Russian losses and activities in Ukraine

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  • 1130 KWIA
  • 1 Tank
  • 5 AFVs
  • 45 Artillery systems
  • 2232 UAVs
  • 183 Vehicles and Fuel tanks

Russian activities

  • 163 battles
  • 70 air strikes
  • 210 KAB
  • 10,340 suicide drones
  • 3,580 artillery attacks (56 from MLRS)

SLAVA UKRAINI

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76 thoughts on “Russian losses and activities in Ukraine”

  1. T23

    This was one of the stranger opinion articles in a long time.

     

    https://www.aftonbladet.se/nyheter/kolumnister/a/Rj5bW8/kronprinsessan-ska-ge-fan-i-minorna-hon-har-kidnappats

     

    The fact that she shouldn’t be allowed to pose for a photo with a landmine because there is a discussion about the Ottawa Treaty and its antipersonnel mines is a bit like saying she shouldn’t visit a nuclear power plant because there is a discussion about nuclear weapons 🙃

    1. Jan W

      Sigh, what can one say. Of course we should not rearm.

      If Sweden is invaded by Russia, people will be raped, tortured, and murdered.

      It is a price we must be prepared to pay to be a role model in the world.

    2. MXT

      It was probably one of the most contrived attempts to create a scandal I’ve seen in a long time.
      Incredibly artificial angle just to appear morally outraged. 

      Then it’s unclear who she is most dissatisfied with, Victoria or the defense.

  2. 205

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 0
    S Slobozhansky 6
    Kupyansk 9💥
    Lyman 6
    Slovyansk 3
    Kramatorsk 2
    Kostjantynivka 28💥💥↗️
    Pokrovsk 33💥💥
    Oleksandrivskij 8
    Huliaipole 18💥
    Orikhivsk 0
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 3

    Sum sectors 116↗️
    Unlocalized 47↘️
    Total 163

    1. MXT

      Absolutely positive! 👍

      4.2 billion USD for installed 462 MW results in a cost of 9.1 MUSD/MW

      Difficult to know what the actual delivery will be, but nuclear power is quite stable so maybe it will be around 90% or something like that. Shutdowns for maintenance and service a week or two per year per reactor.

      For being an SMR, it looks good compared to what I’ve seen before.

      The estimated prices I’ve seen otherwise are significantly higher than regular nuclear power (which usually ranges between 7-11 MUSD/MW) simply because you don’t get the same economies of scale with SMRs and the technology is new with development costs still being enormous per unit.

      Still, it is of course much more expensive than other technologies.

      If you account for actual efficiency and calculate what you get out (and thus not installed capacity), it looks something like this (globally):

      Hydropower ~5 MUSD/MW

      Solar power at ~4 MUSD/MW

      Wind power ~3 MUSD/MW

      It might be interesting to know for those who think only nuclear power is sufficient.
      So, it’s about twice as expensive electricity with only nuclear power.
      That’s why I advocate for a mix (and would like to see us expand all the hydropower we can, cheap and stable).

      Anyway, that looks good.

      If they build another 10 similar facilities, the costs will decrease significantly per unit.

      1. johan No.1

        Absolutely 100% hydropower should be significantly expanded.

        They reduced it by an estimated 1.5 twh instead, but that’s where one should step in big.

        Question – does the cost increase over the lifespan?

        Well, now one doesn’t know how long these will last, but some of our decommissioned reactors could have run for another 50-60 years without massive investments.

        Question two – the fuel for these, do you think it’s old nuclear waste they’ve talked about or is it too early?

        1. maggan

          Looks like a downscaled pwr, can be run on waste but the existing large pwrs do that too. The problem lies in the processing before the fuel is inserted into the reactor. Expensive and environmentally messy, simpler, cleaner, and cheaper to use fresh uranium.

            1. maggan

              Sure, profitability is one part. Waste in the form of a non-water-soluble ceramic or a water-soluble liquid is another.

              I prefer the waste to be in solid form, as water-soluble as a porcelain cup, regardless of profitability.

