Ukraine daily update October 7, 2025

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Today it will be the 15 drones over Belgium because now I have started to calm down and the writing is not done in haste.

https://www.euronews.com/2025/10/03/drones-detected-flying-over-military-base-in-eastern-belgium-reports-say

First of all, they were discovered by mistake when testing some anti-drone equipment, and the soldiers saw that there were 15 drones circling over the base located in eastern Belgium. One can imagine the panic reaction of the responsible officer 😀

Yes, they flew across the entire Belgium undetected as they were shipborne, fifteen of them across the whole country.

Then the drones flew over to Germany and shut down an airport, right on time.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/munich-drones-europe-belgium-military-base-russia-threat-nato

Take a look at the distance from eastern Belgium to Munich.

These are not FPV drones, they fly over long distances and must be some kind of reconnaissance/attack drones.

Belgium has zero control over its military installations – truly unexpected (not), but at the same time, I find it hard to understand how radar and visual observations completely missed 15 large drones. All defense forces across Europe know that Russia has been actively flying drones over us in the past year, and we are supposed to have both military and civilian radar coverage.

15 drones simultaneously, what does that tell us – now I am making a very important point that I hope does not escape you; if you want to fly drones over a Belgian military/air base to scout and log targets, do you do it with 1-2 drones or 15?

If you want to scare the civilian population, do you fly drones over a military base in eastern Belgium or perhaps rather over some city center and circle around with a few drones.

To me, this looks like a final exam test of mass drone swarm operations, they are shipborne and the Russians can keep 15 of them in the air simultaneously without us detecting them.

What happens the day they are 40-50-100 with warheads and dive into our frontline fighters, missile depots, radar stations, and aerial refueling aircraft at any airbase?

Obviously, Europe has no control except at airports where they are detected due to the security routines where they are used to checking for birds – but Europe can’t shoot down more than a few drones yet.

A larger swarm could then hit their targets with a 95% success rate, and a frontline fighter does not need a direct hit to be grounded. In a first strike, a ship could engage a large portion of the aircraft parked at a selected airbase in Europe. Just like Ukraine did with the Russian strategic bomber.

If you look at where our fighter jets are based in Europe, there are not overly many airbases to choose from – maybe 10-15.

It doesn’t take a German eco-friendly military genius to understand that for Russia, it would be a fully feasible operation to strike simultaneously against these – they can do it if they want.

If I were Europe right now, I would be so damn nervous because we have made it very clear that this is not Article 5 to allow Russia to train and field-test this new capability.

Then when it’s time to invoke Article 5, we won’t have any air force left after our version of Pearl Harbor.

I don’t know why the Belgians were so open about the violation, but in Sweden, we have had drones over the Karlskrona naval base and in Denmark over their military installations – how many have they kept secret. Norway, Denmark, Germany, Sweden, Poland, Belgium in a week.

The first thing we heard was that Germany had 500 observations up to K2, a leaked secret report.

But no one has told us that it’s drone swarms, I thought until now that it was just individual reconnaissance drones but many times. That’s how the discussion went on johanno1.se and no one had perceived it differently there – Johan No.1 feels thoroughly fooled 😡

You don’t hear from many countries because they keep silent – it seems the pattern is to first carry out the exercise against a military target and then steer over the cloud to an airport, and then everyone exclaims “they are disrupting our airports”.

At least that’s how it has been presented to me in recent weeks, that Russia has been trying to disrupt our passenger flights.

Apparently, that wasn’t the case now when the Belgians said too much – it seems quite clear that Russia has now practiced drone swarms against military targets in Europe, with drones that can carry a significant payload.

There are 1000 ships in the shadow fleet, and Europe has no control over them – they are lined up along the coasts of Europe right now.

https://omni.se/a/QMd7dq

This drone capability comes in a container and the targets are likely pre-programmed, maybe there is AI as well. It would be quite clever if they flew to a fixed coordinate and then autonomously searched for pre-programmed target types?

Any ship can carry 2-3 containers and two operators with a computer. This could be on hundreds of ships today without us knowing.

Take a look at this, 700 drones in a container airborne in a minute – “the SWARM” 😶

https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/YxlcFnNmlCE?rel=0&autoplay=0&showinfo=0&enablejsapi=0

China could have provided this without breaking a sweat – now it was FPV drones but the same concept applies to all, at least Shaheds can come in containers and be fired off vertically.

