Russian losses: Artillery remains low, slightly more armor than usual

508 UAVs and 29 cruise missiles indicate that Russia’s terrorist attack yesterday was one of the more extensive ones. Early reports suggest that they still managed to take down most of it. From Kyiv, it is reported that one person was killed and eleven were injured in the attack by Kyiv Independent.

  • 1160 KWIA
  • 5 Tanks
  • 14 AFVs
  • 7 Artillery systems
  • 2 MLRS
  • 508 UAVs
  • 29 Cruise missiles
  • 49 Vehicles & Fuel tanks


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59 thoughts on “Russian losses: Artillery remains low, slightly more armor than usual”

  1. Yesterday, Russia attempted to test launch an intercontinental missile. It didn’t go so well, as can be seen in the video:

    “New footage of the failed Russian rocket launch, possibly a UR-100N ICBM with Avangard hypersonic warhead or a Sarmat missile, according to Militarnyi and other sources.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3m6pgeqbe4c2u

    Based on the released material, the launch site has been located:
    “Satellite images of the Russian missile range Yasny near Orenburg, where a 🇷🇺Russian missile fell during a launch yesterday.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m6sh7qqxec2v

  2. Rosneft’s net profit plummeted by 70% in the first 9 months of 2025. EBITDA and net income are sharply lower — meaning margins are squeezed, which erodes buffer against further headwinds.

    External factors remain dangerous: oil oversupply globally, continued sanctions, currency strength, and high interest rates in Russia all reduce revenue and increase financing costs.

    Rosneft is still committing high CAPEX (capital expenditure) — investing in projects like upstream and Arctic fields. That’s a bet on future returns, but it consumes cash, and if oil prices stay low or sanctions deepen, those investments may not pay off.

    Global oil price trajectory: If prices recover (or at least stay high enough), that cushions revenue. Sustained low prices are a big risk multiplier. Policy/tax/tariff/regulatory changes: As a major Russian company — and big taxpayer — government fiscal/tax policy matters a lot.

    If negative pressures persist (weak oil prices, heavier sanctions, rising costs), its cushion will shrink — and within 24+months, it will start facing serious distress (especially if large projects underperform or require continual cash injections).

  3. President Volodymyr Zelensky’s power hangs by a thread after the dismissal of chief of staff Andriy Yermak. This is according to Ukrainian political scientist Volodymyr Fesenko in an interview with Meduza.

    “The coalition led by Zelensky’s party Servant of the People has a fragile majority, four seats, in the Ukrainian parliament. If four members were to resign or defect, an uncertain situation would arise.

    Fesenko says that in such a scenario, Servant of the People would need to find a new partner. Most likely, this would involve getting closer to the party Batkivshchyna, led by former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko.

    – But she is not easy to deal with. She will demand significant concessions, probably a place in the government,” says Fesenko.”

  4. For several years, women from a monastery in Belarus have been visiting congregations within the Church of Sweden. Jörgen Holmlund, a teacher in intelligence analysis at the Swedish Defence University, believes they are using the monastery as a cover to gather intelligence in Sweden. He says this to TV4 News.

    “Yesterday, the Church of Sweden issued a central warning to its congregations not to accept the women anymore as they are linked to the Russian intelligence agency GRU. Approximately, they have visited about ten churches for several years.

    Holmlund believes that the intelligence gathering is targeting churches because it provides information about civilian infrastructure.

    – The church staff fly under the radar in a completely different way because they are perceived to work for the righteous and for the good, he says.”
    https://omni.se/experten-klosterkvinnorna-gar-under-radarn-i-sverige/a/Pdr850

    “After the news that a congregation in Täby had received Belarusian nuns who, according to the Church of Sweden, have connections to the Russian intelligence service GRU, Minister for Migration Johan Forssell (M) now reacts.

    “There may be reason to review the possibilities for individuals with connections to Russian state interests to stay in Sweden. We have no obligation whatsoever to show hospitality to individuals who support Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine,” he writes in a comment to Omni.

