Now moving on to the USA and Churchill’s “The Americans will always do the right thing after they have exhausted all the other possibilities.”
The timeline until we get there is probably 3-4 years at least, right?
First, they need to lose their dollar status, experience a major financial crash, and see China ruthlessly increasing its influence in Asia – only then might things start to heat up, perhaps?
Trump also has three years before he can be voted out unless he makes a huge mistake and gets voted out.
Whatever happens, Europe needs to pull its own weight from now on, and it seems like we have understood that. We want to make a world-leading point that the world has never seen a united Europe before, especially not together with Ukraine, Australia, NZ, South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan standing on Europe’s side.
We have seen France, Germany, or the UK trying to take over Europe, or the world, on their own, but a borderless cooperation where everyone is pulling in the same direction is something no living despot or bottle-bottom-glasses-wearing Chinese can draw historical experiences from history and prepare for.
That is probably why everyone else is trying to divide Europe so that we are not united, and it is quite clear that they have failed thanks to Ukraine holding out for as long as they have so that we could get organized.
The coordinated influence operation from China and Russia that we are seeing now indicates what their plans are for the future in my opinion – we are heading towards a war where small weak countries will be the first to fall, and they intend to keep Europe passive and fully occupied with internal conflicts and completely fabricated irrelevant problems.
USA/Biden/Trump have (probably) tried to balance this so that Europe does not rise up, and we would end up in a cold war instead because that would be better than a full global war. The USA had its best years during the (previous) Cold War.
That is a little dirty secret that only Johan No.1 knew about, but now it has been revealed in their security plan, as we have been saying for a couple of years now – the USA is trying to keep Europe passive and scared so that we will pay the USA anything.
Everyone should watch out for China – right now, their fishing fleet has been in focus not for the first time at all, but it is clearly described – they went to the Galapagos and vacuumed the seabed of endangered species.
First – where are the world’s environmental organizations that have the salary and status to prevent us from deforesting for some frog that there are three million of in every swamp north of Uppsala?
Or that we should restore swamps that breed mosquito plagues when all land north of Uppsala is already a mosquito hell?
For the Galapagos is a bit of a world heritage site (freely fantasizing now ๐).
Here, hundreds of ships are in and around Argentina’s coast, vacuuming up products without the right to do so, and a fleet of thousands of ships and the very definition of a marine locust swarm.

China today is what Europe and (perhaps…) the USA have managed to move away from – a destructive expansionist force growing at the expense of all others and destroying everything in their path to benefit only their own citizens. China is simply a classic colonial power that we in the West have learned not to be, as it is not morally justifiable. But letting China be that instead doesn’t make the colonized minority peoples particularly happier, does it?
Russia is even worse, they advance by stepping over bloody child corpses and seem quite pleased with their efforts and the imprint they leave on history. They praise themselves as one of the great powers, which is interesting because they got it for free after WW2 as a thank you, and then during the Cold War, they were an existential threat, but anyone with the right strength of glasses can see for themselves that they are an inflated balloon of half-empty threats and only kill civilians who cannot defend themselves.
Yes, there is a risk that we awaken something in Europe that has been dormant since WW2, or even since colonial times, now that Europe must go to war. But I really want to believe that we can manage to balance this delicate line this time, despite failing miserably every other time and being responsible for quite a lot of bad things in the world.
Now that you know the truths that Johan No.1 has delivered over the years because you have read all the posts and subscribed (because you do that before Christmas, right ๐ง), here is another situation report that will largely be accurate since I stole it from Pearson’s book.
Europe must deal with Russia, and over time, we will probably implement the following soft measures –
-Support Ukraine to a resounding victory that they then use to bring down Russia, which will split into about ten new countries where they have excellent relations with the six neighboring oblasts – even though they promise us throughout the journey that they absolutely will not do it.
-We welcome Ukraine into the EU and “our” defense alliance JEF because the USA/Trump sabotaged NATO with a certain drift in goals so that instead of defending against Russia, it became about defending against the EU.
-Kaliningrad becomes an autonomous demilitarized tax-free enclave with close ties to the EU, where everyone in Europe goes to buy tax-free products smuggled in from Russia.
-Belarus undergoes a popular revolution, orients itself towards the EU, and enters the prospect list as they mine the eastern border again and get an EU-friendly government.
-The Baltic Sea is secured through JEF, and the question is whether the Russian Baltic fleet will still exist after this, probably not because it is one of the easiest to knock out, which would hurt significantly.
-The border with Russia from northern Finland down to SE Ukraine is completely mined again, and not a single Russian over the border for 80 years.
-The EU takes shell protection seriously, and the whole EU participates in paying for it; we have already seen them solve the financing issue somewhat decently, so we will end up there.