Russia has started using autonomous loitering drones extensively at the frontlines, so it’s already scaled up with autonomous AI drones.

Russia also has proof that we cannot defend ourselves against the drone weapon yet after the tests in Poland, and now over other countries in Europe – in a year we may be able to defend ourselves, but today we stand there watching them, if we even see them.

We already know that Russia will escalate and that Europe has no defense, but for me, a strong force posture would have been better than this fiasco – we retaliate with something we can do so that Russia starts to feel uneasy.

Instead, Finland was forced to release the ship they boarded.

If there is a Russian first strike, then our air force, missile depots, missile carriers, and other assets that we would use for retaliation will be neutralized as far as Russia can.

We are reactive, and we will not invoke Article 5 unless there is such an operation so that Russia knows they can strike first and if they have a significant impact – then Europe will be left without any possibility of retaliation.

The USA will be preoccupied with everyone who has been competing until now to hate the USA intensely – they will be fully engaged in Asia and trying to save Israel from being overrun. The USA has just added more capability to MENA.

The USA and Ukraine may already know that there will be a new Pearl Harbor, that’s why Zelensky is so jittery and the USA has started to threaten Russia?

By the way, you haven’t seen the gangs yet, or the saboteurs who have infiltrated. They are held back until dusk, and there are many of them.

So, the EU granted 400,000 Russians Schengen visas in 2024, so everything Russia wanted to infiltrate has been brought into the EU – and now, when you see the level of drone violations, do you think they have infiltrated GRU operators in large numbers or not?

I’m not joking when I say a gang member + manpads near an airbase, they exist. When our top aircraft are about to fly sharp missions, it’s enough to have a gang member on a roof within 4km of the airport to shoot down an F35 – all flights are vulnerable during takeoff and landing.

Many are probably deceived by the West’s passivity thinking that it’s not a threat we see – our governments must know what they are doing, so there is no danger, and Johan No.1 screams for fun and for a quick payment.

The problem is that we have no defense against drones, so the passivity is because we can’t do anything.

FRA is increasing readiness at all its installations (from MXT on johanno1.se), and this is regarding targets in Sweden that are far below F35 or missile arsenals.

https://omni.se/fra-hojer-beredskapen-ar-oroliga-for-sabotage/a/4B5zn9

If Omfall B or whatever the hell it was is highly plausible because we can’t defend ourselves against a first strike from the shadow fleet – and we also can’t combat 2500 Gerand drones per month.

If our aircraft and the few missiles we have left are destroyed on the ground, what do we have left to retaliate with when we decide to take on Russia?

If we start rolling the mechs eastward, we will also get a first test of whether we have learned the 3D warfare of 2025 – I don’t think so, but time will tell.

How many believe that Europe still has the will to conquer Moscow if our Pearl Harbor turns deadly and the first ground confrontation leaves 20 mech brigades burning and bleeding because they still don’t understand warfare in 2025?

Every damn country will have two parties on each side of the centerline screaming for peace and peppering the parliaments with votes of no confidence, it’s already happening in France and the UK is next.

France;

https://omni.se/oppositionen-kraver-macrons-avgang/a/xmG8wn

Is the will still there to recapture the Baltics after such a blow?

Magyar has already told us that with his drone battalion, he can take out all top aircraft in Europe at the bases – are we really not listening, are we still so naive and arrogant, I don’t want to believe it, but everything indicates that it is so 😐

I think the following is a good description of how it could look, China is infinitely ahead in this, and RU naturally has a few surprises in store – an HMMRW blast-protected jeep with a small package for 48 autonomous AI drones.

Cheap, many, and already deployed.

I wonder if the “loitering munitions” that RU is increasingly using, surely over 1000 daily, could come from these types of Chinese platforms?

https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/Ma3ya_lqCLM?rel=0&autoplay=0&showinfo=0&enablejsapi=0

Don’t be fooled into thinking we are at peace, Europe is preparing for war right now, and it’s not around 2028-2029, but we are preparing for a dusk scenario in the near future.

Do you hear anyone warning of war in a few years anymore, or have they all suddenly fallen silent and started increasing security at sensitive targets instead?

Now, think very carefully about why our mech brigades haven’t moved into the Baltics as they should in response to increased threats – that’s their mission description, and the whole operation revolves around this. When the threat increases, the brigades should move to their staging areas in the Baltics.

Europe is increasing security everywhere, and NATO goes dark, but the brigades that should be in the Baltics in such a situation are not there.

