Reflection Anniversary Ukraine March 4, 2026

Big things are happening – the fourth anniversary of the Ukraine war has passed, Ukraine is flaming Russian military industry and the counterattacks are very successful. On top of that, Iran is out as a support which will probably be noticed quite soon.

The attack on Iran went well as we guessed it would in the previous post about the attack on Iran – it was needed anyway since Iran is the same destructive hydra in MENA as Russia is for us, and all sensible assessors stand behind this, and the USA has done the right thing.

The guess that Iran’s leaders were the archetype of those who choose to go down in a big fireworks display was excellent, but what we haven’t seen yet is that they have activated all terrorist cells and paid the gangs and criminal clans in cash for a lot of terrorist acts – there will be a very dramatic death in the West in the future.

A bit hard to see that it would surprise the USA, so maybe a move from them to play that card?

Now, essentially only the ground invasion remains when the IRGC has been weakened a bit more, which will be taken care of by the citizens in Iran with the help of SOF from Israel and the USA, and if necessary, the USA has its Marine Corps ready, but the hard work must be done by the oppressed people in Iran, that is clear.

Exactly when is impossible to say, but the citizens should be able to handle the regime since the country is fed up with oppression. There are many rumors right now, but some say that the regular army is a bit on the fence.

It will be like breaking a fistful of spaghetti when it happens – a sudden collapse that spreads throughout the country over a few days and the usual exodus of the elite to Turkey and Russia. They are no longer welcome in Dubai.

So far, a bit surprised that none of the US ships have been sunk, and it is highly notable that what the Chinese have delivered in the last 2-3 months has not worked particularly well – this is probably a Nagasaki against China as well, which so far looks promising.

China has (probably…) delivered LV, anti-ship missiles, various types of missiles, and radar. The idea was that Iran would be able to defend itself and preferably get the USA to back off, but at the very least show that Chinese technology is not as bad as to be labeled “designed in the USA” instead of “Made in China”.

According to the previous world-leading post that described how this would go, the USA and China engaged in full-scale electronic warfare, and then we got to see how their own systems worked in the electronic warfare environment and how the opponent was disrupted – so far, the USA seems to have been able to protect its fleet and target objectives in Iran almost arbitrarily with extremely small losses.

Terror bombing cannot be prevented – Shaheds will continue to drone over MENA for a while longer.

China has also announced that their red line was Iran – then the question is what they can do about it, but at least we are at the diplomatic stage on that front if anyone was wondering.

I believe this seems to be cooling for Russia and China. If the US aircraft carriers had sunk already, it would have been the opposite, cooling for the USA.

Then maybe China will take advantage with Taiwan when the USA is busy – who knows, but such things must be taken into account and prepared for.

The USA is probably very satisfied, MENA is buying security at five times the market price, and just as Johan No.1 predicted, everyone is now running to the USD and the national debt – problem solved, and my dollar salary is back from toilet paper, gracias gracias.

But for the advance to Iran to pay off, the USA needs to install a government friendly to them that gives them priority on all oil and reconstruction – somewhere along the line, tax money has been moved into private company pockets, which is always one of the sub-goals of such attempts to help the disadvantaged and make the world a better place.

Johan No.1 supports the attack on Iran as the regime has been so destructive that it must go, now it remains for the country to start the journey towards normalization, but it should be possible, and there Europe can always be a willing and reliable partner for stability and peace post-war, instead of legitimizing the regime through state visits with covered heads.

Anyone who is now screaming about violations of international law and kept quiet until today will not go to heaven at all – surprisingly many, but most are the usual suspects whose inclinations were anticipated, such as the Palestinian demonstrations, for example.

I didn’t know that Carl Bildt and Fredrik Reinfeldt had taken the Iranian money, but I know now – Judas No.1 and Judas No.2.

There is also a special place in hell for people like Göran Greider who apply ideology and idealism to reality and think that Iranian women should keep quiet and endure the oppression for the overarching goal of making the world a better place.

Our political parties and their representatives have tweeted sensibly even though the Feminist Initiative took a clear stand, and spiced it up a bit extra to avoid any misunderstandings.

It is intriguing that our only pure feminist party turned out to be on everyone else’s side except for the oppressed women – a silent shift in goals?