    He also writes that Swedish authorities make independent decisions in visa cases, but that he will contact the Swedish Migration Agency to see if the current rules need to be reviewed.”
    https://omni.se/forssell-om-belarusiska-nunnorna-ingen-skyldighet-att-visa-gastfrihet/a/y512Og

  5. One can sense that the image is meant to be interpreted a bit more politically than the artist’s own official explanation.
    Ukraine is protecting Europe while we prefer to look away.

    “A new mural has appeared in Ternopil, dedicated to children killed in Russia’s attack. The artwork, showing a child shielding her toys from a Russian missile, was created by artist Andriy Yermolenko. He described it as “a cry for help to the global community.” “The girl protecting her toys — that’s all she has. This is my cry for help. As an artist, I can speak about it through my work.” On November 19, six children were killed in the Russian strike on Ternopil.”
    https://x.com/BohuslavskaKate/status/1994885947872387336

  6. “35,000 Ukrainian children have been kidnapped and taken to Russia since the start of the war. And there is a deep indoctrination going on there. That’s what Ukrainian Olena Khomenko tells TT.

    She leads the work for the abducted children in the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe, PACE. She describes it as the children’s identity being rewritten, learning that their country does not exist, and that they should give up their language and culture.

    – They are taught mining, mine clearance, grenade throwing. They learn to handle all sorts of weapons, she says.

    Now she warns Europe and calls for targeted sanctions against regional governors, principals, and organizations in Russia involved in the operation.”

  7. Sometimes you see information that Ukraine needs more drones, but if they are ready to export, it can hardly be true. If there is a surplus and they can export, it is really good for all parties.

    “Ukraine has begun to make the plan to export its surplus drones to European countries a reality, reports Kyiv Post. Two sales offices will be opened in Berlin and Copenhagen.

    The country continues to depend on the outside world for many types of military equipment, but drone production is in full swing and exceeds the needs on the front line. Therefore, the plan is to export drones to finance the purchase of other equipment.

    Ukrainian companies can offer uniquely well-tested drone technology to other countries that want to protect themselves against the Russian threat, says Hryhorij Sjverk, founder of the drone manufacturer General Cherry.

    – We are constantly in touch with brigades using our products, receiving feedback, and constantly improving the product. Ukrainian drones have been tested in a full-scale war.”
    https://omni.se/ukraina-redo-for-export-av-sitt-dronaroverskott/a/Rjb0kd

  8. The significantly increased Russian pressure around Lyman, around Pokrovsk, and also in the south continues for the third day in a row. Fewer Russian and more Ukrainian attacks according to the latest daily report from AFU 🇺🇦.

    The distribution of Ukrainian/Russian attacks was 40/231.

    Ukrainian attacks are assumed to be the difference between the total and the sum of attacks along the front according to the report. Unlocated.

    The significantly increased Russian pressure around Lyman from the other day continues, albeit somewhat decreasing in the last day:

    The pressure remains strong / very strong in Pokrovsk and surrounding sectors.

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 2↘️
    S Slobozhansky 9💥
    Kupyansk 14💥↗️
    Lyman 23💥↘️
    Slovyansk 9💥↘️
    Kramatorsk 4
    Kostjantynivka 25💥💥↘️
    Pokrovsk 76💥💥💥💥↘️
    Oleksandrivskij 44💥💥💥↘️
    Huliaypillia 15💥
    Orikhivsk 10💥
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 0↘️
    Sum sectors 231↘️🇷🇺
    Unlocated 40↗️🇺🇦
    Total 271↘️

  9. We keep our fingers crossed that Zelensky survives this politically.

    The USA is not our friend, now Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea also feel the same.

    Is it time for Europe to rise?

    Since we have China, Russia, and the USA as the three, should we call ourselves the fourth empire?