        2. MXT

          When it comes to costs over the entire lifespan, the distribution looks roughly the same (according to the American Energy Authority) but then it’s installed maximum power and not actual:

          Nuclear power: 18.1 MUSD/MW
          Hydropower: 8.4 MUSD/MW
          Wind power: 2.75 MUSD/MW
          Solar power: 2.19 MUSD/MW

          If you calculate based on the average output, it becomes:

          Nuclear power: 19.7 MUSD per average MW
          Hydropower: 15.8 MUSD per average MW
          Wind power: 8.1 MUSD per average MW
          Solar power: 12.6 MUSD per average MW

          But this is probably something to take with a grain of salt, especially when it comes to Swedish conditions. It’s hard to believe that our hydropower is almost as expensive as nuclear power.

          A bit surprised that solar power also becomes so expensive. Maybe it’s the battery replacements that cost? Here it should actually be even worse in Sweden since we have a shortage of sun.

      2. Jan W

        If one compares profitability for different types of power generation as done above, one thing seems to be overlooked as far as I can see. The potential profitability depends not only on the cost per unit produced but also on the selling price per unit. Now, it is a fact that with wind and solar power, the price tends to be low when they are producing at their best. Hydropower is of course ideal in this context because it can be reasonably well controlled to produce when the price is highest. Nuclear power lies somewhere in between because it is assumed to produce continuously.

        Then there is, as mentioned, the issue of lifespan. How long do wind turbines last?

    2. maggan

      That it is a post on X.

      I work in the industry and was surprised that I missed such a big thing.

      No other sensible hits on the internet. I doubt that they have built and commissioned 6 SMRs without being able to find alternative sources. Not even NuScale themselves have a press release.

    3. 205

      But have you fact-checked? I know that you, Johan, don’t always do it because you can’t fact-check a prediction. However, you rarely are wrong in these. Nevertheless, it’s not possible to fact-check.

      3. 205

        Texas-based Aalo Atomics held an unveiling ceremony in late March 2026 for its completed Critical Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory — described as the first new nuclear reactor built at INL in 50 years.

        “In a conversation with EastIdahoNews.com, Loszak said once the project is complete, the site will generate up to 10 megawatts of electricity — enough to power about 10,000 homes.”

        https://www.eastidahonews.com/2026/03/first-nuclear-reactor-built-on-doe-land-in-50-years-unveiled-at-idaho-national-lab/

    6. MXT

      This turned out to be a bit boring (that it wasn’t true) but also a bit funny.

      I have told you not to believe everything you read on Twitter, and then you also tricked me into that trap!

      1. maggan

        My two basic rules for fact-checking:

        If it’s on the internet, it’s true.

        If it’s also on TikTok, it’s almost a constitution.

        😉

    7. iamwhoiam

      …Under the tweet:

      “Readers added context they thought people might want to know
      The NuScale VOYGR-6 plant in Idaho was not activated. The project was terminated in 2023 due to rising costs and insufficient subscriptions, as confirmed in a 2026 DOE report.

      nuscalepower.com/press-releases…

      energy.gov/ig/articles/au…”

  7. 205

    The United States already declined to provide THAAD to Ukraine in 2024 under President Joe Biden’s administration, despite the system being deployed in Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and South Korea.

    https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-seeks-thaad-as-guarantee-but-analysts-see-limited-value/

     

    Ukraine’s newest missile maker aims to launch a low-cost anti-ballistic air defense system by the end of 2027, Reuters reported on April 6.
    https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-maker-of-flamingo-cruise-missile-takes-aim-at-anti-ballistic-air-defense/

  8. 205

    In a month, we eliminate the same number of occupiers as the Russians mobilize, yet the size of their military contingent on the territory of Ukraine continues to grow. That is, we believe they are increasing their grouping by bringing in personnel from their strategic reserves. We discussed this with the Commander-in-Chief and the Chief of the General Staff – how we are countering it. We believe this is a risky step for the Russians, because by doing so they are weakening their borders with other states, where the situation for them is not simple. Nevertheless, they have taken this step.

    Recently, together with Syrskyi and Hnatov, we also reviewed new Russian military maps. They want to capture Druzhkivka, Kostiantynivka, and Pokrovsk by the end of April. This is impossible, but it is not the first time they have set themselves some kind of deadline, and now they have set this as a target. I have already spoken about the meeting with British intelligence – we have a relationship of trust with them. They also do not see any capability for the Russians to achieve this.