Europe has reached the goal in our current global conflict that risked needing to be fought on our soil, which we mostly avoided because Ukraine took a very bloody hit for the team without us being the least bit grateful for four long years.
What the USA does or doesn’t do here is irrelevant; all we need to do is, as far as possible, not become the scapegoat for the financial crash in 2026-2027 as we did in 2008 – if we fail to counter that, there is a risk that violent warlike intentions will be replaced by ousted governments instead, which is everyone else’s plan.
In their emergency warehouses and arsenal, Europe already has an absolutely ENORMOUS arsenal today, what we have not taken seriously is the war in 2025, and that there could be war again.
We have also had weak politicians in good times who have never had to do their job properly and have been half infiltrated by Russian subversive activities.
Now that we are over the final hurdle thanks to Ukraine generously giving us all the time we needed, we have everything in the warehouses throughout Europe and also the personnel.
Japan, South Korea, Australia, NZ, Taiwan, and the Philippines all have the same problem โ China wants to dominate them. Just like the Baltic states and Ukraine, all the countries mentioned above understand that if Taiwan is allowed to be overrun, it will only be the beginning of the world’s largest looting spree since the Mongols.
If the US continues to play dirty, these countries will turn to us, and we will show leadership because we have already started doing so. Most likely, Australia will receive a lot of capability from us in the future; we do not need an excessive amount of navy here, so we have significant redundancy, for example.
We can also spare aircraft and some ground troops, although I don’t think that will be necessary once the Japanese start getting involved.
Robots and indirect capabilities will be built and shipped so Australia becomes some kind of spiky violent hedgehog and a home base for the Southeast Asian expeditionary force, which is protected behind the front line consisting of all the other countries.
Here, Europe has the position every great leader would love to have (again); the war is fought in a different geographical location, and other countries are in the danger zone โ we just need to provide the capability, which we managed to avoid doing in Ukraine for four long years.
Probably, this can be solved through voluntary recruitment rather than compulsory mobilization, although I want to see full equality and representation of all identities and affiliations we have learned about in recent years โ equality in death is crucial.
Similar to what the US could have done but chose not to, even though Trump’s victory perfume was incredibly fragrant, and he absolutely deserved FIFA’s peace medal, which I didn’t even know they had โ seems to be a centuries-old prize that the board had no idea the chairman would give to Trump.
We in Europe do not decide if China or China-USA go to war; they decide that themselves. However, Russia has already chosen war, and we must continue to fight it with Ukrainian soldiers’ lives still at stake. But whether Asia explodes or not is something we have absolutely no influence over.
Probably, now the US, after trying to drag Europe into a cold war, excessively favoring Russia, and shamelessly giving in to China’s blackmail, will follow up that fiasco of betrayal by declaring war on China instead.
Or maybe China manages to strike first โ a bit difficult to determine exactly how the start will look.
Neither party will be able to invade the other, so it will be an elephant wrestling match with axe kicks in Southeast Asia until both get tired.
How long do we think the war in Asia will last โ 3 to 5 years?
Europe now has a great opportunity for OUR golden age, not a return to the dark ages with decommissioned nuclear power and rampant crime, which was supposed to be our best time according to the Sandviken report. Real prosperity if we don’t completely drop the ball and if we manage to resist the Green Party’s advances for a better world for all.
We build a mined wall against the east and cut all ties โ production, products, energy, and visas.
We boost all energy production, manufacturing, and research within the EU (again…).
We turn to good countries in Africa with FAIR agreements (yes, I want to emphasize that because the last time we tried with Leopold apples, it didn’t go so well), and we gain an ENORMOUS market and all the resources we need. Today, I cannot put into words how many natural resources Angola has โ it is tens if not hundreds of times more than what is currently considered their reserves simply because maybe 0.2% of the country’s area has been prospected.
When Africa gains access to tax-free trade agreements with the EU, knowledge, expertise, entrepreneurs, and adventurers will automatically start migrating, while labor moves up and gains work experience.
They will do a Poland, first working with us, learning trades and expertise, then returning and turning the country into a rocket of the year and one of the countries millionaires choose to live in by 2025.
The African countries that choose us will grow in prosperity alongside us, and the world’s first win-win will have occurred despite everyone claiming such a thing did not exist.
Now, as the dollar collapses after the US has plundered its way to the last breath for a while, and the BRICS currency turns to dust as everyone just sits on a mountain of another country’s currency but nothing to buy, someone exclaims through bottle-bottom glasses, “But what about the EURO…”
And yes, the EUR will be the world’s currency for the next 80 years, balancing on top of the European victory soufflรฉ.
When the whole of Africa and Europe engage in trade in EUR, it will automatically spread globally, right? What China is trying to do with its “world currency basket,” the EUR can do entirely on its own.
