Ukraine’s attacks on the Russian oil refineries continued last night. According to the reports that have come out, two of them have been targeted. The Kuybyshevsk Refinery (initial reports indicated they would have attacked Novokuybyshevsk again, but it doesn’t seem to be the case), and the Afipsky Oil Refinery in Krasnodar. Fuel prices have already risen, and there have also been reports of shortages and queues. It is mainly in the more remote regions that they are careful to ensure Moscow, St. Petersburg, and other major cities receive their fuel. Of course, they do not want them to notice the problems and start protests, so it is mainly the poorer part of the population that is affected.
The Kuybyshevsk Refinery has an annual maximum capacity of about 7 million tons per year (at the same time, there is information that they have only processed 3.7 some years).
The Afipsky Oil Refinery has an annual maximum capacity of about 6.25 million tons per year (at the same time, there is information that it processed 7 million tons in 2023).
Russian losses in Ukraine:
- 880 KWIA
- 4 Tanks
- 7 AFVs
- 40 Artillery systems
- 2 MLRS
- 325 UAVs
- 120 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
- 2 Special equipment
SLAVA UKRAINI
Russia’s military budget continues to increase
For quite some time, the attitude was that Russia had no chance against Ukraine because they have such a small economy compared to Europe. Their GDP is only about the same size as the Nordic countries.
I wrote (on another site) that while this is true, Russia invested significantly more than the 2-3% that we spent on defense. Additionally, even though we spend more on defense overall in Europe, it also matters how much of that actually goes to Ukraine. I then calculated that perhaps around 10% reaches Ukraine and concluded that Russia has a significantly larger military budget than that. So, it doesn’t matter so much that Europe has a much larger economy; it ultimately comes down to what one can, and is willing to, provide to Ukraine. I warned then that things didn’t look so bright for Ukraine. I didn’t get much support. Russia didn’t stand a chance.
This was early, before I found any statistics on how much support Ukraine receives each year. Now there are figures on what we actually give.
According to the Ukraine Support Tracker, Ukraine has received and been promised support totaling 596 billion USD so far, but looking at what has actually been delivered, they value it at 360 billion USD. This includes both military and humanitarian aid. So, it’s about 102 billion USD per year.
There are now reports that Russia is spending around 1 trillion per year.
https://omni.se/ryska-krigsbudgeten-fem-miljarder-kronor-per-dag/a/GykeXJ
This should probably be taken with a grain of salt, and of course, not all of it goes directly to the war in Ukraine, but if we estimate low, 500 billion USD, that is 5 times more than what we support Ukraine with despite Europe’s GDP being more than 5 times higher than Russia’s!
An argument often put forward is that the West maintains a much higher technical quality with better precision, etc. This is certainly true for traditional equipment, but today drones have become dominant, and that development has exploded during the war, where Russia (with the help of China and Iran with Shahed) has been far ahead and is now producing larger volumes.
The West had the chance to provide Ukraine with what was needed to win as early as the fall of 2022 but chose not to do so.
Now they have allowed Russia to develop its industry and acquire allies to help them. Their economy is suffering greatly, but it is still far from affecting their military efforts.
Europe must do much more!
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
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🔥🛢️/1. The second Russian oil refinery attacked tonight is the Afipsky Oil Refinery in the Krasnodar region with the capacity of 7 million tons of oil per year.
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lxgnlg6xns22
/2. More of Afipsky Oil Refinery after the attack.
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lxgnmsqnq222
NOTE! It is the Kuybyshevsk Refinery and not Novokuybyshevsk. See the last post for a map:
“🔥🛢️/1. Tonight there is a very large attack on the Russian Novokuybyshevsk oil refinery with a capacity of 7.9 million tons per year, Samara region of Russia. According to eyewitnesses, at least dozens of drones hit the refinery. The entire territory is shrouded in smoke and fire after the attack.”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lxgm5vwhtk22
“/2. Russian witnesses report at least 17 drone strikes at Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lxgmdwxgwc22
“/3. Moment of drone strikes on refinery”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lxgmstcl7222
“/4. More videos of the intense fire on the territory of the refinery.”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lxgn373r2s22
“/5. Some Russian air defense can be seen trying to repel a drone attack on an oil refinery that is already completely engulfed in flames.”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lxgn7yjifc22
“/6. ‼️Important update. Kuybyshevsk Refinery, not Novokuybyshevsk Refinery, was subjected to a massive drone attack tonight. Both refineries are located literally across the street from each other, which is where the inaccuracy came from. Kuybyshevsk Refinery has a capacity of 7 million tons per year”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lxgoi4rzb223
AFU reports:
139 combat clashes
84 aviation strikes
154 KAB
5,177 artillery shelling (86 from MLRS)
5,770 kamikaze drones
As you may have understood from the number of UAVs in the report on the Russian losses, Ukraine was also heavily attacked by Russian forces last night.
