As we know, we have followed this war daily since the start of the war in February 2022, every event that we have then discussed in the thread until we fall asleep standing.
Since johanno1.se was created by the hand of God, we also have a free forum where people can have opinions so the discussion becomes a little better than in an echo chamber where everyone says the same thing and dissenting opinions are punished.
We are also independent free thinkers and do not have to twist our creations to fit an agenda – everyone has a common denominator, support Ukraine and that we in Europe avoid world wars.
The only topic that really upsets is Swedish domestic politics or when someone has a different opinion than me.
The longer texts tend to lock onto something and then I run with it for a while, now we have gone through Operation Baltikum and then the hybrid warfare which is increasing as the acute phase in Ukraine became a bit less acute, but we circle back there regularly.
Europe’s reluctance to call a spade a spade would not have been wrong if it were not for the fact that Ukraine is fighting for its country’s survival, then it just becomes submissive and possibly cowardly.
Russia has played its cards and is sweating, the USA has played its hand and is also starting to get a bit sweaty on the forehead and with a darting gaze.
China, where Xi Jinping fired the entire military leadership about a year ago, can at any time slam the cards on the table and so far it is only Europe that sits with a French grin that drives the others crazy and refuse to play their hand.
“It seems a bit overhasty, that’s not how it actually works in the real world” is, as mentioned, mature and responsible as long as no country in our geographical vicinity holds on only with their fingertips and the moment they lose their grip all evil floods in over us.
Then there is also a humanitarian and compassionate aspect to the whole thing and I have long felt that small children as young as five who are violated, tortured and then murdered in front of their parents by laughing Russian soldiers or castration of prisoners of war on film should stir more feelings in Europe than it has, but it does not. Often the response to posts has been, “why do you have to write such things, it makes me feel bad”. Well, it probably does the parents whom the laughing soldiers then let go as well.
The Russian hybrid war is increasing and everything is connected, a hybrid war is not in itself something one stops at but is done for a purpose so the suspicion that Russia intends to escalate is not unfounded at all. Moreover, it is supported by history so our ravings about everyone against Europe are not free fantasies either.
We also have a global escalation running parallel with Russia’s attempts to subdue us where October 7, 2023 was one, and the Iran war another.
How should Europe and the EU act from now on, it is becoming clear that they need tips and coaching so let’s hope everyone has now learned to read us every morning.
Now Europe’s leaders know that state-organized trafficking similar to 2015 has again been activated at a high level, and that Russia is paying people to start forest fires significantly more than the previous year. The number of arrests for arson in continental Europe is absolutely skyrocketing, as if the whole of Gävle is out setting fires now.
They have carried out their first sharp attack against us in Leipzig which was not “drones that went astray” and not a covert attempt either – an open attack that failed to my great Schadenfreude.
The Baltics themselves and quite a few Chiefs of Defense around Europe expect that Russia will try to invade the Baltics even if they do not have the timetable clear. It seems to be like with all difficult messages that you have to add “2-3 years ahead” so it does not hurt too much but then we apparently do nothing instead because we believe we have time on our side, which we do not.
What is Putin doing (then I circle back to what we should do)?
He is like a writhing parasite that needs a host body or a small colorless unimaginative bacterium in the stomach – if you don’t eat for 24 hours it starves out and those who don’t die you take antibiotics against. If, on the other hand, you continue to eat, it just grows and starts becoming power-hungry.
On good grounds, I believe Putin still has the mandate to continue the war but the demands to achieve a result are starting to grow strong.
A hybrid war is not a result at all but a means to try to achieve something.
To achieve something could be to keep the land in Ukraine where they stand today, it could also be that Europe clearly backs down and abandons Ukraine or that Russia takes land in the Baltics and opens a conflict front against us instead – any of these would give Putin a partial victory to dangle so he can maintain trust.
Putin needs to be able to show any success to ensure his political and physical survival.
Ukraine denies him this success but fights for its survival and can collapse into a power struggle at any time. It is much worse than we are led to believe with them and now that we unfortunately have circled back to that they cannot defend themselves against indirect weapons it is a really big negative.
Europe needs to give Ukraine hope and deny Putin his success – then the balloon will deflate quite quickly. Swan Lake in black and white is played on TV and a small short gloomy man hangs upside down in a gas station east of Moscow deeply marinated in diesel.
We have often discussed an after when the balloon has deflated but today’s exercise is concrete measures that Europe should urgently implement today.
- Operation Golden Diamond Dome over western Ukraine which is the area west of the Dnieper. Our air defense batteries can be stationed in Poland but we shoot down incoming Russian threats and then give Ukraine the air defense we can spare. Western Ukraine shall be defended is the very clear goal. We justify it by the fact that Russian drones and missiles have started to stray into Eastern Europe and that this is self-defense according to all available legal texts. As evidence, we present all the times Russian drones and missiles have strayed into Eastern Europe.
- Operation Secure Border and Anti-Trafficking. Since Europe has now identified that smuggling networks have started to become active and we can no longer stand on the sidelines and watch inhuman human trafficking, we will try to close the only part of the border with Europe that is currently not well managed at all. We take over the Ukrainian border with Belarus with customs officers from France in the French customs uniforms who are not at all from the Foreign Legion which is in Poland.