The only conclusion can be that we are afraid to lose them – self-image vs. reality.

We know that we have a considerable number of hunters in eastern Baltics, but it’s the total lack of self-awareness and the willingness to stay ahead of the curve that still surprises me – we are not at peace, we are already at war, and responding with low-effort and offering pizza to Russia is like asking for full-blown war, and it’s the Baltics that will pay the price for this.

I also want to mention that in the next two weeks, I will start putting posts behind a paywall on Substack.

We have tested johanno1.se and the Substack profile openly for almost a year, hoping that donations and subscriptions would pour in like a flood in a South American rainforest, but it didn’t happen – we have started to accept that we are not Stephen King, even though it’s hard to have our self-image torpedoed.

As always, infinitely grateful to those who donate and subscribe – and you can still read everything, we will try to make it work with the website, and if anyone has donated there to read the posts, it will, of course, be resolved – we are more honest than a rural priest.

As we try to convey in between, I, and especially MXT, spend an enormous amount of time on this, trying to write things that are read, and of course, hoping that those who read are also willing to support the operation.

What we are trying to achieve is a positive loop where subscriptions allow us to spend more time on this and improve content – but when everything remains voluntary, it’s not sustainable in the long run – and we are now reaching the end of the road.

So, one last cheer and all in on red to see if the desire to read is as great as we hope it is.

For example, today I was thinking about this and realized that every morning my time (around lunchtime for you) I go to johanno1.se and read what MXT and 205 have posted in about forty posts before reading anything else because I know they have summarized everything worth reading during the day.

The three posts about U137 that will be posted in total have about one (full) week of work behind them – considering the dishonesty that has governed the debate and that books are being written and documentaries produced with an agenda where the only beneficiary is Russia, I think there is great news value in summarizing the information in a way that is easy to understand.

I also believe that Europe’s highly inadequate preparations for what could still become our era’s global conflict if we don’t stamp it out soon also have news value, as my perception is that far too few realize the seriousness of this and think it is still limited to Ukraine.

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110 thoughts on “Ukraine daily update October 7, 2025”

  1. MXT

    Russian losses in the war in Ukraine 2025-10-07:

    • 1020 KIA
    • 3 Tanks
    • 6 AFVs
    • 29 Artillery systems
    • 1 Anti-Aircraft system
    • 338 UAVs
    • 79 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
    • 2 Special equipment

    SLAVA UKRAINI

  2. MXT

    Great overview of the Russian drone threat and how it could potentially be an effective start to a more extensive attack on Europe. 👍

    I don’t believe that Russia is behind it themselves, but if China were to decide to fully back it, that would be a different story.

    Purely speculative, of course:

    China has strengthened its positions in Asia and Africa, they are already engaged in what can best be described as a trade war with the USA, but have also made it more difficult for Europe to import, for example, magnets and rare earth metals.

    One might think that they prefer not to see Russia invade Europe, as they would lose a lot of exports.

    On the other hand, they may not see it as a disadvantage in the long run if they feel that they can do without most of that export for a few years.

    Instead, a war could help destroy Europe’s ability to compete and instead, when the war is over, we will be forced to import even more. Partly for the reconstruction and partly because we no longer have any functioning manufacturing in many areas.

    China may also see the opportunity for further weakening Russia. By supporting them just enough, Russia will eventually give up (after causing enough destruction in Europe).

    Russia will then be severely weakened. China can then further strengthen its positions in Russia and take over more and more of the operations there. They may even ensure that they grab parts of Russia.

    If China thinks more long-term, by supporting Russia in an attack on Europe (outwardly, of course, they claim to be neutral), they can gain many advantages both towards Europe and Russia.

    1. johan No.1

      Are you thinking of a fully mechanized attack with one million over the border?

      Or under Article 5, which Russia is currently stretching?

       

  5. 205

    A decrease in total fighting according to the AFU’s morning report. 183 out of 191 battles were distributed as follows. Decreasing in the north, significant pressure. Slightly increasing in Luhansk, significant pressure. Slightly decreasing in Donetsk, very strong pressure. Also, slightly increasing in the south, noticeable pressure.

