When Ukraine decides on offensive operations, they can gather so much capability that a front section becomes impossible to defend – they have excellent target acquisition capability with infrared cameras on all sorts of platforms, on drones of all sizes and satellites, as soon as someone moves, they are visible and there is probably even technology that sees deeper than that but I don’t know if Ukraine has it. Then JDAMS, artillery, and above all a drone weapon that flies into all openings in the area where the shooters must be located after all. They have chimneys, ventilation ducts, door openings, firing slits, and inside there is ammunition stored together with the shooters – a good combination for a thorough blowout.
The independent drone units are highly mobile, have their own frontline intelligence gathering and the ammunition for the day on the flatbed of the pickup truck – they can arrive in an area, engage, and leave within days. They are not dependent on a supply chain and target acquisition in order to operate in the same way as artillery and aviation, and they probably pass by a barn and load cassettes with drones into the truck that travels last in the vehicle convoy.
Early in the war, losses were 75%-80% artillery losses, 12% snipers, and the rest the shooters with personal weapons. Now Ukraine reports that 80% are drones.
During the actual attack, defending shooters must move up to their firing positions and are completely exposed to UA drone weapons and cluster ammunition.
We have described Ukraine’s digital battlefield and “uber for artillery” repeatedly over the years and most recently according to Zelensky, all responsible politicians also sit with an iPad and receive everything in real time. Something like this is something Europe’s defense forces can only dream of for now, but the USA has something similar that proved to work in Iran. The time from detection to action is so short that the ratio of liberated Russians per shiny shell casing of ammunition becomes the highest possible.
AI loitering drones are already used by Ukraine and during their offensive operations, you will see additional capabilities they have kept hidden – you may remember the first tests with napalm, for example, Dracarys, or thermobaric weapons?
Today we have drones that drop a 155mm grenade, and whether it’s napalm or a thermobaric weapon instead, it probably works wonders for the will of the Russian soldiers in trenches to choose life instead.
Since Bakhmut 2023, attacking units have fought at a numerical disadvantage of 1:3 or better and use heavy vehicles for their advance, with a tank acting as a long-range sniper for direct fire along with the weapons stations of the heavy vehicles operating closer to the target.
Clearing defense systems or fighting in urban areas, which were the toughest challenges we had in basic training, they are world leaders in and bring with them modified T62 tank mines that they throw into bunker openings where the Russians have retreated into when they become worried about imminent death.
Already in 2023, we saw how Russian defense often tries to hide rather than engage in active defense – we will see the same now.
The better Russian units are positioned in the rear as rapid response forces, but they cannot reach the breakthrough area without exposing themselves to drone weapons, and then they are annihilated. The mechanized infantry units of the past week did not even come within firing range of the target before they were completely defeated by swarms of drones with 80% losses.
Since last fall, Ukraine has positioned its attacking units at a distance behind Russian drones and FAB range, then regroups forward and directly attacks into an area, engaging in fully mobile combat and withdrawing once the defending force is eliminated and the ground is salted. I have guessed that they fight for a few days and sleep minimally.
Subsequently, the defending brigade returns and takes over the area so that the high-value mobile offensive units are not exposed to the daily attrition of FAB.
This can probably be translated directly to future offensive operations as well, with Ukraine able to regroup for attack very quickly and securely, then conduct mobile combat, followed by the shooters from territorial and less capable brigades taking up defensive positions – some kind of highly mobile armored fist that we in Europe believe we have but don’t, that can move around to different front sections.
They are thus fighting in real-time and not as we learned with attack objectives A, B, C where you simply had to see what the defense looked like at each letter and supply, artillery, and CAS had to keep up with the advance.
They also bring their own indirect fire in the form of drone groups and lead themselves forward instead of waiting for orders – a very flexible organization, this armored fist.
Upon breakthrough, I guess the units are more independent and the chain of command has now been streamlined, not everything is just direct orders from Sirsky so they can fully exploit such local breakthroughs.
They are less rear-heavy simply and since they are not as dependent on artillery as before and have amphibious capability, air-landing capability, and an obscenely large SOF, they should be able to conduct a very dangerous battle across the entire area as soon as opportunities arise in the future.
Russian forces are absolutely terrible at mobile combat, especially now since they have become accustomed to their own offensive operations since the fall of 2023, sending expendable troops to point A on the map until a flag is planted in the church tower and then moving on to point B after five days of pre-battle with FAB.
The Great Outclassing, and not at all like in the spring of 2023 when Ukraine was supposed to win not by fighting like Ukrainians but with NATO doctrine and training – we decided that for them, and they lost the battle. There was some suspicion that the USA and Europe hoped that Ukraine would grow weary after that and we would achieve some kind of peace in our time, but fortunately, they did not give up.