- Operation Voluntary Joyful Expression, every country in Europe agrees that voluntary (humanitarian should be stated) service in the Ukrainian army is an absolute merit and volunteers must not be dismissed from their jobs, receive a market-based salary for risking their lives and a veteran pension after some years of service that increases after two, or something. This is announced in the media as something nice and humanitarian and on the CV one needs to have proven excessive force.
- Operation Permanent Large Exercise for Beautiful Peace, during the autumn Europe agrees on an exercise with +30,000 personnel in the Baltics, light infantry that mines the border again and builds fortifications together with all Baltic construction companies with an excavator. The terrain is naturally decisive but they try to get as close to the border as possible and dig down to the earlobes. The exercise is announced for a month and then we just continue in a whirlwind of pretexts. All heavy equipment is kept in the rear and only the logistics with golf carts move forward. We cook up some soup that we also discovered human trafficking there that must be handled and then drone footage clearly shows that we have no offensive equipment within 50km of the border. Every week the media pushes out that this is a humanitarian effort almost under UN auspices to assist those in need, only the UN has not been consulted yet because it was too hastily improvised.
This would give Ukraine hope and they really need it now – more than we actually want to understand. Zelensky has had his worst political crisis since the war began and the shooting is, as always, deadly tired.
Over 4.5 years, we have seen that the only thing Russia does is increase the level of violence if the current level does not yield the desired result, and that the only thing that makes them back down is violence at a higher level than they can handle – it is indisputable that we have seen right into the Russian soul with the above statement.
We also know that if the highest ultra-level of violence does not give the desired result, Russia turns inward and devours itself instead; they managed that three times during the 20th century.
Once Europe has gone through points 1-4, we just pump out a lot of humanitarian sauce about all sorts of things and then remain completely silent. We do not threaten, we do not go on the verbal defense, we do not get upset, we do not get scared – we keep completely silent. That silence will eat Putin from the inside like a malignant osteoarthritis.
The Russian hybrid war will then scream bloody murder and shift into the highest gear – we keep completely silent. Yes, we will miss missiles, terrorist attacks, hybrid attacks, and all sorts of other things, but we will not discuss it with a single word except for crime scene investigations and grinding in court.
All Europe needs to do now is wait, the USA will do everything they can to subdue us, Russia will probably start lobbying missiles into Europe but they cannot physically attack into the EU in any way and seize territory, which is what Putin needs to be able to save his dry, grayish skin.
Ukraine manages to hold out and has gained hope so they start reclaiming their lost territory over time.
With a bit of luck, maybe China will play its cards during this period and then the EU will remain as the grouping in our time’s global conflict that has not had to open the floodgates.
Everyone knows how incredibly well it went for Sweden after we betrayed everyone during WW2, and if the EU manages to balance this tightrope and come out unscathed, we will stand at the top of the hill for the next 100 years before a new global conflict comes when everyone has forgotten this one.
The line is absolutely razor-thin between being a coward who lets others take the full hit because we do not dare to do what is required, doing the right thing, or crossing the line into full bananas dictatorship. Just doing what is required is responsible, but hiding that you are a coward and finding alternative explanations for your position will not get you into heaven, ask Judas.
I see this a bit like the unbearable neighbor you are a little afraid of – if he stands outside your house you can have a discussion, but if he gets into your kitchen and messes around in the fridge, your sense of well-being drops significantly. Now, there were those who thought I was that neighbor, but I have taken that away from them quite harshly and the calm is restored – the food is now delivered to my door instead with deep, ornate bows.
The easiest thing now is to carry out Johan No.1’s checklist during the autumn at suitable times and then wait for the pressure in the Russian samovar to reach boiling point.
When that is done, we handle the outcome, and if we manage to get a demilitarized Kaliningrad and a Belarus in the EU – what a win.
Now back to my hobbyhorse of increasing the paid subscriptions on my Substack and donations to MXT at johanno1.se. The name is misleading but it is MXT who runs and pays for the site out of his own pocket, and since he constantly operates as a lone rider on the brink of seizure, the hours he chooses to spend on the site, driven by passion, are hours he could have spent doing something else.
That we spend half of our time criticizing each other is called deterrence balance, I believe, and is apparently a natural law.
If you read all the long posts repeatedly and/or scroll through the thread comments on johanno1.se daily, you should definitely consider a monthly donation. On Substack it is 80 SEK per month if you click the button, and something similar probably works on johanno1.se I guess.
The time spent on this is astronomical and unpaid, but we are passionate that the good should come out on top and are completely independent. Yes, sometimes there are detours, but if you have followed the posts since 2022, you know that much of what was discussed early on later happened and that many suspicions and guesses hit right on target. There was a period in 2024 and after when Zelensky and others started speaking out of pure frustration, and if you remember, I posted some self-praising posts, but the feeling of having guessed right when everyone said “you are completely wrong” took over temporarily before I regained self-control.
Unfortunately, I am far ahead on the curve so no one is interested in publishing the texts, and when things we have written about happen, there is a whole grandstand of analysts and public faces who immediately recalibrate and get to spread out during prime time on Hajk – this forum is what is interesting to write in, and johanno1.se is where I hang out all day to steal ideas for the next post.
