2024-05-27 -

10:48 – Johan No.1

Below is perhaps the most important war footage that has already been circulating on the blog. A Russian S400 battery tries to shoot down incoming ATACMS and after firing a couple of shots, four(?) fire units and radar are spectacularly taken out as they were the target.

We have written since sometime last autumn that the entire Russian air defense platform is inferior to the West’s and that they are hopeless – this video is for me irrefutable proof.
That the air defense cannot shoot down incoming missiles or other ammunition even in self-defense is enormous and so far it has not mattered whether they have tried to combine different air defense systems or if it is the enormous naval platforms in the Black Sea Fleet with their combinations of air defense and close protection – everything gets taken out.

Everyone who hangs out here instead of working surely remembers the video when a Storm Shadow whizzed past a Russian S400 battery with a drawn-out “blyyyat” from the filmer.

The S400 is among the most expensive air defense platforms the Russians have and they are completely incapable of shooting down threats from the West.
In this war, you need to find the right combo. Russia has rigid production, one or two systems in huge series, while the West has dozens of different systems so Russia has always been doomed to lose this because the West can mix and match until it works.
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3kt7zqwwoos22

Meanwhile, Ukraine shoots down 95% of incoming Russian missiles as long as they have the ammunition,
https://x.com/ukraine_map/status/1794598285476536484?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

October 7 was Russia’s first step in global escalation. In my naivety, I thought the USA would stamp it out in a few weeks and even though urban combat is a hell that would be difficult to manage – that Israel had the overall situation under control.
Israel is now losing the world’s support in the war and the USA has completely botched the conflict in MENA, Houthi continues to fire anti-ship missiles after the sinking, continues to cut data cables and Iran has boarded a ship in Hormuz without consequences.
And Iran has fired 300 missiles at Israel without consequences.
So it is not only in the Baltic Sea that one can cut cables without consequences, everywhere nowadays one can do as they please – piracy or outright declarations of war.

Here you have a Russian ship driving back and forth over the cable up in Svalbard.
https://x.com/pererikschulze/status/1794828268480438514?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Then Iran’s big shot dies, the butcher from Tehran gets a moment of silence at the UN whatever it was, accident or not. Iran themselves are somewhat surprisingly very clear that it was an accident when one could have suspected they would blame Israel, whom they just fired 300 missiles at – I thought that was very interesting!

And now step two in the escalation has come – Russia openly starts challenging NATO in Eastern Europe. They move the territorial waters boundary and many other provocations will naturally follow, and Gotland is of course part of this provocation so we as a country are now directly affected by the war having been allowed to go on as long as it has.
https://x.com/tallbarfin/status/1793024158940467642?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Poland arrested a large sabotage group and according to some Baltic state there have been hundreds of sabotages against the rail network (and other things if one may guess) but the EU hesitates to accuse Russia.
That of course gives Russia the signal that they can continue and it is only a matter of time before Russia seriously tests NATO.

They have absolutely not given up on Moldova.
Imagine if the government falls in some Baltic state and there is a government crisis, who will request NATO support and everything locks up in political bickering where the FSB pulls the strings?

Now we have gotten PB18 back but in a (highly!) hypothetical scenario where Russia manages to coup into Gotland and parked themselves with missiles, air defense and some VDV regiments – would Sweden and NATO have “started” a war in the Baltic Sea because of that, I am not so sure anymore after over two years of hesitation and worry about the Ukraine war.

Then China has shown us its second card which was more escalation than before – a much higher tone against Taiwan.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1793538773084504242?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
https://x.com/treaschest/status/1792628471706857478?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

It is not the same as invading Taiwan but it is aggressive and uncompromising.
And above all, it coincides exactly in time with Russia going after Eastern Europe which means it is coordinated between Russia and China.
It is interesting that China was on a mediation train in Europe a month ago and now is ready to jump on Taiwan (yes, stretched it a bit…).
And then in the same breath Putin wants peace. This could be anything – double bluff, triple bluff, bluff or a strong hand but we will probably see where it heads going forward. You know what I think but China’s latest card is a deviation.