    North
    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 6↘️
    S Slobozhansky 19💥↘️
    Luhansk


    Kupyansk 11💥↗️

    Lyman 5↘️

    Siverskyi 20💥↗️

    Donetsk
    Kramatorsk 2
    Toretsk 23💥↗️
    Pokrovsk 59💥💥💥
    Novopavlivka 22💥↘️
    South
    Huliaypillia 8↗️
    Orikhivsk 4
    Dnipro/Prydniprovsky 1

  12. MXT

    Off-Topic, USA – Trump

    “US President Donald Trump suggests that he may invoke the country’s Insurrection Act if judges continue to block the deployment of the National Guard around the country, according to American media reports. The law gives the president the right to deploy the military to quell uprisings, but has been used very rarely because it goes against the principle that the military should not be used against its own people.

    So far, it has not been necessary, but we have the Insurrection Act for a reason, Trump told reporters at the White House on Monday.”
    https://omni.se/trump-oppnar-for-att-ta-till-sallan-anvand-upprorslag/a/rPBPow

  13. MXT

    “Ukraine has received a draft proposal on security guarantees after the war from allies in Europe. This is stated by Andriy Yermak, head of the Ukrainian president’s office, in a video published on his Telegram account.

    – There are many details that still need to be discussed with our allies, he says, emphasizing the importance of the draft.

    Yermak also emphasizes that President Zelensky and his team are working on guarantees from Europe and the USA that would prevent future Russian attacks on Ukraine.”
    https://omni.se/ukraina-vi-har-ett-utkast-till-sakerhetsgarantier-fran-europeiska-allierade/a/XjvjBn

    1. Proxima

      For about 25-30 years, Europe/NATO has been sleeping well. Moreover, they have completely relied on the USA. Some countries have air forces where half of the fighter jets are inoperable for various reasons. Other countries have purchased combat vehicles that can barely withstand stone hits. Yet other countries are now replacing their frigates, which are younger than the Visby corvettes, because today’s frigates do not measure up. The list could be much longer. I am also not so sure that Ukraine has received equipment from Europe that was in the best condition. The Nordic countries do not need to be ashamed in any case.
      EU/NATO solve this by convening meetings endlessly. To show that they are united and decisive?
      Now, I am not a military strategist (enlisted in Säve, stationed in a battalion by Trolle). But if the Russians had entered the Baltic states, I would have closed off the Øresund and the Great Belt for all Russian traffic, including the so-called shadow fleet. That would have been devastating for Russia. But does NATO have the capacity to militarily control the sound and straits? I am very doubtful about that.

      1. MXT

        We have obviously let ourselves be lulled into security and ignored the threat from Russia since the fall of the Soviet Union. Nothing that has happened since then has made us wake up.

        Despite the war in Ukraine having been going on for over 3.5 years, it is only in the last year or so that people have seriously started talking about the fact that Russia can actually threaten Europe and the Baltic states.

        It’s progressing incredibly slowly.

        Worrying that we wouldn’t be able to establish a blockade even if we decided to. Personally, I have too little insight into the maritime sector to make an estimate, so it’s interesting to hear from someone knowledgeable in the field.

  18. MXT

    Off-Topic, Economy, USA, Gold, France

    Congratulations to those of you who invested in gold before prices took off. 

    “The shutdown of the US government and political unrest are just a few of the factors that continue to push up the price of gold. Overnight and this morning, the precious metal has danced just below the milestone of $4,000 per ounce.

    The American shutdown is now entering its second week and has forced the market to do without important macro data. Lack of guidance creates anxiety and makes gold more attractive.

    At the same time, the Fed is expected to continue lowering the US interest rate. This also contributes to making gold, which pays neither interest nor dividends, relatively more appealing.

    The political unrest has also increased following the resignation of France’s Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, as well as the announcement that Japan is most likely to get a new prime minister in the form of Sanae Takaichi.”
    https://omni.se/guldrushen-fortsatter-snart-uppe-pa-4-000-dollar/a/3MWpEq

  22. MXT

    “Fighters of the special unit Artan of the Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine have received 18 new Baton unmanned aerial systems from the Nashebachennya project and the Diana Podolyanchuk Charity Fund.

    GUR said on Telegram on Tuesday morning that Baton is a high-precision UAV of Ukrainian production with FPV guidance. “This is an effective, battlefield-tested weapon capable of destroying moving and static military targets of the Russian occupation army,” the intelligence officers said.”
    https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/1110324.html

  23. MXT

    “Russia has entered ‘phase 0’, the information and psychological phase which, according to analysts, aims to lay the groundwork for a future war against NATO. This is stated in the latest situation report from the Washington-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

    The escalation is driven by both open and covert attacks, according to Danish TV2. Examples include drone and airspace intrusions into NATO’s airspace, as well as false flag operations, sabotage missions, electronic warfare, and GPS disruptions.

