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	<title>Johan No.1</title>
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	<description>News and analysis about the war in Ukraine and other global events in world politics and security.</description>
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	<title>Johan No.1</title>
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	<item>
		<title>Mango Mussolini Round 2, 15 October 2026</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/mango-mussolini-round-2-15-october-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/mango-mussolini-round-2-15-october-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[johan No.1]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2026 05:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Today there will be another history lesson in this second messy post, maybe not what you feel is the best [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/mango-mussolini-round-2-15-october-2026/">Mango Mussolini Round 2, 15 October 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Today there will be another history lesson in this second messy post, maybe not what you feel is the best value for your subscription money but when left-wing extremists, Islamists and soon right-wing extremists have taken to the streets across half of Europe within the span of a month, I think it&#8217;s time to look at history. Now, we did foresee this already in the spring but there are far too many who believe that all the misfortune now descending upon us simultaneously for the first time since the Cold War is random and isolated events – which it is not.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But first Mango-Mussolini Round 2, I haven&#8217;t been this pissed off since 2023-2024 when I got kicked out of the other blog for having the audacity to criticize his predecessor, a bit worried that MXT has the admin account and not me, poorly negotiated.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Ukraine refrained from refinery attacks for several days at Trump&#8217;s request, Russia bombed electrical infrastructure, and Trump said it only concerned the refinery – okay.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For two days when RU prepared a huge strike with ballistic missiles, the US early-warning department did not call Ukraine, hits right in the middle all over the playing field. If you also see coordination there, then you are free-thinking individuals.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Finally, Starlink was shut down for speeds over +100km/h, the military part that the Pentagon is responsible for but Starlink probably controls, I guess.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Okay, you think now once more but that does not affect the drones flying into Russia, there it has been off for a long time.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">However, it does affect the interceptor drones inside Ukraine, those that have a 95% kill rate of the NON jet-powered Gerans.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Here we are now.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">My view is that Trump is trying to give Russia maximum payoff on its winter campaign to blackout Ukraine because the measures are tailored to the capabilities Russia now gets the best payoff for. Trump&#8217;s contacts have thus sat down with Russian contacts and figured out what needs to be shut down and when in time – think about that a bit.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Earlier when it was FAB, the US stopped us in Europe from sending fighter jets if you remember, so that weapon became devastating. Now it is ballistic missiles and getting rid of the hated interceptors that is a godsend for Ukraine.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The reason he wants to give Russia maximum payoff on the winter campaign is so that Ukraine will finally give up Donetsk, Luhansk and Zaporizha – that is the whole problem and why Trump is trying to get rid of Zelensky. The goal of the winter campaign is to start opposition against Zelensky so the country becomes political chaos.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For our part in Europe, we can choose to wholeheartedly support Ukraine and fight under the table with the US by breaking all orders and retaliating where it hurts – unfortunately, the US has prepared an economic blow against us that is incoming but we will survive it.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">IF Europe at any point starts supporting a ceasefire then the war is upon us, not on the day but over time. Then weak politicians have brought disaster upon Europe for the next 80 years.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Either as a cold war that keeps us busy or an interstate war out in the Baltics – that is Putin&#8217;s choice.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This choice we must make here and now, we no longer have the luxury to postpone difficult decisions to the future and even the least morally abhorrent will bring great harm upon us – which it will.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Exactly what we do remains to be seen but sending all the patriot interceptors anyway and swiftly giving Ukraine access to all our satellite reconnaissance and something equivalent to Starlink is one proposal.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think it is time to establish a no-fly zone west of the Dnieper, we simply fly our AWACS and fighter jets over western Ukraine. Now that does not stop the ballistic missiles but would be a very powerful signal that is also defensive.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Selling government bonds is a good threat to keep, at least until I change jobs and no longer have a salary in dollars.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We have reached this point now.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The long-awaited history lesson &#8211;</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In recent days, the British Prime Minister has confirmed that BREXIT was deeply influenced by Russia. Boris Johnson says it is a lie but I am convinced that RU was involved and ran dirty operations there and managed to get some attention on the radar. Especially after MI6 said it is true.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then information was simultaneously released about tens of thousands of pro-Brexit Twitter accounts, Russian ones if anyone wondered, that took over the feed in 2015-2016.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We are not there in acceptance yet but the refugee crisis in 2015 was state-supported and played into this to strengthen the no side.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Here you have, a couple of years late, proof that Russian subversive activity absolutely can make a difference and one can fool countries into completely torpedoing themselves. Not just any country either, where one of the world&#8217;s oldest democracies was hijacked and plunged into political chaos they have not even after 10 years managed to crawl out of. The Prime Minister in the UK is now a quarterly job.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When Ukraine has now fought three huge Yandex server halls and more, Russian troll traffic has decreased even if there is now fighting before the meetings about whether it is true or not – of course it is true.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This Nobel Prize-nominated (by myself) deep study is not to find the bright path forward because we know exactly what it ended in &#8211; crematoria.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Awakening the European dragon in the wrong way would be a big mistake but that is exactly what Russia is trying to do even if the probability of a successful operation is low. However, they can cause a lot of damage along the way.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">My working thesis is that strong centrist governments can still resist this through strong men, women and all other gender identities who push through necessary politics. Pragmatists with a moral compass around the political center. They may be just to the left or right of center, it matters less, and they may cooperate across block boundaries.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If any fringe gets unrestricted power, it will only be different colors of crematoria &#8211; everyone hates Jews, that is probably the only thing they have in common.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then I want to, through empirical experiments and lab tests, figure out roughly how early the Soviet Union sneaked into our soft parts of Europe.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Even though the French had the least patience, school protests have started in several European countries during September.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/10/07/europe-student-protests-france-belgium">https://www.axios.com/2026/10/07/europe-student-protests-france-belgium</a></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In France, they immediately turned into riots and destruction where just under 300,000 participate depending on the week. The police cannot handle this so the military has been called in.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The media still describes this as school protests but if you have read Johan No.1 you knew this would come this year. As far from a lone Greta Thunberg with a placard outside parliament as you can get.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Greta was a terrible example because she is now in Paris saying she stands behind the revolution for the terrible life the country&#8217;s schoolchildren are enduring.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/greta-thunberg-joins-french-teens-new-day-school-protests-2026-10-13">https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/greta-thunberg-joins-french-teens-new-day-school-protests-2026-10-13</a></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">France is probably one of the Top 20 countries in the world when it comes to investing resources in schools, and the students immediately burned down Nelson Mandela School, which is like a better private school in Switzerland but for students from poor areas in France. I am still trying to understand why we need a revolution.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Vietnam demonstrations turned into a revolution against the West, and now, a few years into this, our era&#8217;s Vietnam movement, the Palestinian movement, has begun to turn its anger against the West instead. In fact, in every country they operate in, there is always a group with placards against that particular country in the marches.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I think Israel has gone way too hard, and there are reasons to protest against that. But as soon as it turns into pro-Hamas, crush capitalism, or support for the Iranian dictatorship – then it&#8217;s a completely different matter and one must be able to distinguish this.