So, we have now reached step two in the global escalation and I would like to ask Sullivan what his end-game with doing nothing is.
Has the USA counted on the EU ending up in war and that the USA will profit from it by selling weapons and oil again?
Both the first and second world wars were enormously good for US industries and they have dominated until the 2000s when they have since been in serious decline – maybe to restore their tarnished reputation and nothing is better when Europe needs the USA’s help again (wild speculation)?

Sullivan’s line does not have the support of Congress and what does that mean?
https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1793362037520884021?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Yes, that it is Biden’s administration that drives this line themselves. It was a while ago I rang the bell on what a defector Sullivan is and that still stands but where does that leave Biden’s administration that Sullivan has behind him?
About a week ago there were four conflicting statements from four representatives, or something, about using Western weapons on Russian soil – yes, no, yes, no…

And then Zelensky got tired and announced that the USA does not allow Ukraine to fire with other countries’ weapons that have allowed it. The USA is thus speaking for other democratic countries which is a step outside the democratic box they should act within. The USA has simply gone too far in the Ukraine war where their own interest comes before not only Ukraine’s but also Europe’s, which are us so there is no reason to wholeheartedly stand behind the USA here, which at least France has understood and Sweden also now that we have clarified that our weapons have no geographical restrictions.

To make it extremely clear – Russia will escalate until it stops. We have seen a Nazi state and an Adolf 2.0 born and we all know how that will go.
As I have said for a long time – the longer this is allowed to continue the higher the risk.

I am sitting here not because I want to preserve Obolon and Nemiroff but because this is the great global conflict of our time where Ukraine is taking the full brunt right now. Time is not on the West’s side at all, and the faster Russia can disappear from Ukraine and our eastern border is strengthened, the better.
But the West’s actions result in the opposite, and now Russia has taken step two on the global escalation ladder together with China – this is worrying.

I can tell you a couple of other steps that are on Russia’s list. Not in order of rank and above all, they will not happen provided the West acts.
– Devastating wars in western, eastern, and central Africa with ENORMOUS refugee flows towards Europe as a consequence.
– Continued enormous migration into the USA; Russia today buys plane seats to get enough refugees on routes that are supposed to go to the USA – actively driven, that is.
– Large ethnic conflicts in Europe driven by right-wing parties and especially Islamist groups who for some reason want to increase their influence in the West.
– Sharply increased crime in the EU; the FSB only needs to get more weapons and drugs in and even more “defund the police” and it will start, a fire easy to ignite.
– The P…a movement turns into a permanently demonstrating movement soon fighting for the climate crisis (too), simply our time’s ’68 movement accompanied by our time’s great march through the institutions where radicalized people engage in pure activism as elected officials or civil servants.
– A financial crash is probably not impossible for them to trigger?
– Local conflicts in South America.
– Left and right parties in Europe increasingly obstructing to try to lock the EU.
– Serbia, Hungary, and Slovakia are becoming increasingly difficult to handle.
– Turkey begins to provoke Greece, perhaps in Cyprus?
– Moldova falls when the EU did nothing.
– China moves against Taiwan and arch-enemy Japan.
– North Korea moves against South Korea.
– MENA moves against I..el.
– CAG is sunk in the Red Sea or Persian Gulf.
– Iran sinks larger ships in the Strait of Hormuz and stops all oil transport.
– Russia conducts hybrid warfare against the Baltic states, Finland, and Gotland.

Somewhere around here the West is fully occupied, and it becomes a global conflict with ENDLESS suffering as a consequence before the West finally, after 5-10 years, stands as the winner in the pyrrhic victory of the millennium.

Or the West can ensure that Ukraine wins and seriously tackle the subversive Russian activities in the West and then build an eastern border that holds and isolate Russia, because a lot of this is behind Russia, that must be clear.

