The war in Ukraine 2025-10-13

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Russian losses:

  • 1140 KIA
  • 3 Tanks
  • 21 Artillery systems
  • 2 MLRS
  • 232 UAVs
  • 109 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
  • 1 Special equipment

SLAVA UKRAINI

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98 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-10-13”

  1. 205

    Significant decrease in attacks/fighting in the past 24 hours according to the morning report from AFU. 134 out of 149 battles were distributed along the front as shown below.

    • North

    • N Slobozhansky-Kursk 4
    • S Slobozhansky 23💥
    • Luhansk

    • Kupyansk 6↘️
    • Lyman 9💥↘️
    • Slovyansk(Siverskyi) 3↘️
    • Donetsk

    • Kramatorsk 2
    • Kostjantynivka(Toretsk) 13💥↘️
    • Pokrovsk 46💥💥💥↘️
    • Oleksandrivskij(Novopavlivka) 24💥💥↘️
    • South

    • Huliaypillia 0
    • Orikhivsk 4
    • Dnipro/Prydniprovskij 0
    1. 205

      Incorrect order of the images. Luhansk and South should switch places. South doesn’t seem to fit. Corrected:

      Improved graph Donetsk:

    2. MXT

      Number of battles is lower but 1140 KWIA instead points to more intense battles.

      Or Ukraine has been successful in combating deeply with drones, artillery, etc.

       

      1. 205

        Maybe as you have been thinking, it’s about delay. I can imagine that it’s relatively easy to count conflicts/attacks and keep up with this. It’s also reported three times a day and the numbers increase linearly throughout the day until the morning report. The corresponding KWIA is closest in Pokrovsk where in the evening report they include this figure (why no other front sections report KWIA during the day I don’t know but it probably has to do with Pokrovsk being by far the most intense sector.) Then we have the night. The casualty report comes out between six and seven (Swedish time), so the reporting from the front must have happened at least an hour before, so no later than five o’clock. Then it’s pitch black even in the summer. How easy is it to count KWIA in the dark? It’s probably not something you use night vision for either? And can you even count KWIA in daylight if they are behind the front? No, if there’s any number that lags, it’s probably KWIA, and considering the difficulties I imagine exist when it comes to reporting KWIA, it’s also not strange if it lags.

  2. 205

    ⚠️ ISW: Russia is already preparing for war with NATO — and may strike sooner than intelligence agencies expect

    The U.S.-based Institute for the Study of War reports that Moscow has entered what it calls “Phase Zero” — the stage of preparation for a potential confrontation with the Alliance. This includes espionage, sabotage, and unidentified drone flights over military bases and strategic facilities across Europe.

    ISW notes that Russia is building up its reserves and developing new tactics for warfare without relying on massive armored forces.

    🔻According to experts, the Kremlin is already gaining significant experience in modern warfare and could launch new aggression without waiting for its army to fully recover from the war in Ukraine.

    https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1977291398207639691?s=46

    1. Bal

      Putin needs a moderate war with NATO. No Western country wants to invade Russia and he knows that. A short war with NATO that ends in a peace which can be presented as a Russian victory against a superior enemy will elevate Putin and Russia’s reputation within the country.

      For as long as possible, we should try to avoid Putin’s plan, and if that’s not possible, our response must be very quick and violent, focusing on their infrastructure and production capabilities. Russia should be put in a situation where they need international help to move forward.

  6. MXT

    – We may not do it, but we can do it. 

    What a weak teaser, starting to suspect it’s yet another TACO maneuver.

    “If Russia does not agree to a settlement on the war, the US can send Tomahawk robots to Ukraine. That’s what Donald Trump tells AP and several other media outlets aboard the presidential plane on the way to Israel.

    – The Tomahawk is an incredible weapon, a very offensive weapon. And honestly, Russia doesn’t need it, says the president.

    – We may not do it, but we can do it. I think it’s appropriate to bring it up, he continues. …”
    https://omni.se/trump-hotar-putin-ukraina-far-tomahawk-om-ni-inte-slutar/a/1M10xJ

  7. MXT

    Off-Topic, Israel – Palestine

    Great that they finally get to come home!!👍

    “Hamas has handed over seven living hostages to the Red Cross in the Gaza Strip, Israeli media report. The hostages are said to be Matan Engerst, Alon Ohel, Eitan Mor, Gali Berman, Ziv Berman, Guy Gilboa-Dallal, and Omri Miran. So far, there is no information about their health status or any pictures of the men. They will soon be handed over to the IDF.