    1. Many government leaders in the Western world must wonder where the USA is heading under Trump. A traveling businessman? It’s time for Trump to sort out his features.

    2. Well, it’s probably time for Europe to get back in the game, but if we are to stand up against the other superpowers, we must show a united front. I don’t know what we should do with Hungary and Slovakia, the rest of the EU countries should issue ultimatums, if Hungary leaves the EU, Orban and Russia will turn it into a copy of Belarus, so for the Hungarians it would be best if they could get rid of Orban as soon as possible.

      I have no hope for the US under Trump, he runs the US like his private family business, and sells off all “overseas assets” to anyone who wants, as long as the clan gets money for it. It’s not politics he’s dealing with, it’s driving the company into the ground and taking the capital.

       

  10. Interesting report from the front in DN by Anna-Lena Laurén and Daniel Costantini.

    “Melnyk shakes his head.

    – I refuse to delve into the details. It just makes me desperate. My head is spinning. Are we going to let Russia get away with everything they’ve done? Then it will just be a new war.

    The lieutenant’s conclusion: The world is made up of cowards.”

    https://www.dn.se/varlden/jag-vagrar-satta-mig-in-fredsforslaget-det-gor-mig-bara-fortvivlad/

    1. Thank you, very readable.

      Definitely no cowards:

      – Just yesterday, my guys were chased by drones while driving. They managed to hide the car, jump out, and take cover. The drone couldn’t find the car because the jammer was working. So they could shoot it down, says Melnyk.

  11. 🇺🇦🇳🇴 Ukraine and Norway will jointly produce Ukrainian drones. I signed the corresponding document with Norway’s Minister of Defence @toreosa.

    The next step is to quickly launch a pilot production line in 2026 while simultaneously working to further expand capacity.

    Ukraine will share its experience and innovations with Norway. In return, we will gain a strong production base, as well as research and development cooperation with leading Norwegian institutions.

    This project is an example of the kind of cooperation we are building with our partners: collaboration that strengthens the defense capabilities of all countries in the free world. I thank Norway for its support.

    https://x.com/denys_shmyhal/status/1995052312738341194?s=46

    1. 🇺🇦🇩🇪 Ukraine will receive a record €11.5 billion from Germany for artillery, drones, military equipment, and other gear. The lower house of the German parliament approved the federal budget for 2026.
      This assistance is critically important for maintaining our defensive capabilities.
      I am grateful to the German parliament, the government, especially my colleague Boris Pistorius, and the entire German people for their unwavering support.

      https://x.com/denys_shmyhal/status/1994734604339626031?s=46

  12. Russia’s attack on Ukraine constitutes the most serious security crisis on the European continent since World War II… We cannot tolerate Putin’s authoritarian harassment and threats.
    Former 🇺🇸 President George W. Bush

    1. Bush has probably sharpened himself since he was president, he got off to a bit of a rough start with 9/11, and was somewhat naive and influenced by the strong men around him, but seems to have grown up since his presidency ended.

  13. ”💥GUR punishes corrupt invaders: ”Kadyrov’s men” near Berdyansk traded diesel fuel – two explosions were heard

    On November 29, 2025, two explosions were heard in the temporarily occupied Berdyansk district in the Zaporizhia region – as a result of a successful operation by GUR and the resistance movement, the Russian invaders from the so-called “Akhmat” unit suffered losses.

    Ukrainian partisans discovered that ”Kadyrov’s men” had organized a ”schematic” trade with stolen fuel – they were selling diesel at the same location on the road outside Berdyansk.

    🔥After mining the ”trading place” at a time when the corrupt occupiers were gathered, two explosions were carried out.

    The first explosion caused panic among the Muscovites – those who survived fled. Shortly thereafter, another hostile pickup arrived at the empty place for diesel-powered frauds – and the second explosion detonated.

    As a result, two cars used by the “pigs” from the occupation unit “Akhmat” were hit. The number of losses among the enemy personnel is being determined.

