The war in Ukraine 2025-10-11

1060 KWIA

1 Tank

6 AFV

21 Artillery systems

1 MLRS

219 UAVs

18 Cruise missiles

71 Vehicles & fuel tanks

SLAVA UKRAINI

This post is dedicated to you 12% who stated that you will stay here even without yellow walls! 👍😄
(Without you, I wouldn’t get up on a Saturday morning to put together a post)


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47 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-10-11”

  1. AFU 08:00: A continued high but slightly decreasing combat pressure overall, with the decrease mainly in Oleksandrivskij (Novopavlivka) in Donetsk. Noticeable pressure in the north, slightly increasing and strong pressure in Luhansk, slightly decreasing but fully engaged in Donetsk, as well as a noticeable and somewhat increasing pressure in the south.

  2. 🧵✍️https://x.com/anno1540/status/1976540950424879413?s=46

    (Yaroslav Pavlivskiy with his wife, Halyna)

    Russian Drones Turn the Streets of Kherson Into a Civilian Kill Zone

    https://www.wsj.com/world/russia-ukraine-drones-civilian-deaths-9c7d5f13

    Attacks have increased to a level and range that has made the streets of Kherson a daily gauntlet

    (By Oksana Grytsenko and Jane Lytvynenko | Photography by Emanuele Satolli for WSJ Oct. 8, 2025 10:30 pm ET)

    MYKOLAIV, Ukraine—Yaroslav Pavlivskiy waved his hands as he sprang from his car, pleading for mercy with the operator of a Russian drone circling overhead as he drove home from a market in the southern city of Kherson.

    The operator flicked a switch to release a grenade, which exploded and tore into the legs of the 69-year-old pensioner. A passerby used a belt as a tourniquet to stop him from losing too much blood, saving his life.

    In the hospital the next day, the doctor showed Pavlivskiy a Russian video of the incident, which was set to techno music and carried a caption: “A drone operator spotted another ‘civilian.’ After reconnaissance, the target was eliminated.”

    Russian drone operators have turned daily life in Kherson into a terrifying gauntlet. A year ago, from the other side of the Dnipro River, they began sending drones, in addition to using bombs and artillery, to take potshots at civilians.

    Now the attacks have intensified to such an extent that Ukrainian authorities, civilians and human-rights groups say it has become a systematic effort to keep people off the city’s streets under threat of execution from the skies.

    3/
    The drones drop grenades or antipersonnel mines, or swoop on targets and explode on impact. They target buses, markets, gas stations, and even medical and police vehicles. Residents fear the approach of winter, as nights grow longer and trees shed their leaves that provide natural cover.

    It is part of Russia’s growing strategy to terrorize civilians in an effort to sap Ukrainians’ strength to resist in the fourth year of war. The attacks have left Kherson and villages along the Dnipro almost deserted. The youngest victim killed in the region, also known as Kherson, was a 1-year-old boy.

    The Russian Defense Ministry didn’t respond to a request for comment.

    Russian drone operators often post videos of their hits on social media, warning that all civilians should leave the city or die. With a prewar population of over 300,000, Kherson now has about 65,000 residents.

    As the range and quality of drones have improved, Russian operators are flying deeper into the city. Residents are now worried that the main highway into Kherson, situated about 13 miles from the front, is too deadly to drive because of the constant drone attacks

    As many as 30,000 drones have been launched at Kherson city since the start of the year, killing 90 civilians and injuring over 1,300. “They are not humans after what they are doing,” Pavlivskiy said
    (Visually confirmed drone attacks on civilian and infrastructure targets in Kherson between July 22, 2024 and Sept. 26, 2025)

    (Sources: Center for Information Resilience (drone attacks); Institute for the Study of War and AEI’s Critical Threats Project (Russian forces as of Oct. 1)
    Andrew Barnett/WSJ)

    4/
    Russian drone operators often post videos of their hits on social media, warning that all civilians should leave the city or die. With a prewar population of over 300,000, Kherson now has about 65,000 residents.

    As the range and quality of drones have improved, Russian operators are flying deeper into the city. Residents are now worried that the main highway into Kherson, situated about 13 miles from the front, is too deadly to drive because of the constant drone attacks

    As many as 30,000 drones have been launched at Kherson city since the start of the year, killing 90 civilians and injuring over 1,300. “They are not humans after what they are doing,” Pavlivskiy said

    (Visually confirmed drone attacks on civilian and infrastructure targets in Kherson between July 22, 2024 and Sept. 26, 2025)
    (Sources: Center for Information Resilience (drone attacks); Institute for the Study of War and AEI’s Critical Threats Project (Russian forces as of Oct. 1)
    Andrew Barnett/WSJ)

    Continue reading 🧵5/11:

    https://x.com/anno1540/status/1976542512123678958?s=46

  3. 🧵✍️ Lew Anno Support
    https://x.com/anno1540/status/1976692544550412470?s=46

    Ukrainian Partisans By: My friend Joakim von Braun:

    “Intelligence expert specialized in counter-espionage who started looking for information when I was 13 years old in 1968.

