Russian losses in Ukraine
For the third day in a row, Ukraine has taken out unusually high amounts of Russian air defense. 6 might not sound like much, but the average over the past year is 0.61/day. Some form of boat/ship is also on the list, and it was mentioned in a report yesterday that the SBU had attacked “warships”.
- 790 KWIA
- 5 Tanks
- 20 AFVs
- 47 Artillery systems
- 6 Air defense systems
- 1529 UAVs
- 1 Ship/boat
- 237 Vehicles and Fuel tanks

Russian activities
Many KAB and drones
- 152 Striders
- 84 Air strikes
- 282 KAB
- 8,437 Suicide drones
- 3,645 Grenades (including 78 from MLRS)
SLAVA UKRAINI
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DeepStateMap:
“The Defense Forces drove back the enemy near Zlahoda, Novohryhorivka, Novomykolaivka, Stepove and Ternove.”
“❗️During the night, 🇺🇦Ukrainian forces shot down 127 out of 136 🇷🇺Russian UAVs.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mg57y2usfc2f
N Slobozhansky-Kursk 0
S Slobozhansky 1
Kupyansk 0↘️
Lyman 8
Slovyansk 13💥↘️
Kramatorsk 0
Kostjantynivka 13💥
Pokrovsk 23💥
Oleksandrivskij 6
Huliaipole 40💥💥↗️
Orikhivsk 2
Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 0
Sum sectors 106
Unlocalized 46
Total 152
👍
Brief about the current situation in Abu Dhabi. Last night, the air raid alarm went off again and it was quite loud, there are a lot of both missiles and drones being sent, and it seems to be mostly the drones that are slipping through the defense, I guess it’s because of the quantity they send. Iran seems to aim as well as Russia and what gets hit, gets hit. I feel that the mood among those I work with is starting to deteriorate, many are considering trying to leave here even though there are very limited opportunities to do so right now.
The official statistics show that Iran has sent around 180 missiles and around 700 drones towards the UAE (since 28/2). Now the USA has officially asked its citizens to, on their own, immediately leave the countries in this area, which can hardly be interpreted in a good way.
Thank you for the report! 👍
Keeping my fingers crossed that you won’t encounter anything.
When they seem to be sending their drones mostly at random, no one is safe.
The question is how the USA envisions it all, do they really want to overthrow the regime, most seem to agree that ground troops are needed. If they settle for the regime surrendering and adhering to the agreements regarding nuclear weapons and the ability to produce them, it could of course go faster, but it doesn’t give the people the freedom they hope for.
Encouraging people to leave may indicate that they are expecting a more prolonged war, but it could also be to avoid reports of dead and injured Americans as it could quickly lead to the support the war has in the USA disappearing rapidly.
Scenario: Ukraine agrees to send both specialists and anti-drone drones to the Gulf. Condition: Must have peace and quiet (relatively) for this, i.e. Putin is forced with the whip to agree to a ceasefire. The whip consists of, for example, Skyshield, Tomahawk to take out the Shahed factory, the US sanctions package that Congress has already prepared with Trump’s new pretend etc.
I saw something about Zelenskyy making a similar proposal (but when I thought about posting it, I couldn’t find it again). We’ll see if he gets any response.
Here
https://www.expressen.se/tv/nyheter/varlden/zelenskyjs-erbjudan-till-irans-fiender/
And that’s exactly what the statistics in the UAE show, it’s only drones that get through.
👍
Should we really give ryz a break? I am hesitant about a pause, it probably benefits ryz unilaterally.
I am also a bit unsure about what is best.
It may be that Ukraine is in a worse situation than we think. If the Russians’ nightly terror attacks have caused more damage than what is being reported, the situation could be really difficult.
They did manage to hit the Flamingon production, for example, and if there are difficulties in restoring the energy supply, it will be troublesome for the whole country and of course also for the war industry.
At the same time, it could just be that Zelenskyy is pushing the issue to make Ukraine appear as the adults in the room, while at the same time he is betting everything on Putin not agreeing to anything at all. I actually believe more in this than the first alternative.