“🔴 UPD: Eight people were killed as a result of the Russian attack on Kyiv overnight. UNITED24 Media correspondent Daniel Kosoy reports from the scene.”
https://bsky.app/profile/united24media.com/post/3lxgt7h4am32v
Right now in Kyiv, first responders are clearing the rubble of an ordinary residential building after a Russian strike. Another massive attack against our cities and communities. Killings again. Tragically, at least 8 people have already been confirmed dead. One of them is a child. My condolences to all their families and loved ones.
People may still be trapped under the rubble. Dozens are wounded. These Russian missiles and attack drones today are a clear response to everyone in the world who, for weeks and months, has been calling for a ceasefire and for real diplomacy. Russia chooses ballistics instead of the negotiating table. It chooses to continue killing instead of ending the war. And this means that Russia still does not fear the consequences. Russia still takes advantage of the fact that at least part of the world turns a blind eye to murdered children and seeks excuses for Putin.
We expect a reaction from China to what is going on. China has repeatedly called for not expanding the war and for a ceasefire. Yet this is not happening because of Russia. We expect a reaction from Hungary. The death of children should definitely stir far greater emotions than anything else. We expect a response from everyone in the world who has called for peace but now more often stays silent rather than taking principled positions.
And it is definitely time for new, tough sanctions against Russia for everything it is doing. All deadlines have already been broken, dozens of opportunities for diplomacy ruined. Russia must feel accountable for every strike, for every day of this war. Eternal memory to all victims of Russia!
Russia now feels it has effectively paralyzed Ukraine’s allies in a futile cycle of meetings and “negotiations” in which no sanctions or consequences have been applied.
Overnight, Russians expanded their killing into Kyiv, in a 9 hour missile attack that claimed the lives of 8 people, among them a child.
https://x.com/stratcomcentre/status/1960936713821311377?s=46
Reported on it already yesterday evening, but in case anyone missed it, things were lively on Crimea yesterday. Unfortunately, I haven’t seen any more reports, we’ll see if more information comes up later.
“Explosions over Simferopol, occupied Crimea. Meanwhile, UAV danger has expanded to the Voronezh, Saratov and Volgograd regions.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lxfwm7ed3s2h
“Russian air defense is actively searching for targets over occupied Sevastopol tonight. Eyewitnesses also report a missile or aircraft flying over Krasnoperekopsk. Multiple areas across Crimea are seeing heavy activity—this is not a routine night.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lxfvm4ime22h
“🔥 Volgograd region, Petrov Val, railway substation attacked!”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lxg635swrk23
“Rheinmetall has opened a new munitions factory in Unterlüß, Germany—built in just 1.5 years. Once at full capacity, it could become Europe’s largest artillery shell production site, possibly even the world’s. Output is set to hit 350,000 shells annually, with much headed to Ukraine.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lxfxa3jrl22h
DeepStateMap from yesterday:
“The enemy advanced in Zarichne, Kotlynne, near Kolodyazy and Olhivske.”
Downwards, downwards, downwards. But not on the fronts that “count”.
N Slobozhansky-Kursk 9💥↘️
S Slobozhansky 5
Kupyansk 6
Lyman 20💥↘️
Siverskyi 3↘️
Kramatorsk 0↘️
Toretsk 9💥
Pokrovsk 41💥💥
Novopavlivka 21💥
Huliaypillia 0
Orikhivsk 0
Dnipro/Prydniprovsky 0
👍
“Many of the world’s authoritarian leaders will appear when China hosts a large military parade next week. Of the 26 heads of state or government, Kim Jong-Un (North Korea), Vladimir Putin (Russia), Aleksandr Lukashenko (Belarus), and Masoud Pezeshkian (Iran) are seen.
The only EU leader expected to show up is Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, who has spoken highly of Putin and been a vocal critic of EU’s support for Ukraine. From a European perspective, Serbia’s President Aleksandar Vucic will also participate.”
https://omni.se/kinas-militarovning-lockar-kim-putin-och-lukasjenko/a/nydO9B
That Serbia has shown itself to belong to another darker world we already knew, but that even Slovakia’s Fico openly shows himself on the wrong side like this surprised me at least.
Across occupied Ukraine, Russia has caused a devastating water crisis it cannot fix
All across the Russian-occupied Ukrainian land, Moscow is struggling to provide one of the most basic needs of the very people it claims to have “liberated” — water.
