Russian losses and activities

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Russian losses in Ukraine

For the third day in a row, Ukraine has taken out unusually high amounts of Russian air defense. 6 might not sound like much, but the average over the past year is 0.61/day. Some form of boat/ship is also on the list, and it was mentioned in a report yesterday that the SBU had attacked “warships”.

  • 790 KWIA
  • 5 Tanks
  • 20 AFVs
  • 47 Artillery systems
  • 6 Air defense systems
  • 1529 UAVs
  • 1 Ship/boat
  • 237 Vehicles and Fuel tanks

Russian activities

Many KAB and drones

  • 152 Striders
  • 84 Air strikes
  • 282 KAB
  • 8,437 Suicide drones
  • 3,645 Grenades (including 78 from MLRS)

SLAVA UKRAINI

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70 thoughts on “Russian losses and activities”

  3. 205

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 0
    S Slobozhansky 1
    Kupyansk 0↘️
    Lyman 8
    Slovyansk 13💥↘️
    Kramatorsk 0
    Kostjantynivka 13💥
    Pokrovsk 23💥
    Oleksandrivskij 6
    Huliaipole 40💥💥↗️
    Orikhivsk 2
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 0

    Sum sectors 106
    Unlocalized 46
    Total 152

  4. jockesoft

    Brief about the current situation in Abu Dhabi. Last night, the air raid alarm went off again and it was quite loud, there are a lot of both missiles and drones being sent, and it seems to be mostly the drones that are slipping through the defense, I guess it’s because of the quantity they send. Iran seems to aim as well as Russia and what gets hit, gets hit. I feel that the mood among those I work with is starting to deteriorate, many are considering trying to leave here even though there are very limited opportunities to do so right now.

    The official statistics show that Iran has sent around 180 missiles and around 700 drones towards the UAE (since 28/2). Now the USA has officially asked its citizens to, on their own, immediately leave the countries in this area, which can hardly be interpreted in a good way.

    1. MXT

      Thank you for the report! 👍

      Keeping my fingers crossed that you won’t encounter anything.

      When they seem to be sending their drones mostly at random, no one is safe. 

      The question is how the USA envisions it all, do they really want to overthrow the regime, most seem to agree that ground troops are needed. If they settle for the regime surrendering and adhering to the agreements regarding nuclear weapons and the ability to produce them, it could of course go faster, but it doesn’t give the people the freedom they hope for.

      Encouraging people to leave may indicate that they are expecting a more prolonged war, but it could also be to avoid reports of dead and injured Americans as it could quickly lead to the support the war has in the USA disappearing rapidly.

      1. Kons

        Scenario: Ukraine agrees to send both specialists and anti-drone drones to the Gulf. Condition: Must have peace and quiet (relatively) for this, i.e. Putin is forced with the whip to agree to a ceasefire. The whip consists of, for example, Skyshield, Tomahawk to take out the Shahed factory, the US sanctions package that Congress has already prepared with Trump’s new pretend etc.

        1. MXT

          I saw something about Zelenskyy making a similar proposal (but when I thought about posting it, I couldn’t find it again). We’ll see if he gets any response.

           

          1. MXT

            I am also a bit unsure about what is best.

            It may be that Ukraine is in a worse situation than we think. If the Russians’ nightly terror attacks have caused more damage than what is being reported, the situation could be really difficult.
            They did manage to hit the Flamingon production, for example, and if there are difficulties in restoring the energy supply, it will be troublesome for the whole country and of course also for the war industry.

            At the same time, it could just be that Zelenskyy is pushing the issue to make Ukraine appear as the adults in the room, while at the same time he is betting everything on Putin not agreeing to anything at all. I actually believe more in this than the first alternative.

            If Putin were to actually agree to a ceasefire, I don’t think it necessarily has to benefit Russia more. Ukraine is fighting for its freedom. The Russians who get a breather will probably be more reluctant to start again. Putin would likely lose some respect in Russia among those who are most in favor of the war.

            Both sides can take the opportunity to replenish supplies, recover, and build defenses. It is the Russians who must advance, so Ukraine would benefit from having time to build defenses. Of course, they must gradually attack the Russians if they are to kick them out, but they probably only do so where and when they see that they are too weak to defend themselves.