    ☠️GUR MO Ukraine reminds that every war crime committed against the Ukrainian people will receive fair retribution.

    Honor to Ukraine!”

    https://www.facebook.com/share/v/17rBkqtNwZ/?mibextid=wwXIfr

  14. Several attempts to paste a link. When I enter text and leave the page to fetch the link, the page refreshes itself when I return to it with the link in the clipboard. The text box with my text is cleared. Is it my phone, browser (Safari), or the page acting up?

    1. I have had some issues a few times where the page gets stuck, it just keeps loading but eventually gives up. It has been the ads causing trouble.

      The network fails to fetch ads and keeps trying. You can tell because you see an empty ad container. For me, using a computer, it’s also visible because the site icon keeps spinning as if the page never finishes loading. If it’s really bad, I get a message asking if I want to wait or stop the script.

      Refreshing the page can sometimes work (but sometimes it doesn’t help either because it keeps trying to load the same lousy ads again).

      I wonder if you experience the same issue, but Safari then gives up and triggers a reload on its own because it thinks it’s taking too long and detects an issue. Safari is more sensitive to that kind of thing.

      What I do if the slow ads refuse to give up is to visit a larger site, they often have so-called retargeting ads so when I refresh the page, I get working ads from them instead. I usually go to dustin.se 🙂

      Otherwise, the only thing on the site that should run on its own is the countdown for the remaining time to edit, but it never triggers a reload, it just updates that text.

      I can’t really think of anything else that could be causing trouble right now.

  15. The peace plan was thus a stratagem of war.

    Now Zelensky is under heavy pressure for corruption, for example.

    Several parts of the plan are unfolding now.

    1. One who seeks peace without setting any prior condition is executing a stratagem. — Sun Tzu

      Peace Sells, but Who’s Buying?

      Alf Einar Ulvund Johnsen – 20 Dec 2024

      https://www.stratagem.no/peace-sells-but-whos-buying/amp/

      Conclusion

      Ukraine’s defense against Russia over the past three years shows that the collective approach—though at times fragmented—enabled Ukraine to withstand a full-scale invasion. However, in wars of attrition, survival alone will not suffice. The war’s outcome may ultimately hinge on the efficiency and cohesiveness of military aid. This reality underscores the tension between the desire to support Ukraine and the reluctance to fully commit—leaving Kyiv both empowered and constrained. This piecemeal approach prolongs the war of attrition, while serving political posturing.

      The challenge lies in crafting a policy architecture that ensures military effectiveness, and strategic foresight. This demands a recalibration of export controls: tightening safeguards without stifling essential aid and geopolitical stability. In the absence of such recalibration, the very tools designed to secure peace will become instruments of instability.

       
  16. 🔗Johan No.1 2025-11-27 at 10:23:34 AM

    You have followed Japan – Taiwan – China, right?

    Trump bowed to China

    Avoid a two-front war by making peace with everybody else before you go to war against an opponent. Additionally, if you have two battles to fight, it’s wiser first to fight the one that is near (Venezuela 🇻🇪) at hand. But to do this, you must try to gain at least a temporary peace with the less emergent battle. — Sun Tzu

    1. Don’t think Trump reads Sun-Tzu. He may have considered what he earns best in the short term, that going to war for Taiwan costs money, and is not something he will get back during his presidency. It may even be good for the economy if chip manufacturing in Taiwan is disrupted, so they have to produce the more expensive ones in the USA.

      He knows what oil is, and that makes Venezuela interesting, they also have a president who is easy to dislike, and they have been resistant to the USA before, so they need to learn a lesson. Moreover, it is a poor country that should not offer such strong resistance, so Trump can most likely declare a great victory, with a military parade and all.

  17. Op-ed in SvD the other day. The debaters argue against a termination of the Ottawa Convention.

    There are a few things one can say about the arguments. However, the conclusion is almost bizarre.

    “Sweden should listen to these experiences – not become the next country to betray the protection that saves lives both during wars and after wars have ended.”