    At the same time, there are no signs that the Kremlin is planning an immediate attack, ISW writes.”
    https://omni.se/tankesmedjan-isw-kreml-har-gatt-in-fas-0-infor-mojliga-kriget-mot-nato/a/lwpn9M

  24. MXT

    Despite Russia’s war against Ukraine and the ongoing conflict between Israel and Palestine, crude oil is trading at around $61.6 per barrel.

    These are some of the lowest levels since the war in Ukraine began. Ideally, prices would drop even further, but even at this level, it is not a great deal for Russia.

  25. MXT

    Off-Topic, Trump Media & Technology Group

    Sorry, very OT.

    Things are not going well for DJT. It has dropped by 4.19% in a year, and that’s from before it surged at the end of October. It should be much lower than this.

    By 2025, as of June, they have revenues of $883,000 and operating expenses of $44,050,000.

    Apparently, many of those involved are selling off their holdings. The company’s chief legal officer just sold off the rest of his shares for $500,000.

     

  27. MXT

    “Ukrainian drones are reported to have attacked oil facilities in the Russian city of Tyumen in Siberia, over 200 miles from Ukraine. This is reported by Kyiv Independent, citing local Russian authorities on Telegram.

    The information has not been able to be independently confirmed. It is also not known what damage the alleged attack may have caused.

    TT also writes that during the night, a huge fire has been reported in the occupied Crimea, after Ukrainian drones attacked Feodosia, which is the area’s largest oil terminal.”
    https://omni.se/ukraina-uppges-ha-slagit-till-200-mil-in-i-ryssland/a/jQ60xb

  28. MXT

    Off-Topic, Nuclear Power

    Not sure if the coast is the best location from a safety perspective, although it probably doesn’t really matter, easy access to cooling water probably outweighs the disadvantages.

    There have been strong protests when wind power has been planned despite it being far off the coast, suspect it will be even worse if nuclear power plants are to be set up in the middle of the archipelago. There probably won’t be many places where it could be relevant.

    “The government wants to allow nuclear power plants to be built along the entire coast of Sweden and in the archipelago. That’s what climate minister Romina Pourmokhtari (L) tells Aftonbladet.

    Currently, a large part of Sweden’s coast is protected from industrial construction. The government wants to change that. A referral with details of the proposal will be sent out on Tuesday.

    – Nuclear power has been mistreated and neglected for decades. But that has now changed. A new licensing process is being introduced, she tells the newspaper.”
    https://omni.se/regeringen-oppnar-for-karnkraft-langs-hela-kusten/a/KMO87M

  29. MXT

    Wait now, has China driven over Russia by bus?

    I guess they’d rather sell their own finished products than let Russia produce them themselves.
    Those Chinese are cunning.

      1. MXT

        Big risk for that. If he demands any answers, I hope Ukraine will lie and then aim for something completely different. If Trump then complains, you just shrug and say that those Tomahawks seem easy to distract. 😄

  31. 205

    “It is crucial to shut down every scheme that circumvents sanctions, because Russia uses each one to keep killing. The world has the power to stop this,” Zelensky said.


    Over 100,000     Western-made parts found in drones, missiles used in Russian recent mass attack, Zelensky says. The components were reportedly manufactured by companies based in the U.S., China, Taiwan, the U.K., Germany, Switzerland, Japan, South Korea, and the Netherlands. https://kyivindependent.com/over-100-000-western-made-parts-found-in-drones-missiles-used-in-russian-recent-attack/

    1. MXT

      I get angry every time I think about it. Sanctions that don’t work because no one cares to verify that they are being followed. Has any company received any form of punishment?

      The worst part is that it may be fully intentional. They want it to look good on the surface, but then they prefer that the country’s companies do not suffer, so they ignore the fact that they have suddenly quadrupled their exports to a neighboring Russian country.

      1. johan No.1

        Those graphs are ridiculous, the whole of Europe quintuples its exports to Kazakhstan.

        See. They have proven that 90% cannot be for the Kazakh market.

        everything is already completely exposed but continues because the will is not there

  32. MXT

    Off-Topic, electricity prices this winter

    Johan No.1, you might be right after all.

