2024-09-23

11:41

Now that Zelensky is the workers’ friend and the pictures from Scranton are being broadcast.

Why aren’t Biden or Harris with him?

Scranton is in Pennsylvania and one of the most important swing states, with lots of Poles and Ukrainians living there.

Feels like a good opportunity to win votes was missed?

12:18

I know this is a montage but I don’t see fighting – I see a protective hunt and prey. Posted by FiM yesterday.
https://x.com/kvistp/status/1837883562348933443?s=46&t=bAqHDMQhVl3Aw3fKGHikqg

You can guess what it looks like at night when all the West’s SOF are rampaging around like a swarm of hornets in the rear with night vision goggles. If you don’t have that as an opponent, you stand no chance.
Then we have all the scopes on sniper and marksman rifles.
And all weapon stations with thermal or IR scopes or whatever they are called.
Even the modified Eastern bloc vehicles in UA have very capable sights.
And the drones with night vision.

Then you have to address the backstabs and the worst accusations from those you thought were your good friends, not to mention cultural desert wanderers who don’t understand the composition of world-leading musical pieces. They would probably have laughed at Mozart if they were contemporaries in their ignorance of prodigies 😐

This is now being broadcast worldwide and, for example, the Poles or Ukrainians in the USA read exactly like us the quote below because they follow the UA war on the channels we read.
They probably choke on their morning coffee because if there is anyone they look up to, it is the former comedian Zelensky.
Read for yourselves and the ball is now on Biden’s side of the field.
https://x.com/maks_nafo_fella/status/1837901157508809143?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

Zelensky is thus in the USA and appears as the greatest friend of the working class at the Scranton ammunition factory in the swing state’s swing state Pennsylvania with all its Poles and Ukrainians.
https://x.com/thedeaddistrict/status/1838059551502762177?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

I have had a theory that Biden, by becoming the biggest UA supporter, could win over conservative Republicans who are tired of the orange man – right or wrong I don’t know but I don’t think Biden would lose a huge number of D votes by supporting Ukraine?

It is a month before the US election and Zelensky is speaking out completely. This guy does not have poor impulse control like the rest of us and his country’s fate lies in his hands – one bigger mistake and they become a Russian colony (again). This is a considered decision supported by his cabinet because on a matter like this Zelensky cannot just go wild.

If I may guess, a couple of strategists among the Ds are completely furious this morning and are spitting and hissing at the subhumans in Ukraine who are still Russians and should stop whining.

– the situation is probably urgent otherwise Zelensky would not have done this right now before the election.

– Zelensky hopes to force Biden to act, Biden is in a corner and the only way out is to lift the bans so he appears as a big UA supporter is naturally the idea. And above all – if Biden does not do it immediately, a certain orange man will do it in words before the election so the clock is ticking.

Open goal after the meeting with Biden because then Zelensky is supposed to meet Harris first and then the orange man?

At the same time as the media starts pushing out articles like this, to me it feels like Zelensky has some support against Biden, leaders in Europe, some in the USA – maybe that will come out over time?
Something is going on behind closed curtains and maybe we see the result in Zelensky’s actions?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/sep/23/west-ukraine-escalation-vladimir-putin

Politicians and decision-makers do not make uncomfortable decisions before it hurts unfortunately and the only way is to force them to do it by making it hurt even more not to decide – or that they see a big gain in it, preferably personal…

It is a lie that Biden stands unreservedly with Ukraine because he has slowed down the whole war and has actively prolonged the war. Forcing Ukraine to release the entire VDV from Kherson 2022 has nothing to do with Trump.
Or forcing Ukraine to attack NATO style against the most fortified front section in the whole world (which they themselves did not want) and then stop delivering ammunition also had nothing to do with Trump.
Or that the USA, over Ukraine’s head, has discussed peace options with Putin also has nothing to do with Trump, when all Western leaders have promised they have no contact with Putin.
Everything is on Joe Biden’s watch.

Yes, now just before the election it is very sensitive and Zelensky has probably chosen to exploit that as the street-smart Ukrainian he is 😀

Now FAB is being released over the city of Zaporizhzhia so the question is how much LV Ukraine has since they reach all the way there without risk of being shot down.
If Zelensky does not manage to unlock the support he wants in the near term, there is some reason to suspect that the USA and Germany are planning for a negotiated peace and that the EU will keep quiet. They are running the same rope trick as in 2023 and stop sending ammunition and equipment to starve Ukraine – we are definitely not there yet but Zelensky has been very clear about this regarding land concessions lately and maybe he has been for a reason?
FAB unfortunately has every opportunity to thwart the Kursk invasion and then UA is back to square one. You know just like me that UA is retreating on several other front sections in a cloud of FAB.