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Just as protesting students for more funding for schools is a good thing, but riots, looting, rapes, and assaults are not.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is coordinated and organized – they have taken a good cause, which is more money for schools, and a group that is very easily influenced, young students.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trade unions and labor movements have also taken to the streets, but they conduct protests in marches and absolutely do not burn schools and buses.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The riots have spread to Belgium, the Netherlands, and the UK; Germany probably isn&#8217;t far behind either.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Nothing will happen in the Eastern states; in Scandinavia they will probably try, but there are too few.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Spain will soon experience absolute chaos; that country is mismanaged by Sanchez and like an overripe plum.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia has its personnel in place, which we provided with half a million Schengen visas per year up until today.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They have infiltrated all reputable organizations that will participate in this.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia has the experience, manuals, know-how, and will – this is what they are best at.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The purpose is to lock the countries of Europe and create Gordian political knots so that no decisions can be made.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Preferably, we should all forget about the Ukraine war and Russia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">With a bit of luck, they get their parties into governments or, in the worst case, majority governments, and then it&#8217;s jackpot.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Currencies, stock markets, interest rates, financial markets, and finance are fickle little creatures, and nationwide protests can definitely contribute to raising interest rates, crashing stock markets, and lowering currencies.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">With a bit of luck, capital will turn to safe havens such as US government bonds instead of burning up here in our chaos.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In France, it is currently students closely followed by the far left and Islamists. A few weeks ago, there were coordinated anti-immigration protests around Europe, so the far right is very close to joining this as well.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We will see buildings burn that have great national, cultural, and traditional value along with churches and mosques. All to create as much aversion and unrest as possible in the social body.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the 1990s in Sweden, we managed to tackle right-wing extremism, and it has lived a dwindling existence. Everyone has food on the table, school, student aid if they want, free university, somewhere to sleep, and a better life than in 90% of the world&#8217;s countries.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The same applies throughout Europe, so if you now stand on the barricades against oppression and poverty in Europe, you have become radicalized and misled.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What one can do, however, is start destroying the country, which will probably be the end result if country after country in Europe does not get this under control. If we fail, a harsh police state with draconian authoritarian rules will rise from the ashes instead of the open democracies we are today.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Zero reasons to demonstrate.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Great potential for deterioration that can lead to authoritarian right- or left-wing governments.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Useless.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia is rubbing its hands in pure delight, and the colonel in the GRU unit who has been planning this for two years is so drunk on cheap Russian champagne that he has forgotten where he lives.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">My verdict is very harsh, but unfortunately, we have only heard the starting shot so far.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When did the Soviet Union roughly start sneaking into Europe? Let&#8217;s start a little earlier.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Communist Manifesto was written in the 1840s, and there was a communist movement in many of Europe&#8217;s capitals.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels had not at all thought that Russia was ready or would actually get a revolution. Their plan was that industrialized countries in Western Europe were the most receptive to making a revolution in.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Marx thought roughly like this – industrial workers in Europe were gathered in geographic areas and created welfare, so they had something to seize in a revolution – many people in the same place and a bit away lots of valuables.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In Russia, everyone was scattered, and there was nothing of value; the best for a communist revolution is if capitalism first builds something up and industrializes the country, then you take it.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Lenin crossed out some parts and added when it was his turn – everything would start in Russia and then spread to Western Europe like wildfire.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Except for a couple of attempts in Germany and Hungary, it went badly.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Stalin was no worse than to also adjust when he took over, and communism had always been intended only for the Soviet Union, but the joy would spread globally over a long time.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Communism has existed in our social body from the start, and it&#8217;s all about stealing what others have built up through hard work; that&#8217;s basically the foundation.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Not to be confused with Swedish socialism, which tried to push from below so one could live on their salary and afford housing – that is very good. Our Social Democrats split off today&#8217;s Left Party early, and that&#8217;s where the communists sat.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Who or which countries supported the little corporal during the 1920s and maybe into the 1930s?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That did not go at all as I had thought. The French hated Germany on fairly good grounds, and those who actually supported Germany were those who later became the Axis powers; they played with open cards and were proportionally punished. Sweden, for example.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">After WW1, banks and companies saw a chance to do business and contributed to the buildup, but as it became clear where it was heading, they withdrew their claws.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can&#8217;t say that any country, bank, or organization secretly supported Hitler in the way I probably thought I would find, a big conspiracy.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Quite like Russia and how we acted after the fall of the wall, really, inviting the brothers in misfortune into the warmth and getting war and misery as thanks.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The problem is that when communism starts to expand, it creates chaos. The middle class and the right become terrified because they are the target group, and the stage is set for an authoritarian fascist dictatorship instead, which becomes just as bad or worse than a communist dictatorship would have been.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Since the start, the goal has been to bring down the West, and it is easier to gain society&#8217;s acceptance for their side than what today&#8217;s brownshirts have – especially after the little corporal&#8217;s ravages.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To spread joy to the world, one must first severely worsen conditions in a wealthy country so that the citizens understand why they should make a revolution, and then it is important that there is enough value in the country. There must simply be a chance for wages, and Marx already understood this when he wrote his manifesto.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia is no longer communist in the slightest, but they still want to bring down Europe and have manuals for it dating all the way back to 1840.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A society is built on individuals wanting to work or sell something so they get money to buy something. Some do very well and others less so; no country in the world ever achieves full balance and that everyone has the same amount – it is cosmically impossible.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A centrist policy that tries to raise wages so everyone can live on them and that companies pay a reasonable tax is very good policy. We had such a policy for quite a while with the Social Democrats, and Sweden was at the same time one of the absolute best countries in the world. Now, it was not only thanks to the Social Democrats perhaps but because we played a double game with Germany during WW2 so our industry was undamaged and we could sell to all of Europe.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When someone starts saying that the rich people&#8217;s money (and that the lower middle class is included in that definition) belongs to everyone but that they are divinely appointed to administer it – red flag.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When someone fights in small steps to make improvements for those with low wages – good politics.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You only have resources to distribute if people start companies, sell products, hire, and pay taxes and wages.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There is much we have done wrong in the last 30 years and all political parties blame each other, but today in Europe the situation is critical and the politics pursued can have consequences for a long time ahead.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Above all, we are back to a situation where full-time jobs do not allow you to buy a house, car, and have a family in all professions, so we have reached a point where people are dissatisfied – it has been bad politics and we already had good politics in the 1930s with Own Homes, for example, so failing many governments.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That is my opinion.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Reminds me of this, very good very good</p>