Then I also fell seriously ill for a week and discovered that the toughest employers in Sweden, the subscribers of Substack, absolutely do not accept any sick leave or waiting days, but hopefully, by coming back with full vigor, it will be enough for a reactivation of the paid subscriptions that have plummeted significantly, which was not so fun 😐

And if you haven’t won the jackpot yet and started subscribing – do it to feel happiness in life.

Twitter celebrated the anniversary of the Ukraine war with a large number of films from the beginning of the invasion that I have now saved. As mentioned, I will open a YouTube channel and park the films there for the historical archive in the future, but now I am starting to have trouble devoting all paid working hours to this, which is very unfortunate.

Back to Ukraine.

Today’s post (should have been on the anniversary…) is a day for reflection and prayer – four long years of war have passed, and the disappointments have been endless and gigantic, but we have learned along the way as we have applied history to our assumptions and then witnessed a 1939 global conflict start playing out.

None of you reading these world-leading posts have previously seen the start of a world war or how a Hitler evolved from a mediocre painter after a childhood full of abuse to opening assembly line death camps more efficiently than a Ford factory.

But now we have seen it – Twitter has given us all the information unfiltered so that we can analyze it ourselves and build our own chain of events that is most accurate in the world.

We have also seen Europe’s total inability to make tough decisions and that the USA does everything with an ulterior motive – just like during WW2, so it seems that history is repeating itself.

In our time, it was a little rat-like boy with the worst possible start in life who took on the mantle – weak, frail, protruding ears, and a single mother who supplemented the household income with services to the soldiers at a nearby army base she unexpectedly became pregnant by. The unwanted son was named the worst name she could think of – Vladimir, and at some point, the rat managed to find his way into the KGB as a trainee, and the rest is history.

This tough-as-stone national father with a black belt in judo, who always has his right arm at the imaginary pistol holster and controls the lives of tens of millions of people, began his career as a life-saving handyman in an oversized suit who ruthlessly clawed his way forward over the bodies of those who stood in the way of his ambitious career plans to become a short dictator who started at least one world war.

Because the third world war is actually underway now, I post Zelensky’s statement to emphasize it, but the only thing missing is actually for China to do something in Asia, right – then it’s a world war.

We have seen how Putin has radicalized and how the Russian army, and the country of Russia, has blown all boundaries of what is reasonable – then the quick-witted understand that anything can happen in the future, which Johan No.1 usually tries to reason about even though he is perceived as on the verge of diving into the rabbit hole.

Now Iran is two-faced – they show the boundlessness that we have suspected Russia will also manifest, but the attack is also a cooling bucket of ice water over Putin and Xi, which is probably one of the purposes of the operation.

The constant hanging question in the air – why doesn’t the Russian army revolt. The answer is that they treat their own worse than the enemy, so it’s too difficult to break free. They have had rampant desertion and refusal of orders, but it hasn’t been enough.

In 2022, Scholz (possibly through a higher officer, can’t remember) and Macron made efforts to convince Zelensky that Russia would not attack – it was so ingrained in us in the West to accept that history always repeats itself.

But even today, there are fully functioning, sensible people who believe that Putin will not escalate any further at all.

Why do you think the French aircraft carrier is in the Baltic Sea?

Of course, the Russian drone that circled around it – a statement. Unclear if it could be shot down and most importantly, how would the close defense have fared against the swarm of drones in the cassettes on the ship?

https://www.svt.se/nyheter/inrikes/rysk-dronare-narmade-sig-hangarfartyget-charles-de-gaulle

One thing I have learned – low affective responses simply do not work against certain types of people, and if you are not willing to defend the free world, someone else will, or else they are no longer free, or they are dead, and we write tough letters.

One could argue that this also applies to those living in vulnerable areas taken over by gangs and criminal clans, but it is a completely different discussion that in our desire to do good, we allow 700,000 of our citizens to live under clan and gang rule and the hundreds of thousands of girls who do not receive equal treatment because it would be considered racist to give them the right to be children.

Now in 2025, the EU has taken a stand against the US tariff war – all those who previously said to lay low and not escalate made the right decision – were they wrong, or has the situation just changed?

Or was a low affective response tried and it didn’t work?

https://www.svt.se/nyheter/utrikes/senaste-nytt-om-usa-och-gronland?inlagg=79a3b48fd653d854f10168a8bbfbc766

What is actually happening is that Europe is now starting to do what we should have done four years ago, and the consequence is that Ukraine has been completely left to fight an existential war alone, without friends, and has been betrayed dozens of times by the morally superior West.