As a bonus, we have also agreed not to sink into domestic politics, which we are probably the only ones abstaining from right now – so you can pay to avoid being drowned in election propaganda, and that alone is quite attractive, right?
Regarding support for Ukraine, you can vote however you want since all parliamentary parties since 2022 have made the right decision; I have really delved into that and there was no dirty laundry to drag out.
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
Russian losses:
Slava Ukraini
So, some anti-aircraft again!
When you have swished, you bounce on to a sofa called “tack” in the address bar, but it doesn’t seem to exist on the server because I only end up on a corresponding 404 page.
Thanks for the info, I will check what it might be due to!
Thanks for the donation by the way! It arrived as it should even though the thank you page was acting up.
I have checked the instructions at Swish.
It has been a while since I set it up now. I thought they might have added something about needing to prepare a thank you page.
Can’t find anything at all about it being necessary. If it were, it would probably also require specifying the address of the thank you page so that their app can return to it, but there is no field to enter that either.
The only thing you do yourself is to upload the generated image with the QR code, or alternatively write out the Swish number.
I suspect it must have been Swish that had problems so that it was their thank you page that was acting up.
But I will investigate further!
The memory is weak. There were some who had problems with Swish in the beginning, and it then seemed that Swish on iPhone needed some extra parameters for it to work to click on the banner (it’s hard to scan the QR code on the mobile), which among other things required a callback page for a thank you page. The code worked to be able to swish, but apparently I never actually got around to fixing the thank you page itself, but now it is done!
Thanks again for pointing that out!
They bathe. Thank you yourself for all the diligent work with the site, as well as the sidebar posts on the other blog.
I have had the error every time, but as I said, it is after the payment & you can see that yourself. So personally, I thought 404 is fine too 🙂
Yes, the main thing is that everything works!
It is completely okay to point out any mistakes so I get the chance to correct them! I promise not to take offense!
When I read about the IRA in yesterday’s thread, I asked myself: Have they gone and become a Farc guerrilla light? Thrown ideological thoughts overboard and become a drug cartel?
Well written, Johan no 1!👍👍👍
They are left-wing extremist ultranationalists with the goal of uniting and liberating Ireland through violence, and I believe that is still the most important thing for them.
Admittedly, they can probably be compared to criminal gangs as they engage in, among other things, drug trafficking, but that is probably related to the fact that they are classified as terrorists, and then there are not many other ways to finance their activities.
The right-wing extremists, on the other hand, want Ireland to remain British, but recently New IRA has increasingly started to resemble the right-wing extremists as they turn against migration (Ireland, among other things, has enormous problems with housing shortages, and of course, immigrants are blamed, the government has realized that it is becoming unsustainable and has started to reduce immigration).
On this particular issue, it probably fits well to cooperate across certain boundaries.
There have been occasional murders and violent crimes committed by immigrants, and of course, they exploit that, and suddenly all immigrants are to be thrown out.
Ironically, considering that New IRA itself has committed many more murders and also engages in terrorist bombings (although fortunately they have mostly been uncovered in advance).
New IRA is therefore not the old IRA. They are those who thought the old IRA was cowardly for agreeing to peace.
They consist, among others, of those who previously belonged to those who called themselves the Real IRA, which emerged in connection with the peace process. So, the most extreme from the IRA who refused to lay down their arms.
New IRA does not have broad support among the population in the way the IRA did, but they are seen as the violent extremists they actually are. They have virtually no political support.
Now that dissatisfaction with immigration is increasing in Ireland, they are of course trying to exploit it to gain followers, and that also fits with the fact that they are ultranationalists.
But now I am getting ahead of events, maybe I should wait for Johan’s next post! 😂
If I were the IRA, or New IRA, or whoever is now cooperating with ultra-unionists, wouldn’t I then see Protestants as “Englishmen” and immigrants? It would be strange to cooperate with them.
Well, I agree (but now it was Johan who came to the conclusion that they collaborated 😉).
The only thing I can find is that they now seem to agree when it comes to opposition to immigrants, and there supporters from both sides can certainly end up at the same demonstrations and use the same rhetoric, etc., but that the two arch-enemies would somehow join forces or cooperate otherwise, I cannot see any evidence for.
Previously, it has been the far-right Protestant loyalists who have been most active when it comes to protests and riots against immigrants, and now it seems New IRA is starting to go the same way.
I would rather say that it is the hostility towards immigrants itself that now spans both religious boundaries and the divide between extreme republicans and extreme loyalists.
Not that New IRA has suddenly embraced its opponents.
One single difference – I BELIEVE this is IRA.
We will see, I will be working on it during the week so we will see what we come up with.
Ok, you think it is the old IRA that has awakened and that they are choosing a cross-border cooperation? That would of course be both very unexpected and quite worrying.
If that is true and they get strong support, Ireland could really have problems.
It will be interesting to see what you manage to find! 👍
Thank you for the post, good as usual. When it comes to the IRA (the original one), they at least had some kind of code of honor.