<figure class="wp-block-embed"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
https://ukrainakriget.github.io
</div></figure>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/mango-mussolini-round-2-15-october-2026/">Mango Mussolini Round 2, 15 October 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Mango Mussolini continues to rampage, October 14, 2026</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/mango-mussolini-continues-to-rampage-october-14-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/mango-mussolini-continues-to-rampage-october-14-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[johan No.1]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2026 05:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johanno1.se/mango-mussolini-continues-to-rampage-october-14-2026/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Now there will be two very messy posts today and tomorrow and I will have to ask for patience. They [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/mango-mussolini-continues-to-rampage-october-14-2026/">Mango Mussolini continues to rampage, October 14, 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now there will be two very messy posts today and tomorrow and I will have to ask for patience. They are not a final sign of an increasing diagnosis, just that it has boiled over and too much is happening <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f600.png" alt="😀" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I will try to post the first chapter about Dengamle on Friday as compensation for this double penalty if I have time. This is thus not DenGamle and all similarities are unintentional.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump/USA have made good on their threats to stop the flow of information; the day before yesterday Russia fired 6 ballistic missiles at Ukraine that did not receive any early-warning from the USA, a direct hit and Kiev was blacked out.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Those of you who believe in &#8220;technical errors&#8221; can do so, but Trump is a pitch-black little scoundrel and we pray to our gods that the citizens of the USA vote him out as soon as possible.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!390A!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7d67ec-26dd-4bfc-b321-9385d0e2335a_828x1261.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!390A!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7d67ec-26dd-4bfc-b321-9385d0e2335a_828x1261.jpeg" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:0.6566448023276588;width:288px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In addition, Trump/USA have forced Greece, Spain, and Japan not to send hundreds of Patriot interceptors to Ukraine. The interceptors are close to their expiration date anyway and would have certainly saved many children&#8217;s lives, so Trump is now also a traveling salesman in children&#8217;s blood.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!74BF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd623d0dd-fe0d-4cc9-9b0e-82eb2353d73c_828x975.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!74BF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd623d0dd-fe0d-4cc9-9b0e-82eb2353d73c_828x975.jpeg" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:0.8492547638513301;width:286px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Those of you who have followed Johan No.1 since the start of the war in 2022 know that I have not held back criticism of Europe and eventually was no longer considered funny on another blog partly because of my criticism of the USA pre-Trump, so this is nothing new. It is 4.5 years of constantly tripping up Ukraine, which should have already won this war. A war they are fighting against; Russia, Iran, North Korea and now apparently also Trump with a fearful and passive Europe that only in the last half year or so has begun to stop betraying them.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That they endure these constant disappointments is incomprehensible and they are always the adults in the room.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In 2025 the criticism of Trump began when he took over with a couple of posts that winter, and even though he fooled me in August 2025, there have been a few posts about him for almost two years before I began to feel that no more harm could come from that direction – how wrong I was.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now the line has been crossed even for Europe, Ukraine, and Zelensky it seems.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">My working theory is that the USA is just like the bank not your global friend, which was well formed during my conversations with a Peruvian colleague in Lagos over two years who has worked all over South America since the 80s, 75 years old. There were one or two coups down there backed by the USA that apparently did not become the promised utopia at all.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Zelensky fell into the same trap and Ukraine was actually hopeful, it had been four difficult years with the USA and now came promises that everything would get better – it got worse and working subversively while giving bleeding children hope is the greatest of sins.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Therefore, we can probably conclude that Trump will spend eternity in hell, which he deserves.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eMUj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cdba3d5-e254-43e8-ab13-f61b46398e73_828x300.jpeg" alt="" style="width:243px;height:auto" /></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sunday and Monday were sulfurous on johanno1.se because Mango Mussolini&#8217;s barriers have completely fallen, MXT summed it up well.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump has tried to politically topple Zelensky for over a year, humiliated him in the White House in front of cameras instead of in closed meetings, and in other ways tried to destabilize him politically.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The last thing Trump amused himself with was trying to get Fedorov in as president instead and Musk gave a boost there.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the past year you have seen from me a concern that Europe is not keeping up with the obvious escalation against us, but also increasingly positive tones about Europe during the summer which have now almost completely turned positive in autumn 2026.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is because Europe has begun to make tough decisions, late and morally reprehensible to let Ukraine bleed out for 4.5 years but better late than never.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">2022-2025 we suspected what was going on but only when Zelensky told us did we get confirmation.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Mango Mussolini&#8217;s latest statement, which is a serious multi-stage rocket, was leaked in full to the media by &#8220;unnamed officials&#8221; almost on the day.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">From that we should be able to deduce that Europe has now had enough.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Finland is probably sitting with a long face looking at their F35s and wondering if Trump will shut them down completely in the event of war or if it is just the red launch button that will not work so they become the most expensive kamikaze missiles in world history. They will probably have to draw lots among the pilots.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We are politically independent and make our analyses on raw data before it has gone through the media filter where it has been given an opinion often with an underlying agenda.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is not easy to hold a controversial opinion when you have the media and all analysts against you, I can promise you.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The hybrid war is now in full swing and it is high intensity – it started during the summer. Germany now claims it is worse than during the Cold War.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Putin still has a choice to make if he wants to escalate against Europe and that decision lies with him. All preparations are made and demonstrably, despite the media and analysts&#8217; promises to the contrary (that no reserves exist), he just had a large exercise with 45,000 troops and all the capabilities of the drone weapon, the drone weapon we in Europe do not yet have.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump has helped by pulling all offensive American units out of all of Eastern Europe and then directly promised new units that &#8220;are coming soon&#8221;. They have not come.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Right now, two exercises are taking place in Belarus with surprisingly tough names &#8220;Indestructible Brotherhood 2026 and Barrier 2026&#8221;. Not a word of criticism from Trump about these exercises by the way. Trump probably has some trade agreement with Belarus where Lukashenko recently had to admit that they could not deliver?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What has now happened is not that the USA has fundamentally changed in the Ukraine war but that Trump is an infinitely bigger bungler than his predecessors and also gets cash into the account for services so it went really far beyond what reasonable decision-makers in the rest of the West have been able to tolerate. And even then our patience with Mango Mussolini has been that of an angel.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I am also beginning to wonder if there is some truth in that about kompromat, I have thought that he survived four years of everything thrown at him and also already has enough money but he really sticks his neck out for Putin here – why?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump is not known for liking losers and the biggest loser this year is Putin – Trump protects him at the expense of himself and his family (soon). In a whole working life he was the friend who betrays the second you are no longer strong. Instant block on WhatsApp after a couple of crying laughing emojis at your misfortune.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">However, the underlying direction is the same as it has been since 2022, just more open and considerably bolder. My working theory is that the US doctrine since 1945 has survived, that Russia shall be a threat to Europe so we are weak and do not rise up the wrong way again.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The reason for this is not unreasonable, first we colonized the world and then in 1939 we became the worst in class.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now that Russia is weak, they are instead kept under the arms as far as possible, and Ukraine is the country that destroys this important doctrine. Ukraine is collateral.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I have difficulty finding other explanatory models after following this daily for 4.5 years.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Europe has been forced under the noose to shift its position (albeit belatedly), but we are heavily burdened by Russian subversive activities and by having made ourselves totally dependent on imports in many areas – we have a weak position and every attempt to support Ukraine stings terribly both politically and economically.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Our politicians also have a big dark secret; they know that their own careers can come to a permanent end with a bang from some subversive curveball they never saw coming if they go too hard against Putin, but together we are strong and that is where we have arrived now.