11:00 – MatsExtrude
+1
08:33 – Johan No.1
A powerful night shift as usual which is exciting to scroll through when the computer has started.
Have noticed a whole bunch of new names again with different angles on NATO membership and something else and it becomes domestic political discussions or against Finland by those who draw many engaged.
Is it a campaign again or are these engaged people with strong political opinions who felt it was time to discuss politics?
08:48 – MatsExtrude
Have noticed that there are some on Twitter, even NAFO Fellas, who push the thesis that the Finns are traitors who did not wait for Sweden and that we in Sweden are now very threatened.. One wonders which side they really stand on but hard to tell if they are really scared or if they are Russian trolls or just Putin’s useful idiots.
10:07 – Johan No.1
The lions, lionesses, and vixens.
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1642570535245602818?s=20¨
https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1641928458493128704?s=20
I find Ukrainian heavy vehicles in convoy more calming than Sobril.
https://twitter.com/misfit_4/status/1642883044016259072?s=20
UA defends itself against this – try to diagnose these monsters…
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1642508357343772672?s=20
Zelensky gives Putin one last honest chance to escape doomsday – a generous and good person on top of all other superhero talents.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1642858133839130624?s=20
UA continues to form new brigades, we previously had 14 confirmed and now we have 3 more.
One starts to wonder if Rybar was so wrong with his map of +30 new brigades?
https://militaryland.net/news/ukrainian-army-forms-new-brigades/
Here NG and the army are training together, not bad and fun to see that all branches now operate as one unit ready to plow down the Russians in their trench with the tracks they beta-tested the other day.
https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1642265293035585536?s=20
Then I think the below shows that it is not the anti-tank missile/ATGM itself that is the threat – the shooter’s ability is decisive. If you miss, you miss and then you die.
Now it has probably been up and I don’t know Russian ATGMs but I BELIEVE the shooter creates protection against the ATGM with his grenade straight into the ground?
Against TOW you would drive into brushwood, that was enough because then something touched the wire and the missile dropped to the ground.
https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1641871752346099734?s=20
Good news – Slovakia intends to scale up production of 155mm significantly.
https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/1642909480714207235?s=20
Quietly, the delaying battle in Bakhmut is ongoing just as planned, right?
Deepstate marked in red = Russian area still moving inside the built-up area in Bakhmut and UA is withdrawing to the west. The next line looks to be the railway running straight through the city north-south.
The strangest thing is that it has moved so little I think but a little is good and yesterday we got the footage of how they prepared for urban combat, quite similar to how you learned with holes in the walls, downpipes for grenades, etc – death everywhere.
A few days ago we discussed that Zelensky met Biden at the end of February for his points for peace and now he is going to Poland on April 5.
I think something is simmering under the surface here. Apparently the Russians have just come out with their ten-point peace list which was all the usual nonsense so far but discussions are probably ongoing.
I see the threat of the spring offensive as signal politics for peace negotiations as well with the difference that they will make good on the threats and deliver but try to pressure the Russians to retreat if they can (I think).
There have also been quite a few visits to Kiev in recent days but not from the top tier but ministers or senior officials at high levels.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1642774619156275200?s=20
I was looking a bit more at China and then this came up which put Russia – China a bit in context for me, it was the 1850s when the Russians did a land grab of China.
https://twitter.com/InfoAgeStrategy/status/1642587617526001665?s=20
China had quite a few wars in the 20th century.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wars_involving_the_People%27s_Republic_of_China
The list of separatist movements in China is quite long.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_active_separatist_movements_in_Asia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secession_in_China
The wars went so-so sometimes, the USA is not the only ones who got beaten in Vietnam for example.
I think the West has tried to “democratize” China in the same way as it did with Russia after the fall of the wall.
Investments and manufacturing have poured into the country and the idea was probably that China would behave then?
Do we really have any indication today April 2023 that China will side with Russia in this war?
China probably needs to be balanced but it should be possible to balance the country and I don’t think there is a serious risk of an “axis of evil” (TM Bush) becoming a real threat to the free West in the way it has been portrayed.
My amateur guess is that it is part of the Russian psyops to paint that they will win with China’s help and China is surely annoyed about that too on top of everything else. Putin simply gives them bad publicity.
The more I dive into the topic of China the less I think they will make a difference in the war, they have other priorities.
As usual, one is very affected by this war, for over a year one has had a new morning routine of about an hour and if there is time left for other things it immediately becomes a scan of all channels. Trying to balance all this tragic by following a couple of channels that post positive/fun videos that make you feel good.
Not a day goes by without wishing Ukraine a quick and violent victory and Putin’s demise ✊
Rybar is starting to get worried about the UA spring offensive.
All the signs are there – all major offensives have more or less been known and it is time-place-intensity they try to sneak in.
The last thing we need to worry about is that Ukraine will not try to make a difference with the spring offensive.
Also, there are unconfirmed Twitter rumors that one should not draw too many conclusions from that the Russians now have serious problems with maintenance (ammunition) on most front sections and that several front sections are directly understaffed.
-personally I think it is true because it fits into my bigger picture but since it is only the Twitter gods one should probably park it for now.
https://twitter.com/rybar_en/status/1642991153363709952?s=20