2024-10-27

11:06 – Johan No.1

This is what we want to see 🤩
https://x.com/dakdar22/status/1849934165556461730?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

If we are to start with something positive, UA has fought a refinery again now in Ryazan.
https://x.com/pstyle0ne1/status/1850203378917249046?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

And then entered Belgorod Oblast with a small force – this shows that the border is still porous and that attack vectors into Bryansk would achieve great success if they (were) carried out.

The fronts
Rumored that UA has left the area behind the Sejm watercourse in Kursk or holds some dominant height right at the border – nothing reflected on the maps yet. FAB bombs are used extensively up in Kursk.

In Northern Luhansk near Kupiansk it is the 1st GTA attacking but apparently only with infantry, which is interesting considering the unit type.

At the Southern front we have discussed that RU is conducting reconnaissance and positional battles and preparing for an offensive, is 200,000 strong and has a number of VDV, Spetsnaz, reconnaissance, and marine infantry regiments. The units in this area have also not been fully depleted since 2023 and have had plenty of time to reform.
https://x.com/kyivindependent/status/1848019285760770423?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Now their offensive seems to have started and they have advanced significantly 8km deep west of Vuhledar. This can definitely be called a breakthrough and is at a front line that has been static since 2023.
https://x.com/mkot316/status/1850122041111826663?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Shaktarske and Novoukrainka are completely overrun, over a couple of weeks they have lost positions at the watercourse and then the communities that were the next line 8km deep.

As the situation develops, my suggestion is to read Deepstate and the other maps as contested terrain is how far RU has come and when the map is updated, the area is lost. Sometimes there are counterattacks but right now these are fewer than what UA loses.

In the past week there have been several small movements at the southern front but it is in the area of Vuhledar and west of it where the breakthrough has occurred.

To put it in perspective, UA now holds terrain 15km deep in Kursk.

What we see is that UA units simply cannot hold back – this is not visible on the unit maps but they are obviously low in numbers, poor in armored vehicles, there are rumors of ammunition shortages over at Selydove and they lack the artillery and CAS they had in 2023. The 72nd Mech had a long interview and it was not pleasant reading.

All this is artificially created, the West has taken the position that we send what we can when it should have been that they must send what is needed. Everything exists in reserve stocks and unit sets but the West wants to manufacture new, get paid, and then send when it is manufactured. And they want to expand the arms industry at a leisurely pace instead of pouring in money.
Yes, it’s great with 30 billion USD for the arms industry and 2-3 new weapons packages from the USA but it counts when the materiel is out with the units.

Then there is a drone shortage and I don’t understand why if UA manufactures 4 million per year – why?

The link below describes the situation well but it also describes RU warfare and how it relies on FAB bombs. The same FAB bombs that the USA with great effort has managed to maintain for Russia by stopping, for example, Gripen and F-16, or holding back LV.
https://x.com/clement_molin/status/1850170358323699831?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

The question is whether that mobile Patriot battery that shot down about a dozen aircraft is not being used again due to the risk or because the USA put a stop to it – who knows.

I say it again – the West will take Christmas break and be paralyzed during the most important months of this war and Putin knows this very well.

And then some politician will not be able to hold back and exclaim “but Putin promised peace as long as we got Ukraine to the negotiating table but when we wore them down enough Putin blew us off”.

Scholz is now also doing his very best to sabotage and I consider him either compromised or a prisoner in his party. And unfortunately it is him the USA has allied with.
https://x.com/noelreports/status/1849863229364895865?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

My thought regarding the negotiations was that Ukraine would give up NATO membership and get something sensible in return from RU.
But the US “NATO ambassador” has destroyed that bargaining chip.
https://x.com/TreasChest/status/1849189036382196094
https://x.com/noelreports/status/1849048310004302321?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

And Scholz also in the sea of all the statements he makes that only benefit Putin
https://x.com/blyskavka_ua/status/1849524665581961372?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

So now the negotiation card is completely eliminated and nothing UA can trade with Putin for anything else. One almost starts to get a little suspicious here.