I seem to remember that they wanted to avoid “civilians” being affected by bombs, for example in London, and gave warnings so that evacuation was possible in some cases.
But today’s version doesn’t really seem to have that attitude…..
** Ukrainian forces target Russian oil refinery in Tatarstan as attacks reported in occupied Crimea, Donetsk Oblast.
Ukrainian forces targeted a Russian oil refinery in Tatarstan as a blackout took place in occupied Simferopol and fires broke out in Donetsk Oblast amid overnight attacks on Aug. 10, monitoring channels reported. **
https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-forces-target-russian-oil-refinery-in-tatarstan-as-attacks-reported-in-occupied-crimea-donetsk-oblast/
** More footage from Nizhnekamsk, where locals are reporting an attack on the oil refinery. **
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3mspc5qfiq22d
** ❗️Nizhnekamsk, one of Russia’s key oil refining and petrochemical centers, came under drone attack early this morning. The TANECO refinery was targeted. The complex has a design processing capacity of about 15 million tonnes per year, making it one of Russia’s largest. **
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mspjyd6ebc27
** Occupied Makiivka 🔥👀 **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3msonyqqtns2j
** More from occupied Makiivka 💥 **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3msoojbpzlc22
** More Russian trucks are burning in occupied Crimea. It’s difficult to call this a logistical lockdown. The driver’s know exactly what they are getting into. **
https://bsky.app/profile/slavaukraini033.bsky.social/post/3msp4k5agv22t
** Russian “legendary” air defense! An operator of the “Pantsir-S1” system in Yaroslavl accidentally hits cars in a parking lot with friendly fire while attempting to shoot down Ukrainian drones. **
https://bsky.app/profile/beefeaterfella.bsky.social/post/3msot6kxtzc2a
Is this a new movie? I think I have seen a similar movie before.
Don’t know, I get unsure when you ask.
I don’t recognize it myself but then I do have a bad memory as we have already established earlier.
It wouldn’t be the first time old films show up much later as if they were new, so it very well could be old.
🤣🤣🤣
** 🔥 Occupied Donetsk region. Defense Forces struck energy infrastructure. **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3msonahjxik2j
** Raytheon and Lockheed Martin fear Ukrainian engineers could improve Patriot interceptor technology and mass-produce the missiles faster and far cheaper than current US facilities. An unnamed Republican official told The Atlantic this is one reason Washington has yet to grant Ukraine a license. **
https://bsky.app/profile/kyivpost.com/post/3mspdasnkbk2w
** Ukrainian troops maintained pressure on Russian positions and logistics along the Kursk and Northern Slobozhanshchyna directions Border guard units eliminated at least three occupiers, took out three Russian antennas, and a launch site for “Molniya” drones 🎥 DPSU **
https://bsky.app/profile/euromaidanpress.bsky.social/post/3mspdfydiko24
** 🔥 AFU again struck the storage, training and launch sites of Geran and Gerbera UAVs at Hvardiyske airfield, – Dnipro Osint Two aircraft hangars for UAVs were hit, and one of the fuel and lubricants warehouses was destroyed. In addition, six hits were recorded on the runway with subsequent fires. **
** Russia has rejected any “freeze” in the war against Ukraine unless Moscow’s demands are met, a senior Russian diplomat said. The Kremlin insists on pursuing its stated war objectives, while Ukraine has rejected Russia’s conditions as unacceptable. **
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/82037
** 🔴 Russia is exceeding plans for the production of the main types of missiles, so there is no need to expect a decrease in shelling, – GUR The plan for the production of Kh-101 was fulfilled by 140%, and Kalibr by 111%.
In July, they produced 65 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, compared to the plan of 60. As of August 5, according to intelligence, Russia had about 130 such missiles left, intended for use in Ukraine.**
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mspkd4ebyk2z
Yes, it looked like that and actual production figures with inventory balance 👍
Sorry, there may be more with the same destination of course
** Ukraine’s Air Force says 96 Russian targets were stopped overnight: 92 drones and 3 Banderol loitering munitions were downed or suppressed, while a Kh-59/69 missile failed to reach its target. Russia launched 126 drones in total, with 31 impacts recorded at 22 locations. **
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mspjsrf2nk27
** 🔴 Germany expels nearly 400 Russians since 2022. Since February 2022, Germany has expelled over 80 Russian diplomats and deported 313 Russian citizens in response to espionage and security concerns, BILD reports. **
https://bsky.app/profile/united24media.com/post/3mspj5tt22y2z
Many descendants of the Volga Germans immigrated to Germany after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Germany could well offer Russia to replace them with AfD voters. It would be like a win-win-win for all parties.
Considering that the Russians received 450,000 Schengen visas in 2025 and they are flooding in again this year, that is a rounding error.
** 😓 Footage of damage on the territory of a garage cooperative in Zaporizhzhia due to the Russian attack 🤬 Russia also struck three times at Zaporizhzhia energy facility this night **
https://bsky.app/profile/theukrainianreview.bsky.social/post/3mspiyezwds2z
Ukrainian General Staff summary:
Good post today Johan! 👍👍👍
(By the way, I get a little bit embarrassed that you compare me to God even though I am an atheist.)