To be on the safe side, we also leaked UA battle plans to Russia.
When the battle was already lost, they deployed their experienced units that indeed performed excellently, but it was too late, the battle was already decided.
Nothing is really guesswork but pieced together from the information available – no current mobile unit in Europe can fight in a drone-saturated battlefield, and we are all dependent on cutting-edge aircraft, artillery, or armored personnel carriers for indirect fire. Perhaps robots too, but we don’t have enough of those. Artillery takes time to deploy and is vulnerable to drones. Air and army aviation need airbases, maintenance, and we do not want to lose those very expensive platforms.
If Ukraine can seize the initiative and Russia becomes reactive, the first objective is achieved and then they accelerate. I guess we will see a massacre of attacking Russian units now that have been lingering too long because Russian decision-making is slow, and then it will be full speed ahead.
Even in Donbass, which is Russia’s focus area for their own offensive, UA will be able to attack as described above when they take the initiative – there are several areas that are poorly defended there too if you look around a bit, which I have done with the help of my friends in ATESH.
What matters, of course, is the access to capability, but by pooling resources and then moving on to the next area, one can quickly gain local advantage in different areas, and the offensive capabilities are very mobile.
My own war against all the experts and commentators who throughout the years claimed that UA does not have the world’s best shooting and that the war would end in a stalemate trench warfare can now be considered won, the only thing that is sad is that they will never admit to themselves that they were wrong and improve because one never does that.
Europe should promptly bring Ukraine into the EU as a full member and ensure that they have hope for the future because if we do not, within a year we will have an underworld with all this capability that will find its hope anyway.
I believe it will turn out well – first the country will be rebuilt, then they will start selling defense material like crazy and also begin exporting electricity to neighboring countries.
Their soldiers will be needed for future defense and training for us.
Legends and not many in world history who have managed this – give me one?
It seems that China’s technology platform underperformed, a lot of rumors so it’s hard to know for sure, but one thing I found amusing is the rumor that they used the J20, which is their version of the F35 and F22, where they stole the designs from the USA with their hacking brigades, to test their “F35 killer radar.”
The logic was that since the J20 is better than the F35 and we can see the J20 on our radar, then we can also see the F35.
In the Iran war, the Chinese radar did not detect any F35 at all, so now they know that the radar is useless and that the J20 is useless for stealth – double whammy 🤣🤣
China has never tested its weapon systems in war, and the country is very corrupt, as Johan No.1 can testify after working with Chinese entrepreneurs since 2006.
So the current rumor is as follows – China had many operators in Iran for their air defense, radar, and other technology that the Iranians could not handle themselves but that China had delivered – and they have also been buried in the bunkers together with the Iranians.
And in China, researchers and engineers who designed their radar, LV, and robots have disappeared from websites where they have been listed with names as some kind of honor until now.
As I said – what is true or not remains unsaid, but I consider it highly likely that China delivered technical solutions to Iran after the June 2025 attack that underperformed this time.
That is one leg of two that need to be swept away for China to retract its claws, so what is the other leg?
Well, it is the access to ammunition, robots, and platforms.
The USA has not lost any weapon platforms in the Iran war as Iran launched its first strike, and the Chinese technology platform has proven to be inferior.
But in Ukraine, we also know that quantity is a quality in itself (just came up with that).
We also know that since June 2025, Israel has been running out of bullets for its Iron Dome, and we know that the USA is not producing excessively yet, along with Europe – why, one can continue to speculate, of course.
The USA and allies are currently firing up to 6-8 Patriots against an incoming drone, which has greatly surprised Ukraine because they have survived for four years with as many Patriots shot down in MENA in 4 days.
China has the production lines and the raw materials, which Europe does not have at all, but the USA has some.
China has not exhausted itself in Ukraine and Iran.
So, that might be an advantage for China.
Now, the next rumor is that China has given up on Taiwan – whether it’s true or not, who knows, but recently there was a new rumor that they have more ships and aircraft in the area than before.
I believe that IF China intends to invade Taiwan, the opportunity is opportune if the USA is preoccupied with Iran.
Today, we will also discuss something that Johan No.1 has been screaming about for maybe two years – when the war is upon us, international trade stops.
Already in 2022, we saw how Russia used the gas weapon, and I have at times discussed how we have shut down – nuclear power, hydroelectric power plants, wanted to shut down Cementa, and that farmers get paid not to cultivate land.