All we need to do is dare to go to war and kill those Russian bastards, help our pals without betraying them like we did with Ukraine, not stab ourselves with the climate knife that the Green Party presents with an innocent smile, and finally, be fair to Africa for real this time. Yes, you’re probably also thinking that we have failed at all of this repeatedly in the past, but third time’s the charm, isn’t that how the saying goes.
What the US does has no bearing on this, and Russia/China can also do as they please; if we make the right decisions, we will have 80 years at the top of the pyramid, and I cannot imagine a better constellation to manage it, even though we mismanaged it terribly for hundreds of years the last time we were entrusted with this honorable task.
Eventually, good times will bring weak leaders, and the cycle will repeat, but today in 2025, that’s what we’re heading towards.
With a bit of luck, the AU (African Union) will have developed into something strong enough to counter future plundering attempts, and the framework is already there today, trying to mimic the EU as best as it can in its own way.
Personally, I hope to work in Angola again in a few years, and even if I may not live to see the full bloom, everything seems to be moving in the right direction, a long upward curve, and the bright future is ours (and our children’s).
And what the history books will completely forget when all the spotlight falls on Germany and France is that it was a few hundred soaked Ukrainian shooters in eastern Ukraine who made the greatest sacrifice to give us a hundred years of prosperity. When history is written, it will be Macron and his wife who, with a godlike ability worthy of a great emperor, saved the world and gave us eternal peace.
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Russian losses:
Good post!
But you can’t escape some criticism when you once again try to smear environmental organizations.
“First – where are the world’s environmental organizations that have the salary and status of getting us not to clear-cut forests for some frog that there are three million of in every marshland north of Uppsala?”
The fact that environmental organizations are not loudly protesting because you and a few others have just now happened to notice China’s illegal fishing is because for them it has been known for a long time and they have raised the issues and criticized.
This of course applies not only to the Galapagos even though it has also been known for a long time but to the entire Chinese illegal fishing. You can’t have missed the attempts to stop their whale hunting, right?
An article from 2016 where Greenpeace warns about Chinese illegal fishing:
https://www.aktuellhallbarhet.se/alla-nyheter/nyheter/greenpeace-slar-larm-om-kinesiskt-fiske/
And from 2015:
https://www.greenpeace.org/international/press-release/7253/new-evidence-shows-chinese-west-african-governments-must-rein-in-rogue-fishing-fleet/
Documents where the Environmental Justice Foundation addresses the same issue in 2021:
https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/ILAB/submissions/China20210331.pdf
Protect Earth Foundation 2024:
https://protectearth.foundation/galapagos-sanctuary-at-risk-chinas-fishing-threat/
Living on Earth 2020:
https://www.loe.org/shows/segments.html?programID=20-P13-00032&segmentID=4
https://guyharveyfoundation.org/issues/assault-on-galapagos-by-chinas-industrial-fishing-fleets/
https://marinemegafauna.org/news/how-chinas-fishing-fleets-target-galapagos-islands
Etc. etc.
And of course, it’s not like environmental organizations go to China to start demonstrations, they would be arrested immediately. Just like none of us try to go to Russia to protest against Putin.
Maybe we should start arresting those like in China?
Would you like that?
Democratic arrest them and throw away the key in accordance with the Convention on the Rights of the Child on human rights ๐
No, but partially you are right. Let the Chinese catch them, if they dare. Are environmental organizations afraid that non-democratically minded countries (including the USA) would act if China caught or attacked environmentalists interfering with Chinese illegal fishing on site?
AFU reports:
208 KAB
4 128 shelling (88 from MLRS)
Continued high number of drones and KAB
“โ๏ธThis morning, drones attacked the ๐ท๐บRussian city of Cheboksary.”
“โ๏ธDuring the night, ๐บ๐ฆUkrainian military shot down 84 out of 110 ๐ท๐บRussian UAVs”
“โ๏ธCongress opposes significant reduction of US troops in Europe and South Korea”
Good maybe so they can’t attack us from the inside?
Another morning report with decreasing attacks, both Russian and Ukrainian.
N Slobozhansky-Kursk 1
S Slobozhansky 8โ๏ธ
Kupyansk 4โ๏ธ
Lyman 10๐ฅโ๏ธ
Slovyansk 7
Kramatorsk 0
Kostjantynivka 16๐ฅ
Pokrovsk 43๐ฅ๐ฅโ๏ธ
Oleksandrivskij 17๐ฅโ๏ธ
Huliaypillia 15๐ฅโ๏ธ
Orikhivsk 1
Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 0
Sum sectors 122โ๏ธ
Total 139โ๏ธ
Unlocalized 17โ๏ธ
The weather is not difficult at all – RU going into a low point?