See the light MXT, see the light and everything will be resolved 🙏
Ah, now it sounds like the risk suddenly increased again for a post about Bible studies!
Soon the blog might require a catechism with all the correct answers to a hundred questions from the Bible just to be allowed to come in and read! 😱
Maybe it’s fortunate then that some religious community has distributed a book called Hope in every mailbox/newspaper holder in Stockholm County during the summer, it seems at least. Then you can easily study there maybe…..
MXT might be able to start converting godless Gävle 🙏
** 🇧🇬 Claimed as explosion and fire at military plant in Bulgaria: detonation began at ammunition depot after truck caught fire Secondary explosions are being recorded at the scene. The area of incident has been cordoned off, and local residents have been warned of the danger. **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mspv6jystk2b
🧐
** Ukrainian special forces tracked down a group of Russian drone operators hiding in an ambush on a slag heap near Pokrovsk The Russians had been waiting for a chance to strike Ukrainian positions from the elevated terrain 🎥 Omega Special Purpose Center **
https://bsky.app/profile/euromaidanpress.bsky.social/post/3mspu3aezmg2i
** The Russian foothold southwest of Druzhkivka appears more persistent than first thought. Footage points to troops around Krasnyi Kut, Torske, Pryiut and Torets’ke, with Shakhove-Sofiivka used as a staging area. Russian aviation activity near Raiske may signal preparations for more advances. **
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mspt4flvl227
Near Kramatorsk?
Yes, it is about 20 km southwest of Kramatorsk.
The front a little further northeast is probably closer. I guess it is intended in the long term to be part of an encirclement to eventually take the city, the Russians have another outlier further north.
But it might take a few years at the pace they have, so I am doubtful that it will happen.
The area is located at the bottom left of this map, I have circled it in blue.
Sometimes your image doesn’t show up MXT, like the first one above.
The second one appears.
Now that there was a difference between two images, I thought I’d bring it up.
Always works fine on iPhone with all images but this is a desktop computer.
Know that 205 struggled biblically with their image posts earlier.
What do you think it depends on, should we check with IT?
So you mean that in my original post that starts with “The Russian stronghold southwest.. (unusually bad AI translation)” you don’t see the image, but when I posted my comment to you you see the image?
What does the first image look like? Is it a “crashed” image with a red cross, or is it empty so you only see the button “Enlarge image”?
The first image is linked from Bluesky, it could be that this is what prevents it from being displayed if, for example, you are not logged into Bluesky.
Please try logging into Bluesky in the browser so we know if that is the problem. I think this might vary a bit depending on how users on Bluesky have chosen to set their accounts, whether the post should be public or only shown to followers.
The second image is a screenshot that I took from DeepStateMap and uploaded to the site via “Upload image”.
205 struggled with being able to post images specifically via “Upload image”, I don’t think he had such big problems seeing images.
Just the cross in the middle.
Hmm, I tested myself via computer and browser where I was not logged into Bluesky, but still get to see the pictures. Could it be that Bluesky is blocked at your work?
Here I have linked the image from Twitter, do you see it?
No, just the cross in the middle
** This morning, Ukrainian drones struck Nizhnekamsk, Republic of Tatarstan, Russia. According to reports, a major industrial hub housing oil refining and petrochemical enterprises “TANECO”, “TAIF-NK”, and “Nizhnekamskneftekhim” was hit there. **
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mspsda6x7222
The election in Russia is approaching, and although there is hardly any risk that Putin and his party would not win, the crackdown on the opposition is harsher than ever.
Even though they are not a threat in terms of the election, of course, they do not want them to have the chance to spread their ideas. Despite the risks involved, some still dare to fight.
“Russian authorities are increasing pressure on war opponents ahead of the parliamentary election in September, reports the Washington Post.
– There is no longer a single clear voice against the war, says analyst Andrej Kolesnikov to the newspaper.
At least 14 candidates from the liberal party Yabloko have been barred from running in the election. They have been accused, among other things, of ‘spreading extremist symbols’ after sharing pictures of the deceased opposition leader Alexei Navalny on social media.
Boris Nadezhdin, perhaps Russia’s most prominent war-critical politician, has also been prevented from running. In a statement, Nadezhdin says he plans to retire from politics after the announcement.
The Kremlin denies that opposition members are being selected out for their views and refers to legal violations.”
https://omni.se/ryssland-allt-tystare-infor-valet-finns-ingen-rost-som-ar-mot-kriget/a/8pXX1w
“Social-liberal Yabloko, the only legally registered party in Russia that openly criticizes the Ukraine war, is being forced out. This is reported by the independent Moscow Times.
The party’s candidates and their families are being death threatened. A local politician has posted several of the threats he has received, including a picture someone took at his house.
‘If you say something bad about United Russia (Putin’s party, editor’s note) one more time, I will crush your damn skull… I might visit your mother… I will kill you,’ reads the threat.
The nationalist party Rodina has taken Yabloko to the Supreme Court to ban the party ahead of the State Duma election in September.
– Yabloko is full of traitors who work for the West and have Western values, says party leader Alexei Zhuravlyov.