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Everyone surely remembers the government&#8217;s nomination for special security advisor a few years ago who was an excellent candidate but had to turn back at the door because he had spent too much time fishing on adult sites online. The story goes that China and perhaps Russia have bought some of our most popular adult sites, so all politicians who hang out there already have both size and home number on file.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The only one who was not discouraged was Indonesia’s Sidharto when Russia showed pictures from a hotel room with two young women. Instead, he asked for a color copy because he wanted to show the whole government how proud he was – it works differently in different cultures, the Russians learned then.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For a very long time, the easiest thing was to turn a blind eye to Putin because otherwise you had half a year until the scandal hit the media or a criminal gang stood admiring your garden.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Martin Kragh, one of Sweden’s best Russia experts who tragically died of cancer, was smeared by Aftonbladet, for example. He was ridiculed in every conceivable way and personal attacks rained down. He was completely right and Aftonbladet wrong, but life went on—just not for him.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Have you all followed Trump’s latest statement about the US buying Russian diesel?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Would have led with this but there were many detours as usual.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The logic falters considerably; it’s all Ukraine’s fault for drone-striking Russian refineries after the US made itself an enemy with Canada and imposed 100% tariffs with soaring prices as a result, and then closed the Strait of Hormuz all on its own. When Iran didn’t close it, Trump closed it in rounds.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This spring, we at Johan No.1 predicted that the US would stop delivering LNG and oil products to Europe; the US accounts for about 60% or so of both, and it’s a ridiculously simple pressure tool that it would almost be criminal not to use.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sure enough, Trump recently threatened us with stopping diesel exports to us.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">After that, he forced the EU to open our emergency reserves and sell to the US; with a bit of luck, we’ll drag this out because as soon as we’ve sold off these reserves, Trump still has all the good cards left, which I think everyone understands.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If you want to be generous, you can laugh heartily at the poorly dressed orange car salesman trying to sell you a scratched Skoda without brakes, but unfortunately, it’s probably worse than that because he is now trying by all means to sabotage Ukraine.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">He didn’t stop there; the US has called and threatened all sorts of countries in Europe that we must stop delivering equipment to Ukraine.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cbVg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F460c2881-525a-4a70-879f-45a5b82b3171_828x1122.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cbVg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F460c2881-525a-4a70-879f-45a5b82b3171_828x1122.jpeg" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:0.7379837881036648;width:291px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And he thinks Zelensky should be fired.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ne-k!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2259eb62-c476-4090-8995-cea44881d663_828x835.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ne-k!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2259eb62-c476-4090-8995-cea44881d663_828x835.jpeg" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:0.9916627339940224;width:264px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump has said that there is now an energy peace.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!13gc!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe1b26d41-a078-4d11-8bfb-5c9825c9b919_828x1378.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!13gc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe1b26d41-a078-4d11-8bfb-5c9825c9b919_828x1378.jpeg" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:0.6008857395925598;width:265px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia drone-struck Kiev’s combined heat and power plant two hours later so the city was blacked out, and Lavrov and Peskov have publicly said that ceasefires are silly – I will never understand why they behave like this because they always undermine Trump’s attempts to do favors for them, but that’s how it is.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The ceasefire only applies to stopping attacks on refineries, and Ukraine has none left. The White House clarified this after calls about Russia not following the ceasefire, “they do, as it only applies to refineries.” Brazen, cynical, and generally disgusting.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mVNK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3485db21-67a5-4d93-8879-6b736c7c685c_828x493.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mVNK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3485db21-67a5-4d93-8879-6b736c7c685c_828x493.jpeg" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:1.679606342263532;width:346px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump is trying to stir up an opinion against Ukraine in the West; tough times are coming, you know if you have read the posts, and now the groundwork is being laid that everything that becomes more expensive was Zelensky’s fault for refusing to listen to good advice. It won’t work, but that’s what he amuses himself with when he’s not playing golf.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then the deal itself is really a way to try to stop Ukraine from drone-striking the refineries. An attack on a refinery is an attack on the US, you will hear soon from Trump, “our time’s Pearl Harbor.”</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If that doesn’t have the intended effect, the US will probably send an oil tanker to the Baltic Sea or the Black Sea that Russia will drone-strike; both blame Ukraine and the images of burning American sailors drowning are making the rounds in the media.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Besides that, Russian media now says that the US will provide all spare parts needed to repair Russian refineries – they refer to Trump FINALLY fulfilling promises from the Anchorage meeting if you wonder what was discussed with the Putin copy in private without any officials. Mango Mussolini probably got a list of points and dates?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Everyone seems to have completely forgotten that Russia bombs children and the elderly every day around the clock nowadays; apparently, that is unimportant. Human safari in Kherson is of no interest to Amnesty, the Red Cross, the UN, or anyone at all. And these are Russian accounts proudly posting their videos where they chase pensioners on walkers with explosive drones just because they are bored.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Albanese at the UN just came out hard against Ukraine and their horrific aggressions.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Zelensky has already responded to Trump on this issue, unusually, and he knows it is a personal provocation, but he probably had enough after almost five years.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HIAc!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb73e1e1b-8502-4b4f-8ce2-944fa094dfef_828x520.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HIAc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb73e1e1b-8502-4b4f-8ce2-944fa094dfef_828x520.jpeg" alt="" style="width:472px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is rumored that Ukraine will now increase the pace; Zelensky has given that order – a reasonable reaction and if nothing else, Yandex servers disappeared immediately.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The story also goes that Budanov got really angry at the meeting with Kushner, but highly unconfirmed and a good story until it’s no longer one.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And this one, Trump is probably furious, one hopes, such a grin probably goes straight into the dark heart that beats once a minute.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6pzR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda3f7cec-13e0-4a83-a207-d6bb779cd51f_828x1097.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6pzR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda3f7cec-13e0-4a83-a207-d6bb779cd51f_828x1097.jpeg" alt="" style="width:386px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is clear that Ukraine is now making itself an enemy of Trump – and that more is coming is also clear because Trump is notorious for being vindictive and Putin WhatsApps him daily now asking if he is a little coward or a man.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">At some point, when Putin’s trash army retreats too quickly, Trump will demand a ceasefire and then blame Ukraine for being the aggressor along with some at the UN apparently.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That Russia – the US have a direct line that we in Europe are not part of is established fact.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That the US continues as from 2022 and rigs everything to Putin’s advantage as soon as it goes as badly as can be expected from the lousy Russians is also clear.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Those of you who have read Johan No.1 know that Ukraine was infinitely many times pressured to halt offensives that were going too well or denied permission for those that could be assumed to be going too well. There were geographical restrictions, and when a Ukrainian colonel at the US communications center happened to see where the cruiser Moskva was located in the Black Sea, &#8220;went out for a smoke,&#8221; and then the flagship sank (true story), the US went completely crazy and the communications officer had to leave.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump is significantly clumsier and more obvious, which in some way caused Europe&#8217;s enchantment to break.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">South Korea has some suspicious beef with Ukraine over two North Korean prisoners they received, which Zelensky confirmed in the media.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">South Korea has supplied a huge amount of diesel to Russia this summer.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Zelensky humbly apologized with elaborate bows, and South Korea said the apology was not sincere – it was not accepted.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">South Korea recently recalled its ambassador from Ukraine.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">India, China, Iran, North Korea, and several others all wholeheartedly support Russia. All participated in a large military exercise of 45,000 troops recently.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Chinese technology drives the Russian war machine, and China has built production lines for maximum volume now inside Russia. Made in China but in Russia, which overnight can be directed against us.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I want to assert here that what Europe does or does not do will be very important because Ukraine is fighting against half the world entirely on its own and has very few friends left.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The US has already stopped sending materiel, is holding back what has been paid for, and has demonstrably cut off intelligence cooperation because Ukraine does not leave the refineries alone.