And Lloyd Austin is VERY dangerously wrong in his statement here if you look at what is happening at the fronts – poor data or doesn’t care?
https://x.com/kvistp/status/1849160265998430393?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

The Economist has published another contract killing, there are several articles now from Economist, FT and others that one does not associate with RU at all. Could then come from the West instead in an attempt to pressure Ukraine which really is not needed – they are under enough pressure already.
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1849048942786289969?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

I posted some tank attacks from the Cold War and below will serve as a trampoline for discussion.
https://x.com/klaasm67/status/1850076720075804966?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

In Ukraine this never works because it is always mined everywhere so the advance can only happen in column. Then the first vehicle is knocked out, the second tries to pass on the sides and the fun with mining begins.

We carried out this type of mechanized attack in the film at battalion size and our biggest problem was being knocked out by red tanks or PV missiles.

Sure, there were mines but never in the way we see in Ukraine and some mining here and there that was avoided.
I also believe that the mine warfare strongly affects how mechanized combat can practically be conducted and that it is something that will lead to changes in the handbook for killing Russians.

Mine clearing should also get a renaissance going forward and identification of mines. I have thought about whether it is possible to map the mines with GPS coordinates with drones, like warm in the evening and visible on IR as we have learned.
Then release a mothership drone with hundreds of small drones that dive bomb all the coordinates and explode within a zone.

Mine laying should also become a prioritized part of all defense – yes, the peace movements and environmental movements have made us use fewer mines just like with cluster munitions and somewhat surprisingly both have proven to work excellently in this war.
Thermobaric weapons one hardly dares to even say the word for fear of being completely cancelled in the discussion but they are also good weapons if you can get drones to drop them.

Somewhat simplified, the West, after various pressures from peace movements, human rights organizations, environmental organizations, and political parties that prioritize peace, has scrapped all these weapons.
Russia apparently has not listened to all these movements and thus still retains all these capabilities to unleash over Ukraine.

Another 10,000 North Koreans on the way.
https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1850157340974096536?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

North Korean officers in Moscow
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1849031963346174203?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

The wear and tear of RU equipment is very important; they also have less capacity for workshops than the West.
https://x.com/rebel44cz/status/1850093730100809743?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Darth Putin is, as always, right
https://x.com/darthputinkgb/status/1850118221195616350?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Do you also see how Putin turns relatively unknown people into superstars? The latest example is JD Vance, for instance; he was not completely unknown but now has a chance at the VP and a secured future.

Nigel Farage, Le Pen the elder, and many in Sweden who have gone from nothing to something.
Their corporate accounts in the joint AB are swelling enormously, they get the red carpet with honor guards in Moscow and attend the finest events.
They gain status in their home countries among large groups.

Also lesser-known ones where the wife, or yourself (or vice versa, or another identity!), receive large payments into the company account that are taxed and everything is in order.

This is not new, and we laughed at all Hillary Clinton’s lectures for which she got 2 million paid by Saudi Arabia while her husband gave them something in return as president.
(Or Trump for that matter 😀).

Yes, that was also a certain security risk, but now we are talking about a power that directly wants to overthrow us, and therefore contact with the “state sponsor of terrorism” Russia should be illegal.
Giving or receiving contributions from IS is punishable, but when it comes to Russia, they can bribe anyone completely legally as long as it goes into the limited company or sole proprietorship and is taxed – then everyone is happy.

It is rare to go from any of us to 20 million in bribes over a week; this is a long process where one unknowingly is herded into something until the easiest way out is to continue, or one wants to continue.
RU had even managed to get to high executives at Swedbank?

The problem here is that Russia has only just begun its subversive activities.

Or the party Nyans, insignificant, yes absolutely but sponsored and driven by a foreign power.
The infiltration in our parliamentary parties, like the one who most recently had to resign who rhymed with H..amas.
We have a huge problem and Lex Cold War, SÄPO, MUST, ministers, and so on are also infiltrated – the more important the position, the more attractive you are for recruitment.
The Defense Commission is high-value, somewhat in the shadows but an important basis being prepared.