    Another 13 living hostages are expected to be released at 9 o’clock. Earlier this morning, the armed wing of Hamas published a list of the 20 hostages who are still alive and are to be released. There has been talk of 22 hostages before, but neither the Israeli soldier Tamir Nimrodi nor the Nepalese Bipin Joshi are on the list. All hostages being released will be flown straight to the hospital for examination, writes Haaretz.”
    https://omni.se/just-nu-gisslans-anhoriga-ror-sig-mot-gazas-grans-borjar-slappas-klockan-7/a/Ey3kBG

    1. MXT

      “Wild cheers and loud applause erupted at the so-called Hostage Square in Tel Aviv when the news came that the first seven hostages have been released. Tens of thousands of people are at the scene, according to several Israeli media outlets.

      13 others are set to be released later in the morning, and for their families, the nervous wait continues. Katy Levi, aunt of Segev Kalfon who has not yet been released, says she hasn’t slept in three days.

      He is our hero – he survived for over 730 days. The nightmare is almost over.

      Rivka Bohbot, wife of Elkana Bohbot, says she never gave up hope of seeing her beloved again.

      The tension is paralyzing, she says.”
      https://omni.se/vilt-jubel-i-tel-aviv-nar-forsta-sju-gisslan-slapptes/a/zAdw39

    1. alfaomega

      So tiresome with Trump’s all statements right and left that actually don’t mean any action. It seems like he’s becoming more demented while Melania grabs some spotlight… or is it all just to make the focus on Epstein & Trump disappear? And a bit interesting with the survey about the yellow wall, those who have voted for you to continue voluntarily or shut down can hardly have read the posts about time consumption and financial impact for you (MTX especially, Johan apparently has a salary regardless 😀), and that it’s not possible to continue as it is now. They seem to think that the blog doesn’t matter much, and that’s sad. It will be interesting to see what you come up with based on the results. The suggestion to try with partners in some way is good, but it also requires time to manage. Selling items as well, and you wouldn’t want to involve Chinese suppliers either and then maybe it costs more than it’s worth in the end. As for the question about the yellow wall in book form, I can’t arrange any contract for Johan since I don’t have those contacts, but there’s a publishing house in Stockholm called Lind & Co that publishes military history among other things. And the yellow wall is super modern military history, right? Johan will have to come up with a pitch and try to sell it. One could have a book covering the first three years and then part 2 with the rest and some analysis of why it turned out the way it did. Just ideas and no solutions, I know.

      1. MXT

        We’ll see what we come up with, or well, it’s Johan who will decide how he wants to deal with the yellow walls first and foremost, then I’ll take a stand on what I do. 

        I find it difficult to resist sitting here and posting entries and comments even though it’s economically insane. 😄 But if there are no yellow walls and the visitors disappear, there’s not much point in continuing.

        When it comes to books, it’s not terribly expensive today to print and publish if you handle the layout and such yourself, and you can sell it yourself.

        If you take pre-orders so you get the money first (not fun to print 1000 books and then only sell 50), it could work, but it requires that some people actually order so you can bring down the printing cost.

        Then, of course, you have to take the time to package and send them out, or pay someone to do it. When it comes to small series, it’s difficult to find cheap automated solutions.

        The smallest “blue bag S” from the postal service costs 55 SEK. That’s more than what you would pay to print a book if you keep it simple.

        As we’ve written, it obviously takes a lot of time to gather and edit the material.

        Plus, the war is still ongoing, but it could work to release part 1, and later release part 2, etc. Or maybe release it annually, 2022, 2023, etc. 

        Wouldn’t be a bad idea to have yearly chronicles, where you go through what happened during each year, both in the war itself but also what happened around with the world’s support (Sweden and Finland’s NATO application, etc.).

          1. MXT

            Of course, that’s true, but then you’ll almost certainly go through some service, like Storytel or similar. If you publish it as a PDF, it can easily end up in the wrong hands. Might be worth checking out. 

      2. 205

        Possibly a word of caution about projects within projects: yes, if project #1 yields returns and can finance project #2. That’s *my experience of starting a project to fund an ongoing one.

        I read about an author who funded the writing of a new book through Kickstarter. That could be an option for JohanNo1 I thought primarily, but of course also for a book (with the above reservation). There are a number of similar crowdfunding services.

        And as I’ve mentioned before, is it possible to avoid having two sites and channel the payment to this one? But if it’s possible to implement a simple payment solution on this site, maybe with Swedish Swish, then perhaps one has removed a barrier that exists on Substack. Now I haven’t even checked what a subscription to JohanNo1’s Substack costs (it’s been a while since I visited the site, sometime last spring), but it’s also something one can experiment with. Even a “symbolic” amount can have positive effects like “buy-in” and if it can be done with Swish, the threshold for new users/subscribers to JohanNo1 becomes minimal. The downside might be the handling of connecting a Swish-paying JohanNo1 subscriber to the site – but a nice problem to have. We’ve probably already seen a number of Swish payments to JohanNo1 as appreciation, right? And if you scrap Substack so it doesn’t take up time and money, unless it can fulfill a need to market JohanNo1. If so, with promo and reference to the full content here (and not the other way around like last week 👎). And free for maximum reach.

