At least Carsten Breuer’s catastrophic analysis from last summer has been thrown out by the Germans themselves – Russia intends to attack a NATO country, and it could happen at any time.
Until now, everyone except those of us who read the thread believed it would be 2028 at the earliest.
I think they read the posts on johanno1.se because there were a lot of visitors from Germany recently with names like “spy-chief-ralf” and “sauerkraut55.”
The USA was more than fashionably late to the game, and I began to suspect on good grounds that they were trying to bring Europe back into a Russian cold war again to sell us security at five times the price, again.
That they finally realized their mistake is probably the most likely explanation rather than trying to force us in any direction through 5D chess manipulation.
We are behind on the curve, but that also means that we can hold out longer than the countries that have already shifted to a war economy – like Russia.
We should shout ourselves hoarse over Europe not being prepared, and the USA has the same problem, the opponents have patiently prepared for this war for 15-20 years already.
China just choked off the rare earth metals so we can’t finish building our war material, this is something we have warned about repeatedly for a very long time.
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/how-chinas-new-rare-earth-export-controls-work-2025-10-10
But that’s not the same as throwing up our arms and saying it’s over. What our politicians’ tardiness will result in is many fallen and endless tragedies just like in Ukraine, but we are now approaching the beginning of our time’s global conflict – and we will fight with what we have.
If Ukraine before the summer of 2026 manages to get Russia into a full revolution, maybe the wildfire can be extinguished, but they are just a small country doing the best they can – we hope but cannot count on it.
The other option is if the USA and Europe manage to economically collapse China, but that is also less likely as China is starting to shift to a war economy and at some point the country will have a tolerance it wouldn’t otherwise.
The chessboard is not overly difficult – on the dark evil side stand China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and a few others sitting on the fence, and they are engaging in interstate wars with us.
On the good side stand the USA, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Thailand, Japan, South Korea, and maybe India (we’ll see…). So, I dare not write the white side because it could be perceived as racial profiling.
Europe’s rooks and bishops are Ukraine. USA’s rooks and bishops are Europe, Japan, Australia, South Korea, and others.
Europe has finally seemed to accept that Ukraine stands between us and a lot of death.
USA seems to have finally understood that it was a bad idea to push their allies just before a major war.
I think we can say that the pieces on the chessboard are now set up at least – that’s how far we’ve come.
Now it’s time to forget old sins even if Trump is still running his pump-and-dump on the stock market.
And it’s time to accept that we are behind on the curve and will have countless casualties because of it, but that we will emerge victorious in the end because the free world has been doing it this way for hundreds of years and it has worked.
If you accept that the game can soon begin, it will be much easier to put everything into perspective because Russia and China are on an increasing curve of global escalation.
This could be a Russian operation, for example, because no group with a survival instinct would carry out a massacre of taxpaying citizens, it’s not good business for them at all.
We have some distinct steps in this global escalation–
- The hybrid war against Europe has almost started, hasn’t it?
- Twilight phase – an increased pace before open war, we’re not there yet.
- Economic warfare – it’s in full swing, and the upcoming stock market crash probably won’t be fun.
- Operation Blackout, which I’ve been warning about for a year, is coming – now Ukraine and Russia are already cutting off the lights for each other in October, which I thought was a bit early but there will be sabotage against our power grid this fall and winter – I swear by it.
- Proxy wars – they are already in full swing, Thailand-Cambodia, Pakistan-India, Israel-Gaza, and so on.
- Finally, interstate wars between the two players in the chess game, the good and the evil side – we are likely headed there.
We in Europe are reactive, historically the USA has been able to be preventive if they are in the right phase.
Anyone now saying that Russia or China is not a threat, or that China cannot be defeated – be a little cautious with them.
Also, be cautious with hating on domestic politics even if one is always upset with their country, and one can be because almost the entire West has mismanaged for a long time.
I know I lose some followers on substack when I write that the USA is doing something good against China because they are focused on domestic politics and would rather see Trump go down than the West win.