Until 1989, we had some kind of practice at least on how it should be (and then it still couldn’t be controlled).
Now it is hardly discussed at all, and people can openly bribe individuals by hiring their AB, and as long as the Tax Agency gets paid, everything is in order.

It’s starting to be a bit like in Mexico where salary and status are so low that at all levels it is more attractive to have side jobs for the cartels.

Then the P..a demonstrations have started to turn into the usual accusation that we are colonizers living on blood-soaked land.
https://x.com/realmaalouf/status/1850269676313669790?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

We already know that RU and H..as/Iran are behind this just as they are behind other large movements that sooner or later come out as autonomous Marxist movements according to their own statements.

We have even posted H..as themselves who have stated this so indisputably – FOREIGN POWER!

It is thus the same gang that comes up with a new angle and the purpose is to attack the majority society (the tax-paying citizens regardless of ethnicity) and create chaos – and they get well paid for it.

This one was interesting – a Somali woman on SVT raised that recruitment to Al Shabab was happening in the suburbs and was absolutely crushed by SVT and later murdered. Own investigation by SVT actually, so some self-examination.
“I believed in journalism” | SVT News

The point is that it is not easy to try to raise the problems when not even a person like this woman can do it, I follow Nalin Baksi and she always struggles against the wind just like Hermansson did.

The anti-democratic parallel society partly controlled by foreign power has great ability to influence the public debate and has long infiltrated municipal and parliamentary politics.

We have a huge problem and unfortunately this has only just begun.

The only way to uproot it was (maybe still is) for RU to be defeated fundamentally in Ukraine to begin with, but this has actively been slowed down by the USA and Germany so far.

The amount of pure sabotage is also skyrocketing and the EU arms industry has been subjected to several attacks
https://x.com/chrisschmitz/status/1849438006815367489?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

And the fact that Russia has speed dial to the criminal clans and gangs in Sweden, and where these two groups are already nested into civil society, should make everyone worried also in terms of sabotage – the guards and technicians on the inside are their new weapons.

Gugi scouted towards German wind farms
https://x.com/auonsson/status/1849213025921704420?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

A recruited Russian influence agent
https://x.com/michaeldweiss/status/1849457845357379988?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

The Russians have been linked to a viral video of someone tearing up a Trump ballot.
https://x.com/margbrennan/status/1849967927132348660?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Subversive activities in Poland
https://x.com/hallonsa/status/1848395993034985731?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

There is truth in this
https://x.com/chakhoyanandrew/status/1850146437746606388?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

The truth
https://x.com/john_sipher/status/1847956600092242423?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

This war has already gone to the next level over Ukraine and even if it is a bit early to talk about a twilight phase, we are absolutely back to the Cold War with sabotage, infiltration, and subversive activities.
This is what Russia is doing in preparation for the next step, which is interstate wars.

Otherwise, everything always looks good 👍👍💥

11:17 – Johan No.1

If you want peace, you must prepare for war.

I..el, South Korea, and Finland are good examples of countries that take that task seriously and where the country is “militarized”.
If you have served in the elite units in I..el, you are a local celebrity.

Sweden until 1989 was fairly good, I think, but since then we have completely dropped the ball. Much of what we learned has now proven to be right, so we basically just need to revive our Cold War organization again to get back on track.

12:32 – MatsExtrude

👍 Wonder how seriously the threat from Russian subversive activities is taken and whether we will read more and more about revelations regarding it, or if they choose to keep quiet and downplay it.

20:11 – Johan No.1

Do you also have the legendary Sunday hangover after Friday’s – and Saturday’s hangover?
Personally, my feeling now/then is reinforced that it’s damn time to steamroll over Russia now.
This “beating around the bush” has been going on too long to feel right.

The Russian imperialism and subversive activities only continue because we allow them.

My first decision as dictator over Fortress Europe is to unleash all Tomahawks over targets in Russia when I have tricked the USA into selling them cheaply to Andalusia for self-defense only.

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