    Worked for Säpo and KSI during the 20th century. Has written a number of books and reports, some of which are available on the Internet” —-

    Ukrainian resistance movement continues to fight!

    The resistance movement and Ukrainian partisan groups continue their armed struggle inside occupied territory and also inside Russia all the way to Siberia. It is highly doubtful whether Russia even thought it could be exposed to this scenario. At a meeting in mid-September with the –

    “Special Forces Resistance Movement”, the leadership spoke about selected parts of their activities under the heading

    “The resistance movement is a continuation of the underground partisan struggle that our ancestors fought”.

    One factor that the Russians never seem to have fully understood is how deep the Ukrainian spirit of resistance runs.

    For several hundred years, the Ukrainians have stood up against foreign oppressors who usually came from the north, i.e. from Moscow!

    We must not forget who Sweden allied itself with in the 18th century to fight Russia – the Ukrainian Cossacks!

    Under Soviet rule, the resistance in Ukraine was always just below the surface and broke out on a number of occasions from the 1920s onwards, and on several occasions it took place with weapons in hand.

    It is understandable that we in Sweden do not know much about this. That Moscow seems to have missed this is completely incomprehensible! The fact that Putin and the other Russian “leaders” due to their deep racism neither have sufficient knowledge nor have had any real understanding of the feelings that have erupted from time to time among the Ukrainian population probably forms the basis for Russia’s failure to grasp Ukrainian nationalism.

    The famine of 1932-1933 

    The worst was the “Holodomor” in the years 1932-1933 when Stalin deliberately let between 20 and 35 million Ukrainians starve and between 3 and 7 million people starve to death! NKVD troops armed with machine guns, surrounded basically all of Ukraine and set up many extensive barbed wire fences.

    – Approximately 22 million Ukrainians were locked up.

    There were a large number of cases of cannibalism and people walking on the sidewalk suddenly collapsed and died! It is estimated that 30,000 Ukrainians died every day.

    During Stalin’s rule, the Ukrainian language was banned, no books or newspapers in Ukrainian were allowed to be printed, and neither teaching nor radio broadcasts were allowed in Ukrainian! Ukraine’s cultural workers were repressed and few of them were allowed to take a place in various cultural organizations, e.g. Ukrainian Writers’ Union, Ukrainian Theatre Union etc.

    A completely bizarre racism!

    Partisan group Atesh (🔥 Military movement of Ukrainians and Crimean Tatars.

    All our social networks, media, and contacts are available here: linktr.ee/atesh_ua

    Join the movement: @Svyaznoy_Atesh)

    When Russia started its illegal war of aggression against Ukraine in February 2022, many took up arms both in Ukraine, in the occupied territories and also inside Russia.

    This resulted in the formation of a number of larger and smaller partisan forces in several places.

    Today, members of several smaller partisan groups have now sought out Atesh, which has managed to absorb them and make them continue their activities. . The partisan group currently consists of over 2,500 members, but this probably also includes many who are currently inside Ukraine. As far as can be assessed, Atesh now has at least 8 groups on Russian territory:

    • Crimea
    • Donbass
    • Nizhny Novgorod
    • Kherson Oblast
    • Rostov Oblast
    • Moscow
    • Tatarstan
    • Siberia

    Atesj’s own description     

    “This struggle has united thousands of people striving for freedom. We have been joined by residents of the occupied Ukrainian lands, Crimean Tatars, Russians, Bashkirs, Chechens, and representatives of dozens of other peoples living in the Russian Federation.

    We are all united by a common goal: the liberation of Ukraine and the final destruction of the Putin regime, which sows destruction and death.

    We have carried out hundreds of successful sabotage operations, destroyed enemies, and struck key targets.

    We have contributed to the destruction of warships, a submarine, airfields, and strategic industrial facilities. But our struggle continues—every step we take inexorably brings victory closer.”

    Russian units infiltrated

    – During 2025, the partisan group has been able to increase the number of agents inside Russian military units. Either permanently or for shorter periods, Atesj has had infiltrators/agents inside a number of Russian military units plus an unknown number of Russian companies.

