10:47 – Johan No.1
Yesterday a planted news story came out that it was a UA colonel in the intelligence service who could be linked to the explosion of NS1-2. The notes that made the rounds were low on information but the headline was that Ukraine can be linked to the explosion.
Wapo was the source but the colonel is in Ukrainian prison and the original source was TASS.
Bild and Wapo picked up something from TASS that got wide spread in Western media and the headline was that now it is indisputable that Ukraine is behind it.
Why has the West completely let go of the Russian ship suitable for underwater work that can be linked to NS1-2 and Baltic connector, all information about this has been posted in the thread several times?
As said, the group leader at GRU is probably tired of champagne by now and soon needs a new box for all the medals…
Do you remember the beginning of this war when you weren’t supposed to be too harsh, you weren’t allowed to speak badly about Russians and videos of dead Russians, or dying, were too strong and would traumatize others if linked to?
Now 1.5 years later the thread is probably quite well calibrated but one wonders a bit if some accounts that pushed this were maybe for influence purposes?
Trying to prevent the thread from posting what would shape opinion against Russia?
Don’t know but it struck me yesterday.
Recently saw that Amnesty employees were filmed taking down those posters with the missing I…a children.
One reflection is that Ukraine has been enormously specially treated by many of the organizations and others one thought belonged to the “good” side.
Then after October 7 the same groups have come out strongly against I…el.
And the demonstrations are now beginning to direct their hatred towards the government, the “elite”, the flag and everything else that is explosive.
I can’t quite put my finger on exactly how it fits together but I’m starting to wonder if Russia has marinated the groups they infiltrated so hard that they have basically become radicalized and that people are found as employees in the UN, RC, Amnesty and all the other organizations, not least the peace movement. That activists have taken employment in organizations they feel work with what they are passionate about?
Then when the Ukraine war started they all ended up on the wrong side of the truth, on the Russian side of the truth?
The blog and the thread have probably worked their way to a battery of concrete examples of Russian influence, psyops and subversive activity where there is really no doubt about authenticity?
And here Western governments should reasonably start to get worried and the easiest way to the goal is to make Russia a state sponsor of terrorism and unleash the security services because then you have a clear mandate and delimitation.
At the beginning of the war, we discussed it for some time beforehand and I concluded that I had fallen for Russian psyops in the beginning after 2014, lost interest in the years before the war, and then had as the best option that RU would take the terrain up to the Dnieper – simply miscalibrated but when the first shot was fired, one ended up right because it was black and white.
Never forget that there is no alternative other than Russia being out of Ukraine up to the 1991 borders – it is inevitable.
Anyone who claims otherwise, is worried about something else, or does not believe it is possible is down and spinning in the Russian psyops rabbit hole.
I am worried that M@sk went out in an interview saying that Ukraine should negotiate (give up land..), he has de facto an enormous reach and many listen to him. On Twitter, it is now straight down into the Third Reich again with a lot about the man with the mustache being right and so on – it is unpleasant to see.
Blaming the victim and all that, why doesn’t he ask Russia to leave Ukraine?
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1723289464586334582?s=46&t=dtvLblMOiEuCh78qRLVJlg
It is also Western pro-Russian accounts that have the greatest reach on Twitter even though they shouldn’t have it, they appear in everyone’s feeds and get rocket speed from the algorithms.
Cambridge Analytica’s election influence was, among other things, to succeed in getting messages they wanted out into Facebook users’ news feeds and they succeeded.
Now M@sk has bought Twitter and gets out his narratives in a similar way – antisemitism, anti-Ukraine, pro-Russia and so on. This is a problem because whoever gets their message out has an advantage.
Surely no sensible person goes in and reads on the MSB website, right?
I have a list of UA accounts and very little of what those accounts write comes out in the feed on that list, I have to go directly to the accounts to see the latest so it feels like they are actively limiting the reach for these. The whole point of the list is that everything they post comes up in it.
Now it has lit up in Spain, besides the P…a protests they have thrown in Catalonia’s liberation (proven contacts with the Russians) and the right wing with Vox. One of the founders was conveniently shot.
I have seen videos where the P…a movement now goes against the “poppies” in the UK on Remembrance Day – that is basically sacred and the British take this very seriously and the far right absolutely does not like that.
Microsoft finds Russian psyops with AI, we don’t need AI because once you start learning this you recognize the fingerprints everywhere.
https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/status/1723507772342534219?s=46&t=WUuDClcjQE0ifyRu177L3w
Here is a fake Khan, London’s mayor, who says they should cancel Remembrance Day and prioritize the P…a protests. Explosive to say the least – a Muslim mayor desecrating the most sacred thing they have.
https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1723330945850225053?s=46&t=WUuDClcjQE0ifyRu177L3w
The right wing is likely already activated in the UK.
https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1723333341863182843?s=46&t=8AWsmJzYXFJKcK-MWGyZpQ
I feel more and more that the citizens in Russia are deeply marinated in this now the more I see from the “man on the street”. Have you noticed that in G…a more and more civilians openly express their contempt for H…as – there it has broken loose.
Yes – a serious shake-up is probably needed and my thought is that Crimea is enough for that then the bottom will fall out.
Just like in G…a where they have a chance to get rid of the criminal clan maybe Russia will get rid of its criminal clan.
And shame on the West for having facilitated and supported this thoroughly corrupt criminal clan system in both countries 😐
The West MUST take Russian subversive activities seriously, this is a prioritized activity in Russia and they push it hard – they are at war with the West.
As we guessed, the P…a demonstrations have turned into a general attack on the country and things that citizens value highly – all to make the opposition as angry as possible.