The post about influence I posted on May 21 had probably too many links and ended up frozen, so it might not have been read when it came late. Since it also bordered on off-topic, I have a new brilliant plan because it should have been two posts and I only posted one, so I was disappointed about the freeze.

I have now posted the posts about influence here;
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3ktccqzxi7224
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3ktccwaijik2m

Why does Johan No. 1 risk having to hide in the economic threads by bringing up sensitive topics that are taboo in Sweden?
Simple – we support the spearhead with everything we can, which is right, and then we can look at ourselves in the mirror afterwards.
The spear shaft that we are supposed to hold is constantly under attack, and it is not the spearhead’s job to keep order on the shaft – that is our job.

But on those issues, there is total fear of contact even though it is quite clear to me that Russia has more than a finger in this and that it is part of their subversive activities.

Read and consider, and if you get angry, look at the last link and be happy again so I avoid getting a lot of scolding for inappropriately discussing things that are not allowed to be discussed in the country of Sweden because they are taboo.

Speaking of influence.
When the discussion about SVT’s mockery of the Ukrainian women who worked in brothels reached storm strength, the program host was subjected to a hate storm. I got curious, sat and scrolled through a lot of factual but upset criticism, and then came a “blattejävel” (“immigrant bastard”), “go home,” “you are not Swedish” mixed in with the factual criticism. I went in and looked at the racist comments and, to my surprise, discovered that 50% or so were written by “extreme left” (that is, the type of accounts I perceive as revolutionary (autonomous) left) with the purpose of provoking. That surprised me greatly. Partly that they did not care to hide it, but also the fact that the hate the person in question received was a conscious provocation by the “Nazism” counterforce. That’s how it can look in real life, and who has time to sit and watch all the hate and threats and who generates it, and our media immediately jumped on the racist hate against the program host, so either I was the only one in Sweden who bothered to scroll through the comments or it fit a narrative and they ran with it.

ATESH is now an active partisan movement also in Russia where I must say they probably fit better than in Ukraine, easier to work with the liberation deeds.

At best a loose rumor, but Russia is apparently beginning to experience ammunition shortages. The rumor that Russia manufactures 3 times more ammunition than the West at 1/3 of the price is a myth. Not the price, that is correct, and when I checked the cost of 155mm at the beginning of the war, it was 800 USD per shell, so yes, prices have skyrocketed…
But Russia does not manufacture 3 times more, Russian shells are of poor quality, they have a large percentage of duds, and then the hit pattern is worse, so they need more shells – nothing to worry about.
https://x.com/joneshistorical/status/1793887536156409931?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

At least I see a UA counteroffensive up at the northern front approaching, they have probably already retaken some lost terrain which makes this Russian offensive among the worst of this war.
With a bit of luck, there will be an invasion of Russia again with the intention to ravage a bit longer this time, one hopes. Unfortunately, we do not know what the USA has said about this, I have my suspicions…
https://x.com/secretsqrl123/status/1793468410858545592?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

We all know how the big campaign plan looks and it is probably still in place, Budanov has not hinted that they have abandoned it.
Apparently, UA has now broadened the bridgehead at the Dnieper, which is both good and interesting.
That battle group Dnieper has not managed to throw 300 marine soldiers into the water is remarkable, but they have not succeeded; however, gold star for trying because they have.

There has been a bit too much Igor Sushko, and he is doubtful as a source, but when he posts verifiable information it should work; it is when he inserts a bit of his own that one has to be careful.
Popov sat and smiled in the trial, and he is probably one of about a dozen higher officers who have been arrested now.
I think it seems likely that something is bubbling in the army and that Putin is trying to pre-empt this, or if it is a fight between the army, FSB, or some other letter agency.

The only thing we can be sure of is that what we hear as an explanation is not it.
There is something anyway, and there has been more than one film of soldiers openly challenging the Kremlin.
That is good, very good – let them turn inward.

https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1792934422389387310?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
A bit lacking in exploding refineries and oil depots the past week but probably not politically blocked again, otherwise we would have heard all the condemnations. Should get going.