        1. MXT

          One can imagine setting up their own Swish for subscriptions where the person who pays must make sure to enter the email they registered with on this website here.

          Every month, an import of all Swish payments is run and connected with the email address so when a registered user logs in, they get to see the entire yellow wall and others get to see, for example, the first quarter or similar.

          The person writing a post (me or Johan, etc.) also needs an additional setting of course, to be able to specify if the post should be locked for non-paying users.

          So, it is possible to avoid Substack if desired, it requires some development and of course handling the imports every month.

          Then it is possible to integrate a complete webshop (which is perhaps the most common for larger players anyway) and then create subscriptions where it is possible to accept payments even via e.g. Klarna, etc.

          It becomes quite complicated for the level we are at now and Swish is so popular and easy, so I believe the above solution without a webshop would work just as well. 

          Sure, there may be issues if someone has entered the wrong email address, for example, but then you just have to correct it manually.

          Substack probably doesn’t cost money directly (I assume they take a percentage) but Johan knows better about that, I have nothing to do with it at all.

          1. 205

            Then I propose Swish 5 SEK for one day and 80 (same price) for per month (renewable). 500 for one year. The two last options can be paid / should be paid by card (due to automatic renewal). Based on 4 yellow walls / month and thus four locked days. Perhaps yellow walls older than a week are not locked??

            1. Proxima

              Make it simple. So I can participate. I entered the world of data late. I’m not on Facebook, Twitter, Substack, or any of that. I’m only here.

  13. 205

    Ukraine liberates village in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, military claims. Ukrainian troops have liberated the village of Mali Shcherbaky in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Ukraine’s 24th Separate Assault Battalion “Aidar” announced on Oct. 12, releasing footage purportedly showing Ukrainian soldiers in the settlement.

    https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-liberates-village-in-zaporizhzhia-oblast-military-claims/

    2. johan No.1

      Apparently, it’s going quite well unfortunately with bombing the UA railway.

      RU held back such goals because they wanted to keep it intact, but this year it will probably be different.

  15. 205

    Ukraine’s encircling Yunakivka—not by storming it, but by choking supply lines and clearing forests with quad bike raids.

    Russian troops stuck inside face drones, hunger, and even death while trying to surrender. Reporting from Ukraine.

    https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/10/12/frontline-report-ukraines-kill-zone-takes-shape-in-sumy-oblast-russians-trapped-in-yunakivka-say-hope-is-gone/

  16. 205

    Occupation is not peace. Occupation is silent terror.

    This is the story of a small, seemingly random Ukrainian village that turned out to hold a horror story.

    Staryi Bykiv, in the Chernihiv region, endured more than a month of russian occupation and experienced everything.

    Executions:
    On the evening of February 27 — the very first day of occupation — russian troops entered Staryi Bykiv and executed six civilian men they had seized on the street. Their bodies showed clear signs of violent death. The occupiers even forbade a mother from burying her son. Only nine days later were the men finally laid to rest in the local cemetery.

    Torture:
    In the basement of a boiler house in neighboring Novyi Bykiv, russians set up a torture chamber where they held at least 40 people captive. Four civilians were reportedly executed — among them Mykhailo (64), Volodymyr (38), and Oleksandr (52), all identified after the occupation ended. One survivor recalled that Volodymyr’s inability to speak russian deeply irritated the occupiers — possibly one of the reasons they decided to shoot him. “They beat prisoners over the head with glass bottles, fired weapons next to their ears, hit them with rifle butts. One man had a gun shoved into his mouth while they told him they were about to execute him,” recounted 21-year-old Maksym Didyk, one of the captives who survived.

    Mass destruction:
    After the fighting, around 100 houses were destroyed, and nearly all local infrastructure lay in ruins. By March 29–30, russian forces were finally forced to retreat under pressure from the Ukrainian army.

    How many such villages and places are there across Ukraine? Far too many.

    Author: Yana Rudenko, survivor from Bucha

    https://x.com/rshereme/status/1977008921836470353?s=46

  17. 205

    🇺🇦➡️🇬🇧✍️
    https://x.com/anno1540/status/1977607550188360177?s=46

    Ukrainian troops advanced to the west of Zaporizhia region and near Kupyansk and Siversk: ISW analysis @TheStudyofWar

    https://war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/ukrainski-vijska-prosunulisya-na-zahid-zaporizkoi-oblasti-ta-poblizu-kupyanska-ta-siverska-analiz-isw.htm🇺🇦

    The counteroffensive actions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces are bearing fruit.

    The defenders advanced near Kupyansk, in the Siverskyi direction, defeated the occupiers near Volodymyrivka, and liberated Maly Shcherbaky in Zaporizhia.

    https://johanno1.se/en/the-war-in-ukraine-2025-10-13/#comment-53488

    However, the invaders also had successes: the occupation troops advanced in the Pokrov direction and in the eastern part of the Zaporizhia region. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on the situation at the front.

    https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-12-2025/

    Northern Front:

    In the north of Sumy region, the Russians continued offensive operations on October 12 , but did not advance.