I have been considered a bit of a “crying wolf” read when I have warned and suggested that the only way to hit the brakes is if Ukraine gets a big win and Russia gets Revolution 2.0.
Then my posts describing what we are facing are branded as “dystopian” and “pitch-black.”
USA and Europe prevented this, and now drone swarms fly over Europe with components we have sold to Russia, which they bought with income from the oil we still buy from Russia in 2025 – links were posted the other day.
I have always painted this path we are now on as a worst-case scenario, but if we do not act, we will get there – now we have arrived because we did not act in time.
I have also been clear that tardiness today will lead to fallen sons and daughters later, we will likely get there too.
I am in the Caribbean on a job that will last 2.5 years and will not be personally affected, but I think tardiness should be punishable. Now I accuse no one, but Russian defectors are involved and influencing so these non-decisions are made.
Very, very many experts, debaters, and war professionals are now making a general mistake in saying that Russia is losing the war because they are not taking territory in Ukraine.
They have no clue and are overpaid fools because Russia’s role in this is to unlock Europe and try to advance positions.
If they can create an open wound in any form in the Baltics, they have reached there.
And they must be there before the summer of 2026, I guess because after that, the window is closed to try to escalate into Europe.
Russia is quite satisfied with the situation today and is preparing for the next step.
People like Carsten Breuer who told us to sit tight until at least 2028, one can wonder if they have taken the Russian money?
Russia is now increasing in Ukraine with robots and drones, and the mech battle has begun.
They have a drone weapon aimed at Europe and they have an offensive strategic reserve against Europe located in the area east of the Baltic states, they have sneaked in these units over time.
The window to escalate to the Baltics with “little green men” or higher levels is set for the summer of 2026.
Ukraine has just shot down a cruise missile with a bit of vampire, so within a year, we probably will have a defense against Gerans, Gerbera, and the robots even in Europe.
The next mistake these same incompetent experts make is to then believe that everything we see flying over Europe is to scare us.
No, it is war-preparing, and IF Russia chooses war, drone swarms will knock out all our high-value targets in a first strike because we are reactive.
Russia is now experimenting with coordinated drone swarms.
I am now leaning towards there being a global conflict because Ukraine’s chances of being able to defeat Russia before they increase towards Europe are too small – but never zero 🧐
When Russia is done, it’s over to China.
We have thus reached the starting point of our time’s global conflict, Ukraine has probably delayed it by 2.5 years due to its audacity to defend itself.
Expect power outages, stock market crashes, and little green men in Estonia at least.
Like these
The remedy for the Russian disease remains for us in Europe – help Ukraine help themselves to defeat Russia so they become 10 new beautiful, free, and prosperous countries.
Help Belarus gain its freedom so they come over to us, 10 million Belarusians are manageable.
Make Kaliningrad demilitarized and autonomous.
Then our war is over.
After that, we will provide air support, brigades, and navy for the US power struggle with China in Southeast Asia, but it will not be a people’s war like WW1 or WW2.
As you can see, we still have a pretty decent silver medal to aim for even if the gold is out of reach.
We prefer to avoid Nylander.
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
The War in Ukraine – Russian losses 2025-10-15
SLAVA UKRAINI
AFU reports:
👍 Brilliant analysis. Clear and concise in its message, building on the foundation that has been laid here at JohanNo1 for a while now.
The USA and Europe prevented this, and now drone swarms are flying over Europe with components we have sold to Russia, which they bought with income from the oil we still buy from Russia in 2025 – links were posted the other day.
A large number of Russian companies in the Russian military industry remain unaffected by sanctions:
🇷🇺Unsanctioned: Tube & rocket artillery systems, ammunition, propellants, military-grade explosives, UAVs, launchers for long-range cruise missiles, armor plates, personal protection, simulators for military aircraft, parachute systems, aircraft engines.