Yabloko has no representation in the Duma or the Federation Council, and only five of nearly 4,000 seats in the regional parliaments.”
https://omni.se/sista-krigskritiska-partiet-i-ryssland-pa-vag-bort/a/d4rmgj
“Hundreds of Russians have gathered outside the Supreme Court in Russia to show support for the opposition party Yabloko, reports TT.
The court is expected today to decide whether the party will be allowed to participate in this autumn’s parliamentary election or not. Yabloko is against the Ukraine war and has not yet been banned.
Even if they are allowed to participate, they are unlikely to shake Putin’s party United Russia’s iron grip on power. Opinion polls give Yabloko about three percent of the support, which is below the threshold to enter the Duma.”
https://omni.se/hundratals-ryssar-visar-stod-for-antikrigsparti/a/e76JrM
Democracy forever ✊✊
It is probably difficult for the opposition to operate in such a climate; one must be very brave or have their own large security apparatus if they are to enter politics in that country.
The opposition should arm themselves, which would result in mass murders and civil war, but would relieve the pressure on Ukraine.
It would be best if the army had enough and turned against Putin; there was some progress with Wagner, but Prigge gave up and allowed himself to be killed.
It is hardly likely that the higher officers will turn against Putin, as they are mostly corrupt psychopaths who enrich themselves by embezzling soldiers’ salaries and “death benefits,” but if just a larger group of soldiers decides that enough is enough and turns their weapons against their own officers, then it might well be that all hell breaks loose. The proportion of soldiers who are there voluntarily is constantly decreasing, and at some point, things have to start moving.
That went fast 🤩🤩
They themselves said they couldn’t, but the drone units have probably been creative within the mandates they have?
👍👍👍
my guess, both Israel and RU milked that cow
What is closest, probably the LV screen?
The one that is furthest inside is probably the customs wall against Belarus.
The exercise in the Baltics should have started yesterday 😐
** Brigades of North Korean female workers are arriving in Russia. They are being employed on assembly lines, in garment factories and kitchens, and on farms, with promised wages starting at 480 rubles ($6) per hour. Human rights activists earlier reported that, from recruitment through their daily lives in Russia, workers from the DPRK are under the tight control of the North Korean government. The DPRK authorities confiscate their documents, restrict their movement and communication, and withhold a portion of their earnings. **
https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/2086498705725624536
Why?
Russians don’t have jobs.
Unemployment is probably still low, or have you seen other data?
I guess unemployment will rise soon but as far as I know it is only just over 2%. Ukraine and the war industry still employ many.
Hmm. A bit disappointed that no vodka ads have appeared on the site yet after my attempt last Friday. 😄
I saw that I had missed checking it out, but a couple of comments had come in on the page Världens bästa vodka which I have now responded to.
important with the vodka advertisement 👍👍
Maybe not, but it’s a bit fun to see if it can have an effect. Now vodka is probably not the best subject when it comes to creating advertising-friendly material either, I need to think of something else to write about. 😂
I just got a strange ad with the only message “The pension will increase on August 10”.
Seems a bit suspicious so I don’t dare to click on it, plus I have many years left until then.
The picture of the guy who stood at the Riksbank didn’t make the whole thing any more credible. What do they have to do with the pension?
I haven’t seen that one. Incredibly strange.
I wonder if someone is using a hallucinating low-budget AI to generate ads.
Interesting, is it perhaps time again for a visit to Omsk?
Translated from Russian:
“Internet is being blocked in Omsk. Residents of Omsk report communication restrictions. Some users write that without a VPN only some of the resources from the ‘white lists’ are accessible. The press secretary for the governor of Omsk oblast, Mina Akhverdieva, confirmed to the site NGS55 ‘temporary communication restrictions’ to ‘ensure security.’ Earlier in the region, an unmanned threat was announced, and Omsk airport imposed restrictions on departures and landings of aircraft.”
https://x.com/SibirPost/status/2086773056073076745
Could it be that such high positions are politically appointed?
The scratcher is a vice admiral, it’s probably mostly the Dutch who are at fault 😀
Bitterballen!
It seems that RU will choose to continue achieving its partial goals with the war – Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts are probably the first stop?
Zaporizha is still too far away for them for now and they also have to cross the Dnieper, so that will probably die out.
They won’t manage Kherson either.
If a mobilization comes and China increases its support, they might succeed.
I myself wonder if the Russians as a whole are starting to get tired, if Ukraine gets ballistic and even longer ranges going and can continue to sabotage refineries, etc. I wonder if Russia could be broken next year.
It is important to get through the winter somewhat and that the people do not get too sour on Zelenskyy (otherwise it could end in total chaos and paralysis).
Putin will not back down until he is backed into a corner.
No one dares to tell him how things really stand, so he will remain unaware until he is faced with a fait accompli.
That was a good example when he visited some city, I don’t remember which, a few weeks ago when they lowered fuel prices at the stations before his arrival and then raised them back after he left.
Dictator trap
NOW I finally had time to read today’s harvest. Good post, I must say.
Go for it, Europe. Better late than never.
Back to work?