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is obviously morally reprehensible when Russia bombs Ukraine every day, but it is also dangerous because Ukraine needs all the support it can get, and now they only have Europe left.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Ukraine does not need as much support as before, so they are pushing forward. But without European support, things can quickly go downhill, and this is a tightrope to balance. The technological advantage Ukraine has today has an expiration date and must be maximized within this time window.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Above all, Ukraine MUST nurture its EU membership, so if we in Europe slow them down in any way, Ukraine will comply. If Zelensky becomes the man who interrupted EU membership, it will be political total chaos.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Poland is angry at Ukraine for various reasons, and now Ukraine is not allowed to sell agricultural products to the EU – but we still buy from Russia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The EU still buys LNG, oil, diesel, and gasoline from Russia as much as we can before we implement a total ban at the turn of the year.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The EU has withheld financial aid to Ukraine on administrative grounds, like too much corruption and the like.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The frozen Russian funds held in Euroclear in Belgium are being held by the Belgians, who refuse to release them.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The support must be total and not just on fancy letterhead with long words; they fight for their survival every day of the week.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In previous years, when things went too well, Europe also completely stopped its direct support together with the US. Ukraine then had to halt because the artillery tubes simply went silent. They had no ammunition to shoot with and had to accept that this or that offensive could not be carried out as soon as they began to see the light at the end of the tunnel.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Since Europe supports Ukraine, we are also a big target now. The Palestinian demonstrations have, just like the Vietnam demonstrations in their time, become an arena for revolution against capitalism and the West – Russia is just dusting off old influence operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We will probably not get enough gas, oil, diesel, and gasoline this winter, combined with attacks on our electricity transmission and LNG storage. If we happen to have enough to get by, we won’t after a couple of inexplicable spontaneous fires.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When the financial crisis unfolds, this revolutionary group that has formed over the past couple of years will create chaos together with right-wing extremist counter-demonstrators. In essence, they are not wrong – everything is more expensive, we cannot afford it, but it is Russia behind it, so they direct their anger in the wrong direction.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">First of all – everyone wants a weak Europe, and the Cold War was designed for exactly that. As someone living in Europe who does not work full-time in the Dominican Republic, I do not want that at all. Europe today is a sane voice in an increasingly authoritarian world, and the worst excesses we collectively shame for in Europe have a low probability of recurring.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Secondly – may Ukraine continue with the refineries because it hurts Putin so much that he has had to ask the US for a very big favor where Trump knows he exposes himself even internally, and just before a midterm election.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You see the symptoms everywhere, but the disease is Russia; that must never be forgotten.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">After empirical lab tests, the data is indisputable – if Europe can stand strong in its support for Ukraine, the Russian soufflé will completely collapse.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When Russia falls, calm will settle over Europe, and Ukraine will become a highly valued member of the EU alongside Canada and Australia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Europe has exactly everything to gain from this, and if we also continue to do it the right way, we are even better off.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Historically, of course, we go bananas and open extermination camps, but Europe is now a union of 27 countries, and we have a very long history of democracy.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Europe has every chance to become the light if we just don’t make direct mistakes when it is easier to do right. Over time, we are strong enough that no one can defeat us, and then we could become a good force in the world. It rarely ends that way, of course, but one can hope – that is Johan No.1’s vision of utopia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Without Ukraine, chaos would already be upon us, and it is ultimately the Ukrainian shooters who lie in trenches for half a year straight and half-starve who are the thin line between us and Russian barbarism – we owe them everything.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Of course, it will not turn out that way, and after the war, this burned generation will sit and drink on their failing porches in financial ruin like all other great generations who sacrificed everything. Zelensky will immediately lose the election and die prematurely as he has burned himself out.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But through their sacrifice, a free Ukraine was born and hopefully a bright Europe, unless a full global conflict happens first.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Follow Johan No.1 for the latest from Trump and don’t forget your subscription; it is needed now more than ever for peace in our time.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Dengamle – a not always so successful journey through world history – will hopefully come on Friday; I am sitting and finalizing it.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Reminding of this one, very good.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-embed"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
https://ukrainakriget.github.io
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<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/mango-mussolini-continues-to-rampage-october-14-2026/">Mango Mussolini continues to rampage, October 14, 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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		<title>Three killed and at least eleven injured in Russian attack on Kharkiv &#8211; French navy stops shadow ships &#8211; Trump continues to be Trump &#8211; Russian losses</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/three-killed-and-at-least-eleven-injured-in-russian-attack-on-kharkiv-french-navy-stops-shadow-ships-trump-continues-to-be-trump-russian-losses/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/three-killed-and-at-least-eleven-injured-in-russian-attack-on-kharkiv-french-navy-stops-shadow-ships-trump-continues-to-be-trump-russian-losses/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MXT]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2026 05:27:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Russian losses in Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Russia launched a large-scale missile attack on Kharkiv in Ukraine on October 12, killing three and injuring at least 11 [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/three-killed-and-at-least-eleven-injured-in-russian-attack-on-kharkiv-french-navy-stops-shadow-ships-trump-continues-to-be-trump-russian-losses/">Three killed and at least eleven injured in Russian attack on Kharkiv &#8211; French navy stops shadow ships &#8211; Trump continues to be Trump &#8211; Russian losses</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
]]></description>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia launched a large-scale missile attack on Kharkiv in Ukraine on October 12, killing three and injuring at least 11 people, including one rescue worker. The governor of the Kharkiv region stated that Russian forces had used 10 Banderol-type missiles. The attacks damaged several apartment buildings as well as several private homes. One of the houses caught fire and six vehicles also started burning. Read more <a href="https://kyivindependent.com/russian-missile-attack-on-kharkiv-injures-at-least-11-including-rescuer/">here</a>.</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The French navy intercepted and boarded a tanker suspected of sailing under a false flag as part of Russia&#8217;s shadow fleet on October 12, announced France&#8217;s President Emmanuel Macron. The tanker DF Peak was suspected of transporting sanctioned Russian fuel and was stopped by the French navy 450 nautical miles (833 kilometers) south of the French territory of Réunion in the Indian Ocean.<br><br>&#8220;France is determined to fight the ghost fleet, wherever it is in the world,&#8221; Macron wrote on X. &#8220;This action, carried out in accordance with international maritime law, demonstrates our determination to uphold the rule of law and combat all illegal trade, wherever it occurs.&#8221; Read more <a href="https://kyivindependent.com/french-navy-intercepts-russian-shadow-fleet-tanker-in-indian-ocean/">here</a>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It would have been interesting to know if it was possibly diesel they were transporting..</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump says Ukraine and Russia agree to start a ceasefire in the energy sector &#8220;because I said they agreed&#8221;<br>In a conversation with reporters on the White House lawn on October 12, US President Donald Trump again said that Ukraine and Russia had agreed to stop attacks on energy infrastructure, despite confusion surrounding the alleged ceasefire.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">&#8220;They agreed,&#8221; Trump said after a reporter pointed out that neither Moscow nor Kiev had confirmed that they would refrain from attacks on energy facilities. &#8220;Do you know why? Because I said they agreed. That&#8217;s why. They agreed because I said they agreed. And that matter has to be resolved.&#8221; Read more <a href="https://kyivindependent.com/trump-says-ukraine-russia-agree-to-energy-strike-ceasefire-because-i-said-they-agreed/">here</a>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump simply lives in his own world where he seems to believe he is omnipotent.</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The UK is now sanctioning Dutch businessman Alexander Tattersall and Redwing Metal, the Turkish company he is a co-owner of, following Kyiv Independent&#8217;s revelation that he supplied machinery from the EU to Russian missile and combat aircraft manufacturers. The sanctions came four months after the revelations. Tattersall and Redwing Metal were blacklisted as part of a package of 38 designations announced by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) on October 8, targeting Russian oil companies, shadow fleet vessels, crypto exchanges, and suppliers of goods critical to Russia&#8217;s military.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">UK sanctions freeze all assets held by the designated individuals and companies under UK jurisdiction and prohibit UK citizens and companies from trading with them.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Russian losses in Ukraine</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Somewhat lower losses than we have become accustomed to recently, but that does not mean low losses. Had someone said early in the war, when 500 KWIA per day was considered sky-high losses, that we would see these levels, we probably would not have believed it.</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>1390 KWIA</li>