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4046688-hur-publishes-data-on-weapons-manufacturers-half-of-companies-in-russias-technodinamika-holding-remain-unsanctioned.html
Additionally, we have China, and why it is good that the USA is taking on the country:
🇨🇳🇷🇺Chinese companies actively supply Russia with fiber optic cables, batteries, electronics, chips & microcircuits, trucks, machine tools, and laser technologies. [Moscow and Beijing] are stepping up activities aimed at weakening the West and dividing the transatlantic alliance. https://x.com/coxoxoffoxoffic/status/1978039973371691097?s=46
Allow me to Swish SEK 5 for today’s JohanNo1!
Great that you see how it all fits together 205 and thanks for the five, much appreciated 😀 👍
Yes, it’s strange how we in Europe can continue like this and do nothing when it’s obvious that it backfires.
Black bulges to say the least annoying but bullet list may be the only way for the content not to “flow out” all over the place.
Sometimes it’s good to have black bullets in lists and sometimes not, the problem is that stylistically I can’t determine when it fits or not. I can either let lists be without bullets or with bullets.
Then of course I could make a real special case so that if you create lists in your posts, I’ll ignore the bullets. But of course, there may be an occasion when you want bullets.
In your case, I don’t think you would need to insert it as a list, it should work anyway. But maybe it’s so that it automatically becomes a list if you paste from elsewhere?
You could try selecting the entire text and then clicking on the bullet list icon, if it’s already a list, it should switch back and return to regular text.
Agree with 205 on the analysis. We are truly living in a rather “exciting” time right now.
These power-hungry old men, I’m starting to get so tired of them. Retire and grow tomatoes or something.
Who buys Russian oil and gas?
While China and India have rushed to buy up the oil and gas spurned by Europe in the wake of Russia’s 2022 intensification of its war against Ukraine, a handful of EU countries continue to import significant amounts even as the West examines wider restrictions on Moscow’s main source of revenue.
https://kyivindependent.com/who-buys-russian-oil-and-gas/
they blame signed agreements? #fckptn doesn’t give a damn about deals on his end and as a terrorist state, we should be able to disqualify agreements with an aggressive terrorist state?
Soon four years into the war this…
Oh my goodness. Talk about self-harming behavior. We pay, maintain, and buy from the Russians, during ongoing wars where they themselves say they are in armed conflict with us. And China, there we behave as we did towards Russia back in 2015. That is to say, a few obligatory reprimands about how that was rather foolish, but there may be other perspectives, it takes two to tango. So now that’s been said for the domestic audience (read: domestic, and not domestic in China), let’s now go eat Chinese buffet and talk business instead.
Surely it’s somewhat incredible.
It feels like something that will be written in the history books. Either as a Chamberlainian naivety (if we win), or as evidence of the West’s moral corruption and the reason we lost the war.
🇧🇾 🇺🇸 Lukashenko ready for ‘big deal’ with US if it serves Belarus’s interests.
“We will wait for their big proposals, for a big deal, as they like to say. They love these big deals,” Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko said.
https://kyivindependent.com/lukashenko-ready-for-big-deal-with-us-but-stresses-belaruss-interests/
🤣🤣
💥🔥✊👍
“Feodosia: the oil depot burns again Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “Marine Oil Terminal” in Feodosia for the second time, damaging 16 fuel tanks and sparking a large fire. The site is a key logistics hub for Russian fuel supplies, with a capacity of up to 193,000 m³.”
https://bsky.app/profile/meanwhileua.bsky.social/post/3m3a2ohrzh32a
⚡️ A UK spy plane circled Russia’s Kaliningrad in a bold NATO intelligence mission.
The RC-135W Rivet Joint’s visible flight path signaled the Alliance’s resolve to monitor Moscow’s moves in the Baltic.
https://united24media.com/latest-news/uk-spy-plane-circles-russias-kaliningrad-in-bold-intelligence-gathering-mission-12508
👍
Violent 💥
The weaker ryzZland becomes internally or strategically, the greater the risk that external actors (including xina) will find advantages in shaping events that benefit their long-term interests, either by pushing ryZzland towards an aggressive course that creates distraction and division in the West, or by exploiting the chaos that ensues. At the same time, it is known that Russian strategy historically employs maskirovka, deliberate disinformation, and deception to create uncertainty and force the opponent into erroneous decisions.