If Putin were to actually agree to a ceasefire, I don’t think it necessarily has to benefit Russia more. Ukraine is fighting for its freedom. The Russians who get a breather will probably be more reluctant to start again. Putin would likely lose some respect in Russia among those who are most in favor of the war.
Both sides can take the opportunity to replenish supplies, recover, and build defenses. It is the Russians who must advance, so Ukraine would benefit from having time to build defenses. Of course, they must gradually attack the Russians if they are to kick them out, but they probably only do so where and when they see that they are too weak to defend themselves.
So, I am not so worried about a temporary ceasefire if that’s what it turns out to be.
The big risk is that the pause becomes permanent and leads to frozen fronts, allowing Russia to maintain control over the occupied/annexed areas.
Stena Bulk’s CEO Erik Hånell wants the shipping company’s tankers to receive military escort out of the Persian Gulf, following Iran’s repeated threats of attacks against civilian vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. This is reported by TT.
“It is important to arrange this as soon as possible,” says Hånell, pointing out the risk of attacks from the air or with underwater drones.
Ideally, he would like to see a joint international effort, but assesses that the USA and NATO countries are the most realistic option.
The USA-flagged tanker Stena Imperative, part of the Swedish Stena Bulk fleet, was hit and damaged in an Iranian attack in Bahrain on Monday night.”
Crude oil is now up to 74.3 USD/barrel
The dollar has strengthened and has now risen by 1.52% in five days compared to the Euro. Johan No.1 is of course pleased, personally I actually think it’s a bit strange. But maybe it’s the expected increased oil revenues that are doing it together with the US defense industry should fill the order books.
Then of course, compared to Europe which risks increased energy costs, maybe it’s not so strange.
Then I forgot that the USA and USD are usually seen as a safe haven in times of crisis, since their market is large and liquid.
“‼️🇺🇦 Ukraine received the first tranche of $1.5 billion from the IMF under a new four-year program, — Svyrydenko.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mg5gfuwubk2d
“❗️Zelenskyy: “Orbán may lose the elections, and then we will be able to build normal relations with Hungary.” “I believe that Orbán will be defeated in the elections, and then we will be able to restore regular relations with Hungary — also because the Hungarian people are not pro-Russian.”
Zelenskyy does not close the door to running in the next election, it depends on the support he receives from the people.
“🇺🇦 “I’m not sure I’ll run again. I’ll see what Ukrainians want. The elections will definitely be held after the war ends, not during a temporary ceasefire,” — Zelensky said.”
“Ukraine may face problems with air defense missiles due to hostilities in the Middle East, – Zelenskyy.
▪️The United States is ready to sign security guarantees for Ukraine only in the context of an agreement with the Russians. A protocol with the Europeans is ready, but it remains unsigned. There are agreements regarding our reconstruction, but they can only begin after peace is achieved
▪️The attack on Iranian military targets is a good decision. The Iranians produce a lot of weapons for Russia, especially UAVs and missiles
▪️Regarding negotiations: “We are stuck on the 20-point plan and the issue of territories.” The Americans are talking about exchanging territories, while the Russians want Ukraine to withdraw its troops from Donbas “An exchange is not in our interests, and Moscow would need a lot of forces to control the areas we would leave: they know that we would like to take back what they stole from us. Why should we exchange our territory for something else that is part of our Homeland?”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mg5ef2hzcc2f
“
The explanation for why Iran is lashing out wildly.
A bit like what I speculated about earlier.
“Iran’s retaliatory attacks around the Middle East are part of the plan that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei developed before his death and which has now been put into action, reports the Financial Times.
The plan aims to create chaos in the region, shake the global markets, and raise the stakes in the hope of pressuring the US and Israel to halt their attacks.
A regime source tells FT that the ayatollah and senior officials began sketching out the plan after the twelve-day war in June last year.
– We had no choice but to escalate the situation and ignite a big fire so that everyone would see it. When our red lines were crossed in violation of international law, we could no longer follow the rules of the game, says the source.”
https://omni.se/kallor-attackerna-ar-en-del-av-ayatollans-plan/a/5pBQrb
“The value of Russia’s promises: Just two months ago, Lavrov promised that if there is a war against Iran, Russia will always support and side with Tehran.”
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3mg5ijfuo7s2z