Russian losses in Ukraine:
- 1070 KIA
- 3 Tanks
- 2 AFVs
- 43 Artillery systems
- 2 Anti-Aircraft system
- 389 UAVs
- 141 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
SLAVA UKRAINI
NOTE! Don’t miss Johan’s post:
U137 part 2 – debaters journalists and others in the submarine issue, October 16, 2025
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AFU reports:
As reported by AFU, 184 battles were distributed with 163 as below. A total that is largely unchanged. But clearly decreasing to a noticeable pressure in the north. Also decreasing in Luhansk, with only a noticeable pressure. The increase was found in the pressure cooker Donetsk and in the south where the pressure reached a noticeable level.
👍
Half off-topic. If there were to be a global war, what practical measures should one take? Which supply chains will be disrupted – what should one stock up on?
There is a lot written about prepping, I think it’s a good start for any crisis.
A good start is probably to read some books about prepping to get advice and tips and at the same time form your own comprehensive opinion. It’s quite individual depending on whether you live in a house in the countryside (with your own well, fireplace maybe crops, etc.) or if you are in an apartment in the middle of the city.
A bit much to go into here but of course, it’s food, water, possibly medication, backup, etc. but the most important thing is probably mainly to prepare mentally for the situation and to be resourceful (knowledge and creativity are very valuable in a crisis situation).
If we end up in a real war, I believe the electricity supply will be particularly hard hit. *)
It’s important to secure possibilities for cooking and warmth and of course also fuel for transportation if you have to move longer distances.
*) Off-topic – Here it is of course extra sensitive that we are so dependent on hydropower from the north. Some strategically placed SMRs would be very valuable.
Evacuation zone expanded in Kharkiv Oblast as Russian forces advance near Kupiansk. In total, 601 children from 409 families are to be relocated to safer areas. https://kyivindependent.com/evacuation-zone-expanded-in-kharkiv-oblast-as-russian-forces-advance-near-kupiansk/
On Oct. 15, the military monitoring group DeepState reported that Russian forces had captured the village of Myrne in Kupiansk district and were advancing toward the nearby village of Ivanivka.
Kupiansk itself has become a focal point of Russia’s renewed offensive in Kharkiv Oblast. Since Sept. 28, it has been closed to civilians due to ongoing combat operations and the threat of Russian sabotage groups.
“Over the past few weeks, the situation has worsened. The enemy has begun clearing operations, and our positions have gradually been lost. Some were simply destroyed by artillery and drones,” DeepState wrote on Oct. 14.
Had a busy day both at work and in the evening yesterday, have replied to some of the comments in yesterday’s thread.
(https://johanno1.se/sv/nar-kriget-kommer-15-oktober-2025/)
🇨🇺 🇷🇺 At least 1,076 Cuban nationals have fought or are fighting for Russia in Ukraine, Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) told the Kyiv Independent on Oct. 15. Ninety-six are known to have died or gone missing in action.
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-latest-update-2025-10-15
🇸🇪 🇩🇰 Denmark allocates over $170 million for Ukraine’s military support; Sweden weighs new aircraft supply
Last updated 8:12 p.m. Kyiv time.
Denmark has pledged $171 million in military aid to Ukraine, while Sweden is considering the delivery of additional aircraft.
The $171 million aid will be used to support Ukraine’s navy, repair tanks, and provide education and training for Ukrainian military personnel, according to a statement from the Danish Defense Ministry published on Oct. 15.
The package also includes initiatives targeting the maritime sector and armored vehicle maintenance. Funds are also allocated for fuel donations and support within rehabilitation zones, both implemented under NATO’s auspices.
Swedish Defense Minister Pal Jonson, speaking ahead of the NATO defense ministers’ meeting in Brussels on Oct. 15, said Sweden is prepared to expand its support through the Prioritized Ukraine Requirements List (PURL) initiative and the aviation coalition.
According to Jonson, Stockholm aims to supply radar reconnaissance and early warning aircraft to Ukraine as an initial step, and will later consider the potential delivery of Swedish Gripen fighter jets.
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-latest-update-2025-10-15/
This is the crux of the matter. Later consider the Gripen. When what has changed? Why not now?
It’s probably a “standard response.” You won’t, for example, announce that the Gripen is being sent to Ukraine in a press conference. It will be there when it’s there.
So one will absolutely manage the communication, but I wondered about the decision itself and what kind of unknown natural forces are holding us back.
I believe that the Ukrainian Deputy Minister of Defense said a little too much in an interview with English media. Among other things, that the Gripen C is to be sent to Ukraine. Kristersson and Johnsson have tried in various ways to brush it off by saying that it concerns the Gripen E after the war. Reading between the lines, one understands that it concerns the C and that is probably close. It might already be there.
India is still an unwritten card. A joker🃏? In that case, a significant one.
🇮🇳 India assures White House it will stop buying Russian oil, Trump says. “There will be no oil, (Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is) not buying his oil from Russia, it started — you know, you can’t do it immediately, it’s a little bit of a process, but the process is going to be over with soon,” U.S. President Donald Trump said.
https://kyivindependent.com/india-assures-white-house-it-will-stop-buying-russian-oil-trump-says
India continues to walk a tightrope and invests in both red and black. I wonder what their role in the Brics world would look like if it came to a head. But does Putin have any oil to sell to them? The shadow fleet continues while the Russians are out of gasoline.
The Ukrainian Defense Forces pushed back the enemy near Novyi Shakhove and Kucheriv Yar. Deepstate October 15, 2025
Well written by Carl Heath about Haten and Hatt-en!
https://carlheath.se/en-tanke-om-en-avgang-nar-strukturen-formar-hatet/
Response to/from yesterday’s thread!
205
2025-10-15 at 20:13:00
“… harder for democracies to make quick, coordinated decisions, which in itself is a goal for actors who want to weaken Western cohesion.”
There is a reason to review the EU constitution and the element of supranationality. Perhaps it should not be overestimated, though; we also see in the USA that different states can pull in different directions than what the federal administration has set as a goal. However, one can assume that the USA, as a federation, has a completely different preparedness for attempts by foreign powers to divide and manipulate the nation (the United States).
My comment!
Yes, that’s where the core lies. Democracies build their strength on deliberation, on testing and weighing rather than obeying. It makes us slower in peacetime but more resilient in the long run. We also have long-term financial/innovative advantages as described by the Nobel Prize in Economics 2024!
The problem is that authoritarian regimes have learned to exploit the temporary sluggishness as a weapon.
I share your thought that the institutional design of the EU should be reviewed, not to blindly centralize power, but to create the ability for a rapid collective response without sacrificing the principles of the rule of law. The US federation has, as you mention, a longer institutional heritage of crisis preparedness and internal security coordination. The EU still lacks that nervous system. Otherwise, one can prepare for quick decisions! Create different scenarios (which I believe are done by the military, but it is the politicians who are slow).
The question is therefore not how much power the EU should have, but what kind of decision-making capacity democracies need in a time when hybrid warfare and disinformation are directed at our slowness.
As my father-in-law Aulis Aarnio used to point out: the strength of the rule of law lies not in speed, but in predictability. There, I have added a third dimension that is NOT just resilience but I want to call it adaptability; we want to become better under pressure and to defend that predictability against forces deliberately creating chaos.