    On October 11 and 12, Russian troops attacked in Kursk and Sumy regions , in particular near Bessalivka , near Varachynye and Oleksiivka , as well as near #Yunakivka .

    According to Russian military bloggers, the Ukrainians counterattacked near #Alekseevka and #Kostyantynivka.

    They did so actively that one of the Russian Z-propagandists complained that the occupiers would not be able to hold #Alekseevka without reinforcements due to the intensity of the Ukrainian counterattacks.

    And the Russian command allegedly even sent such reinforcements in the form of a battalion of the 810th Separate Marine Brigade (Russian Black Sea Fleet) and a company of the 22nd Motorized Rifle Regiment (72nd Motorized Rifle Division, 44th Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces) , but “forgot” to coordinate the introduction of reinforcements, which is why the occupiers from the Russian 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment and the 810th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade exchanged “friendly fire.”

    “The military blogger also claimed that Russian troops in Kostyantynivka, Sumy region, lack artillery support , facing constant Ukrainian counterattacks. He stated that Russian troops tried to deploy mortars in the Kostyantynivka area, but were unable to pass the posts of North Korean soldiers in Sinyak, Kurshchyna due to confusion with passwords.

    The same Z-blogger also claimed that Ukrainian troops were blocking Russian ground communication lines on the E38 Rylsk-Lgov highway in the Kursk region.

    Eastern Front:

    The Russians continued to advance in the north of the Kharkiv region , but they were unable to advance there either.

    Over the past two days, the occupiers have attacked near Vovchansk and Synelnykovye .

    In the absence of success on the ground, Russian propagandists boasted of allegedly achieving an increase in the range of their guided bombs : according to one of them, the occupiers recently struck an unspecified target near Vovchansk from a distance of 90-100 km.

    The invaders also attacked in the direction of Velyky Burluk, but did not advance.

    Fighting took place near Khatny and Milovy , near Odradny , and in the direction of Obukhivka.

    The Ukrainian Defense Forces have recently advanced in the Kupyansk direction .

    9/
    Geolocation videos published on October 11 showed the advance of Ukrainian soldiers west of Radkivka (north of Kupyansk).

    Russian troops attacked on October 11 and 12 near Kupyansk itself ; northeast of Kupyansk near Kamyanka and towards Bolokhivka , Dvorichansky and Kolodyazny ; north of Kupyansk near Zapadny and towards Kutkivka ; east of Kupyansk near Petropavlivka ; and southeast of Kupyansk near Pishchany and Stepovaya Novoselivka .

    According to Russian sources, the Ukrainians counterattacked in #Kupyansk.

    Russian offensive operations continued in the Boriv direction, but the occupiers failed to advance.

    On October 11 and 12, Russian troops advanced near Boguslavka, Nova Kruglyakivka, Zagryzove, and Kopanky.

    In the Liman direction, the Russian offensive activity the day before also remained fruitless .

    Russian troops advanced towards the Lyman itself ; northwest of the Lyman near Drobyshevy, Derylovy, Sredny, and Shandryholovy ; north of the Lyman near Karpivka and Novomykhaylivka ; northeast of the Lyman near Kolodyazy and Myrny ; east of the Lyman near Torske ; and southeast of the Lyman near Ukrainian troops have recently advanced in the Siversk direction: geolocation video footage from October 12 confirmed the advance of the Defense Forces east of Pereyzne (south of Siversk).

    Meanwhile, the Russians on this sector of the front attacked near Dronivka, Serebryanka, and Viymka.

    The invaders also continued offensive operations in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, but did not achieve any confirmed progress.

    At the same time, Z-propagandists, without any evidence, claimed that the occupiers were allegedly advancing north of Volodymyrivka (which is southwest of Druzhkivka).

    Russian forces have been attacking near #Kostyantynivka over the past two days ; east of Kostyantynivka near Stupochky and Bila Hora ; southeast of Kostyantynivka near #Shcherbinivka, #Pleshchiivka, and #Ivano-Pol ; south of Kostyantynivka near the fortified positions in Oleksandro-Shultyn and Kleban-Byk ; south of Druzhkivka near Rusyn Yar and Poltavka; and southwest of Druzhkivka near Sofiivka and Volodymyrivka .

    Near the last of the listed settlements, the Russians attempted an intensified mechanized assault on October 9. According to the State Border Guard Service, the occupiers used six tanks, almost 40 armored personnel carriers, over 40 motorized vehicles, and several hundred infantrymen .