Therefore, my hypothesis is that a weakened Russian position lowers the threshold for external influences to push ryZzland towards confrontation or stage actions that increase chaos in Europe. xina, deepening its military and technological cooperation with Moscow, has both the motive and the means to benefit from such a development, not necessarily through overt support for an invasion, but by exploiting dissonance, economic dependencies, and Russian maskirovka to create fragmentation in the EU’s response. This is expected to reinforce hybrid threats and force EU countries into difficult prioritizations between security, economy, and internal unity.
A few things I have observed:
The xina-ryZzland relationship is deepening but asymmetric. xina has increased its strategic and trade cooperation with ryZzland; however, xina is the stronger party economically, giving Beijing opportunities to exploit Russian weaknesses politically/strategically.
Military-technical support and dependencies. Deepened military-technical collaboration allows xina to indirectly influence Russian capabilities and decisions, both to stabilize a partner or, if it serves Chinese interests, to steer the situation in a desired direction.
Maskirovka is a proven Russian tool. Russian operations often use deception, from tactical camouflage to strategic disinformation, to sow confusion among the opponent and the public. This can quickly lead to mistakes in the EU’s and NATO’s responses.
The EU’s internal divisions and energy dependencies increase vulnerability. Members dependent on Russian energy or with divergent foreign policy interests (such as certain statements and agendas in member states) become harder to keep together during a crisis, creating opportunities for external actors to manipulate.
Hybrid and information warfare amplify the chaos effect. When maskirovka/parallel influence operations are combined with military or diplomatic moves, democracies find it harder to make quick, coordinated decisions, which is a goal in itself for actors seeking to weaken Western cohesion.
Yes, there are a lot of things going on, very masked?
There is so much going on and it is my conviction that the whole Russian debacle is a smokescreen for China, which is the main event.
Nice that you are so smart. Good to avoid arguing with people who don’t understand 🫡
“… harder for democracies to make quick, coordinated decisions, which in itself is a goal for actors who want to weaken Western cohesion.”
There is a reason to review the EU constitution and the element of supranationality. Perhaps should not be overestimated though, we also see in the USA that different states can pull in different directions than what the federal administration aims for. However, one can assume that the USA, as a federation, has a completely different preparedness for foreign attempts to divide and manipulate the nation (the United States).
I don’t remember if it was after the US presidential election in 2016 or 2020 that a security service in the US had looked into the Russian influence on the election. They concluded that RU did not want to favor any side, instead they reinforced the extremes to increase the division in the country.
Then again, politicians in the US are quite good at dividing the country, but would they have gotten here as quickly without Russian help?
Now, I’m not saying that RU is behind Hatt’s resignation, but it’s the kind of thing that would be easy for RU to reinforce to stir up Swedish internal bickering about who is worse. Alternatively, there may be more threats against politicians now that Hatt has shown that it can lead to resignation (which I don’t blame her for).
The difference when comparing the EU/Europe with the USA is perhaps clearest in the field of security policy (and perhaps foreign policy) and the mandate that the POTUS has to act forcefully against various threats. Militarily: the EU would never be able to deploy its combat aircraft and fleet to, in a matter of days, neutralize Iran’s entire military air defense and render the country non-combat capable. Even if Europe had the military means, it would have required an American president to gather the nations (that is, the European ones) and get them to act. A major difference in terms of security policy and facing threats. At the same time, we have seen a European unity unprecedented since the full-scale invasion, an awareness of the threat, the necessity to act, and actual action. But an EU president with a clear security policy mandate would probably command more respect from antagonists like Russia and China.