    These agents have been located in an unknown number of locations, which shows that the operation is not isolated to the area closest to Ukraine.

    In the last month alone, Atesj has published detailed reports from within about 20 Russian units, including from at least 6 airborne VDV units!

    That Atesj has managed to organize himself in Siberia is extremely interesting. It is clear that Atesj has managed to infiltrate the airborne units of the VDV very well! Among other things, they have been given access to the following Russian units:

    • 104 gv VDD в/ч 73596
    • 108 gv PDP в/ч 42091
    • 217 gv PDP в/ч 62295
    • 247 gv PDP в/ч 54801
    • 328 gv PDP в/ч 93626
    • 385 PDP

    You can read about the above units and some others in the Atesh Telegram channel t.me/s/atesh_ua. Anyone interested will find a lot of interesting information.

    Not only Russians in Russia

    Non-Russians in Russia seem to be increasingly raising their weapons against Moscow. Now that a lieutenant colonel in the National Guard was murdered by the Ukrainian intelligence service with the help of a car bomb, it was revealed that this had happened in collaboration with the “Caucasian Liberation Movement”. Armed partisan groups also exist elsewhere outside the Russian ethnic area. In Russia proper, there are at least three partisan groups – the Assembly of National Revival, Skrepatj and the Kuban Partisan Movement – ​​and probably a number more.

    Quite obviously, it is difficult to estimate how accurate much of the information about these partisan groups is, but the number of individuals convicted of various crimes that could indicate activity by various partisan groups has actually increased, also in 2025.

    Source: https://www.facebook.com/share/1DG4bKmRa4/

  4. “Influential countries in the EU are still increasing their imports of Russian energy, which means they are contributing billions to Russia’s war chest, reports TT. This is despite European countries being among those providing the most support to Ukraine. France increased its purchases of Russian energy by 40 percent to 2.2 billion euros and the Netherlands by 72 percent to 498 million euros. Five more countries have increased the value of their imports compared to 2024.”

    https://omni.se/a/kwAXm6

  5. “Over 800,000 households in Ukrainian Kyiv regained power on Saturday after Russian attacks, reports AP. The attacks, which occurred overnight into Friday, injured at least 20 people in the capital. Ukraine’s largest private energy company, DTEK, states that “the main work to restore power supply” had been completed, but that some local outages may still occur. Prime Minister Julia Svyrydenko describes the attack as “one of the largest concentrated attacks” on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure.”

    https://omni.se/a/25LKjB

      1. I hope so, then maybe one wakes up and realizes that enough is enough.

        Germany hands over all its Taurus, we are not only sending Gripen but also pilots and maintenance personnel etc.

        1. It might well be what is needed.

          Our power grid should probably handle a lot, there are loop feedings, etc., but for example, Sweden has been very dependent on the transmission from north to south since the nuclear power phase-out.

          The underwater cables will probably break pretty quickly if things heat up.

          Stop the shadow fleet, and monitor Russian ships, then we are much safer.

  6. “Record number of people work at the defense giant Saab, according to SvD. So far this year, the company has received 150,000 job applications and increased its workforce by 5,000 employees. – In September, we received 22,000 applications. It is the highest number we have ever recorded, says Saab’s recruitment manager Jens Fredenborg. If the recruitment pace continues, the company will have 23,000 employees by the end of the year – more than the pressured Volvo Cars and just behind the country’s largest private employers, the truck giants Volvo and Scania. The stock rocket Saab gained 31,000 new shareholders in the second quarter and is now the sixth most owned popular stock on the Stockholm Stock Exchange, according to Euroclear’s figures.” 

    https://omni.se/a/Av6k0z

  7. “An investigation has been initiated to determine the cause of the explosion that occurred at a factory producing military explosives in Tennessee yesterday. 19 people are still missing. Chris Davis, sheriff of Humphreys County, describes it as one of the worst scenes he has ever seen. The explosion was so powerful that it was felt 2.5 miles away and debris is scattered over an area of 800 meters. – There is nothing to describe, it’s gone, he said according to the BBC. Initially, rescue personnel could not approach the facility due to ongoing detonations.”

    https://omni.se/a/xmGXrR

      1. They seem to mainly produce C4 and TNT, more traditional explosives for dismantling, mines, and grenades.

        TNT was previously used in rockets/missiles but nowadays there are other more advanced (faster/more powerful) explosives.

        Although C4 is used to ignite main charges, theoretically they could be suppliers for that specific part in Tomahawks.

        If one were to aim to stop the production of Tomahawks, they would probably go after the manufacturer directly (Raytheon Missiles & Defense).