    From a conversation with journalists (1/5).

    We sent our military experts to the Middle East, including specialists in interceptor drones and electronic warfare. We demonstrated to some countries how to work with interceptors. Did we destroy Iranian “shaheds?” Yes, we did. Did we do it in just one country? No, in several. And in my view, this is a success.

    This was not about a training mission or exercises, but about support in building a modern air defense system that can actually work. In those countries that opened up their air defense systems to us, our experts were able to very quickly advise how to make those systems stronger. In some cases, we directly shared our experience in actual defense. In any case, all of this has had a very positive outcome, and it commands respect for Ukraine.

    We also shot down drones with jet engines. This is a very good signal, I think. We showed that this works. Now it is only a matter of time before we begin mass production of interceptors that will destroy drones with jet engines.

    From a conversation with journalists (2/5).

    We have arranged ten-year agreements with three countries. Ukrainian companies will work with the armed forces of these countries to protect specific facilities. My task is to negotiate volumes, services, and types of weaponry. Security talks are currently underway with Oman, and we are also in discussions with Kuwait and Bahrain – this is in addition to the countries we have already reached agreements with, which everyone has seen.

    In return for our support and expertise, we will receive various things. In some cases, it involves interceptors to protect our energy infrastructure; in others, there are financial arrangements. All of this will strengthen our energy stability – we have agreements in place for a year. There are also supplies of oil and diesel for Ukraine. In some cases, we receive crude oil that will be delivered to refineries in Europe for processing. In others, we are talking about finished products – diesel. So in essence, we are helping strengthen their security in exchange for contributions to our country’s resilience – and this is far more than simply receiving money.

    From a conversation with journalists (3/5).

    Why would Russians shut down Telegram? I think it’s to push through unpopular decisions. Possibly ending the war in one format or another. Or, on the contrary – escalating it. In that case, it would mean even broader mobilization. That would mean people from Moscow and St. Petersburg being sent to the front – and bodies returning to Moscow and St. Petersburg. In other words, he will no longer be able to avoid mobilization in the major cities he previously tried to bypass.

    Another scenario is that, not knowing how society will react, they are preparing for one or another outcome of the war. Through their propaganda, they have stirred up a radicalized segment of society. This share is quite significant – I think around 20–25 percent. In my view, these people are definitely not ready to end the war. There is also a segment of society that would react negatively to escalation.

    In my view, these are the two main scenarios, though of course there may be other motivations. And soon we will see which scenario Putin has chosen.

    From a conversation with journalists (4/5).

    If Russia chooses the path of de-escalation, then I believe a trilateral meeting will take place. They will try to hold it in April, May, or June. I think these are key months for them. And I believe it will be very difficult for us until September. In my view, the Americans will not give anyone more time for this dialogue.

    As summer begins, the United States will become even more focused on its internal processes – on the elections. And I think they have a kind of domestic political deadline – around August. So this spring–summer period will be quite difficult politically and diplomatically. There may be pressure on Ukraine. There will also be pressure on the battlefield. But we understand Ukraine’s national interests and what can guarantee security.

    It is important that during this period there is sufficient pressure on Russia as well. For example, partners could hold an absolutely unprecedented, historic, game-changing, and, in a certain sense, victorious NATO summit this year. But that depends on them – on what they are actually prepared to do and whether they take seriously the threats that are not directed at just one country, but at all of us.

    If Russia chooses the path of de-escalation, then I believe a trilateral meeting will take place. They will try to hold it in April, May, or June. I think these are key months for them. And I believe it will be very difficult for us until September. In my view, the Americans will not give anyone more time for this dialogue.

    As summer begins, the United States will become even more focused on its internal processes – on the elections. And I think they have a kind of domestic political deadline – around August. So this spring–summer period will be quite difficult politically and diplomatically. There may be pressure on Ukraine. There will also be pressure on the battlefield. But we understand Ukraine’s national interests and what can guarantee security.

    It is important that during this period there is sufficient pressure on Russia as well. For example, partners could hold an absolutely unprecedented, historic, game-changing, and, in a certain sense, victorious NATO summit this year. But that depends on them – on what they are actually prepared to do and whether they take seriously the threats that are not directed at just one country, but at all of us.

    From a conversation with journalists (5/5).