Yes sir 🫡
🫡
Already into the second week now, have already forgotten that I had a vacation. 😄
Yes, it quickly passes to put the vacation behind you 😅
There was no vacation here, just work 😭
Off topic regarding Off grid 🙂
“Swedish solar cell technology steps out into the field – Requirement: No software from China
Sweden’s only solar cell manufacturer Midsummer is being tested in its largest installation to date – in a secret off-grid project. Behind the deal is an increased demand for independent energy solutions. Requirements for low weight, high durability, and a controlled European value chain became decisive.
The Swedish solar energy company Midsummer recently secured its largest single order so far for its CIGS thin-film solar cells, made of copper, indium, gallium, and selenium.
The order concerns a field installation of 667 kW, corresponding to an area of just over 5,000 square meters.
The customer is the Danish developer Green Energy Group, and the panels are to be delivered to a jointly developed off-grid project during the fourth quarter of this year. So far, the companies do not want to reveal more about the project itself.
If one likes to speculate, it might be natural to think that it has to do with the defense sector or critical societal infrastructure.
According to Eric Jaremalm, CEO of Midsummer, the panels’ durability and low weight were decisive for the large order. In addition, the customer required a controlled value chain, and Chinese software has been excluded from the project.
The power grid’s biggest competitor
Eric Jaremalm says the deal marks a clear step into segments where traditional, heavy silicon panels are not sufficient, and where the need for independent energy solutions is increasing.
– This is Midsummer’s largest single order for solar panels so far, both in terms of installed capacity and order value. The order shows that our technology meets a clear need in installations where low weight, robustness, and a controlled European value chain are crucial factors, and where it is not enough to just choose the cheapest possible solar panel, he says.
He believes there are several reasons why inquiries about off-grid solutions are increasing.
– Often it concerns installations in remote locations – such as villages or field installations – where the alternative is to run expensive diesel generators. In such cases, the payback time for a solar cell and battery system can be as short as two to three years.
He points out that Midsummer’s toughest competitors are not necessarily other solar cell manufacturers, but the existing infrastructure.
– We rarely lose deals to similar products. Our biggest competitor is instead the regular power grid and electricity prices. Ultimately, it is about the investment being attractive enough for the customer in relation to the payback time.
The properties of thin-film solar cells make them suitable for weaker roofs as well as mobile applications, and the installation is done with glue or tape without drilling. The panels are also said to withstand vibrations, snow, hail, and salty environments.
– Many installations in remote places are often reached via quite poor roads, perhaps gravel roads. In these contexts, our panels are very robust and easy to transport. In addition, external impacts, such as gunfire in war zones, harsh weather, or shading, only marginally affect the solar panel’s output thanks to diodes between each solar cell, says Eric Jaremalm.
Suppliers from different geographic areas
He states that the customer has required a controlled value chain for both ethical and security reasons. The choice of CIGS technology over silicon means that Midsummer avoids polycrystalline silicon from Xinjiang and the associated risks of forced labor reported by, among others, the UN’s leading human rights bodies.
At the same time, Chinese software has been excluded in sensitive parts to meet the customer’s requirements for operational reliability.
Midsummer ensures its supply chain by always having at least two suppliers from different geographic areas: steel substrates are purchased from South Korea, the raw material for the thin film is manufactured in-house with backup in the USA, and other components are sourced from Taiwan, Italy, and Japan.
– Sometimes, but quite rarely, one of these two may be a Chinese subcontractor or have production in China. In these cases, the subcontractors are thoroughly checked and visited by us, says Eric Jaremalm.
Europe, led by Sweden, Southern Europe, the USA, and Colombia constitute Midsummer’s largest markets today.
Factory plans in Flen on hold
The manufacturing of the panels for Green Energy Group will take place at Midsummer’s factory in Bari, Italy, which has greater capacity than the company’s factory in Järfälla to handle large volumes.
Midsummer has revised its long-term production strategy. Plans for a large own manufacturing factory in Flen are not completely abandoned but are currently paused. Instead, Midsummer is switching to a so-called “asset light” model.
– The strategy has changed to collaborating with large industrial partners. Instead of owning and operating all factories ourselves, we deliver machines, raw materials, and expertise – somewhat like a Tetra Pak model – to enable local production of solar cells on different continents, says Eric Jaremalm.”
https://www.nyteknik.se/energi/svensk-solcellsteknik-kliver-ut-pa-faeltet-kravet-ingen-mjukvara-fran-kina/4483968
I’m thinking of installing thin-film solar cells on my metal roof when they are sufficiently available on the market, and then a park with those new sodium-ion batteries (???) in the basement for storage, so we’ll see how it goes.
We are not allowed to put old rigid solar cells on the house – environmentally friendly is important but the aesthetics are more important.
Midsummer is well established in the market.
We will also install their roofs.
👍🌞
”A Russian spy operation aimed at damaging Sweden’s reputation has been stopped, according to the Security Service (Säkerhetspolisen) reported to TT.
In a press release, the authority writes that the operation has been planned by the intelligence service SVR over a long period, and that the goal has included to “discredit Sweden, the EU, and NATO.”
SVR has recruited an agent from a foreign embassy, writes SVT Nyheter. The agent is said to have functioned as a sort of intermediary to gather information, and several meetings between the parties have been documented.