            So, I am not so worried about a temporary ceasefire if that’s what it turns out to be.

            The big risk is that the pause becomes permanent and leads to frozen fronts, allowing Russia to maintain control over the occupied/annexed areas.

             

            1. Kons

              If the whip itself from the USA finally emerges from the drawer, after a year of delaying pretend negotiations, it is a net positive for Ukraine. The drawer creaks from having been closed since January 20, 2025.

              Putin may not agree to a ceasefire immediately. However, it will be a better journey towards such with Tomahawks, a few old cluster-ATACMS they find that would otherwise have been scrapped, the Senate’s sanctions package signed by Trump, etc.

              Then an EU whip if the EU does not want to be worse: NATO air defense covering western Ukraine, some country/countries stepping in and fortifying the border with Belarus, Gripen C/D, more retired volunteer pilots, etc.

    4. jockesoft

      The government here just had a press briefing and among other things they said the following:

      UAE detects 812 drones

      A total of 812 Iranian drones were detected in the UAE, of which 755 were intercepted, while 57 fell within the country’s territory, according to the country’s Official Spokesperson for the Ministry of Defence.

      They also said that there are three different variants of Shahed that have been shot down:
      Shahed 136, Shahed 107 and Shahed 238

      But it is a considerable number that manages to get through, Ukraine probably has a lot of knowledge that can help other countries deal with this type of weapon.

      https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/us-iran-tensions-israel-strikes-tehran-live-updates-day-4#blogCard945d0a75-983c-4803-aa41-442345590d76

      1. johan No.1

        Yes, Ukraine believes that MENA will have problems shooting down drones in the future and must be prepared for many hits.

        Anti-aircraft missiles will probably also run out before Iran and Hezbollah run out of rockets, so now Israel and the USA are trying to take out the launch pads and arsenals.

        1. jockesoft

          It is without a doubt my biggest fear here, that the air defense will lack robots. And considering the number of Shaheds that seem to exist, it certainly won’t be enough for everyone. I really hope that Israel and the USA are on the ball and hit the places where it is launched, both missiles and drones, because it really must be clearly visible when this happens.

          1. johan No.1

            Yes, that’s probably what they are trying to do now, they seem to have shifted over to just that.

            The other thing is if the revolution wins, then probably all such things will stop almost overnight.

  5. MXT

    Stena Bulk’s CEO Erik Hånell wants the shipping company’s tankers to receive military escort out of the Persian Gulf, following Iran’s repeated threats of attacks against civilian vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. This is reported by TT.

    “It is important to arrange this as soon as possible,” says Hånell, pointing out the risk of attacks from the air or with underwater drones.

    Ideally, he would like to see a joint international effort, but assesses that the USA and NATO countries are the most realistic option.

    The USA-flagged tanker Stena Imperative, part of the Swedish Stena Bulk fleet, was hit and damaged in an Iranian attack in Bahrain on Monday night.”

  6. MXT

    Crude oil is now up to 74.3 USD/barrel

    The dollar has strengthened and has now risen by 1.52% in five days compared to the Euro. Johan No.1 is of course pleased, personally I actually think it’s a bit strange. But maybe it’s the expected increased oil revenues that are doing it together with the US defense industry should fill the order books.

    Then of course, compared to Europe which risks increased energy costs, maybe it’s not so strange.

    Then I forgot that the USA and USD are usually seen as a safe haven in times of crisis, since their market is large and liquid.

  8. MXT

    “❗️Zelenskyy: “Orbán may lose the elections, and then we will be able to build normal relations with Hungary.” “I believe that Orbán will be defeated in the elections, and then we will be able to restore regular relations with Hungary — also because the Hungarian people are not pro-Russian.”

  9. MXT

    Zelenskyy does not close the door to running in the next election, it depends on the support he receives from the people.

    “🇺🇦 “I’m not sure I’ll run again. I’ll see what Ukrainians want. The elections will definitely be held after the war ends, not during a temporary ceasefire,” — Zelensky said.”