The defector Scholz has completely lost it, he thinks that imposing a no-fly zone over western Ukraine is warmongering – I never really liked his fashion style anyway and now this 🤬
https://x.com/maks_nafo_fella/status/1792986242591719899?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Also notable with Kaja Kallas who was blocked to NATO that it was Putin who pushed it hard according to her own words and there Scholz was also out there considering her a warmonger.

He is walking a tightrope and the reason he sits securely is that he pursues SPD politics. The question then becomes whether the entire SPD is infiltrated by the Kremlin?

Scholz has several times recently clarified that Western weapons on Russian soil are an escalation, troops in Ukraine are an escalation, a no-fly zone is an escalation – everything is escalation.
https://x.com/euromaidanpress/status/1794730207900790795?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

At the same time as Russia just took step two on the global escalation ladder so no one stops them – Scholz has a hidden agenda is the only reasonable explanation since everyone can see that Russia is escalating?

It actually surprises me how the West still manages to sleep through this when the global escalation has now taken its second step. We all remember aggressive USA 2001 or the first Gulf War, right?

Sweden is now directly threatened as Russia in step two will start threatening Gotland – could Sweden perhaps have done more and above all gotten more on board through active diplomacy?
Now by doing a little it finally became our turn – almost surpasses the poem.

The only ones guaranteed to get through everything are the USA but Europe can absolutely get a new hot or cold war if our leaders don’t start acting as both chiefs and leaders.

Now we have seen China’s third card and that was an escalation.

In Ukraine, the situation looks significantly brighter than for a long time and Putin is definitely worried about the situation. Not least all the arrested senior officers signal that everything is not as it should be.

UA is currently conducting offensive operations up at the northern front, or counterattacks might be a better term but no one should think they lack offensive capability.

They are also expanding the bridgehead at the Dnieper for a purpose, right, otherwise they would have parked on the right bank and gone on defense.

Here you actually have mine clearance with drones which we discussed a few weeks ago but in the USA.
https://x.com/clashreport/status/1792805101545062717?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Considering how the Biden administration has played dirty with its poster boy Sullivan, the question is whether Nikki Haley and Trump are preferable, especially since Trump will only play golf for four years and let Nikki handle politics. There is a reason Nikki wants to become vice president and it is not to carry out Trump’s policies (1.2.3…).

Now that Zelensky has had enough, we actually know how badly the Biden administration has handled this and it is absolutely not for the EU’s or Ukraine’s best. Since the turn of the year, the veil has fallen and I have understood how much Biden has slowed down or sabotaged, or they have handled it well for the USA but badly for everyone else.

Nikki Haley has the kind of policy that would fit this era’s great geopolitical challenge in my opinion. One tries to do what is best for one’s country and the polar group one belongs to.

The Biden administration running over France, the UK, and Sweden by forcing Ukraine not to use our weapons on Russian territory is absolutely blood pressure raising.
https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1794320845822628122?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Speaking of which, all those bases just on the Russian side of the border are seriously up for discussion now, we started discussing them over a year ago or something?
Nice that the world has caught up, now they just have to be taken out too.
You remember the discussion that if this is done, the next strategic reserve is wiped out and the air force no more.
https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1793583012493267233?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Global escalation and USA and Germany – negative -negative.
Ukraine’s warfare -positive -positive.
Back to the shark-infested waters off Africa – negative -negative

10:59 – Johan No.1

Below is perhaps this war’s most important film sequence which has already made the rounds on the blog. A Russian S400 battery tries to shoot down incoming ATACMS and after firing a couple of shots, four(?) fire units and radar are spectacularly knocked out as they were the target.

We have written since last fall sometime that the entire Russian air defense platform is inferior to the West’s and that they are hopeless – this film is for me irrefutable proof.
That the air defense cannot shoot down incoming missiles or other ammunition even in self-defense is enormous and so far it has not mattered whether they have tried to combine different air defense systems or if it is the enormous naval platforms in the Black Sea Fleet with their combinations of air defense and close protection – everything gets knocked out.