– We have a very good understanding of the type of information that has been handed over and the type of assignments the agent has received, says Christoffer Wedelin, deputy operational chief at Säpo.”
https://omni.se/a/L4aMmq
“The Security Service has been able to follow the Russian spy operation in Sweden in detail, the authority tells TT. Säpo’s surveillance images show how the agent, who was recruited from a foreign embassy, meets a Russian intelligence officer. At a meeting at a pub in the Stockholm area, the Security Service documented the meeting from the next table, writes SVT News. – We know what assignments have been given and what questions the agent has subsequently gathered information on, says Christoffer Wedelin, deputy operational chief at Säpo. Asked whether the operation has harmed Sweden, he says that the authority “has implemented a number of measures to limit that damage” and that Russia has not succeeded in the mission. Säpo does not want to disclose which country the agent belongs to.”
https://omni.se/a/5poEMW
Apparently it is Göran Greider.
Jan Guillou
Off-Topic, bad weather.
“Over one million people have been evacuated on China’s east coast in connection with Typhoon Dolphin’s progress, writes The Guardian. Evacuations have taken place in cities including Wenzhou, Fujian, and Shanghai. Images show uprooted trees in several locations. In Shanghai, 313 millimeters of rain fell within 24 hours, the highest figure since measurements began 150 years ago. Air and public transport have been canceled in several places. The typhoon has weakened but is still expected to bring heavy rainfall as it moves inland. No deaths have been reported.”
https://omni.se/a/43xBXV
Glad that I no longer live in Shanghai. Both airports have been shut down and several thousand evacuated.
Yes, those amounts of rain are probably not so fun. We got half of that here in Gävle a few years ago and it became quite chaotic. I myself had 2 decimeters of water in the basement and many had it much worse.
Then more streets were closed off because it was impossible to get through. Gävle is a small, sparse town compared to Shanghai.
How did you like it there otherwise? I’ve never been there myself.
Yep, and combined with strong hurricane winds, it must have been quite exciting, one can imagine.
Yes, thank you, it was an interesting time.
We quite enjoyed ourselves. I have a number of anecdotal memories, not least work-related.
I also have personal Chinese friends whom I was fortunate enough to hire initially and still keep in touch with. Lived there for three years, but it’s not something I long to return to.
The worst back then was probably the terrible smog. However, it has become significantly much better now.
Off-Topic, the AI bubble
So far, the bubble seems to be holding.
“The Taiwanese chip manufacturer TSMC has increased revenue by 45 percent year-on-year, according to sales figures for July. This eased investors’ concerns about an upcoming AI frenzy and caused a number of tech companies to rise on the stock market. The market is looking for signs that the investments being made in the AI race are costing more than they are worth – as the giants are investing unprecedented sums in building infrastructure for the technology, writes CNBC. – This underscores that demand is still high, says Ben Barringer, head of technology sector analysis at Quilter Cheviot.”
https://omni.se/a/Gx5yAJ
💥🔥👍💪✊️
“Russia’s largest petrochemical complex, ZapSibNeftekhim, is burning in Tobolsk, Tyumen region – more than 2,000 km from Ukraine.
It was struck by Deep Strike units of Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces in cooperation with the Black Spark resistance movement operating inside Russia.
The facility is a strategic chemical industry enterprise that produces basic raw materials for a wide range of industrial products, including those used by the defense industry.
Glory!”
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3msqgppdfi22o
Beautiful! Like the first candle on an Advent candle holder.
+1 🙂
“Light a candle and let it burn
Let all of Russia disappear”
Actually, nothing has changed at the fronts, it’s just that everyone writing has become more negative.
The escalation against us and the UA war are two separate things, and Ukraine is doing well except against ballistic missiles.
Will make a post.
I also don’t want to believe that anyone is stopping their offensive operations nowadays, but they just had a Chief of Defense change that might have delayed certain operations?
Paul agrees with you.
https://youtu.be/XYPJE3ZTVSE?is=g_srL9-btuClRJHk
” Poland and the Baltic states have stepped up security around dams, power plants, gas facilities, and other critical infrastructure, reports Reuters.
This comes after increasing intelligence indicated that Russia is preparing a false flag attack using Ukrainian drones.
The four countries have all already found Ukrainian drones on their territory and are leaving nothing to chance.
– We are not naive, we see the intelligence, we read between the lines, and we have done our homework, says Lithuania’s Defense Minister Robertas Kaunas.”
https://omni.se/a/m0V004
”The Russian tourist couple who were arrested in Gävle had set up camp near a cabin where Saab’s CEO Micael Johansson is staying, reports SVT Nyheter Gävleborg.
The tourists were reportedly confronted by Johansson’s guards, who then called the police.
– My role is quite delicate. That is why the security guards checked these individuals, says the CEO.
The cabin outside Gävle is not owned by Johansson but by a close associate.
The couple, Semjon Rusanov and Tatjana Milenina, reside in Spain but usually vacation in Northern Europe. They are in the custody of the Migration Agency and fear they will be deported to Russia because they have protested against the war in Ukraine.”
https://omni.se/a/Wvavjk
Good morning!
Slava Ukraini