  10. MXT

    “Ukraine may face problems with air defense missiles due to hostilities in the Middle East, – Zelenskyy.

    ▪️The United States is ready to sign security guarantees for Ukraine only in the context of an agreement with the Russians. A protocol with the Europeans is ready, but it remains unsigned. There are agreements regarding our reconstruction, but they can only begin after peace is achieved

    ▪️The attack on Iranian military targets is a good decision. The Iranians produce a lot of weapons for Russia, especially UAVs and missiles

    ▪️Regarding negotiations: “We are stuck on the 20-point plan and the issue of territories.” The Americans are talking about exchanging territories, while the Russians want Ukraine to withdraw its troops from Donbas “An exchange is not in our interests, and Moscow would need a lot of forces to control the areas we would leave: they know that we would like to take back what they stole from us. Why should we exchange our territory for something else that is part of our Homeland?”

    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mg5ef2hzcc2f

     “

  11. MXT

    The explanation for why Iran is lashing out wildly.
    A bit like what I speculated about earlier.

    “Iran’s retaliatory attacks around the Middle East are part of the plan that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei developed before his death and which has now been put into action, reports the Financial Times.

    The plan aims to create chaos in the region, shake the global markets, and raise the stakes in the hope of pressuring the US and Israel to halt their attacks.

    A regime source tells FT that the ayatollah and senior officials began sketching out the plan after the twelve-day war in June last year.

    – We had no choice but to escalate the situation and ignite a big fire so that everyone would see it. When our red lines were crossed in violation of international law, we could no longer follow the rules of the game, says the source.”
    https://omni.se/kallor-attackerna-ar-en-del-av-ayatollans-plan/a/5pBQrb

  16. MXT

    “Ryssar kommer börja nekas kreditkort i stor skala. Ekonom Shedko förutspådde en strängare urvalsprocess för ryssar som ansöker om kreditkort, vilket kommer leda till ett ökat antal avslag och mindre fördelaktiga villkor.

    Kreditkort kommer bli mindre tillgängliga, och vissa kunder kommer övergå till alternativa produkter såsom avbetalningar och konsumentlån. Bankerna kommer fokusera på de som fortfarande har pengar kvar att spendera.”

  17. MXT

    Off-Topic

    Wow! Three years almost sounds a bit low for keeping slaves.

    “Three Polish men were lured to a farm in Skurup, Scania, with promises of work. Now, a 35-year-old man from Skåne has been sentenced to almost three years in prison for human trafficking and exploitation, reports TT and P4 Malmöhus. The verdict is described as unique and guiding.

    – It is very unusual for cases of human trafficking in the workplace to even lead to prosecution, says Linda Erhorn, regional coordinator against human trafficking at the border police unit in the South region, to TT.

    The Polish men were forced to live in unbearable conditions on the farm and work without or with low pay.

    One of the men was particularly vulnerable and had previously been homeless in Poland. According to the verdict, he was deprived of his ID documents and phone when he arrived in Sweden. He was also said to have starved and been forced to eat dog food.

    The men are to receive a total of 900,000 kronor in damages.

    The 35-year-old man denies the charges and has stated that the men were free to leave the farm whenever they wanted.”
    https://omni.se/polsk-gastarbetare-fick-ata-hundmat-man-doms/a/d4wBRA

  18. MXT

    The United Arab Emirates has been subjected to 186 missile attacks and 812 drone attacks since the beginning of the Iran war over the weekend, according to the country’s Ministry of Defense at X.

    Of the missiles, 172 have been shot down, 13 have fallen into the sea, and one has hit the country’s territory. Of the drones, 755 have been shot down or disrupted, while 57 have penetrated the air defense.

    In total, three people have been killed and 68 people have been injured in the United Arab Emirates in recent days, reports The Guardian.

  19. MXT

    Thousands of people, including thousands of Swedes, are stranded on the Arabian Peninsula unable to travel home due to the Iran war.

    Only a few flights have managed to take off in the past few days.