Everyone hanging here instead of working surely remembers the film when a Storm Shadow whizzed past a Russian S400 battery with a drawn-out “blyyyat” from the filmer.

S400 is among the most expensive air defense platforms the Russians have and they are completely incapable of shooting down threats from the West.
In this war, you need to find the right combo. RU has rigid production, one or two systems in huge series, while the West has dozens of different systems so RU has all along been doomed to lose this because the West can mix and match until it works.
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3kt7zqwwoos22

At the same time as Ukraine shoots down 95% of incoming RU missiles as long as they have the ammunition,
https://x.com/ukraine_map/status/1794598285476536484?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

October 7 was Russia’s first step in global escalation. In my naivety, I thought the USA would stamp it out in a few weeks and even though urban fighting is a hell that would be difficult to manage – that I…el had the overall situation under control.
I…el is now losing the world’s support in the war and the USA has completely botched the conflict in MENA, Houthi continues firing anti-ship missiles after the sinking, continues cutting data cables and Iran has boarded a ship in Hormuz without consequences.
And Iran has launched 300 missiles against I..el without consequences.
So it’s not only in the Baltic Sea you can cut cables without consequences, everywhere you can do as you want nowadays – piracy or outright declarations of war.

Here you have a Russian ship moving back and forth over the cable up in Svalbard.
https://x.com/pererikschulze/status/1794828268480438514?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Then Iran’s noble animal dies, the butcher from Tehran gets a moment of silence at the UN or whatever it was, accident or not. Iran themselves are somewhat surprisingly very clear that it was an accident when one might have suspected that they would blame I..el, which they had just fired 300 missiles at – I thought that was very interesting!

And now step two in the escalation has come – Russia openly starts challenging NATO in Eastern Europe. They move the territorial waters boundary and a lot of other provocative actions will naturally follow, and Gotland is of course part of this provocation so we as a country are now directly affected by the war having been allowed to go on as long as it has.
https://x.com/tallbarfin/status/1793024158940467642?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

They absolutely have not given up on Moldova.
Imagine if the government falls in some Baltic state and there is a government crisis, who will request NATO support and everything gets stuck in political bickering where the FSB pulls the strings?

Now we have gotten PB18 back but in a (highly!) hypothetical scenario where RU manages to coup on Gotland and park themselves with missiles, LV and some VDV regiments – would Sweden and NATO have “started” a war in the Baltic Sea because of that, I am not so sure anymore after over two years of hesitation and worry about the Ukraine war.

Then China has shown us its second card which was more escalation than before – a much raised tone against Taiwan.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1793538773084504242?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
https://x.com/treaschest/status/1792628471706857478?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

It’s not the same as invading Taiwan but it is aggressive and uncompromising.
And above all, it is exactly timed with Russia going after Eastern Europe which means it is coordinated between Russia and China.
It is interesting that China was on a mediation train in Europe a month ago and is now ready to jump on Taiwan (yes, I stretched it a bit…).
And then in the same breath Putin wants peace. This could be anything – double bluff, triple bluff, bluff or a strong hand but we will probably see where it heads in the future. You know what I think but China’s latest card is a deviation.

So, we have now reached step two in the global escalation and I would like to ask Sullivan what his end-game with doing nothing is.
Has the USA counted on the EU ending up at war and that the USA will profit from it by selling weapons and oil again?
Both the First and Second World Wars were enormously good for US industries and they have dominated until the 2000s when they have since been seriously declining – maybe restoring their tarnished reputation and nothing is better when Europe needs US help again (wild speculation)?