<li>2 Tanks</li>



<li>7 AFVs</li>



<li>51 Artillery systems</li>



<li>2 MLRS</li>



<li>1 Air defense system</li>



<li>1889 UAVs</li>



<li>15 UGVs</li>



<li>362 Vehicles and Fuel tanks</li>



<li>5 Special equipment</li>
</ul>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large losses"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" width="819" height="1024" src="https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-13-819x1024.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-10413" srcset="https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-13-819x1024.jpg 819w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-13-240x300.jpg 240w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-13-768x960.jpg 768w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-13.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ukrainian General Staff morning report</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Operational information as of 08:00 on October 13, 2026, on the Russian invasion</strong></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Glory to Ukraine!<br>The 1693rd day of the Russian Federation&#8217;s full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine has begun.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the past day, a total of <strong>203 combat contacts</strong> were recorded.<br>Yesterday, the enemy carried out <strong>90 airstrikes</strong>, during which <strong>301 guided aerial bombs</strong> were dropped. In addition, the attackers used <strong>9,516 kamikaze drones</strong> and conducted <strong>2,619 shellings</strong> against communities and our troops&#8217; positions, of which <strong>31 were with rocket artillery</strong>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hostile shelling affected, among others, the communities of Pavlivka, Vilna Sloboda, Vasylivske, Zarichchia, Korenok, Korchakivka, Nova Sich, Khrapivshchyna, Sopych, Ulanove, Rohizne, Mala Rybytsia, Potapivka, and Iskryskivshchyna in the Sumy region, as well as Khrinivka in the Chernihiv region.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the past day, the defense forces&#8217; aviation, missile units, and artillery struck an area with a concentration of enemy personnel and a command post for unmanned aerial vehicles.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the northern Slobozhansky and Kursk sectors, the attacker conducted 49 shellings against our troops&#8217; positions and communities during the past day.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the southern Slobozhansky sector, Ukrainian units repelled 20 enemy attacks. The attackers tried to advance in the areas around Starytsia, Izbytske, Vovchanski Khutory, and Zybyn, as well as in the direction of Zakharivka, Varvarivka, Radkivka, and Doroshivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Kupyansk sector, the enemy conducted no assault operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Attempts to break through our defense were repelled on the Lyman sector, where the occupiers conducted six attacks in the areas around Kolodiazi and Lyman.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Sloviansk and Kramatorsk sectors, the enemy conducted no assault operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Kostiantynivka sector, 15 attacks were recorded. The attackers conducted offensive operations in the areas around Kostiantynivka, Sofiivka, and Dovha Balka, as well as in the direction of Mykolaipillia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Pokrovsk sector, the enemy conducted 29 attacks. The occupiers tried to advance in the direction of the communities of Hruzke, Toretske, Vilne, Kucheriv Yar, Dobropillia, Svitlé, Myrne, and Serhiivka, as well as in the area around Molodetske.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Oleksandrivka sector, the enemy attacked once in the direction of Ternove.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Huljajpole sector, the enemy tried to advance 12 times in the areas around Rizdvianka and Ternove, as well as in the direction of Nove Zaporizhzhia, Kosivtseve, Hirke, Vozdvyzhivka, and Prydorozhnie.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Orikhiv and Prydniprovsk sectors, the occupiers conducted no assault operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Volyn and Polissya sectors, no signs have been detected that the enemy is forming offensive force groupings.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Total Russian attacker losses during the past day amounted to 1,390 personnel. In addition, two tanks, seven armored fighting vehicles, 51 artillery systems, two rocket artillery systems, one air defense system, 15 ground-based missile systems, 1,889 unmanned aerial vehicles, 362 vehicles, and five units of special equipment were neutralized.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Join the defense forces! Together we will prevail! Glory to Ukraine!</strong></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Comment:</em><br>83 localized attacks out of a total of 203 leaves 120 unlocalized, making the ratio 120 / 83 ≈ <strong>1.45</strong>.</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/three-killed-and-at-least-eleven-injured-in-russian-attack-on-kharkiv-french-navy-stops-shadow-ships-trump-continues-to-be-trump-russian-losses/">Three killed and at least eleven injured in Russian attack on Kharkiv &#8211; French navy stops shadow ships &#8211; Trump continues to be Trump &#8211; Russian losses</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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		<title>Bloomberg reports that Russia lost over 50,000 soldiers in September &#8211; Russian losses</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/bloomberg-reports-that-russia-lost-over-50000-soldiers-in-september-russian-losses/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/bloomberg-reports-that-russia-lost-over-50000-soldiers-in-september-russian-losses/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MXT]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2026 06:31:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russian losses in Ukraine]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johanno1.se/bloomberg-reports-that-russia-lost-over-50000-soldiers-in-september-russian-losses/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Bloomberg reports that Russia lost over 50,000 people in September, including over 28,000 Russian soldiers killed, according to information from [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/bloomberg-reports-that-russia-lost-over-50000-soldiers-in-september-russian-losses/">Bloomberg reports that Russia lost over 50,000 soldiers in September &#8211; Russian losses</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Bloomberg reports that Russia lost over 50,000 people in September, including over 28,000 Russian soldiers killed, according to information from a NATO official. Summing up Ukraine&#8217;s losses for September amounts to around 46,000, but they do not specify how many were killed. September is the deadliest month so far in 2026, and October looks like it could be just as deadly if the high losses continue.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Yesterday, Trump and the White House finally openly showed which side they stand on in the war when they try to deprive Ukraine of the greatest advantage they have over Russia. Trying to force Ukraine to stop bombing the refineries and at the same time blaming the high gasoline and diesel prices on it is, of course, just a way to deceive the American public. Everyone knows that prices soared when the US started the war on Iran. Russia had long, long before that already stopped exporting gasoline and diesel. Admittedly, they have had to import themselves and have to some extent influenced the price, but it is still negligible compared to the impact the war in Iran has had. Just accusing Ukraine of the price increases is in itself extremely low, but that is probably what you can expect from Trump who has a habit of lying.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now he and his administration, however, have completely crossed the line when they seriously try to force Ukraine to stop bombing the refineries while (if the information is correct) calling around to European leaders and trying to get them to force Zelensky to stop the attacks and at the same time threatening to stop sharing intel and halt all deliveries of American weapons and American ammunition.  <br>Moreover, they are considering importing diesel from Russia and thereby fueling Putin’s war chest.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump has once again also urged Zelensky to resign, when it is rather Trump himself who should step down. He has not exactly succeeded in fulfilling the most important of his campaign promises, and it even looks like the Democrats now have a chance to win the Senate. Had he done his job properly, they wouldn’t even be close. That he was against Ukraine and Zelensky was clear already two years before he won the presidential election. I was at least a bit naively hoping I was wrong about Trump. That his reluctance towards Ukraine and Zelensky was just a show to gain support from MAGA where America First is what matters. <br>He failed (which most understood) to end the war in 24 hours, but he still fulfilled his promise to stop supporting Ukraine and now he has finally shown that he completely stands on Russia’s side.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The question is who is more desperate, is it Putin who has begged him to stop Ukraine, or is it Trump himself who feels that the only chance to succeed in the midterm elections is to bring down gasoline prices? Now that diesel import from Russia, if Russia can even deliver, will not affect much. The first delivery that will arrive before the election corresponds to about one day of US diesel consumption.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now it is important that Europe and others continue to stand on Ukraine’s side and finally fully realize that we cannot trust the USA.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Russian losses</h2>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>1470 KWIA</li>