    Not because of a very cold winter, or that the Russians have sabotaged something, but because of self-harming behavior when not procuring. 

    “There may be an acute shortage of electricity this winter. The reason is that there is a lack of power reserve after Svenska Kraftnät was forced to cancel the procurement, reports TT.

    In previous years, the power plant in Karlshamn has served as an electricity reserve, but the agreement has expired.”

    https://omni.se/risk-for-akut-elbrist-i-vinter/a/vg4rG4

    It might be “exciting” if we get -30 degrees and calm winds for a week at the same time as we do not have access to the faithful servant Karlshamn. If there is also a shutdown in any reactor and the Russians may have caused something in Europe (sabotage or drone attack)…

    1. alfaomega

      This does not sound good at all, what are the responsible parties doing? And by that I mean everyone from Bush, Bohlin, and those directly responsible.

      1. Proxima

        Cold weather can be troublesome at times. One winter, (can’t remember when and where), the cold was so severe that the flames of the candles froze into ice. When we were going to extinguish them for the night, we had to break off the flames and put them in a small box.🌡️🕯️

      2. MXT

        Yes, one actually wonders what they are up to.

        Then there is also a problem that we basically have only one nuclear power plant as well. Sometimes accidents don’t come alone. What would happen if Karlshamn collapses when it is needed the most?

  33. 205

    The visits come amid growing security concerns in Europe.

    On Oct. 4, Lithuania’s main airport was temporarily closed after authorities detected 13 “contraband” balloons flying toward the site. On Sept. 27, Amsterdam’s Schiphol Airport briefly closed one of its runways after pilots reported a drone in the area.

    In recent weeks, unidentified drones have repeatedly violated European airspace, leading to temporary airport shutdowns across the continent.


    Dutch, Lithuanian prime ministers     visit Kyiv as security concerns grow across Europe. Both leaders began their trips by honoring fallen Ukrainian soldiers at Kyiv’s Wall of Remembrance. https://kyivindependent.com/dutch-lithuanian-prime-ministers-visit-kyiv-amid-rising-russian-provocations/

  34. 205

    Russia’s Tyumen Oblast, which lies over 2,060 km (1280 miles) has previously served as a target of Ukrainian attacks. A source in Ukraine’s military intelligence agency (HUR) told the Kyiv Independent on July 11 that the agency was behind an operation that caused an explosion on a major gas pipeline in the region.

    Ukrainian drones reportedly target oil infrastructure in Siberia, over 2,000 km away from frontline. Officials from Russia’s Tyumen Oblast claimed on Telegram that three Ukrainian drones were shot down over an “industrial facility” in the city, adding that no fire, casualties, or explosions occurred amid the attack. https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-drones-reportedly-target-oil-infrastructure-in-siberia-over-2000-km-away-from-frontline/

  35. 205

    Russian authorities’ efforts to block calls via the Telegram and WhatsApp messengers have been going hand in hand with the creation of a Kremlin-controlled “national messenger” called Max, intended to replace foreign equivalents.

    “(The Kremlin) has now matured to the point of imposing total control over people’s conversations,” Russian columnist Sergei Parkhomenko told the Kyiv Independent

    []

    After the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, the country’s authorities also banned Facebook and Instagram, citing the platforms’ policies of not censoring calls for violence against Russian President Vladimir Putin and Russian soldiers. Meta, the owner of the platforms, eventually backed down and banned such calls, but they were blocked anyway.

    Russia’s digital Iron Curtain descends as Kremlin chokes remaining internet freedoms

    Three and a half years into its all-out war against Ukraine, the Kremlin is waging a parallel battle at home — this time against internet freedom.

    https://kyivindependent.com/digital-iron-curtain-descends-further-as-kremlin-chokes-internet-freedoms/

  36. 205

    Coupled with the Polish presidential election, the trend is undeniable: the once-steadfast support for Kyiv in much of Central Europe isweakening.

    But the conclusion — now often proclaimed by commentators on social media — that the former Warsaw Pact nations are drifting back toward Moscow is a misleading oversimplification at best.

    🇵🇱 Despite all the mounting criticism of Ukraine, Nawrocki and his allies from the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) have been very clear — Russia remains a threat, and continued military support for Ukraine is necessary.

    🇨🇿 In Czechia, the picture is also complex.