    @ZelenskyyUa

     

  11. johan No.1

    RU imposes duties on its strategic reserves, says Zelensky.

    Good for the Baltics and even better for they cannot pub crawl in 2026 yet.

    Expect a lot of dead Russian bastards soon.

  12. johan No.1

    Gentlemen – the Ukrainians, the “man on Twitter,” are beginning to sense a change in direction.

    They are starting to smell blood.

     

    1. 205

      4. EU and UK air forces fly over 1,400 combat aircraft. Their navies have five aircraft carriers, over 60 submarines, more than 120 frigates and destroyers.

      Shouldn’t Sweden revitalize its dormant shipbuilding industry and build an aircraft carrier filled with JAS39 Gripens, customized? Or several: the Baltic Sea, Gulf of Finland, Gotland, Bornholm, Great Belt, Gothenburg (yes, the ships can be named like that, maybe with the prefix Johan/TheOld/etc of: e.g. The Old of the Baltic Sea).

      1. Proxima

        Good suggestion. Peter Hultqvist, Saab, and the defense visited Landskrona when he was Minister of Defense. That was about 7-8 years ago. This has, among other things, resulted in Saab taking over a large part of the shipyard. Saab now builds the submarine towers in the old refurbished hull hall. Oresund Drydocks, which is also located in the old shipyard area, wants to order a larger floating dock that the defense can use for its larger vessels, such as the new frigates. Furthermore, the dry dock remains with a length of over 200 m. I believe there will be some investments in the shipyard in the future, which pleases me.

        1. Proxima

          Off topic Öresundsvarvet.
          I was signed on to Salén’s refrigerated vessel “Antigua” built at Öresundsvarvet in 1960. It was my home from when I was 16 years old until almost my 19th birthday. 27 months. I remember the captain (who was like a lesser father) once told me that it’s not good for such young guys to stay on board for so long. “You should go home and socialize with sensible people.”
          The boat was beautiful, chosen as the Queen of the Seas in Rotterdam in 1968. Thus, the most beautiful ship that arrived in Rotterdam that year. And Rotterdam was the world’s largest port.
          In the autumn of 1971, we were going to do our 10-year classification in Landskrona. The boat had not been in Landskrona since it was built and attracted a lot of attention. Among other things, the shipyard’s workshop school with teachers and students came on board to see how skilled they were in Landskrona at building ships. I especially remember the teacher who, with modest pride, showed the students how to build a fine ship. The fact that we then treated them to coffee and praised the boat didn’t hurt either. The following year, the shipyard was closed down. 2,200 shipyard workers unemployed.
          That’s why I would be very happy if, as 205 suggested, they invested in the shipyard again.
          Strange that this particular event has stuck in my memory. The year before, we carried out a rescue operation off Midway, where we received a lot of praise from the Americans, but I hardly remember that event. With these words, I wish you all a pleasant weekend.

          2. 205

            Yes, and the Kockum Crane and industrial area, which served as an intermediate act before it was demolished, was worth SAAB’s factory, another era that separated our industrial heritage. Think SAAB versus Tesla. Have a nice weekend!

          3. Jan W

            Regarding Salén’s. Some time ago, I gave a friend a CD with Povel Ramel’s songs. Among them was “Måste vägen till Curacau gynga så”. There are a few words in a chorus that sound something like this “Sanblasdchippidarra.kränga hit Sanblasdchippidarra slänga dit”. I thought the first part was some nonsense word. It turned out that my friend’s father had been a captain (I think) on a Salén ship named San Blas. So, it was only partially a nonsense word. In Povel’s lyrics, it is clear that it is a Salén ship.

          4. CB500four

            Interesting to read about your adventures on the 7 seas. My great-great-grandfather also went to sea when he was 16, but that was in 1877. In the olden days.

  15. 205

    ZELENSKYY’S response to JD VANCE:

    Vice President, with all due respect, isn’t taking part in negotiations between US, Ukraine, and Russia.

    Otherwise he would understand the difference between ‘scrap of land’ and sovereign territory of Ukraine.

    This important territory is priority from security perspective with strong defensive structures, fortifications, and where about 200,000 people currently live.

    He would understand that Russia’s goal is occupation of Eastern Ukraine in order to prepare a bridgehead for subsequent offensive actions.