“⚡️ Budanov: Russia never planned such a long war. Intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov said Moscow would have already lost if not for help from allies like North Korea, adding Ukraine could liberate all occupied land with stronger Western support.”
https://bsky.app/profile/united24media.com/post/3m3afslfbb72s
Why didn’t he say China 🧐
If one wants to be negative and a wet blanket, doesn’t the opposite apply as well? How would it have gone for the heroes if we on the good side hadn’t provided assistance?
“❗️I am convinced that China will ask the paper tiger in Moscow to attack NATO countries in Europe to divert attention from Taiwan – NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m3afovwdhs26
From the horse’s mouth
Where have we heard that before 🙂
Seems like many high-ranking animals have found “the oracle in exile”.
“Storbritannien har meddelat sina tuffaste sanktioner hittills mot Ryssland, riktade mot Rosneft, Lukoil, Naraya Energy, fyra kinesiska oljeterminaler, 44 skuggflottstankfartyg och leverantörer av missil- och dronkomponenter. Paketet slår också ned på försäkringsbolag, hamnar och finansföretag som möjliggör handeln.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3m3afojoyz22h
🇺🇸🇺🇦 Hegseth at the opening of another Ramstein:
➡️ If there is no path to peace in the short term, the US and allies, will take the necessary steps to impose even greater costs on Russia for its aggression.
➡️ The US Department of War is ready to do such an act “as only the United States can do.”
➡️ A deadly NATO led by Europe and a reliable Ukrainian army are the most effective deterrents to Russian aggression.
➡️ Under the leadership of President Trump, we are going to end the war in Ukraine. The war must end.
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m3afmbqjd22c
High-quality word delivery.
Yes, really hope that it will be more than just words too!
USA has turned – they turned there sometime in August, Trump was a bit reluctant at first but now he’s on board.
Stuff like this can’t be written on Substack as the account will be closed.
Here we have realized that with Trump you have to take the good with the bad… 😂
“A deadly NATO led by Europe”, I know they want us to pay, but do they want to degrade themselves to play second fiddle?
Sounds good, the USA has the military power needed to back up their words, and when it comes from the only military power that Russia respects, they might get a little shaky in their Russian knees.
Europe has a long way to go before Russia starts respecting us.
“Ungern skulle lida om det blev avskuret från rysk energi, sade landets utrikesminister Szijjártó under den ryska energiveckan. “Vi värdesätter verkligen vårt samarbete med våra ryska partner och kollegor inom energiområdet. Varför? På grund av vår erfarenhet. Min fråga är: varför ska vi avsluta denna relation?”
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3m3afiajmw22l
“🇬🇧🇺🇦 London will supply Kyiv with over 100,000 drones this year, — John Healey. UK and Ukraine are jointly developing new interceptor drones. The British government previously noted that over 85,000 UAVs had already been delivered to Ukraine in the first six months of 2025.”
https://bsky.app/profile/theukrainianreview.bsky.social/post/3m3afffyfy22c
Great that NATO countries are involved in driving the development and production of weapon systems tailored for modern warfare. Even better if they are then sent to Ukraine.
It’s good
Good, they get to test the products sharply right away.
👍 Knowledge and production capacity but instead of burdening the shelves with technology that is outdated within a year -> send it to Ukraine
Good that NATO countries are involved in driving the development and production of weapon systems adapted for modern warfare. If they are then sent to Ukraine, even better.
“❗️🇸🇪Swedish Defense Minister Pål Jonson said that Sweden is ready to do more in the context of military assistance to 🇺🇦Ukraine, in particular regarding participation in the PURL program and the aviation coalition.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m3af7nua6c26
Start by lowering the Baltic fleet with the ÖB’s club so we have set the mood
😂🤣
Yes. Execute.
Blibb blibb blubb 🫧
The 2020s became all about COVID, our time’s major depression stock market crash, and a global conflict.
Talk about bad luck, or good luck if you are short sellers and vaccine sellers.