In Spain, they mix in the Catalonia liberation movement, in the UK they attack Remembrance Day and so on.
Russia tries to create as much discord as possible in the West and in the USA they have de facto succeeded in paralyzing politics right now so that necessary aid packages to Ukraine fail to materialize.
Why Scholz is being stubborn with Taurus is a bit unclear but since F-16 is a done deal, Taurus is the next weapon for Russia to try to slow down so we can be completely sure that the missing Taurus is thanks to Russian influence.
Then the West must naturally walk a tightrope here because you cannot fight a dictatorship by becoming a dictatorship but terror-designating Russia or making them a “state sponsor of terrorism” is an open goal after their proven support to H…as.
11:12 – MatsExtrude
Well written!
Agree, designate them as terrorists so it’s possible to fight them more effectively.
#RussiaIsATerroristState
10:32 – Johan No.1
Boat again today so no post but trying to understand the logic in abandoning the Dnieper but attacking in other places?
That both TASS and RIA went out simultaneously can only mean that there is a preparation even if it was too early?
Could it be the NS line through Melitopol?
10:37 – MatsExtrude
Or maybe they just plan to retreat to escape artillery fire from the right side so that they themselves can still control the left with their own? Seems strange if they are going to pull back far, then they leave the road open.
Either way, if it is a withdrawal it is a serious sign of weakness.
10:44 – Johan No.1
I always thought that UA would cross the Dnieper further north at Berezanka and establish a bridgehead, but they damn well haven’t listened to my WhatsApp 😐
There’s a map circulating showing a disputed area at the Dnieper extending maybe 20km inland. It’s probably based on Russian information that UA created a kill zone 25km inland using drones.
If the Russian information is correct, Ukraine now has a bridgehead where they can start transferring heavy equipment and expand.
The Russian strategy of pushing in more equipment and soldiers than they lose doesn’t win any wars, right?
So it’s not about inflicting more damage on Ukraine than they take themselves, capturing strategically important terrain or other key objectives they succeed in, but the result is really just trying to replace what is lost and hoping for a miracle. Putin is already out of favor with those in charge, so there will be no miracles.
Wet is good because it’s the Russians who are lying in trenches on the southern front and are soaking wet now, anyone who has been soaking wet in the forest on a late autumn day knows how quickly you head towards zero 👍
https://twitter.com/andrewperpetua/status/1723328235344146519?s=46&t=WUuDClcjQE0ifyRu177L3w
Now UA is attacking at Bakhmut and south of Bakhmut again, which is brilliant – we previously received information that RU had reinforced and UA slowed down. Now RU is supposed to attack the railway embankment and it will cost them incredibly.
https://x.com/Flash_news_ua/status/1723593589257552375?s=20
Erik14 brought up the 810th Marine Infantry yesterday and that they have reinforced the Dnieper, they were previously on the southern front. I was going to write today about the condition of the unit but David D beat me to it so I’m posting his link.
They have been decimated incredibly hard and there are probably a few hundred left – not much of a strategic reserve there…
According to David D they also lack most things, which is perfect.
https://twitter.com/secretsqrl123/status/1723490890369442001?s=46&t=WUuDClcjQE0ifyRu177L3w
Again, anecdotal evidence of artillery shortage for RU.
https://twitter.com/jayinkyiv/status/1723564538409177195?s=46&t=WUuDClcjQE0ifyRu177L3w
We’ve said a few times that Macron is a good candidate for Chamberlain – we give you Macron. https://twitter.com/noelreports/status/1723335226431057983?s=46&t=dtvLblMOiEuCh78qRLVJlg
My interpretation is that Iran did not get the other MENA countries on board as they had hoped. The statement that was signed was watered down (in context), in my opinion.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1723384952937464010?s=46&t=WUuDClcjQE0ifyRu177L3w
T
here is something wrong in Russia right now but what we don’t know yet. Patrushev’s speech, a Putin filmed with high cheekbones, Putin campaigning, Kadyrov against FSN and other highly unsubstantial rumors. We’ll see but my coffee grounds say something is up, it could be anything from an internal power struggle to a death – we’ll see.
I consider it proven as far as possible that he has body doubles, credible researchers have spoken on the matter.
Something that reinforces this is the rumor that Kadyrov is out of favor with the FSB, Kadyrov is one of Putin’s allies.
Absolutely sh1t war this is, everyone has been scared at some point but most have a daily life that works – you get attacked by a gang, conflict at work, armed robbery, children getting hurt, illness in the family or similar.
https://twitter.com/ukrainiansquad/status/1723396669058801855?s=46&t=WUuDClcjQE0ifyRu177L3w
https://twitter.com/ukrainiansquad/status/1723342632603033975?s=46&t=8AWsmJzYXFJKcK-MWGyZpQ
The Ukrainian soldiers and families waiting live with this fear, anxiety, and stress level every day around the clock that one might feel oneself occasionally.
Personal skills don’t matter, on the eastern front it’s chance that decides and the soldiers constantly see others who get terrible injuries and then they have to continue, day after day.
There were many former SOF veterans with combat experience from Iraq and Afghanistan who joined the international legion but left because of the intensity, but the Ukrainian soldiers don’t have that luxury.
There is a lot written about this but over too long a time one takes permanent damage and 1.5 years with hundreds of thousands of soldiers at the fronts and a large number of wounded is a national trauma.
This war has gone on too long and the intensity of the violence has been too high.
This one was too much 😭
https://twitter.com/gerashchenko_en/status/1723384813762023803?s=46&t=dtvLblMOiEuCh78qRLVJlg
The 1991 borders as soon as possible should be what the West is sitting and pondering now.