<li>2 Tanks</li>



<li>6 AFVs</li>



<li>51 Artillery systems</li>



<li>4 MLRS</li>



<li>2 Air defense systems</li>



<li>1416 UAVs</li>



<li>3 UGVs</li>



<li>553 Vehicles and Fuel tanks</li>



<li>3 Special equipment</li>
</ul>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large losses"><img decoding="async" width="819" height="1024" src="https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-12-819x1024.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-10199" srcset="https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-12-819x1024.jpg 819w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-12-240x300.jpg 240w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-12-768x960.jpg 768w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-12.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ukrainian General Staff morning report</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Operational information as of 08:00 on October 12, 2026, regarding the Russian invasion</strong></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Glory to Ukraine!<br>The 1692nd day of the Russian Federation&#8217;s full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine has begun.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the last 24 hours, a total of <strong>264 combat engagements</strong> were recorded.<br>Yesterday, the enemy carried out <strong>73 air strikes</strong>, during which <strong>238 guided aerial bombs</strong> were dropped. In addition, the attackers used <strong>8,985 kamikaze drones</strong> and conducted <strong>2,468 shellings</strong> against communities and our troops&#8217; positions, of which <strong>51 were with rocket artillery</strong>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hostile shelling affected, among others, the communities of Bezsalivka, Korenok, Tovstodubove, Sopych, Ulanove, Malushyne, Rohizne, Kucherivka, Marchyshyna Buda, Potapivka, Rivne, Vasylivka, Kruzhok, Starykove, Yastrubshchyna, Senkivka, Iskryskivshchyna, Brusky, Kozache, and Mala Slobidka in the Sumy region, as well as Liskivshchyna, Kamin, and Naberezhne in the Chernihiv region. Mkhy and Rivne were subjected to air strikes.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the last 24 hours, the defense forces&#8217; air, missile units, and artillery hit an area with a concentration of enemy personnel, an artillery system, and a launch site for unmanned aerial vehicles.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the northern Slobozhansky and Kursk sectors, the attacker conducted two air strikes with four guided aerial bombs and 35 shellings against our troops&#8217; positions and communities.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the southern Slobozhansky sector, Ukrainian units repelled 11 enemy attacks. The attackers tried to assault in the direction of the communities of Starytsia, Izbytske, Vovchanski Khutory, Kreidianka, Volokhivske, Buzove, and Dovhenke.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Kupyansk sector, the enemy tried 12 times to improve their positions through storming operations in the direction of Radkivka, Kutkivka, and Kivsharivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Attempts to break into our defense were repelled on the Lyman sector, where the occupiers conducted 13 attacks in the direction of the communities of Nove, Zarichne, Kolodiazi, Lyman, and Dibrova.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Slovyansk sector, the enemy conducted an attack in the area around Yampil.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Kramatorsk sector, the enemy conducted no storming operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Kostyantynivka sector, 32 attacks were recorded. The attackers conducted offensive operations in the area around Kostyantynivka and in the direction of Novoselivka, Osykove, Mykolaipillia, Novopavlivka, Raiske, Toretske, Hruzke, Volodymyrivka, and Maiak.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Pokrovsk sector, the enemy conducted 36 attacks. The occupiers tried to advance in the direction of the communities of Bilozerske, Chernihivka, Novyi Donbas, Vilne, Hannivka, Nykonorivka, Shevchenko, Serhiivka, Svitlé, Vasylivka, and Novohrishyne.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Oleksandrivka sector, the enemy stormed five times in the direction of Sichneve and Ternove.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Huljajpole sector, the occupiers attacked our defenders&#8217; positions eight times. The enemy tried to advance in the direction of the communities of Uspishne, Rizdvianka, Shyroke, and Ternove.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Orikhiv sector, the enemy tried three times to assault in the direction of Pavlivka and Mali Shcherbaky.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Prydniprovsk sector, the occupiers conducted no storming operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the Volyn and Polissya sectors, no signs have been detected that the enemy is forming offensive force groupings.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In total, the Russian attackers&#8217; losses during the last 24 hours amounted to 1,470 personnel. In addition, two tanks, six armored combat vehicles, 51 artillery systems, four rocket artillery systems, two air defense systems, three ground-based missile systems, 1,416 unmanned aerial vehicles, 553 vehicles, and three units of special equipment were neutralized.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Join the defense forces! Together we will win! Glory to Ukraine!</strong></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Comment:</em><br>121 localized attacks out of a total of 264 leaves 143 unlocalized, making the ratio 143 / 121 ≈ <strong>1.18</strong>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>SLAVA UKRAINI</strong></p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/bloomberg-reports-that-russia-lost-over-50000-soldiers-in-september-russian-losses/">Bloomberg reports that Russia lost over 50,000 soldiers in September &#8211; Russian losses</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
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			<slash:comments>139</slash:comments>
		
		
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		<title>5-year-old boy killed and 5 injured in Russian drone attack &#8211; Trump&#8217;s diesel imports from Russia may violate the law &#8211; Yandex&#8217;s third data center shuts down after the latest attack</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/5-year-old-boy-killed-and-5-injured-in-russian-drone-attack-trumps-diesel-imports-from-russia-may-violate-the-law-yandexs-third-data-center-shuts-down-after-the-latest-attack/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/5-year-old-boy-killed-and-5-injured-in-russian-drone-attack-trumps-diesel-imports-from-russia-may-violate-the-law-yandexs-third-data-center-shuts-down-after-the-latest-attack/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MXT]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2026 05:43:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johanno1.se/5-year-old-boy-killed-and-5-injured-in-russian-drone-attack-trumps-diesel-imports-from-russia-may-violate-the-law-yandexs-third-data-center-shuts-down-after-the-latest-attack/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>11-year-old boy killed and five injured in Russian drone attack in Dnipropetrovsk region. The boy was killed when Russian forces [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/5-year-old-boy-killed-and-5-injured-in-russian-drone-attack-trumps-diesel-imports-from-russia-may-violate-the-law-yandexs-third-data-center-shuts-down-after-the-latest-attack/">5-year-old boy killed and 5 injured in Russian drone attack &#8211; Trump&#8217;s diesel imports from Russia may violate the law &#8211; Yandex&#8217;s third data center shuts down after the latest attack</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">11-year-old boy killed and five injured in Russian drone attack in Dnipropetrovsk region. The boy was killed when Russian forces dropped a projectile from a drone over the community of Pokrovske in the Nikopol district, according to regional representatives. Among the injured were also a 10-year-old girl and a 12-year-old boy; both have been taken to hospital. Russia carried out over 30 attacks with drones and artillery against the Dnipropetrovsk region yesterday. In the Nikopol district, residential buildings, a gas station, and an ambulance were damaged in the attacks, and in the Kryvyj Rih district, private homes and infrastructure were damaged. In the Dnipro district, vehicles and agricultural machinery were damaged. <a href="https://kyivindependent.com/11-year-old-boy-killed-five-injured-by-russian-drone-attack-in-dnipropetrovsk-oblast/">Kyiv Independent</a>.</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump&#8217;s decision to import diesel from Russia faces strong opposition from several quarters, including in the US where both Democrats and Republicans are highly critical. &#8220;Will only lead to more bloodshed.&#8221; Lawmakers from both parties argued that the measure would undermine recently imposed sanctions against Russia, potentially give Moscow billions in revenue, and counteract Congress&#8217;s efforts to pressure Russian President Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine. Some lawmakers questioned whether the plan would actually lower fuel prices for Americans, and others say it is actually illegal.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In 2022, Joe Biden signed a law banning US imports of Russian energy products; the conditions for lifting the ban were tied to Russia agreeing to withdraw its troops from Ukraine.<br>&#8220;Congress banned imports of Russian energy in 2022. (The President) cannot just ignore that law to buy diesel from Putin,&#8221; said Senator Jeanne Shaheen, a Democrat on the Foreign Relations Committee. <a href="https://kyivindependent.com/will-only-lead-to-more-slaughter-bipartisan-backlash-erupts-in-us-over-trump-russia-diesel-deal/">Kyiv Independent</a>. We can only hope they can stop Trump and his imports.</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Russian tech giant Yandex&#8217;s data center in the Vladimir region has been completely shut down following the latest drone attack, reported the Russian state news agency TASS on October 11, citing the company. The reported attack is the third in a row against Yandex data centers in Russia, after confirmed attacks in the Ryazan and Kaluga regions on October 8 and 9. Earlier the same day, Yandex Cloud reported power outages in an availability zone linked to the company&#8217;s data center in Vladimir. <a href="https://kyivindependent.com/third-yandex-data-center-in-russia-shut-down-following-reported-drone-attack/">Kyiv Independent</a>.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Russian losses in Ukraine</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Losses of Russian soldiers continue to remain at a new higher level. The seven-day average over the past 10 days is just over 1700.</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>1930 KIA</li>