Sullivan’s line does not have the support of Congress and what does that mean?
https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1793362037520884021?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Yes, that it is Biden’s administration that drives this line themselves. It was a while ago I rang the bell on what a defector Sullivan is and that still stands but where does that leave Biden’s administration that Sullivan has behind him?
A week ago there were four conflicting statements from four representatives, or something, about using Western weapons on Russian soil – yes, no, yes, no…

And then Zelensky got tired and announced that the USA does not allow UA to fire the other countries’ weapons that have allowed it. The USA is thus speaking for other democratic countries which is a step outside the democratic box they should act within. The USA has simply gone too far in the Ukraine war where their self-interest comes before not only Ukraine’s but also Europe’s, which are us so there is no reason to wholeheartedly support the USA here, which at least France has understood and Sweden now as we have clarified that our weapons have no geographical restrictions.

To make it extremely clear – Russia will escalate until it stops. We have seen a na…state and an A…f 2.0 born and we all know how it will go.
As I have said for a long time – the longer this is allowed to continue the higher the risk.

I am sitting here not because I want to preserve Obolon and Nemiroff but because this is our time’s great global conflict where Ukraine is taking the full hit right now. Time is not on the West’s side at all and the sooner Russia can disappear from Ukraine and our eastern border be strengthened the better.
But the West’s actions result in the opposite and now Russia has taken step two on the global escalation ladder together with China – that is worrying.

I can tell you a couple of other steps that are on Russia’s list. Not in order and above all will not happen provided the West acts.
-devastating wars in western, eastern and central Africa with ENORMOUS refugee flows towards Europe as a result.
-continued enormous migration into the USA, RU is today buying plane seats to get enough refugees on the routes that are to go up to the USA – actively driven then.
-Large ethnic tensions in Europe driven by right-wing parties and above all is…tic groups that for some reason want to increase their influence in the West.
-sharply increased crime in the EU, FSB only needs to get in more weapons and drugs and even more “de…nd the police” and it’s started, a fire easy to ignite.
-P..a movement turns into a permanently demonstrating movement soon fighting for the climate crisis (also), our time’s 68 movement simply accompanied by our time’s great march through the institutions where radicalized people engage in pure activism as elected officials or civil servants.
-a financial crash is not impossible for them to trigger?
-local conflicts in South America.
-left and right parties in Europe increasingly obstructing to try to lock the EU
-Serbia, Hungary and Slovakia become increasingly difficult to handle.
-Turkey starts provoking Greece maybe on Cyprus?
-Moldova falls when the EU did nothing.
-China moves towards Ta..n and arch-enemy Japan.
-NK moves towards South Korea.
-MENA moves towards I..el.
-CAG is sunk in the Red Sea or Persian Gulf.
-Iran sinks larger ships in the Strait of Hormuz and stops all oil transport.
-Russia conducts hybrid war against the Baltic states, Finland and Gotland.

Somewhere around here the West is fully occupied and it becomes a global conflict with ENDLESS suffering as a consequence before the West finally after 5-10 years stands as the winner in the pyrrhic victory of the century.

The post about influence I posted on May 21 probably had too many links and ended up frozen, so it might not have been read since it came late. Since it also bordered on off-topic, I have a new brilliant plan because it should have been two posts and I only posted one, so I was disappointed by the freeze.

I have now posted the posts about influence here;
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3ktccqzxi7224
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3ktccwaijik2m

Why does Johan No. 1 risk having to hide in the economy threads by bringing up sensitive topics that are not allowed in Sweden?
Simple – we support the spearhead as much as we can, which is right, and then we can look ourselves in the mirror afterwards.
The spear shaft that we are supposed to hold is constantly under attack, and it is not the spearhead’s job to keep the shaft in order – that is our job.

But on those issues, there is total fear of contact even though it is quite clear to me that Russia has more than a finger in this and that it is part of their subversive activities.

Read and consider, and if you get angry, look at the last link and be happy again so I don’t get a lot of scolding for inappropriately discussing things that are not allowed to be discussed in Sweden because they are taboo.