Do you have any comforting words for SE4 MXT, they are worried that the electricity price is already high 😶
Here in SE3, there is very little wind, I have forgotten to check the wind turbines I see if I go to one end of the plot. But in SE4, the price goes down almost 26% tomorrow compared to today, in SE3 even more!
It was probably S and C who closed Barsebäck? Maybe that’s where all the crap at Hatt comes from…
Right now the price is high for two reasons, the wind is blowing too little, but then our nuclear power (which is supposed to be so stable) only delivers 40% of its capacity.
We know that wind power fluctuates, but recently nuclear power has been acting up and on and off, which temporarily makes it expensive, because when hydroelectric power has to compensate for both wind power AND nuclear power, it naturally causes problems and high prices during shorter periods.
BUT it still doesn’t depend on an extremely cold winter or Russian sabotage as you predicted.
Without discussing politics, I liked Anna Karin Hatt.
The centrist parties prevent it from leaning too far towards both extremes – that’s why Simona is important in the Tidö team.
Perhaps a mix of a hopeless situation and quite a bit of criticism from the left-wing faction within the party when she didn’t raise her hand and reprimand Nooshi.
The C budget was on a collision course with S, V, and MP, the one they had just presented.
And there probably wasn’t the internal mandate to switch to the Tidö team.
As I said – it will be an exciting election next fall 😀
V, by the way, will have a very strong election.
S is probably sweating over having to deal with V. It wouldn’t be completely unlikely for something like M/SD to happen, where the fringe party eats up the former “state-carrying” party.
MXT – they boycotted Ramstein last spring so it’s quite big that Hegseth is back and roaring about taking it to Russia.
Trump has also spontaneously aired his thoughts on letting Russia eat themselves up so it’s definitely a change of course with a buzzing rudder and no wind vane tactics.
At least there is a certain change in rhetoric, but until I see something in practice, I can’t claim that the USA and Trump have actually done anything more than before.
Trump threatened Russia with sanctions already last spring, and repeated it several times.
Even the Republicans put together a sanctions package. Nothing came of it even though it should still be relevant.
I saw that you liked post 205, you have been following along in the build-up phase which is great.
Tomorrow will be the second post about U137 as the prosecutor said it must be unlocked and then sometime next week the final post that concludes the series.
On Friday, the second part of When the War Comes, which is also good reading actually.
If MXT is willing to be the responsible publisher and constitute the editorial team with Johan as a freelancer, then the criteria for obtaining a publishing license are well met, right?
Criteria for a publishing license
In order to obtain a publishing license, the website or database must meet the following criteria:
It is accessible to the public.
It is provided upon specific request, meaning that the visitor actively seeks it out.
It is well-defined and appears as a cohesive product, for example through consistent design.
It cannot be altered by anyone other than the editorial team.
It has a name that includes a domain name or equivalent.
In addition, the website or database must also meet the following:
It should be connected to Sweden, including having the editorial team located here.
It should have a responsible publisher.
It should have a name that cannot be confused with any other database registered with us.
If it means that MXT will be my boss, then my lawyer has some questions first 🧐
Joking aside, (or was it a joke 🧐) – why not MXT, I think T23 has presented it nicely?
I just like to write and MXT with its IT so all good ideas are great 👍
👍 Excellent idea!
As long as the site is named as it is and the domain name is legally owned by Johan, it is probably him who should be the responsible publisher.
I see myself primarily as a consultant who manages and develops, but then can’t help contributing some content.
But of course, it is possible to change the ownership of the domain, or simply register another domain and move to it.
But then the question is, what do we gain from having a responsible publisher?
It doesn’t provide any press support or many other real benefits.
Sure, source protection could be interesting if there are any today who don’t want to contribute because they are afraid of being exposed, but the question is if we have any such cases today?
Otherwise, it’s probably the opposite, there are some disadvantages.
The responsible person gets a lot of responsibilities such as clearing up any illegalities, etc.
Now it doesn’t seem to be easy to be convicted for that, and this site has so few comments that it can be manually reviewed at this level.