In addition, the USA and Europe have long ensured that Russia would not lose the war, even though Europe is now slowly getting organized, and I am waiting for more good news.

On February 24, 2022, one of the first pieces of information on Twitter was a short clip from the airborne operation at Hostomel, helicopters flying in low, and I thought “Operation Garbo” and “Red Storm” – now it’s on, my goodness.

It was a strange feeling that I couldn’t handle, so I had to have a few Mariestad beers and dig up some extra ranch dip for the barbecue chips as I was working in Sweden during COVID at the time.

Airborne operations on the Uppsala plains were one of MekB10’s tasks besides conducting a landing in Oexlösund, so one has grown up with that actually.

Another early circulating video was when Biden asked Zelensky if he wanted to fly to the USA, and instead, he went out on the street with those remaining from the government and called for excessive force against the Russian bastards – a true leader.

At that time, I was also on the blog Cornucopia, which is an excellent historical archive, and wrote the post below on the first day (and many more…) – you can see for yourself how I calibrated myself on D-Day and on the other side, a unanimous media screamed that the war would be over in three days.

Who was right and who was wrong?

Putin förklarar krig mot Ukraina – anfaller med robotar, artilleri – mycket hårda markstrider pågår efter anfall över gränsen på flera platser

The hope of being able to write history was greatly disappointed as it is not possible to live on, but sometime I will probably retire and before cataracts, and if Cornucopia has not shut down its website, maybe I can start this huge project then.

This war actually started back in 2014, but I struggled with the sources at that time and often got stuck in pro-Russian narratives. On February 24, 2022, everything became black and white, good-evil, light-dark – all blinders were as if blown away, and the calibration was evidently immediate.

My initial observations from 2022 still stand and describe how IT SHOULD HAVE GONE, but we have learned the very hard way that the Western self-image is a reconstruction and that especially the USA has not acted in Europe’s best interests at all, and that Europe has been completely incapable of making tough decisions. My constant blind spot has been Europe and the USA, but perhaps being born into the Cold War made it so – you either became a society-disrupting communist or a faithful Western patriot.

The USA has its own agenda, Sullivan/Biden and later Trump saw Ukraine as collateral and have done their utmost to ensure that Russia survives. I often use the expression “USA is just like the bank, not your friend,” which is the lesson I have now reluctantly drawn.

My thought is that the USA wants a divided and frightened Europe under the threat of Russia, buying security from the USA at five times the market price and allowing the USA to do as they please.

I believe that Operation Badanka in the fall of 2022 was the point where I understood Biden’s betrayal, and even though the hope was that Trump would behave better then, and he thoroughly deceived me in August 2024, he has only taken over the baton and topped it by being even worse, as if

The hindsight construction is that Biden got scared but I suspect it was just the same US strategy that we’ve seen Trump engage in much more unmasked – that Russia shouldn’t suffer a crushing defeat.

The Kharkiv offensive was probably not fully sanctioned by the US but went well enough to serve as a substitute in the historical narrative. Luckily, we have received the truth from Ukraine and know how things really are – what we guessed back then in the fall of 2022, with the chorus of “no, it absolutely can’t be like that” thundering.

For four years, we have been guessing what happened, and very often it has later been confirmed by Ukraine, and since we have Twitter, we get the information completely unfiltered instead of heavily filtered by established media.

Today, the US has started to get really upset with Ukraine, which is good – it means UA is still fighting back.

Be very selective in choosing your targets – I guess the oil industry is meant, so we’ll see how the refinery attacks go in the future – Komi burned down the other day and then it was Novorossiysk so I don’t know what’s happening right now.

In the UN, the US wants to remove international integrity from the resolution.

And Zelensky confirms that the US is pushing hard for Ukraine to give up more territory in Donetsk, so it’s not about frozen fronts because Ukraine has already agreed to that.

Europe has also agreed to US demands and is trying to offer EU membership in 2027 as an incentive.

This one was really low from the US, awful.

Trump has tried to force Zelensky to elections, he has tried to politically bring down Zelensky, and the US has stopped all supplies especially LV just in time for Russia to drone Ukraine’s power infrastructure.