    Ukrainian soldiers thwarted the enemy’s attempted breakthrough: confirmed destruction of 3 tanks, 13 armored personnel carriers, 41 units of motorized vehicles, damage to one tractor. Russian losses in manpower amounted to about a hundred occupiers.

    According to Ukrainian military sources, the Russians have not yet managed to fully capture Chasiv Yar .

    The defenders also confirmed that Russian troops are simultaneously deploying separate infantry units from different directions to conduct infiltration missions near the city.

    Meanwhile, one of the Russian “war bloggers” complained that the Russian military is falsifying combat reports about the situation on the front line near #Volodymyrivka.

    At the same time, according to military observer Konstantin Mashovets, the Russian command has transferred marine units to reinforce the occupation forces attempting to advance in the Poltavka-Volodymyrivka and Volodymyrivka-Novotoretske areas (south of Volodymyrivka). He also suggested that the Russian military command of the 8th and 51st combined arms armies of the Russian Armed Forces will soon make another attempt to knock out Ukrainian troops from the Sofiivka-Volodymyrivka-Pankivka-Shakhove area (southwest of Druzhkivka).

    There were also battles in the Doropill area , where the Russians tried to advance – without making any progress.

    The invaders attacked east of Dobropilly near Shakhov and Pankivka and southeast of Dobropilly near Zapovedne .

    Yampol .


    Russian troops have recently advanced in the Pokrovskoye direction.

    On October 12, videos appeared online confirming the advance of the occupiers in the southeastern part of #Rodynske , north of Pokrovsk.

    However, this did not seem enough to Russian propagandists, so they actively and without evidence claimed that the occupiers had captured the settlement of Balagan and were advancing south of it and #Rodynske. The Russians also allegedly had successes in the center of Pokrovsk and even captured the railway station in the..

    13/
    Russian troops attacked near Pokrovsk itself ; north of Pokrovsk near Rodynske ; northeast of Pokrovsk near Myrolyubivka, Novomykolaivka, Krasny Liman, Zatyshko, Novoekonomichny, Fedorivka, Sukhetske, Boikivka ; east of Pokrovsk in the area of ​​Promynia, Myrnograd, Balagan and; southeast of Pokrovsk near Lysivka ; south of Pokrovsk near Novopavlivka ; and southwest of Pokrovsk near Zvirovoye, Udachny, Kotlyny and Molodetsky .

    According to one of the Russian “war bloggers”, Ukrainian forces counterattacked in the southern part of #Pokrovsk (Lazurny microdistrict), as well as near Chynushyne (south of the city),

    The invaders did not advance in the #Novopavlivske direction , where they continued their offensive the day before.

    Russian troops advanced northeast of Novopavlivka near Novosergiyevka ; east of Novopavlivka near Kotlyarivka and Horikhovo ; southeast of Novopavlivka near Dachny ; south of Novopavlivka near Filia ; and southwest of Novopavlivka near Zeleny Gay and Ivanivka.

    Also, on October 12, Russian troops continued offensive operations in the Velikomykhailiv direction, but did not advance.

    Russian troops advanced east of Velykomykhailivka near Novoselivka, Oleksandrograd, and Sichneve ; southeast of Velykomykhailivka near Sosnivka and Voronye ; south of Velykomykhailivka near Stepovoye and towards Orestopol ; and southwest of Velykomykhailivka near Verbovoye and Oleksiivka.

    Southern Front:

    Russian troops have recently advanced in the east of Zaporizhia region.

    Ukrainian military analyst Oleg Petrenko reported that Russian troops have advanced in the eastern part of Poltavka (northeast of Hulyaipol).

    On October 11 and 12, Russian forces attacked northeast of Hulyaipol near Novohrygorivka, Poltavka, and Pavlivka , as well as east of Hulyaipol near Malynivka and Zeleny Gay .

    A Russian “military blogger” meanwhile stated that Russian fiber-optic drones are striking vehicles along Ukrainian ground lines of communication near the administrative border between Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions , systematically trying to disrupt Ukrainian logistics.

    But in the western part of the Zaporizhia region, Ukrainian forces have recently achieved success.

    Ukrainian troops have liberated Mali Shcherbaky (southwest of Orekhov). Geolocation videos published on October 12 show units of a Ukrainian battalion raising flags in the settlement.

    Meanwhile, a Russian blogger affiliated with the Kremlin stated that Russian troops had allegedly advanced southeast of Stepnogorsk, although he did not provide any confirmation of these “advances . ”

    On October 11 and 12, Russian forces attacked southeast of Orekhov near Malaya Tokmachka , southwest of Orekhov near Stepovoye and Kamyansky , and west of Orekhov near Stepnogorsk and Primorsk.

    A Russian propagandist claimed that Ukrainian troops counterattacked near Malaya Tokmachka.

    OSINT researchers reported on October 11 that the Russian command had transferred units of the 11th Separate Airborne Brigade of the Russian Armed Forces to Kamyansk from the Kherson direction , where they operated at least until October 2.