Great post 👍, a solid yellow wall. It will be interesting to see how your analyses hold up in the future
Unfortunately, there will be war, and the day it comes, my joyous reaction to getting justice may not be so pretty.
It’s also going fast, so we probably don’t need to wait that long.
A thought about the voting:
Some of the options are not mutually exclusive, so the result becomes a bit ambiguous. Perhaps create a new one that simply asks “how much would you be willing to pay for access to the yellow walls?”
Under 50 SEK/month
50-100 SEK/month
100-200 SEK/month
More than 200 SEK/month
This way, the actual willingness to pay is more clearly expressed.
MXT will have to continue with polls for a while.
We actually considered t-shirts and caps earlier but everything has to be done and that’s the problem, so far we are paying money and spending a lot of time.
Then you become less inclined to pay even more money and spend even more time.
—
We have been thinking about another thing, the name of the site was just something I came up with early on – should we change it or keep it?
Then we wanted to welcome others who wrote posts but there hasn’t been a rush to the door directly.
I think the name should stay, that pretty much says it all so why complicate things?
Then the idea of getting a publisher’s certificate is smart, as well as the 205 s proposal below about the price.
Forget about selling a lot of stuff, it just takes time and energy.
“Then we wanted to welcome others who wrote posts but there hasn’t been a rush to the door directly”
I thought about that earlier, but I myself have had little time and consider myself not a whiz at writing texts.
I have now canceled my Spotify since I never use it. Will send a contribution here instead, but last time, in May(?), everything got tangled up and the time for johanno1.se disappeared completely, like the day after and onwards. But I am a person who has convinced myself that superstition doesn’t exist so I’ll try again!
👍
I’m thinking a five per yellow wall. On the morning walk to buy rolls for breakfast, I pick up the day’s JohanNo1 in the ether via Swish, and enjoy it on the tablet/mobile with coffee and roll. 5 SEK for a read that lasts the whole breakfast is a fraction of what you pay for a morning paper that you won’t read more than a fraction of before it goes to the paper recycling. And also doesn’t make you much wiser. Unlike the yellow wall.
Five. Can then be increased to per week/month/year with increasing quantity discount. Note that it may not be a yellow wall every day of the week. But say four: 15 SEK/week, 50 SEK/month, 500 SEK/year.
Well. you are right that the questions are a bit overlapping and do not provide a concrete answer but the idea was to get a sense of the direction it pointed, and follow up on it later depending on how it looked.
Now Johan has at least for the moment decided to continue as is, some locked, some unlocked, and not to introduce a payment barrier on the site.
But it may of course be interesting to follow up, and then your suggestion would be appropriate.
Another problem is also that those who vote are likely to be those who are a bit more engaged, very doubtful if one can extrapolate the result to all 2500 visitors that we have in a month.
Even if 15% say they are willing to pay for yellow walls, it is hardly 15% of 2500 (375).
It is probably only the 28 who actually voted who are so engaged that they are willing to pay.
Guessing that some of them are also those who already donate today.
After that flash crash in the stock market and bitcoin that Trump caused, I asked some finance Twitter “when you have a longer downturn, do you usually try to sell early in the downturn or how do you do it?”
So, I haven’t owned any shares since 1999 when I lost a year’s student allowance, so it was just out of curiosity.
got some dozen answers “we are long-term and usually buy more in the dips, never sell”.
I pondered on this for a few days and concluded that they probably hadn’t experienced 1999 and 2008 because if you have the wrong holdings, it takes 15 years before you are back to the starting point – they are simply too young to have experienced a blood-red crash where the stock account melts into thousand bills.
The second thing when you panic is that you should try to sell – buy to regain what you lost and that’s where you hang yourself – I tried it in 1999.
Apparently the leverage of stocks and portfolios is 12% now which historically is high and it is completely outside the banking system so the probability of a very large stock market crash is high – Russia absolutely wants to get it going, China maybe slightly less, the US is trying to economically bring down China.
Sold 33%.