    The Briton Zoe Jackson has been one of the few who has been given the opportunity to leave, but it was preceded by great secrecy, reports the BBC. During the night to Tuesday, she suddenly received a call from the hotel lobby: “You have to leave now.” Shortly thereafter, she and her companions were taken from the room to a car belonging to the airline Emirates and driven to Dubai Airport.

    They were rushed through an empty terminal and through the VIP lounge before suddenly finding themselves on a plane bound for Manchester. The plane was towed out and then took off with a fighter escort.

    “It’s been a couple of crazy days,” she tells the channel.

  23. johan No.1

    Alltså MXT – in times of crisis (now created by the USA), everyone turns to the US national debt and the dollar.

    Isn’t it somewhat of a natural law?

    1. MXT

      Yes, that’s the thing. Whether it will be good for the USA in the end is another matter. Probably depends on how long the war continues. At the same time, it drives up interest rates (the national debt will cost even more) and in the long run, also inflation.

    3. CB500four

      Yes. The wars are not fought on American soil, and the USA has the world’s strongest military.

      Their wars may be unpopular, even domestically, but when they withdraw, their industry is still intact, while the opponent’s country is destroyed, even though the USA may be considered to have lost the war. 

  25. MXT

    Ok…

    “U.S. President Donald J. Trump states that he has ordered all further dealings and trade be “cut off” with Spain, after they refused to allow their airbases and other military facilities be used to support Operation Epic Fury, the ongoing strike campaign against Iran.

    “Spain actually said that we can’t use their bases. And that’s all right. We don’t want to do it. We could use their base if we want. We could just fly in and use it. Nobody is going to tell us not to use it. But we don’t have to. But they were unfriendly.”

    https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2028883396538028510“

    1. Flurrevuppen

      Test balloon to utilize the more powerful tools in IEEPA now that SCOTUS said he couldn’t run tariffs that way…. and Spain gratefully target in several ways:

      • Refused to step up defense investments within NATO
      • Most clearly articulated criticism of the attack on Iran
      • Part of the EU, but is not central from an industrial or security policy perspective, test the EU’s reaction…
    2. 205

      If one is to believe a source that I am somewhat doubtful about, but who writes passionately, something similar was going on with Keith Starmer, but $aker got in the way.

      “On February 19, 2026, the United Kingdom blocked the United States from using RAF Fairford and Diego Garcia for strikes on Iran.

      The reason given was international law.

      Government lawyers advised that participating in strikes without clear legal justification could constitute a breach. Prime Minister Keir Starmer personally denied the request. Trump retaliated within hours, withdrawing American support for Starmer’s £35 billion Chagos Islands handover deal with Mauritius, writing on Truth Social: “Prime Minister Starmer should not lose control, for any reason, of Diego Garcia.”

      Ten days later, Starmer reversed the decision entirely.

      On the evening of March 1, the Prime Minister issued a statement published on GOV.UK granting US access to British bases for what he called “that specific and limited defensive purpose” of destroying Iranian missile launch sites and storage depots. He announced that the government was publishing a summary of its legal advice, stating that the basis of the decision was “collective self-defence” and that it was “in accordance with international law.””

      https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2028247436163268870?s=46

      1. Flurrevuppen

        Yes, Starmer’s narrative regarding his flip-flopping on the US’s access to bases may be legally watertight, but it mostly appears as a concession to pressure. In his defense, he has a difficult situation to handle domestically with failed by-elections, Epstein stuff, and avoiding revolt from the Labour’s left-wing faction.

  26. Jan W

    Now I don’t know what Spain’s motives have been. But if one is “unfriendly” towards those who thought you were friends, it can have consequences. One gets the impression that Trump can’t understand that. Or perhaps rather that he can’t grasp that he has ever done anything “unfriendly”.

    1. CB500four

      He can’t take a no without seeking revenge

      It could also be that Trump believes that NATO should be like the Warsaw Pact, meaning the largest country has full control over the smaller ones, and access to their territories.

      Soon he will say that he wants the Canary Islands.

      1. Proxima

        Lucky you’re a winter bather. No crowds on trips to the Arctic Ocean. But it’s important to have a swim cap and Helly Hansen swim trunks, otherwise you can easily catch a cold. 🤧

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