    …


    Analysis: Ukraine support wavers — but Central Europe hasn’t fallen to Russia

    The past streak of elections in Central Europe cast a gloomy picture for Ukraine and its supporters.

    https://kyivindependent.com/analysis-ukraine-support-wavers-but-central-europe-hasnt-fallen-to-russia/

    3. 205

      I think you (MXT and Johan) are translating with the article reflecting a situation that is not entirely black after all. That Russia is still perceived as a security threat, and that they (the new leaders of the Czech Republic) still provide support to Ukraine.

      1. MXT

        Yes, you are of course right about that. The support has not collapsed and most understand of course what can happen if Ukraine falls. Those who truly want to be friends with Russia are still quite few.

         

  37. alfaomega

    Johan and MXT! Please don’t stop with this website!
    Rather add a cost here than just go with Substack with a cost… or did I misunderstand the post?
    Maybe a survey would be something so you can see what the majority wishes for?
    This site is my little campfire with lots of useful and interesting information about various things. I love, for example, the current bonus focus on old submarine events!
    Johan’s sometimes breathtaking conclusions and elegant way of expressing himself together with the IT guru MXT is a winning concept!

    1. johan No.1

      The site shall continue without any danger 😀

      thank you for kind words and MXT will probably be happy to hear that – it’s the very idea behind the site.

    2. MXT

      Thank you for the appreciation, always nice to hear!

      Don’t worry, the site will remain, at least for the foreseeable future!

      For my part, I run my own one-man business but since I spend several hours (at least 3-4) every workday and of course also a number of hours in the evenings and weekends, instead of devoting myself to the company, it becomes difficult to make ends meet.

      Donations and ads cover the expenses and there is even a little surplus, but when you calculate it based on the time spent, it’s no more than a few tens per hour. 

      NOTE! Incredibly grateful for the donations that come in!
      But as it looks, it is unsustainable in the long run for my part.

      We had hoped to attract significantly more visitors to the blog but it seems like we have reached a point where we won’t progress further. 

      I have certainly not given up, and will try to turn things around, but in the long run, there is of course a risk that at least I will have to scale back significantly.

    3. MXT

      If you as a reader (addressing everyone now) want to help out (without it costing anything), a good way is to try to attract more visitors to the blog, for example by occasionally posting links here on various social media platforms or on other blogs and forums, etc., that you use.

      If we increase in numbers, the chances of having more interesting comments and discussions also increase.

        1. MXT

          I just tested it myself and it works for me. Was it when you clicked on it or when you tried to scan it?

          Clicking may not work on some phones because, for security reasons, some do not allow opening an app from a website.

          Otherwise, you can always use the phone number.

          Thank you for wanting to donate! 👍

  38. MXT
    Bohlin about the interview with Lena Andersson in SVT’s 30 minutes.

    “Lena Andersson, Clausewitz, and the end of war.”

    Let me start by saying that I usually have respect for Lena Andersson even though I often do not share her conclusions. She is contrary and often has an additional perspective. Overall, it’s good for the debate. That being said, with these starting points, one can also end up way offside if the new perspective one seeks is not based on basic knowledge of the situation but only on some kind of strange gut feeling. Lena Andersson’s participation in 30 minutes is unfortunately a demonstration of how erroneous starting points also lead to erroneous conclusions in a way that is quite embarrassing. For those of you who do not have the patience to read long texts, stop here and move on with your life. … ” (Longer text in the link).

    https://www.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0STj8pEe3FETVkp48SP5aKMdRfg3VqHX3AwFWmg5VS6o7z9sYPiSUyqAPfEdiqkwzl&id=541419225&_rdr

    For those who have not watched the episode with Lena (NOTE! Avoid if you already have high blood pressure).
    https://www.svtplay.se/video/jR55vYY/30-minuter/forfattaren-lena-andersson

        1. jahojariaho

          Giving up does not mean that the violence ceases.

          The experience from occupied territories shows that the first wave after capitulation is directed towards those who resisted: arrested combatants, local opinion leaders, journalists, and civilians who refused to cooperate. We are talking about internments, disappearances, political trials without legal certainty, deportations of children, and in some cases summary executions.

          It does not mean peace, it means erasure.

          For Ukraine, the struggle is about preventing just this, not about choosing what kind of oppression to live under. #freeslaveukraine

          And finally: #fckptn

  40. MXT

    One of the most heartbreaking consequences of war. 💔😢

    “The number of suicides and suicide attempts this year among children in Ukraine has increased by 17%, juvenile prosecutors are conducting preventive measures to prevent suicidal behavior, the Prosecutor General’s Office said.

