, what is the goal of the arson attacks – they have knocked out everything near the front and inside Ukraine so RU has now diligently moved everything to the large bases just on the RU side of the border with Ukraine which so far have been spared according to decrees from the Great Leaders in the West. There they train the next wave of barbarians and stockpile equipment and ammunition depots that are like big red bull’s-eyes.
To get the equipment to these bases, they need the railway – the railway that Ukraine is now disrupting very effectively (so there are dozens of liberation feats against the railway). Then from the bases and depots, it is presumably transported into Ukraine but since depots are endangered species just inside the Ukrainian side of the border, it is highly likely that these border-near depots and bases are very large.
Since the strategic reserves are in full training, the bases are presumably also full of barbarians, I think someone counted twelve bases?
Zelensky has just hinted at long-range domestic weapons that are completed.
Then all those airports that stand right on the Russian side of the border, in all their spared beauty. Ukraine has probably droned them a bit on the edges in places with the weapons they are allowed to use by the Generous Leaders in the West.
Russia feels a bit like a mayfly enjoying the sunlight for the moment completely unaware of the coming Scud rain.
Transport from China and NK will soon be over and the liberation feats against the railway can continue indefinitely – it is impossible to defend against these liberation bombs.
Truck transport is not possible because the distances are too long and sea transport probably not either I guess – especially sea transports become quite good targets if it is ammunition.
Then maybe Ukraine can go in via Georgia or something and start threatening sea transports in the Caspian Sea to RU because I have a feeling there is a fairly large transport line there?
It is easier than you think to severely disrupt maintenance in Russia – we have written about this for a very long time, and it was part of the big campaign plan, and Ukraine has just proven it so fun that the thread was right again.
As someone wrote yesterday in some long post, there are enormous amounts of maintenance that must be done for the less than one million Russian soldiers all weapons and functions that exist in Ukraine.
If this continues as one begins to suspect it will, the occupied areas in Ukraine will be like uninhabited islands after a shipwreck – impossible to survive in.
What is highly unfortunate is that the Russian barbarians will plunder the civilian population of the last little they have this winter in terms of heat and food and let them freeze to death or starve to death but no one can prevent this now in winter, that train has left after the West delayed deliveries for another year 🤬
History will have to sort out who has blood on their hands and who had valid reasons to send nothing.
I constantly return in my long reflections with myself to the fact that the war is already lost for Russia. If Ukraine manages to knock out war-important infrastructure at this pace it is completely unsustainable.
Factories, depots, storages, railways and bases are going up in smoke at an enormous pace – soon only a Grom 2 in the Kremlin will be missing on Budanov’s to-do list.
It will be so infinitely fun to sit and watch Lavrov scream-cry at the UN and beg to at least keep Moscow.
Then it quickly turns into acute high blood pressure when the whole Western world comes to Russia’s aid and puts pressure on Ukraine to drop that ball.
Then the UN, Red Cross, Amnesty, Doctors Without Borders and all the other now highly absent organizations will wake up and get angry as bees that Ukraine’s offensive war is a reasonable guess.
Moldova has gone out and demanded that RU leave Transnistria, the next step after a while is probably that Ukraine assists with enforcement?
Transnistria is lost for RU now.
https://twitter.com/paulaerizanu/status/1730187037720912254?s=46&t=XV_nUiX1zNPWxp3aLnZTvA
Ukraine’s new drone fleet is EV immune – that is something of a blockbuster considering how much the drone weapon knocks out daily.
It gives Ukraine a few months of free rampage which will win the war for them.
https://twitter.com/pstyle0ne1/status/1730554670198722968?s=46&t=XV_nUiX1zNPWxp3aLnZTvA
Every week Russia chooses to continue its miserable fiasco of an invasion war in Ukraine is a week closer to internal unrest in the country Russia.
Now at least six “liberation fronts” have taken a big step further up the escalation ladder by carrying out spectacular raids against war-important infrastructure and also many of these liberation feats.
Budanov has previously confirmed that UA is in contact with them and coordinating the liberation feats.
Ukraine will probably turn off the lights in Russia this winter in a series of liberation bombings, I would have done that if I were Budanov 😀
Russia has never prepared to be held accountable at home and they have no chance to defend themselves.
Then at some point the first attempts at liberation will come and when they succeed the avalanche is rolling.
It is a bit like slowly boiling a frog but sometimes it is good with a look back – in 2023 Ukraine invaded Russia and the only reason it didn’t amount to anything was because the West in its enormous wisdom and goodness forced Ukraine to refrain, the Belgians complained loudly. There were about ten brigades with a hard bite up there so the northern Oblasts probably had changed owners.
Then the spring offensive started with a bang and a loss ratio of 1:5 for the attacking side due to superior warfare simply and now the Dnieper has been crossed.
During spring, summer and autumn they have fought deeply something enormous now finally liberation feats all the way out in the far east.
Russia has only one card they play – try to replenish losses with more material and manpower and attack somewhere to maintain some kind of illusion that the war is not about to be lost.
The Army Aviation’s ahkp is probably down to the last 20-30 flying units now.
The tank fleet was heavily decimated during the autumn, and there are probably just under 2000 (unclear exactly how many, maybe 1700?) tanks left, with 30% having technical faults in the rear, and T62 as well as T54-55 likely accounting for +600 units.
The artillery is so heavily decimated that they have lost the battle of counter battery fire and are mostly working on surviving now. Since UA took 70% of the losses from artillery, they should have taken significantly lower losses during spring, summer, and autumn, and that is probably where the 1:5 ratio comes in because UA drone weapons have become as effective as the Russian artillery would be.
The only thing the Russians are good at is subversive activities in the West and pouring gasoline on smoldering conflicts, but anyone can do that if they want – the difference is that the West is trying to make the world a better place instead.
By the Dnieper, it has been established that RU has fortified the interim line 20km-30km east of the Dnieper, so a retreat is likely upcoming.
Positive – Positive is starting to feel like too little, the next step is on its way.