    One of the Kremlin-linked Russian Z-bloggers declared that the southern outskirts of Primorske are a disputed “gray zone.” At the same time, propagandists complained that the occupiers’ advance near Primorske and Stepnohirsk is being hampered by the Ukrainians’ superiority in drones.

    Limited Russian attacks in the Kherson direction passed without any advances.

    There, as one of the Russian Z-bloggers claimed, on October 12, fighting continued on the islands in the Dnieper Delta.

    Propagandists also claimed that the occupiers attacked seven vehicles on the right bank of the Kherson region – along the M14 Kherson-Mykolaiv highway , and that they were remotely mining this road.

    Previously, OBOZ.UA reported that Russia had problems recruiting volunteers for the war against Ukraine.

    https://war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/osnovnij-metod-dav-zbij-u-rosii-vinikli-problemi-z-naborom-dobrovoltsiv-na-vijnu-proti-ukraini-isw.htm

    ISW analysts noted that even record payments do not help increase the flow of people willing to die in Ukraine. Those who apply to sign contracts, according to Russian recruiters, are mostly “very old” or sick.

    2. 205

      Limited Russian attacks in the Kherson direction passed without any advances.

      There, as one of the Russian Z-bloggers claimed, on October 12, fighting continued on the islands in the Dnieper Delta.

      Propagandists also claimed that the occupiers attacked seven vehicles on the right bank of the Kherson region – along the M14 Kherson-Mykolaiv highway , and that they were remotely mining this road.

      Previously, OBOZ.UA reported that Russia had problems recruiting volunteers for the war against Ukraine.

      https://war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/osnovnij-metod-dav-zbij-u-rosii-vinikli-problemi-z-naborom-dobrovoltsiv-na-vijnu-proti-ukraini-isw.htm

      ISW analysts noted that even record payments do not help increase the flow of people willing to die in Ukraine. Those who apply to sign contracts, according to Russian recruiters, are mostly “very old” or sick.

    4. johan No.1

      A lot is happening to say the least.

      In Kupiansk I am sitting and watching, and it doesn’t look good at all even though UA has carried out a counterattack.

      In NÖ om Pokrovsk, the situation seems to be escalating and Azov had a company of mechs shot down the other day – counterattacks at high risk.

      In Kupiansk, RU soldiers are running around in civilian clothes UNARMED, and then they pick up weapons inside the city.

      This is because UA drones do not shoot civilians.

       

  18. T23

    You haven’t considered getting a publishing certificate? Maybe it provides opportunities for even more unique content that can drive traffic?

    2. MXT

      Well, it’s not entirely uninteresting.

      Media support would of course be nice, but it seems to have been closed for a while now:

      “The application for media support for 2026 is closed. The Media Support Board’s decision on which media will be granted support is expected to come at the end of the year.

      The next application round for media support 2027 will open at some point during 2026.”
      https://mediemyndigheten.se/stod-till-medier/sok-mediestod/

      Furthermore, the requirements are quite high, editorial support requires having at least two full-time employees and a basic support cost of at least 750,000 SEK.

      So, we must first incur costs of at least 750,000 SEK to potentially receive support (but if support is granted, you can still receive up to 75%). 

    3. johan No.1

      I absolutely accept a publishing certificate, also accept book contracts, full-time job to form an opinion – no problem there as I work full-time.

       

  19. 205

    Looks like you’re making progress in your drone project, MXT:

    Mysterious light phenomena in the Luleå archipelago: “It was frightening” The fishing trip had just begun when the morning sky was filled with strange light phenomena. – There were plenty of them. We’re not talking about ten, more like between 50 and 100. It was frightening, says Robert Karlsson, professional fisherman.

    https://www.kuriren.nu/nyheter/lulea/artikel/mystiska-ljussken-i-lulea-skargard-det-var-skrammande/

  22. MXT

    “Over one billion SEK will go from the EU to Ukraine, according to the Union’s foreign minister Kaja Kallas during a meeting in Kyiv, as reported by TT.

    – The EU has already mobilized 800 million euros to support Ukraine this winter. We are working to secure an additional 100 million (1.1 billion SEK) for generators, shelters, and equipment to protect against the weather, she says according to the Ukrainian news agency Interfax Ukraine.

    Kallas made the statement at a press conference together with Ukraine’s foreign minister Andriy Sybiha.

    The meeting in Kyiv focused on ‘economic and military support, security in Ukraine’s energy sector, and holding Russia accountable for its war crimes’.”
    https://omni.se/eu-en-miljard-ska-ga-till-ukraina-i-vinter/a/lwpWVG

  23. johan No.1

    After the morning meeting with MXT, which is an afternoon meeting for him but since I have just been ennobled (Lord Johan No.1) we go by my time, so we concluded that I just reconfirm what I have said before so there are no question marks about this.