        However, it could of course be a “bluff” from the Russians to show what they are capable of.

  8. 🧵✍️Lew Anno Support https://x.com/anno1540/status/1976876241568350317?s=46

    “In fact, a Ukrainian counteroffensive is currently underway”: former CIA director urged not to overestimate Russia’s successes in Donbas

    Retired US General and former CIA chief David Petraeus stated that the situation on the front should be assessed soberly. According to him, Russian forces have not achieved a decisive breakthrough; instead, Ukrainian forces continue counteroffensive actions, liberating new territories.

    In an interview with the German publication WELT, Petraeus noted that the Ukrainian army has reclaimed about 200 square kilometers in recent weeks. At the same time, Russia has paid a huge price for its advances – over a million killed and wounded soldiers.

    Retired US general and former CIA chief said the situation on the front should be assessed soberly . According to him, Russian troops have not achieved a breakthrough, while Ukrainian forces continue counter-offensive actions, liberating new territories.

    In an interview with the German publication WELT, Petraeus noted that the Ukrainian army has regained about 200 square kilometers in recent weeks .

    At the same time, Russia has paid a huge price for its advances – more than a million soldiers killed and wounded .

    ” As someone who, as a general who served in five combat tours, wrote letters of condolence to the mothers and fathers of America, I cannot fathom this number ,” the general said.

    Losses that are hard to imagine

    Petraeus stressed that the advance of Russian troops near Pokrovsk cannot be called a breakthrough . According to him, the gradual achievements of the Russian Federation are of no strategic importance.

    “Yes, Russia has achieved gradual successes. But they are insignificant and cost truly catastrophically ,” he emphasized.

    The general also noted that in a military sense, such losses demoralize even the largest army. In his opinion, Russia is being depleted both humanly and technically .

    The offensive continues, despite the weather

    The former CIA director noted that the Russian summer offensive has not achieved the expected results . Despite the fact that hostilities are ongoing, weather conditions have not yet hindered either the offensive or the defense.

    “I was in Ukraine three weeks ago – and it was still quite pleasant there,” he said.

    Source: 🇺🇦https://war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/naspravdi-zaraz-vidbuvaetsya-ukrainskij-kontrnastup-eksdirektor-tsru-zaklikav-ne-perebilshuvati-uspihi-rosii-na-donbasi.htm

    1. I think everyone is thinking wrong – they are thinking in terms of the land RU is conquering.

      But as long as it looks like this as it does now, RU is advancing, so it’s okay for RU.

      The question is how long they can keep it up – they have now had a sustained offensive since the autumn of 2023.

      1. Well, perhaps one should see it in terms of how much Russia harms the Ukrainian army. The fact that they suffer enormous losses themselves does not mean that Ukraine does not also have losses. Putin has a number of poor -stan republics to recruit his soldiers from without even needing to mobilize. As you write further down, the leader who wins is the one whose country holds out the longest. Square kilometers in one direction or the other are completely irrelevant.

  9. Off-Topic 

    The police’s mission is to in various ways help and assist others in society to maintain the law. Therefore, I believe they should receive double the punishment when they themselves break the law.

    Especially when it comes to this type of crime. 

    “A police officer working in the Stockholm area is in custody suspected of 22 sexual offenses against children, reports TV4 News. The crimes are said to have been committed via the internet in 2024 and 2025 and include charges such as rape, sexual abuse of children, and exploitation of children for sexual posing. All victims are under 15 years old. The police officer, who is in his 30s, was arrested in April and has been in custody since then. He denies the charges.”

    https://omni.se/a/4B5vBG

    1. The criminal clans have already infiltrated the police on a large scale so they have a rather interesting journey ahead trying to unravel this.

      The police officers themselves are also resigning to a greater extent because they experience threats from the gangs and the criminal clans.

      And then one might wonder which candidates will come instead 🧐

    2. When it starts to go so far that the population can no longer trust those who are supposed to protect the population from crime, it is no longer a civilized society.

      Now, there are always bad apples in most areas, people in positions of power may decide to exploit that power for their own purposes. The selection process for those applying to the police should be very strict, better one less police officer, than one police officer who risks becoming a criminal.

  10. I have brought up several times our poor position in production since we import 100% of our critical raw materials.

    China controls the processing, but China and Russia have secured most African countries that possess these critical raw materials.

    My point is to try to highlight that the shutdown was a part of this escalation we are now witnessing, even though no one wants to believe it.

    I believe I once posted that we import a critical ingredient in rubber 100% from Turkey.

    Regardless of whether this is historically accurate, we are now at the point where it has consequences.