The rest in funds and cash nowadays…
Waiting for a crash!!!
I tried to interview some soldiers but I think they perished – if anyone has contacts, we would gladly post interviews as well.
🇩🇪🇺🇦Germany provides EUR 400M for Ukrainian long-range drones, whose strikes on targets deep inside Russia are already yielding results.
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-economy/4047728-germany-provides-eur-400m-for-ukrainian-longrange-drones-pistorius.html
Zelensky on the main sources of supply of critical components and equipment to Russia for weapons production: “We in Ukraine clearly understand which supplies matter most to Moscow, and every such scheme must be cut off. Our partners have all the means necessary to do this,”
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4047612-zelensky-ukraine-aware-of-russias-plans-in-belarus-partners-to-be-notified.html
🇧🇾 Belarus:
Reporting to president Zelensky, Head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine (FISU) Oleh Ivashchenko reported on Russia’s plan for further military exploitation of Belarusian territory. Zelensky: “At this stage we will not make this information public. We will notify partners who could be affected,”
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4047612-zelensky-ukraine-aware-of-russias-plans-in-belarus-partners-to-be-notified.html
“According to our intelligence, the enemy is preparing new assault groups at training centers and ranges in the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions to step up offensive operations in the Orikhiv sector, specifically in the areas of Kamianske, Prymorske, Stepove, Tokmachka, Novoandriivka, Novodanylivka, and Mali Shcherbaky,” — Vladyslav Voloshyn, spokesperson for Ukraine’s Southern Defense Forces.
Russia training new assault groups to reinforce Orikhiv front – Voloshyn Russian forces are training new assault groups at training centers and ranges located in the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and parts of the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions to intensify attacks in the Orikhiv sector. https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4047198-russia-training-new-assault-groups-to-reinforce-orikhiv-front-voloshyn.html
Kremlin to step up disinformation campaign about Ukraine being ‘unprepared for winter’ – CCD In the second half of October, Russian propaganda is planning to intensify a disinformation campaign claiming Ukraine is allegedly “unprepared for winter” and “unable to resist Russia.” https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-society/4047016-kremlin-to-step-up-disinformation-campaign-about-ukraine-being-unprepared-for-winter-ccd.html
The Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) has detained a Russian agent who was adjusting air attacks on Ukraine’s Defense Forces positions in Kharkiv.
The investigation established that, using the coordinates provided by the suspect, Russian forces attacked the city with Geran-2 kamikaze drones on June 5.
After the overnight attack, the agent visited the strike sites to record the scale of destruction and send a report to his Russian handler.
According to the investigation, the spotter turned out to be a 48-year-old car mechanic, who came to the attention of Russian intelligence through a Telegram channel where he had been looking for quick ways to earn money.
While carrying out enemy tasks, the man rode around Kharkiv by bicycle almost daily, trying to identify sites where he believed Ukrainian defenders might be located.
SSU cyber specialists detained the suspect while he was at home, compiling new coordinates of potential targets.
https://ssu.gov.ua/novyny/sbu-zatrymala-rosiiskoho-ahenta-yakyi-skoryhuvav-udar-po-kharkovu-5-chervnia-2025-roku
Side job to kill your neighbors 😳
An extremely rare event. Hate randomness?
Pete Hegseth’s plane was forced to make an emergency landing
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth was forced to make an emergency landing in the UK when the plane he was traveling in got a crack in the windshield, writes his press secretary Sean Parnell on X.
“The plane landed in accordance with current regulations and everyone on board, including Secretary Hegseth, is safe,” the post by Parnell states.
The Defense Secretary was on his way home from the NATO meeting with his ministerial colleagues in the defense alliance when the crack in the windshield occurred. DN
😳
Russian losses in Ukraine:
1070 KIA
3 Tanks
2 AFVs
43 Artillery systems
2 Anti-Aircraft system
389 UAVs
141 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
https://bsky.app/profile/matsextrude.bsky.social/post/3m3bxfb5nn22j
Slava Ukraini