The US gets a gold star for its attempts to collapse Ukraine, according to Putin.

As you already know, if there is a ceasefire, Russia can continue to escalate, which is something we absolutely do not want, but apparently Europe and tough decisions are not compatible – I’m still waiting for that brilliant plan Europe is silently brewing that everyone says will come.

Many have blinders on and think Biden was okay, but he wasn’t – it started there, so this is how the US views the Ukraine war, but now Trump is the president and he is the one responsible.

I have learned that Europe is locked when the Russian hydra reaches far in, Germany wouldn’t even send helmets in the beginning, and Scholz hinted that they thought Ukraine could give up after a few weeks – Ukraine caused problems for Europe by refusing to be run over.

Schröder is a Russian turncoat, Merkel has said things that make the alarm bells flash, and Scholz slowed everything down to the point where I’m just waiting for confirmation that he too has taken Russian money. He was an old young communist and anti-NATO.

But even when Merz took over, who is supposed to be anti-Russian, Taurus hasn’t been sent, they are now out of supplies to send to Ukraine and also don’t want Ukraine to join the EU as soon as possible.

Not sending Taurus wasn’t just a matter of not sending – the manufacturer didn’t receive any orders for over 3 years even though they were in the media announcing that they could produce a lot very cheaply and very quickly. Germany, which presumably slowed things down?

The NATO meeting in winter 2023 was infamous because then Europe’s leaders got upset with Zelensky and called him ungrateful. The British Defense Minister was fired because he was too upset even for Europe.

When Ukraine invaded Russia in late winter 2023, a unanimous West screamed, and Russia called the US to formally complain about this audacity. The border was undefended because Ukraine was not allowed to attack over it with Ukrainian soldiers or Western equipment – so they attacked with Russian volunteers and Russian weapons, but that didn’t stop us from protesting loudly even though they didn’t violate the rules we arbitrarily set up.

Possibly, a violent offensive straight north in 2023 could have made a difference because in June of that year, the Wagner coup occurred, which was definitely in the planning stages even then, but that remains speculation.

If the US has had a sinister agenda that only benefited the US, Europe’s journey over 4 years has been characterized by cowardice, infiltration, cluelessness, stupidity, and naivety – a bit like our previous government’s constant “we have been naive” for two terms. They actually stole that from Sten Nordin, who said it for two terms in Stockholm when he sold off our public assets for peanuts to his buddies.

Given that almost all of our guesses have turned out to be true, the likelihood is very high that Sweden intended to send Gripen when it was needed, and the US stopped us with threats of contract breach.

But Sweden has, for the first time as far as I know, done everything right in the face of a major threat – we stood on Germany’s side during WW2, so we got fined and called it voluntary reconstruction aid.

Then we sent the Balts back to the Soviet Union, and our neutrality was so high-risk that the armed forces, together with deep-blue politicians, were on a collision course with a deeply infiltrated government that ended with an unresolved prime minister assassination.

The submarine intrusions from the 80s are still largely classified, but it doesn’t end there because all parliamentary parties have voted against disclosing the Swedish part of the Stasi archives.

In the Ukraine war, we have done everything right – kudos to us and hats off. One may think what they want about the Tidö team (that name…), but around the Ukraine war, they have been quick and acted decisively.

Europe is starting to show signs of fatigue, and as the global conflict is escalating and a new financial crisis like 2008 is looming, the danger is not over yet but increasing.

Russia is also preparing a new 2015-style migration to Europe.

Putin likely has major problems domestically, but the other big question of this war is interesting – why does Putin/Russia constantly refuse a ceasefire?

I believe the answer is – as soon as there is a ceasefire, Europe will send troops into Ukraine, and then Putin cannot restart the war, he is limited in his decision-making options.

We have seen the following predictions come true as well when they are later confirmed by sources other than Johan No.1 –

Russia exploits criminal clans and gangs as our modern-day agents, which they infiltrated during the Cold War, cheap and effective, and Johan No.1 has previously called the gangs and clans system-threatening for a reason.

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/mar/18/russia-criminal-networks-drive-increase-sabotage-europol

The power infrastructure has been under attack, BUT not to the extent I thought – yes, Europe is keeping quiet so there is a lot we don’t know, but it should have escalated in December, which it didn’t. We would have seen it with power outages, but it never came. I think it was 205 on johanno1.se who posted this.