๐คฉ๐คฉ๐คฉ
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3m7k3gyu6cs2e
๐โ
Ukraine has chosen life ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
Europe stands behind them โโโ
๐๐๐
Offf-Topic, USA/China
This is not good and of course increases the risk for Taiwan. It could also explain why the USA seems to have toned down its rhetoric towards China. Could also explain the nonexistent support for Ukraine.
If the USA were to fully support Ukraine instead and China in turn does the same for Russia, the USA might be afraid of how it would end.
It may even be that China has threatened the USA with that. “Leave Russia alone, otherwise we will enter the war on their side.”
“Republican and Democratic presidents in the USA have promised to defend Taiwan in the event of an armed attack from China. But the US military can no longer compete with China in an armed conflict. This is shown in a secret report from the Pentagon published by the New York Times editorial board.
The report, “the Overmatch brief,” outlines how China has the ability to destroy American fighter jets, ships, and satellites. It was presented to top officials in the White House last year.
When an official in the Biden administration reviewed the report in 2021, they reportedly turned pale and noted that China had an answer for “every trick we had up our sleeve,” according to a source present at the meeting. And Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said in November that in war scenarios against China, “we lose every time.”
The report also notes that the US military invests too much in expensive and vulnerable weapon systems and shows a significant deterioration that has been ongoing for decades, according to the editorial board.” https://omni.se/hemlig-rapport-usa-forlorar-varje-krigsscenario-mot-kina/a/oER9P7
If that’s true, it’s really idiotic of Trump to make enemies with Europe. If the USA alone can’t stand up to China, the USA and Europe need to cooperate if we are to have any chance.
I mentioned it earlier, that China might take advantage and take Taiwan before Trump’s presidency is over.
Trump doesn’t seem to want any conflict unless he’s sure he’ll win; he probably won’t do anything about China even if they attack Taiwan. His main goal is probably to try to get away with as much wealth as possible.
USA are cowards
Hegseth Asked About China’s Military Build-Up And Production Capabilities: ‘How Concerned Are You?’
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=k1QMqkHqEE8&feature=youtu.be
Last paragraph – always becomes sp in long peace
Adapted to face rebel groups, not a military, like Iraq (after the fall of the regime), Afghanistan, Somalia. …. Venezuela will pose a different challenge, more in line with Vietnam. The question is whether the USA learned any lessons from that war.
Many pleasant predictions in today’s!
A major obstacle might be that the Chinese people kick out the Communist Party and truly democratize, leading the country to initially turn inward, eventually growing into a federation of strong independent provinces with which sound international trade can be cultivated.
Dream ๐คฉ๐คฉ
Then I believe that a liberal Russia is more likely. And I would say that is not very likely at all, even if a collapsed Russia may get some occasional liberal part (like St Petersburg and possibly Kรถnigsberg).
Hong Kong is a clear example of one party – one system. Let it go on long enough for the West to have cut the ties (emotionally and economically) enough, and then the political bulldozer rolls in. The only good thing about the mask with the two-system chimera being thrown off, is that Taiwan can no longer be lured into that trap.
The party is riding the wave of economic growth. If China were to go to war, that growth would be in danger. Furthermore, if Taiwan receives the support stipulated in today’s blog, China will end up in a “political deflation”: a regime without legitimacy (unable to provide the population with economic growth) and without power (also unable to win the war). A good situation for a popular revolt. Closer than it seems?
Maybe a fartlek. And if we ensure that the Chinese have to drive man to man, and not drones against man.
Now it’s done – Europe has told Zelensky that we have his back.
Game on Russian bastards ๐ก
Very liberating, everything is forgiven and Macron’s wife is a shining beauty
It took 4 years but a liberating feeling to put that puzzle together now.
Europe is ready to go to war for Ukraine now if you read everything that is said.
“And so it has begun” ๐คฉ๐คฉ๐คฉ
We found our inner Viking well hidden
Very good post ๐
Great that it is being read and appreciated ๐๐
It took its fair share of time to get here ๐
Interesting post๐๐๐
JEF is good, cooperation Japan/Philippines/South Pacific equally good but the problem is the EU. This company with B politicians does not measure up. Someone in Malta should decide on Swedish snuff, how straight cucumbers are allowed to be, and the curvature angles of bananas. The EU is the problem, in my opinion.
It is one problem and another that it is difficult to back down on such things. Tends to result in even more laws to counteract instead. Then the fact that the legitimacy of the EU in many countries (e.g. Greece) depends on contributions is another problem.
That being said, the EU as an economic and security policy organization is stronger than ever. And that is the essence of the coal and steel union. And now a becoming JEF. Let everything else fall apart. Appoint an EU president with power.