If the EU dares not protest against the use of missiles they will also keep quiet in negotiations when Ukraine’s sovereignty is sold to the highest bidder.

But this pessimistic view is a bit premature because Zelensky can also come from the USA with promises of everything which is what everyone naturally hopes for. We’ll probably have to wait a week or so until we know how it went, that sour post I have about the USA is on pause.
What is on the table is not that the USA does not send ammunition and equipment (and rumors are that they stopped deliveries as punishment for Kursk – don’t know if that is true) but that they stop the EU from allowing Ukraine to strike targets in Russia with the equipment they send and that is what their citizens want.

Then I have to remind about the strategic communication which has been poor at best from the West in this war with highlights like calling Zelensky ungrateful when he got nothing.

If Biden “goes all in” this week the war can be significantly shortened because then Putin’s situation is at least precarious.

If Biden continues on the current path Putin will have reason to try to hold out because the USA projects weakness (again).

20 ATACMs took out about twenty aircraft last time it happened. If Ukraine can get all the ATACMS (there are probably about a thousand) and all Storm Shadow without restrictions and for a month strike all targets within range, this war can actually come to an end if paired with continued UA offensive. That is what we are beginning to sense – we see some signs of dawn here.

This is what Zelensky has been saying for several months now, and his trip to the USA signals that the situation is becoming critical for Ukraine to stop Biden’s inactivity.

Blinken even tried to preempt the decision in the media to put pressure on Biden, but you have to give Biden credit for not being easily influenced.

Biden’s and Sullivan’s line is actually only supported by Scholz and Putin today if you want to be picky, and if Putin is satisfied and everyone else is upset, you might be wrong 😀

If Scholz is satisfied, that alone is reason enough to take the opposite position quite promptly.

Zelensky’s victory plan is basically – give us everything, let us bomb Russia to pieces, let Russia surrender, and let us into the EU and NATO as thanks.
Quite far from a compromise or negotiation – it is absolutely hardline.
I think Zelensky is doing this with a purpose – the former comedian knows what he is doing.

And to those who say that the USA knows best –
Finland and the Eastern states are probably the ones who know Russia best?
And also the ones who will have to bear the consequences of how the outcome turns out.
What do they say?
Do they want to prolong the war?
(no…)

Then to the Biden crew – now that you see Zelensky’s statements and you are convinced that as soon as the election is over, D will open the floodgates and give everything to Ukraine.
Don’t you think it would have been easier to communicate that to Zelensky like this –
“if you come to the USA and support us, we promise everything on November 8, you get it all”.
Or
“if you don’t come to the USA at all and stir the pot right before the election, you get everything you point to on November 8”.

This leads me to believe that I don’t think D has communicated this to Zelensky (yet)?
Why do you think that?
It’s just a little over a month before he is supposed to get all the material according to you, so why leave Zelensky in uncertainty on such a big issue?

Putin has managed to keep his nose above water throughout an entire war by pushing in more material and barbarians than needed – keeping pace.
Ukraine first received no material and then in 2023 the West cut everything off hoping they would throw in the towel (I guess).

Now in 2024 their production and mobilization are in order but RU has run out of stock and their production is low. Also, mobilization is shaky – everyone knows it’s a one-way ticket to Hades.

Ukraine is slowly gaining the upper hand here and can begin a slow strangulation of Putin but the West has a unique ability to start balking as soon as we get into these situations, it’s not the first time.

Now Zelensky has shown that he no longer does as the USA wants so the likelihood of good fighting ahead has increased by magnitudes.

Seems like the Satan 2 self-destruction and the other UA attack on some nuclear facility were two separate events so Putin has had some really bad days.

Even though I don’t like Scholz, I like the German language, very violent where Storm Shadow becomes – Sturmschattenraketen

It became a bit more Biden than war at the fronts but that border crossing that LW and someone in yesterday’s thread brought up with the 95th AAB, there are no reasons for that inside the Sejm at least since the bridgehead is already more than wide enough.
Have they crossed the border further north, is that what was rumored before that we didn’t dare to act on?
We’ll have to wait until it’s geolocated maybe, the video is released so it will probably follow.

If UA doesn’t carry out a counterattack soon, Vuhledar will be released quite soon, the fortress at Klischiivka is already lost and the wedge down towards Oskil is getting bigger in northern Luhansk.

Quite a lot depends on the fact that UA’s fixed defense can be showered with guided FAB bombs where no entrenchment or simple bunker protects and 4000 per month is a lot when you drop them on a couple of focus points, very many 😐

14:19

If Biden can’t really go out and support Ukraine because the voters don’t want it, then why is his strategy to support in words and not in action?

Wouldn’t it have been better not to support in words but in secret action that no one finds out about and then deny it?

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