Speaking of influence.
When the discussion about SVT’s mockery of the Ukrainian women who worked in brothels reached storm strength, the program host was subjected to a hate storm. I got curious and scrolled through a lot of factual but upset criticism and then came a “blat…vel,” “go home,” “you are not Swedish” mixed in with the factual criticism. I went in and looked at the rasi… comments and imagine my surprise when I discovered that 50% or so were written by “extreme left” (that is the type of accounts I perceive as revolutionary left) with the purpose of provoking. That surprised me greatly. Both that they didn’t care to hide it, but also the fact that the hate the person in question received was a deliberate provocation by the “na..men’s” opposite side. That’s how it looks in real life, and who has time to watch all threats and who generates them, and our media immediately jumped on the racial hate against the host, so either I was the only one in Sweden who bothered to scroll through the comments or it fit a narrative and they ran with it.

ATESH is now an active partisan movement also in Russia where I must say they probably fit better than in Ukraine, easier to work with the liberation deeds.

Loose rumor at best but RU is apparently starting to face ammunition shortages. The rumor that RU manufactures 3 times more ammunition than the West at 1/3 of the price is a myth. Not the price, that is correct, and when I checked the cost for 155mm at the start of the war it was 800 USD per shell, so yes, prices have skyrocketed…
But RU does not manufacture 3 times more, RU shells are of poor quality, they have a large percentage of duds and then the hit pattern is worse so they need more shells – nothing to worry about.
https://x.com/joneshistorical/status/1793887536156409931?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Anyway, I see a UA counteroffensive up at the northern front approaching at some point, they have probably already retaken some lost terrain which makes this RU offensive among the worst of this war.
With a bit of luck, there will be an invasion of Russia again with the intention to ravage a bit longer this time, one can hope. Unfortunately, we do not know what the USA has said about this, I have my suspicions in my dark moments…
https://x.com/secretsqrl123/status/1793468410858545592?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

We all know what the big campaign plan looks like and it is probably still intact, Budanov has not hinted that it has been abandoned.
Apparently UA has now broadened the bridgehead at the Dnieper which is both good and interesting.
That battle group Dnieper has not managed to throw 300 marine soldiers into the water is remarkable but they have not succeeded, however, gold star for trying because they have.

There has been a bit too much Igor Sushko and he is dubious as a source but when he posts verifiable information it should work, it is when he adds a bit of his own that one has to be careful.
Popov sat and smiled in the trial and he is probably one of about a dozen higher officers who have now been arrested.
I think it seems likely that something is bubbling in the army and that Putin is trying to preempt this, or if it is a fight between the army, FSB, or some other letter agency.

The only thing we can be sure of is that what we hear as an explanation is not it.
Something is going on anyway and there has been more than one video of soldiers openly challenging the Kremlin.
That is good, very good – let them turn inward.

https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1792934422389387310?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
A bit lacking in exploding refineries and oil depots the last week but probably not politically blocked again because then we would have heard all the condemnations. Should get going.

The defector Scholz has completely lost his way, he thinks that introducing a no-fly zone over western Ukraine is warmongering – I never really liked his clothing style and now this 🤬
https://x.com/maks_nafo_fella/status/1792986242591719899?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Also notable with Kaja Kallas who was blocked to NATO that it was Putin who pushed hard for it according to her own words and there Scholz was also out saying that she should be a warmonger.

He is walking a tightrope and the reason he sits safely is that he pursues SPD politics. The question then becomes whether the entire SPD is infiltrated by the Kremlin?

Scholz has several times recently clarified that Western weapons on Russian soil is an escalation, troops in Ukraine is escalation, no-fly zone is an escalation – everything is escalation.
https://x.com/euromaidanpress/status/1794730207900790795?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXZOK5gF7w

At the same time as Russia just took step two on the global escalation ladder so that no one stops them – Scholz has a hidden agenda is the only reasonable explanation because everyone can see that Russia is escalating?

It actually surprises me how the West still manages to sleep through this when the global escalation now took its second step. We all remember aggressive USA in 2001 or the first Gulf War, right?