— Kyiv Independent
⚡ 589 ENEMY TARGETS DESTROYED/SUPPRESSED
On the night of August 28 (starting at 7:30 p.m. on August 27), the enemy launched a massive strike on the territory of Ukraine using strike UAVs, air- and ground-based missiles, for a total of 629 air attack weapons:
– 598 Shahed-type strike UAVs and various types of dummy drones from the directions of Kursk, Bryansk, Millerovo, Orel, Shatalovo, Primorsko-Akhtarsk – Russian Federation, Gvardeyskoye – TOT Crimea;
– 2 Kh-47M2 “Kinzhal” aeroballistic missiles from the airspace of the Lipetsk and Voronezh regions – Russian Federation;
– 9 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles from the Bryansk and Voronezh regions – Russian Federation;
– 20 Kh-101 cruise missiles from the airspace of the Saratov region – Russian Federation.
The air attack was repelled by aviation, anti-aircraft missile forces, electronic warfare and unmanned systems units, and mobile fire groups of the Ukrainian Defense Forces.
💥 According to preliminary data, as of 09:00, air defense forces shot down/suppressed 589 air targets:
– 563 enemy Shahed-type UAVs and various types of drone simulators;
– 1 Kh-47M2 “Kinzhal” aeroballistic missile;
– 7 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles;
– 18 Kh-101 cruise missiles.
Missile and strike UAV hits were recorded at 13 locations, with debris falling at 26 locations.
Pretty good considering the amount. 👍
⚡️Important targets of Russian occupiers hit
On the night of August 28, 2025, units of the Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a number of important targets belonging to the Russian aggressor.
⚡️In particular, units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ Unmanned Systems Forces and the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense attacked the Afipsky Oil Refinery in the Krasnodar Krai of the Russian Federation. This oil refinery, whose main products are gasoline and diesel fuel, is involved in supplying the invading army. Its annual processing capacity is 6.25 million tons of oil per year.
A large-scale fire was recorded on the territory of the facility.
⚡️In addition, units of the Unmanned Systems Forces and Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine carried out a fire strike on the Kuibyshev Oil Refinery in the Samara region of the Russian Federation. The enterprise produces gasoline, diesel fuel, fuel oil, solvents, and a total of more than 30 types of petroleum products. Its processing capacity is 7 million tons of oil per year. Explosions and a fire were recorded on the territory of the plant.
⚡️In addition, the Unmanned Systems Forces, Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and the Security Service of Ukraine, in cooperation with other components of the Defense Forces, struck ammunition depots and a number of logistics facilities of the Russian aggressor involved in supplying the armed forces of the Russian invaders. The facilities are located both directly in the Russian Federation and in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine.
Detailed information on the consequences of the strikes is being clarified.
The Defense Forces continue to take all measures to undermine the military and economic potential of the Russian occupiers, to ensure the supply of fuel, lubricants, and ammunition to the invading army, and to force the Russian Federation to stop its armed aggression against Ukraine.
To be continued… Glory to Ukraine!🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/16rLpyempC/
With more strikes on processing units at refineries, Russia’s fuel situation is set to worsen further. Most of the equipment cannot be repaired quickly and is even harder to replace, as only a handful of countries manufacture such niche equipment – and China isn’t one of them.
https://x.com/tatarigami_ua/status/1960963756332343534?s=12
Regarding my addition in today’s post about Russia’s military budget.
All but one of Europe’s countries now reach 2%.
After 3.5 years of war.
Obviously, they are not taking it seriously and not doing everything they can for Ukraine.
“This year, all NATO countries meet the alliance’s two percent goal, NATO said on Thursday, according to AFP. The only exception is Iceland, which does not have its own military defense.
That 31 out of 32 countries meet the stated goal is a major step forward compared to 2024, when only 18 countries allocated 2 percent of GDP to defense. The American news magazine Newsweek describes it as a major victory for Donald Trump, who has long been a driving force on the issue.
At the same time, NATO approved a new five percent goal during the summer, and many countries still have a long way to go.”
https://omni.se/alla-medlemslander-klarar-natos-tvaprocentsmal-i-ar/a/Gykndm
“Moscow has a ”negative attitude” towards European soldiers acting as peacekeeping forces in Ukraine and as a security guarantee after the war, says Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov. The Kremlin particularly dislikes that several of the countries are part of NATO, writes Politico.
The statement contradicts Donald Trump’s claim that Russia would accept such an arrangement. Trump claimed that he had specifically asked Vladimir Putin about this with the addition that the Russian president had no objections.
But the new statement from the Kremlin casts doubt on whether European security guarantees are possible at all, writes the political site.”
https://omni.se/kreml-gar-emot-trump-inte-okej-med-europeiska-styrkor/a/RzLlBW