    A nuisance this thing with time because my daughter in Sweden called at 02:00 this morning and wanted me to report her sick to school – more important than me getting sleep. Then I woke up at five because my wife had a work meeting, she usually has to get up at three in the morning.

    I will write comments here in the thread which is the only thread I write in, and not post locked posts – I don’t know how the split between locked and unlocked works but for example U137 part 2 and 3 will probably come this week.

    It seems very clear that the interest in locked posts is low and in the true spirit of democracy I will not post locked posts but will post all that are open – I choose democracy every day of the week, dictatorships are for cowards.

    The 13% of voters who want us to run the blog voluntarily or shut it down – you share the posts every day and contribute to the discussion in the thread I hope or was it just about us 🧐

    Everything that can be said has been said so we don’t need to have more discussions about it.

    Now everything happened at once – the Palestinian movement outed themselves as pro-Russian revolutionaries, there was peace in Gaza, China increased pressure again and Trump did a pump and dump on the stock market.

    Apparently 2000 bitcoin millionaires took their lives this weekend but MXT is still here I saw this morning, MacelMac disappeared though, slightly worried.

    Economic warfare is starting to become valuable because at best it can stop global escalation – here the USA and Trump are completely right but the hatred still blinds. Time for the EU to join in, not in pump-and-dump on the stock market but in trying to economically bring down China.

    Ideally they should go back to the great leap and clap in rhythm under the trees.

    Only cowards believe that doing nothing leads to peace now – one probably tries to talk oneself into doing the right thing but when the path to war has begun, it is necessary to strike hard and fast, then there is a chance to minimize the consequences.

    Just look at the Vietnam War or the Thirty Years’ War – there was no cowardice there.

    1. Proxima

      Speaking of the 30 Years’ War and chickening out. General Lennart Torstensson actually got gout and rheumatic pain after a damp prison stay in Germany. He could barely mount his horse and had to be carried for certain stretches. He wanted to avoid the war because of the pain, but Johan Banér had died and LT saw it as his duty to Sweden to continue. Kristina appointed him as Field Marshal once he returned home. If, against all odds, there had been a health center where he lived, the nurse would probably have prescribed 2 paracetamol and 1 ibuprofen for him. Also, that he should drink a lot (of water).

  24. MXT

    “Defense conglomerate Saab receives additional order of 9.6 billion Swedish kronor from the Swedish Defense Materiel Administration (FMV) related to the defense submarines. This is stated in a press release.

    – Saab is currently building the world’s most advanced conventional submarines for Sweden. Thanks to excellent cooperation between Saab and FMV, we have ensured that Sweden has a state-of-the-art underwater capability that will contribute to our ability to keep our waters secure for decades to come,” says Saab’s CEO Micael Johansson in a statement.

    The company’s stock bounced up about 1 percent from today’s deep red bottom. Around 2:45 PM, the stock is down 3 percent.”
    https://omni.se/saab-sakrar-tillaggsavtal-for-forsvarets-ubatar/a/qP2wQg

    1. Proxima

      The project was called “Viking” when it started. It was intended to be a submarine collaboration with Denmark and Norway. The Danes abolished their submarine weapon (and also their ground-based air defense) and invested everything in 5 large frigates instead. But there are forces in DK that want to reintroduce the submarine weapon. Norway chose German submarines. I believe it was a Norwegian requirement to install a diver lock in the bow. The shipyard was not in a condition to build submarines when Saab took over. Two owners, the USA and Germany, did not invest any money in the shipyard, and the Swedish politicians (regardless of party color) slept and dreamed of eternal peace. Now the shipyard is on the move. A new submarine is planned (together with Poland???) and Kockums has bought a large piece of the shipyard peninsula in Landskrona to build parts in the old hull hall of Öresundsvarvet.

  25. johan No.1

    The first major scalp for RU seems to be the northern Luhansk up to Oskil.

    In Kupinsk, they run in unarmed in civilian clothes to avoid being droned, and once inside the city, they take weapons from fallen Russians.

    Ukrainian shooters in their trenches have a constant swarm of Russians around them who are constantly trying to shoot them – what an extremely stressful situation.

    This is an area UA can never retake unless they bring down Russia.

    This area is very important for RU as it becomes a sustainable anchor in their northern flank.

  26. alfaomega

    A completely different matter, during Sunday evening’s party leader debate on SVT, Ulf Kristersson pointed out that it was a bit strange to debate the war in Gaza when we have Russia’s war against Ukraine happening in our vicinity and with greater risks for us.
    I think it was well done to bring that up, even though there will certainly be “better” debate about Gaza/Palestine since all party leaders are more or less in agreement regarding the stance on Russia’s war in Ukraine, but that there are more conflict areas in the Gaza and Palestine issue.

  27. johan No.1

    I’m sitting here watching the party leader debate, can’t find the whole thing but found a “best of” on SVT.