The funny thing is that all of this is not just the Green Party in Sweden, but that all of Europe has made the same journey, almost as if the overarching goal has been to shut down, not the unique situation in each country.
In the UK, farmers are also offered payments not to cultivate land – MADNESS!!
Farmers are also under pressure with cows as methane emitters, expensive diesel, and a lot of other nonsense on top of that, which simply makes farming impossible to sustain.
So, in Europe, we have such strict rules that farmers cannot produce at a reasonable price, but then imports from countries that do not have these rules at all are allowed, so our farmers are priced out of the market on top of all the other problems – MADNESS!!
Everything that is important in a crisis situation has been strongly advocated by a certain political party to shut down, together with various tax-funded movements that, when they get their bans approved, do not shut down their activities at all and take a day job, but instead increase their efforts even more in a circle of constant demands for even worse capital destruction.
If you did not want to praise this, you were a climate denier, and now everything is blamed on the current government with high electricity prices, but yes, there are more factors at play than just a certain parliamentary party.
For example, giving all our manufacturing to China, which was considered almost Nazi if you opposed it earlier – that everything is manufactured more environmentally harmful than here did not weigh heavily anywhere, and that it has to be transported by ship was apparently not environmentally harmful either.
It is ridiculous to see how our CO2 emissions have dropped to almost zero while China and India have increased their emissions so much that the total is an increase – the climate crisis knows no boundaries, and everything that is manufactured in China or India emits more than here, so we have had the opposite effect. The only effect we have achieved is that we have a silver medal in self-sufficiency in war.
Now we have reached the point where we are at.
It’s not all about oil and LNG, for example, we import 100% of the Boron we need from Turkey, and you can google for yourself what it is used for.
China used to export all the magnets and a large amount of rare earth metals to us.
China has now announced no more exports to the West, but in a slightly more diplomatic formulation.
Since we are supposed to reach net-zero by 2030 or whatever it is, we also do not have oil production, and Iran effectively blocks the Hormuz Strait.
Then it’s the fertilizer for agriculture that we do not have because it is stopped, but surely we should be able to produce that ourselves?
Yes, we could if we did not have POWER SHORTAGE – IT DRIVES YOU COMPLETELY MAD!!!
I am more than holy pissed off about this but you know from before what I think about the Green Party and their rampages.
But it’s worth pointing out what the consequences will be even though I’m not dumber than to understand that those behind it will blame someone else and face no consequences ever.
Since the West (USA but we comply) has attacked Iran, there is already war – we are at WAR!!
China has zero reasons to sell things we can use for our defense industry, electricity, and food supply, so they hold on to key components and raw materials with various pretexts.
Do you remember that they also exported all gunpowder to us?
We hope it goes in the right direction.
While I feel like a great winner for correctly predicting this a few years ago, I am equally pissed off that those who made these decisions with us are not imprisoned in Gripsholm Castle and the key is at the bottom of the moat.
What a time to shut down nuclear power… just before a global conflict gave us a price shock for electricity 😭
Everything that has happened in the last 10 years has been within the window of Russia’s planning to weaken us, in fact, Putin already very clearly told us in 2007 where they were heading.
The 2015 migrant crisis and all the dissatisfied parties that want less immigration are all designed, and the puppet master is Russia.
I have a separate post in progress, but it is not far-fetched to believe that Russia and China have amused themselves with other things as well – for example, dismantling our self-sufficiency in critical areas to save the climate.
They must have laughed themselves into pneumonia when they saw how we slowly kill ourselves while they themselves emit more and absolutely no one criticizes them.
The USA is surely pleased because since around 2016 they have started preparing for this, and now in 2026 as well by securing critical land areas.
Europe does nothing except trying to curry favor with China, Russia, and the USA so we on their grace get to buy at inflated prices from them – how does that save the climate?
The worst part is that the individuals and parties who have gladly participated in this dismantling of our resilience to external influence in the event of a crisis are now criticizing those who have tried to stop it – the shamelessness is absolutely total, and if it were not illegal to criticize them, I would have done it.
Now we will have some difficult years – inflation, higher interest rates, financial crash, import problems, and all that, and we also have elections this fall and a crashed green economy where the investments are starting to go bankrupt.
But it’s worth it to see the good prevail in the world, which we will eventually do even though the consequences of letting Russian infiltration spread too far in the body of society will have some very tangible consequences before that.
Why does the good win in the world?
Because the evil team has shifted to a war economy before the war begins, and the good team continues with a peace economy for a long time – we can hold out longer even though the Green Party has turned electricity supply, food supply, and critical raw materials into an acute shortage even before the war started.
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