Russia has bombed Ukraine’s power infrastructure as much as they could, and some actions have taken place in Europe, but if it had been an ambitious attempt, we would have noticed it.

Now it’s too late, and before next year’s cold season, either Russia will have imploded or Ukraine will have won the war on the fronts.

All Ukrainian is on the rise and Iran is out of the game now.

If China can only be occupied with something else, cowardly Russia stands completely alone against Europe.

Yes, one mistake everyone else made was that the war would become trench warfare like WW1, then a ceasefire and a “Korean peace” (which is still a war).

Ukraine is engaging in mobile combat across the entire area and it’s going very well.

The USA and Europe have really made a great effort for four years so that Russia wouldn’t lose the war.

We have part of the picture but not the whole – hoping we get more of Ukraine post-Russia expulsion.

It is crystal clear that the USA has made a lot of decisions with Russia without Europe’s knowledge, and that the USA has also directly leaked critical information to Russia is also clear.

Venezuela, Iran, Syria, and Ukraine have had advance information from Russia, but China has not been involved in the developments and has had to act to the best of its ability.

The USA must have included in its risk analyses that Russia could continue towards Europe if Ukraine fell, so there are strong reasons to suspect that the USA’s actions are not only to get Russia on its side against China but also as a thorn in the side of Europe so that we become compliant.

I believe Europe has been too infiltrated by Russia to function across the board – we have been upset about the media for four years but politics are likewise completely dysfunctional. The Baltics have not managed to mine their land border again or build bunkers during four long years.

All of that is probably far from over unless Russia collapses.

Apparently, our governments have done everything in 2025-2026 to not be open about the level of Russian sabotage in Europe, but it is at a very high level. So much so that our previous “We are already at war with Russia” also turned out to be true – we are de facto in a twilight state with Russia already, and our defense forces do not rule out a minor armed adventure in the near future.

But the difficult part is not being right but being able to do something about it, where we have simply let the Russian hydra grow too big – we have had weak leaders in good times, unfortunately.

It got a bit messy here as I sit with fever chills and cough shakes trying desperately to prevent the streamlined jump of disappointed former paying subscribers, but I will try to come back with more posts during the week if the fever does not exceed 43 degrees.

One last point to emphasize – Johan No.1 has been screaming for four years that we should strike back and trying to describe the path to global conflict.

Since they haven’t done anything, the evil team has had full freedom to start the journey towards global conflict, and that’s where we really are now because Russia and the USA are carrying out acts of war in Europe, South America, and MENA. Africa is already a continent at war thanks to the African Corps, so the only thing left is Asia, and China will probably not disappoint us.

Until 2024, this could have been stopped, now I don’t think it’s possible anymore, but the war will be fought in MENA and Asia, not Europe – some consolation for us in the midst of all the misery.

At least Ukraine seems to still be able to defend itself, and probably it will start to tip in their favor during the spring if the RU offensive does not become too difficult to handle – because they have plans for a spring offensive.

The good news is that there are early signs that RU will not be able to handle a broad offensive this year AND Ukraine has now started PREPARING for rear functions – when do you do that 🧐

Russian ground forces in Ukraine have been around 700,000 in the last six months and have started to decrease – they are no longer able to maintain personnel supply.

However, it depends on Europe not allowing itself to be talked into a ceasefire because the USA absolutely does not want Ukraine to crush Russia. Unfortunately, it’s both bitter and sweet, France and the UK are ready to send troops to Ukraine, but Europe has also started to reduce material support to Ukraine, which has been flagged several times.

There is good hope that Ukraine will emerge victorious from this, and ultimately it is very good for Europe if the Russian puppet collapses, which will be the consequence if Ukraine wins.

Then on to the fact that our current global conflict will primarily be fought in Asia between the USA and China, to the advantage of cowardly Europe, which can send capabilities on a voluntary basis and not require general mobilization.

Russia’s attack and the war in MENA are thus diversions before China kicks off – that’s the theory of the third world war as is known.

I guess the Ukrainian shooters are smelling the morning air now, so no danger there – the only cloud on the horizon is if Europe allows itself to be talked into a ceasefire, which would come as soon as Putin understands that he is about to get beaten, but we sincerely hope that we are not so weak.