    The standard response was that China doesn’t have those plans – but they did.

    The next mistake is to think it stops there – it doesn’t.

    We are still on the upward curve of Russia’s and China’s influence, and it will continue until it stops.

    Time for tough decisions.

  11. The next point I am making is that we are facing a stock market crash and that Russia will provide the black swan for us in Europe.

    Yesterday’s hiccup was just that, a little cough.

    The big bang will probably come next year, and China/Russia are trying to make it look like we are the ones who will suffer the most, while we are trying to pass the buck to them.

    Perhaps persistent power outages could be enough to torpedo industry in Europe?

    We are already exposed to a fully asymmetric war, even if it’s still just twilight.

    For me, it’s good that the US is now taking on China, the sooner the better. The band-aid has to be ripped off sooner or later anyway.

  12. After the trade war between the US and China flared up again, semiconductor companies are preparing for new disruptions, reports Bloomberg. Earlier this week, China introduced stricter export rules for rare earth metals, prompting Donald Trump to threaten yesterday with tariffs of 100 percent on top of existing tariffs. – These are the strictest export controls that China has introduced so far, says Gracelin Baskaran, head and expert on critical minerals at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. China’s measures are expected to result in delayed chip deliveries and higher costs for critical components such as magnets in manufacturing. A person familiar with the semiconductor giant ASML states that delays of several weeks are likely, while a senior executive at a major American chip company points to increased costs for magnets as the biggest risk to the supply chain. Another source at another American chip company states that there is a frantic effort underway to identify which products contain Chinese rare earth metals, with concerns that China’s licensing requirements could halt the entire supply chain. 

    https://omni.se/a/qP2Xnw

  13. “In connection with a large military parade, North Korea has showcased a new long-range missile that is intended to be part of the country’s nuclear weapons program. Thousands of people in traditionally colorful costumes cheered along the streets during the display, as reported by several news agencies. The regime claims that the weapon system is the country’s ‘most powerful’. Dictator Kim Jong-Un has long demanded missiles that can penetrate, among other things, American defense systems. According to the state-controlled news agency KCNA, the missile has not yet been tested.”

    https://omni.se/a/o3jlJK

     

    1. Belgium will receive its first or ninth (depending on how you count) F35a on Monday. 8 units are in the USA for pilot training. Can you simply exchange a new plane for an F 16 that is then sent to Ukraine? That sounds optimistic. The Swedish Air Force will receive its first Gripen E the following Monday, but these need to be prepared for deployment, etc. It usually takes a couple of years before the planes are operational in the squadrons. But apparently not in Belgium.

  14. 😂 First a movie where the Russians are happy to have received a modern system to disrupt Ukrainian drones, then a movie showing the remains of it after it has been hit, and finally Ukraine has released the footage from the drone that blew up the equipment.

    Maybe it was hi-tech stuff, but disrupting drones wasn’t its strong suit.

    “❗️The first video shows the 🇷🇺Russians getting the latest expensive anti-drone electronic warfare system. In the second video, these systems have already been destroyed.”

    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m2w7u4qld22f

  15. Compensations are reduced to about 25% of what they have been. Short of money or do they have enough soldiers?

    “❗️In four regions of the 🇷🇺Russian Federation – Tatarstan, Chuvashia, Mari El, and Belgorod – one-time payments for citizens who sign a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense to participate in the war against 🇺🇦Ukraine have been significantly reduced.

    In Tatarstan, the amount was reduced from 3.1 million rubles to 800 thousand. In Chuvashia, payments were reduced from 2.5 million to 800 thousand rubles. In Mari El, from 3 million to 800 thousand. In Belgorod Oblast, now only 500 thousand rubles instead of the previous 800 thousand.”

    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m2vjbdm42s2l

  16. It was mentioned above that Europe is increasing its import of Russian energy. Doubtful if that’s true. I have used the interface for Eurostat’s database to create a couple of graphs showing the development over time of imports of fossil gas and oil to the EU from Russia.

    Increased imports do not align with the Eurostat statistics I managed to obtain. I think I did it correctly, but I haven’t worked with this statistics before.

    Click on the links to see the graphs.
    Import of natural gas to the EU from Russia
    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/bookmark/3bd3a6b2-b308-4172-811b-dfe3e082d9aa?lang=en&createdAt=2025-10-11T18:22:44Z

    Ditto for oil and products
    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/bookmark/080d1b4d-1668-4468-9e56-f6304817f660?lang=en&createdAt=2025-10-11T18:31:46Z

    It is also possible to retrieve the imports for individual countries.

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