Sweden is now directly threatened as Russia in step two will start threatening Gotland – could Sweden perhaps have done more and above all gotten more on board through active diplomacy?
Now by doing a little, it eventually became our turn – almost surpasses the poem.

The only ones guaranteed to get through everything are the USA, but Europe can definitely get a new hot or cold war if our leaders don’t start acting as both boss and leader.

Now we have seen China’s third card, and it was an escalation.

In Ukraine, the situation looks significantly brighter than in a long time, and Putin is certainly worried about the situation. Not least all the arrested senior officers signal that everything is not as it should be.

UA is currently conducting offensive operations up at the northern front, or counterattacks might be a better term, but no one should think they lack offensive capability.

They are also expanding the bridgehead at the Dnieper for a purpose, right? Otherwise, they would have parked themselves on the right bank and gone on the defense.

Here you actually have mine clearance with drones, which we discussed a few weeks ago but in the USA.
https://x.com/clashreport/status/1792805101545062717?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Considering how the Biden administration has played dirty with its poster boy Sullivan, the question is whether Nikki Haley and T…p are preferable, especially since T…p will only play golf for four years and let Nikki handle the politics. There is a reason Nikki wants to become vice president, and it is not to carry out T…p’s policies (1.2.3…).

Now that Zelensky has had enough, we actually know how badly the Biden administration has handled this, and it is absolutely not for the EU’s or Ukraine’s best. Since the turn of the year, the veil has fallen, and I have understood how much Biden has slowed down or sabotaged, or they have handled it well for the USA but poorly for everyone else.

Nikki Haley has the kind of politics that would suit this era’s great geopolitical challenge, in my opinion. One tries to do what is best for one’s country and the bloc one belongs to.

Speaking of that, all those bases just on the Russian side of the border are seriously up for discussion now, we started discussing them over a year ago or something?
Nice that the world has caught up, now they just have to be taken out as well.
You remember the discussion that if this is done, the next strategic reserve is wiped out and the air force no more.
https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1793583012493267233?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Global escalation and USA and Germany – negative -negative.
Ukraine’s warfare -positive -positive.
Back to the shark-infested waters off Africa – negative -negative

11:00 – Johan No.1

Yes I found the forbidden word ✌

12:08 – Johan No.1

Yes, now the topic is up for discussion and the resistance is being hacked away bit by bit so it should come.

Yesss!!! promised support is not prioritized and will not come, all of Europe has ordered new equipment for themselves so even if Ukraine has money there is nothing to buy, old equipment is to be scrapped.
And so on.

Zelensky painted a rosy picture when he said there is no ammunition shortage but it has started to come, but end of May…

I am a bit worried about USA and Germany, Scholz is slowing down everything that is good right now and Sullivan is trying on his side.

13:01 – Johan No.1

Yes, and time goes by, right now Scholz is out in the media daily cutting down all constructive proposals.

USA and Germany have had an understanding with Putin, exactly at what level is not clear, but it has been communicated.
That they do not see the situation for what it is today is frightening.

A bit hard to know what will come in steps 3,4,5,5,7… etc. but October 7 was dramatic and they probably won’t disappoint us.

13:06 – Johan No.1

I am pretty sure that the USA is running its own race with China which may not be the best for Europe but if China joins the war, or for war against Taiwan and Japan, then that discussion is obsolete because then they are on the opposite side and everything is allowed.

For me, the USA has shown that they do not put Europe first at all really because if they had gone ape-2001 again this war would have been over a long time ago.

Macron took the first tentative steps towards a more independent EU and we can hope that it continues both during and after the war and both geopolitically and economically.

Africa needs to be “saved” and it wouldn’t hurt if we had some own industry and did not import everything from the USA and China…

One hopes it is an election issue for Biden but they have acted the same way since the start of the war really, slowed down F-16s, not sent Abrams and a lot more.

13:07 – MatsExtrude

Thanks for today’s essay/yellow wall!

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