    So, before doing anything, we need to have detailed security guarantees. For now, Ukraine simply does not have security guarantees necessary to talk about other steps.

    And of course, every square meter of our land is Ukrainian land and, with all due respect to any of our partners, it is definitely not theirs.

  17. 205

    VOLKER: Rubio called Saudi Arabia to complain that they signed bilateral defense agreement with Ukraine. This is outrageous. Why would you complain?

    The issue is asymmetry in force. Iranians and Russians are producing large numbers of low-cost drones that cause serious damage, while our defenses are extremely expensive. The UAE and Saudi Arabia have seen this.

    You can’t keep shooting down cheap drones with million-dollar missiles, it won’t work long-term. Ukraine has faced this challenge, developed cheap and effective counters, and is now sharing that knowledge. This is a good thing. We should be learning from them.

     

    Kate from Kharkiv

  18. Kaitsetahe

    Friday Fun(TM)!!!

    So what does this lovely Friday Fun have to offer??

    Pinata a la putt-putt? Unfortunately not…

    We start locally, that is in my irresistibly exciting life… (it’s not just JohanNo1’s life that is exciting!)
    Dog and I were out for a walk… Discovered that the pedometer didn’t understand the concept of “difficult terrain”… so it considered my 2km walk to be 1km… 
    Sigh! “Difficult terrain” in this case was a damn clear-cut with constant debris everywhere… Complained to Chat GPT who came up with cheerful remarks about the settings. Gonna tinker with that. Later.

    Possibly saw a Dunnock today, a bit uncertain.

    Soviet humor:
    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Tjgxn_-iFkk

    Skunk in skatebowl:
    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/OXOn-BHXZ_8

    Mario saves the day:
    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/-1LQ6eKUOb8

    3. Jan W

      ChatGPT always has a variety of lively suggestions on how to solve any technical issues. They are not always so accurate. “I don’t know!” seems to not be part of the vocabulary.

      Järnsparv! Has a notion that it is rare. Reasonably well camouflaged as well.

      I think I occasionally hear a Green Woodpecker here in Solna. But haven’t managed to see any. Not easy to see if they stick along the tree trunk. Not entirely sure about the sound. Can’t really be called birdsong in any case.

      Solution suggestion for your technical issue: Don’t go to the clearings!

      1. Kaitsetahe

        Thank you! Finally someone who understands!
        Yellowhammer… that’s the one that counts…? 
        one two three four five six seven….

        Wait now… you said Green Woodpecker… is a woodpecker after all…

         

  21. Pehr

    Elvira’s analysis describes the war in Ukraine as an example of a recurring historical pattern where the outcome is not determined by will or numbers, but by technology, system capability, and motivation. The side with better weapons, logistics, leadership, and organizational quality gains an advantage over time, even against a larger opponent. Motivation plays a central role: armies that treat their soldiers better and have a society that believes in the purpose of the war are more resilient and effective.
    Russia’s problems are portrayed as fundamental and structural rather than tactical. It is about weak leadership, poor personnel quality, inadequate logistics, and an internal reward system that rewards officers for reports and symbolic progress rather than real military breakthroughs. The system discourages risk-taking, innovation, and adaptation, severely limiting operational effectiveness on the front line.
    Further mobilization is not described as a solution. The number of people willing to risk their lives for money or coercion is limited, and mass mobilization is more likely to undermine the regime’s support among the population than to change the outcome of the war. Historical parallels, especially to Russia in 1917, are used to show that large armies without motivation, competence, and functioning systems can lead to internal collapse rather than military success.
    The conclusion is that while Russia can continue the war by depleting people and resources, it lacks the structural ability to win it. Without deep reforms – deemed politically impossible – the system cannot adapt militarily or change the strategic direction of the war.

  23. Kaitsetahe

    Okay.. have now posted Friday drunk videos… eaten… and now I’m hungry again…

    WTF!! DO SOMETHING!!!

    (sorry…my blood sugar.. is … somewhere else.. kind of..)

    I WANT SOMETHING GOOD!!

    (sorry…it just came out…)

    Maybe should play counterStrike for a while… 
    Darn… is this normal?? (SEGA RATS!!!)  excuse me…!

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