    According to the debaters, Sweden should, if we are attacked by Russia, prioritize (save) the lives of Russian soldiers over the defense of our country.

    https://www.svd.se/a/7pnGBV/sverige-bor-sta-fast-vid-forbudet-mot-minor-skriver-foretradare-for-svenska-freds

      1. I don’t know. It’s a debate page so there should probably be room for different opinions. However, some sort of quality standards should be expected. Both on the part of the contributors and of DN, it seems that many organizations have some kind of free pass to express whatever nonsense they want.

        What I quoted is not the only foolishness. The debaters also write things like: “Experiences from countless conflicts in the 1990s showed that minefields rarely stopped an attacker, …” No source is provided. In fact, there are no sources in the entire article.

        And of course, what is said could be true if a minefield alone is expected to stop an attacker. However, a minefield that is monitored with artillery and infantry is something completely different. For example, this is written in a publication from the U.S. Army War College (1) discussing the use of anti-personnel mines:

        “Inflicting personnel casualties is a primary objective of war. Mines play a tremendous role in this objective. Tactical minefields containing a mix of antitank and antipersonnel landmines are used to block, turn, disrupt, or fix an enemy force. Blocking tactical minefields stop an enemy from advancing. While the enemy is stopped, friendly direct and indirect fires are tremendously more effective in killing the enemy than they are while an enemy is moving.”

        1. https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/tr/pdf/ADA413655.pdf

        But why bother with facts if one believes they are on the right side. Then, of course, one is right.

  18. 🇺🇦 The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that between September and November, the Air Force’s anti-missile units shot down more than 100 Russian guided aerial bombs.

    Moreover, the General Staff explains that new weapons are currently undergoing active testing, aimed at reducing the effectiveness of Russian guided aerial bombs.

    See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo

        1. Response to both of you.

          Almost 100% sure that the image shows a KAB, dumb bomb equipped with wings. 

          The average for KAB attacks is 137/day since March and I guess it applies approximately between September and November as well.

          100 pieces over a three-month period is not particularly much, but considering that they previously haven’t managed to take down any at all, it’s still a big step forward and once they start getting the hang of it, the efficiency can probably increase quite rapidly. 

          Not yet so impressive but at the same time still really promising.

  19. “US Secretary of State Marco Rubio: The end goal is obviously not just the end of the war, obviously that’s essential and fundamental, but it’s also about securing an end to the war that leaves Ukraine sovereign and independent and with an opportunity of real prosperity. So this is not just about peace deals, it’s about creating a pathway forward that leaves Ukraine sovereign, independent, and prosperous.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3m6uf5rafbs2m

    1. Nice words, Rubio has a moral compass unlike the others around him. I hope he doesn’t get into trouble, but he chooses his words carefully so they don’t go against Trump’s and Witkoff’s plans with Russia.

  20. Is this just a way for India to support Russia economically? They can hardly have much confidence in Russian air defense.

    “⚡️ India to seek purchase of Russian jets, air defenses during Putin’s visit, Bloomberg reports. According to Bloomberg, Russia and India are expected to discuss the potential purchase of the fifth-generation Su-57 aircraft and the S-500 air defense system.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/kyivindependent.com/post/3m6uc42pqnc2j

    1. India has a tradition of playing out different suppliers against each other. It has previously been said that they have not been satisfied with their Russian planes. Too large and cumbersome for India’s airbases, among other things. Now they are showing interest in Russian planes and of course getting other actors to potentially adjust prices.

  21. It seems like more and more countries bordering Russia are closing or making it more difficult to transport goods to Russia and to Kaliningrad. Is it a coordinated chokehold?

  22. Good plain language about the war and negotiations from Fredrik Löjdquist, head of the Center for Eastern European Studies at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs in today’s Agenda on SVT. Nothing revolutionary for those of us who frequent Johan No.1, but still pleasing to hear such a clear stance on SVT.

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