    “According to UNICEF, every year in the world, almost 46 thousand children aged 10 to 19 die from suicide. This is one child every 11 minutes. In 2025, the number of suicides and suicide attempts (in Ukraine – IF-U) among minors increased by 17%. The most vulnerable age category is adolescents 14-16 years old,” the department said in a message on its Telegram channel on Tuesday.”
    https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/1110394.html

    3. johan No.1

      Good point, it’s our own drones and that’s why we don’t shoot them down.

      It’s probably only the Chinese who have a kill switch in the solar panels and telecom equipment unfortunately 😐

  43. Kaitsetahe

    As I said several months ago, the shadow drone can probably carry a lot of mischief around.
    ChatGPT and I made an estimate on the SMALLER vessels and what they can carry. We estimated around 150-200 shaheds/smaller vessels. Those were shaheds. Smaller drones (but larger than FPV) could probably be a higher number. And that’s without counting the larger ships.

    In addition, there is what China has put into technology. We KNOW they have developed hunting drone swarms. And they have no morals or ethics when it comes to AI.

    I made a post about this around the beginning of the summer. 
    It seems like GPT’s and my thoughts were correct. At least considering how the invasive drones behave.

  45. johan No.1

    Ukraine doesn’t need Tomahawk but it’s signaling politics from the USA.

    The Germans, on the other hand, should send Taurus.

    Today, 7 Flamingos are produced per day that RU cannot shoot down – enough for target acquisitions.

  48. 205

    Good analysis today. High quality. Should one be able to charge for it with various decision-makers, it is important to find them and market JohanNo1 to them. Social media may not be the tool, rather targeted campaigns towards these decision-makers.

      1. Proxima

        I wrote earlier today about what I think of the standard in at least the European part of NATO. Deliberately skipped the German submarines. The German navy has had some trouble with their new submarines. This has been reported in the German press already a couple of years ago. But I can’t find the article now. However, Hela Gotland has unlocked the article about the German submarine that came very close to the shore on the east coast of Gotland at the end of August this year. Search for “Hela Gotland/German submarine,” and you will find it. To believe that the submarine sought shelter due to the weather, one must probably belong to the same category of people as those who believe in Santa Claus. It was obviously a breakdown.

    2. johan No.1

      Thank you for the 205 👍

      I can’t even succeed with opinion pieces in newspapers, I’ve done a few but the constant emails with corrections and rewrites kill the joy of creating.

      This forum is fun.

      One point to note, however, is that we have hit many right notes in this war.

      Now, the last big question is whether there will be increased conflict before the summer of 2026. If not, I have promised to close the account 😀

  49. MXT

    Off-Topic

    Sorry, but I couldn’t help but laugh at this. 😂 

    “Reduced meat consumption makes men more feminine and more likely to vote left-wing. This was claimed by Tobias Andersson (SD), member of parliament and chairman of the Committee on Industry, in an interview with the far-right extremist Nick Alinia in September 2024. The clip has now gone viral due to a well-publicized study on the benefits of reduced meat consumption.

    In the clip, Andersson connects advice to reduce meat consumption with an ambition to ”feminize men”. His idea is that meat consumption increases testosterone.

    – Either it’s a coincidence or it’s because they hope they become less independent and therefore have an easier time voting left-wing, he says. …”
    https://omni.se/sd-ledamot-mindre-kott-far-folk-att-rosta-vanster/a/zAdOXw

  51. MXT

    🔥👍

    “Something is burning at the Ural Turbine Plant in Yekaterinburg, whose products are used both in civil energy (CHP, HPP, factory installations) and in the defense industry complex, where power turbines can be used to power the production of military equipment or in the energy systems of defense industry enterprises.

    The fire is here: 56.878667614, 60.637828405

    A pleasant little detail.”

    https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3m2mljkjeds2d

  53. Proxima

    Four years to go. NATO and the EU will have plenty of fruitful meetings together before it all goes off. By 2030, the Visby corvettes are supposed to be fully equipped with Camm missiles. 30 years after the first delivery. Don’t get me wrong. It’s not the shipyard’s fault, nor the navy’s, but the politicians’.

  54. Umlaut

    Sorry about the paywall, but I understand that this takes many hours and money to maintain. Too bad more people haven’t sponsored with a hamburger then and there. 🍔

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