    It’s hard to ignore that Mohamsson is sensible, a good addition to the Tidö team. Direct, clear, and she has chosen the right side to the right of center.

    So far, she has spoken out on several sensitive issues and landed on the right side, and she did well in the debate.

    Since the Tidö team now lacks a “good cop” in the debate, they should be very grateful for Mohamsson, that’s my strong opinion – they shouldn’t mess this up.

    C didn’t want to see Anderson as prime minister in the show of hands – this election is definitely going to be exciting 😀

    It will also be perfect for Russia, they like small margins and activate their overbought members of parliament when needed.

    2. Proxima

      Agree with Mohamsson. She is brave. No cooperation with the Sweden Democrats because the majority in the party does not want to. Then it is better to follow your moral compass and say no and face the consequences of possibly falling below the threshold. If she had done the opposite and fallen below the threshold anyway, the Liberal Party would have completely lost its soul.

    3. johan No.1

      Thank you Alfa, now my colleague is back so I can’t sit and watch videos and have to look like I’m working.

      She is so damn brave even though she was probably forced to make a tough statement by that faction in the party and preferably wouldn’t have done it.

      If the Liberal Party can just sort themselves out internally, it’s a winning concept to have them on the next trip as well.

      Anna Karin Hatt seemed mostly like she feels she’s on the wrong side of the fence, in my opinion?

      1. Proxima

        Anna Karin did not want to be elected as the new Chairperson. But then Maud Olofsson called her for a so-called “mother-daughter” conversation. After the conversation, Anna Karin had changed her mind.

    1. johan No.1

      Do you think he’s reading the thread 😶

      Obviously they will attack earlier but the concept of attack is quite broad.

      The most likely scenario is small green men in SE Estonia ready with a liberation front.

      It will only be full cowboy if China needs it for its escalation.

      —

      Fun that the new calibration finally came – he threw out Carsten Breuer’s analysis with the bathwater anyway even though he didn’t mention him by name.

  30. johan No.1

    I have a post in progress about us now being at the beginning of our time’s global conflict, which I’m sharing openly because it’s one of the more important posts along with all the twists and the main storyline.

    Even though the scenario of Ukraine taking Moscow and Putin being left hanging + full-scale war in Europe has a lower probability, as I believe I’ve written.

    In any case, the coming years will be exciting, even though the global conflict will largely be fought in Southeast Asia.

  32. johan No.1

    Trying to find my post with the main thread for escalation but it was difficult, however all the information has been in the posts for a long time for world leaders to make decisions on.

    Don’t understand why Germany has only now understood that Russia will attack.

      1. johan No.1

        The average for the month after half of the month in SE3 is a bit on the high side, or do you have any relativizing thoughts on that too 😀

        After all, it hasn’t gotten cold yet.

    3. PD

      Yes, it doesn’t feel good, we are considering signing up for 6 months, talked to Eon on Friday and there are 4 or 6-month contracts not so cheap.
      But it feels better with a fixed price than to nibble on omeprazole in large quantities all winter 😱

  35. PD

    I don’t understand why everyone is hesitant, much of what the Russians are doing is indeed preparations for war. The German boss wants to speak plainly but it took a long time. The politicians in the EU are cowardly. I look forward to your post. Now that Agneta Sjödin is also gray-haired, she and I match well 😍

     

    1. johan No.1

      haha, yes, it’s all about seizing the right opportunity to maximize one’s chances 😀

      Yep, it’s full-scale war preparation that we’re seeing when everyone thinks the Russians are trying to scare us – no, they’re not scaring us, they’re preparing for war with us.

  37. Kaitsetahe

    Watch the discussion about book publishing.

    The following is right ok in price depending on how much you want to spend on cover, type of paper, number of images, etc.
    https://www.gml.se/planera-och-berakna-pris-pa-din-bok
    The family has used them and thought it was good and fair.

    Regarding sponsors, an email to Röda Stjärna (www.rodastjarnan.com) to sound out the situation?
    Likewise, an email to the Lottas and similar – to check interest. By contacting these, they can also drive traffic to us.
    We could have a collaboration in such a way that we advertise for them here and they advertise for us on their site. Everyone gets traffic and we spread in interested circles.

    Does anyone know how much a small ad in MSB’s magazine 24/7 would cost? (if I remember the name correctly, but someone from MÖP should know).

    At least sounding out the terrain with some emails could be a start for different things…

    Mech: There is also spreadshirt (https://www.spreadshop.net/)… and we don’t need to have a fixed range, but maybe do it a bit like Saint Javelin; change as things happen in the Ukraine war…?
    For example, a t-shirt with “Booming Flamingo” as text… then when the next robot/missile comes – a new t-shirt.. You get it. Then there will be new and unique things that people (hopefully) want.
    Just some thoughts.

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