<li>2 Tanks</li>



<li>6 AFVs</li>



<li>39 Artillery systems</li>



<li>4 MLRS</li>



<li>2 Air defense systems</li>



<li>1531 UAVs</li>



<li>7 UGVs</li>



<li>557 Vehicles &amp; fuel tanks</li>



<li>3 Special equipment</li>
</ul>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large losses"><img decoding="async" width="819" height="1024" src="https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-11-819x1024.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-10190" srcset="https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-11-819x1024.jpg 819w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-11-768x960.jpg 768w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-11-240x300.jpg 240w, https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2026-10-11.jpg 1024w" sizes="(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px" /></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Ukrainian General Staff morning report</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Operational information as of October 11, 2026, 08:00 regarding the Russian invasion</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Glory to Ukraine!<br>The 1691st day of the Russian Federation&#8217;s full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine has begun.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the past 24 hours, a total of <strong>221 combat engagements</strong> were recorded.<br>Yesterday, the enemy carried out a missile attack and <strong>73 airstrikes</strong>, dropping <strong>255 guided aerial bombs</strong>. Additionally, the attackers used 8,444 kamikaze drones and conducted <strong>2,553 shellings</strong> against settlements and our troops&#8217; positions, of which <strong>45 were with rocket artillery systems</strong>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The enemy shelling affected, among others, the settlements of Havrylova Sloboda, Tovstodubove, Sopytj, Batsjivsk, Kharkivka, Ulanove, Yastrubshchyna, Shalyhyne, Starykove, Brusky, Bezsalivka, Iskrivshchyna, Volfyne, Stepanivka, Pavlivka, Kindrativka, Rohizne, Pysarivka, Nova Sitch, Ivolzhanske, Kortyakivka, Mala Kortyakivka, Khrapivshchyna, Maryine, Mohrytsia, Zapsillia, Luzhky and Neskutne in Sumy oblast, as well as Khrinivka, Klyusy and Karpovychi in Chernihiv oblast.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Airstrikes were directed against the settlements of Mchy, Khotin and Vakalivshchyna.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the past 24 hours, the Ukrainian Air Force struck one of the enemy&#8217;s unmanned aerial vehicle command posts.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The situation at the various front sections:</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Northern Slobozhanshchyna and Kursk front: During the past 24 hours, Ukrainian defense forces repelled three enemy attacks. The attacker conducted four airstrikes with 11 guided aerial bombs and 171 shellings against our troops&#8217; positions and settlements.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Southern Slobozhanshchyna front: Ukrainian units repelled 10 enemy attacks. The attackers tried to advance near Starytsia, Vovchansk and Vovchanski Khutory as well as in the direction of Radkivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Kupiansk front: The enemy attempted once to improve their positions through offensive actions in the area around Nova Kruhljakivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Lyman front: Attempts to break through our defense were repelled. The occupiers carried out 10 attacks in the areas around Nadiya, Novoiehorivka, Novoselivka, Lyman and Dibrova.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sloviansk front: The enemy carried out six attacks near Ozerne and Kryva Luka as well as in the direction of Pyskunivka and Mykolaivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Kramatorsk front: The enemy carried out no offensive actions.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Kostiantynivka front: 18 attacks were recorded. The attackers conducted offensive operations in the areas around Kostiantynivka, Novoselivka, Toretske and Vilne as well as in the direction of Mykolaipillia, Rajske and Pryiut.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Pokrovsk front: The enemy carried out 25 attacks. The occupiers tried to advance in the areas around Svitle, Molodetske and Novomykolaivka as well as in the direction of Dobropillia, Novohryshyne and Serhiyivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Oleksandrivka front: The enemy carried out no offensive actions.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Huliaipole front: The occupiers attacked our defenders&#8217; positions 21 times. The enemy tried to advance in the areas around Rybne, Verkhna Tersa, Hirke, Huliaipilske and Mala Tokmachka as well as in the direction of Kosivts&#8217;e, Nove Zaporizhzhia, Rivne, Vozdvyzhivka, Dolynka and Kopani.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Orikhiv front: The enemy carried out no offensive operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Dnipro front: Our defenders successfully stopped an enemy attack.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Volyn and Polissia front: No signs of the enemy forming offensive force groupings have been detected.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Join the defense forces! Together we shall prevail! Glory to Ukraine!</strong></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Comment: 95 localized attacks out of a total of 221 leaves 126 unlocalized, giving a ratio of 126 / 95 ≈ <strong>1.33</strong>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>SLAVA UKRAINI</strong></p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/5-year-old-boy-killed-and-5-injured-in-russian-drone-attack-trumps-diesel-imports-from-russia-may-violate-the-law-yandexs-third-data-center-shuts-down-after-the-latest-attack/">5-year-old boy killed and 5 injured in Russian drone attack &#8211; Trump&#8217;s diesel imports from Russia may violate the law &#8211; Yandex&#8217;s third data center shuts down after the latest attack</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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			<slash:comments>146</slash:comments>
		
		
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		<title>Large fire at the oil terminal in Rostov-on-Don &#8211; Russian losses</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/large-fire-at-the-oil-terminal-in-rostov-on-don-russian-losses/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/large-fire-at-the-oil-terminal-in-rostov-on-don-russian-losses/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MXT]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2026 07:07:48 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johanno1.se/large-fire-at-the-oil-terminal-in-rostov-on-don-russian-losses/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Terminal roasted in Rostov-on-Don. Russian losses remain at a good level.<br />
Krasnov buys diesel from Russia</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/large-fire-at-the-oil-terminal-in-rostov-on-don-russian-losses/">Large fire at the oil terminal in Rostov-on-Don &#8211; Russian losses</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A large fire broke out at an oil loading terminal in Russian Rostov-on-Don after a Ukrainian drone attack. The terminal handles petroleum products for export, including deliveries from the oil refinery in Novoshakhtinsk. Video clips circulated via several Telegram accounts showed large flames and thick smoke rising from the site. Russian regional authorities confirmed a fire and that air defense was active, but they did not acknowledge any damage to the terminal, <br>The Ukrainian defense has so far not said anything about being behind the attack. Maybe it was just a careless smoker? <a href="https://kyivindependent.com/major-fire-reported-at-oil-terminal-linked-to-russias-novoshakhtinsk-refinery-after-suspected-drone-strike/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener nofollow">Kyiv Independent</a>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Krasnov (Trump) has now decided to buy diesel from his buddy Putin, reportedly about 300,000 tons. At the same time, he is imposing sanctions on the International Criminal Court (ICC), which among other things has issued a warrant for Putin. Remember. <br>Those of you who see Trump as a hero, please explain to the rest of us. I would like to hear: He is actually a good person who is incredibly smart and plays a kind of 5D chess that the rest of us don’t understand because we are blinded by our hatred of him but this is actually how it is .. &#8230; and it will benefit us all&#8230;<br>The absence of such explanations I will interpret as even you Trump lovers starting to give up. NOTE! This is written humorously.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Russian losses</h2>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>1420 KWIA</li>



<li>4 Tanks</li>



<li>6 AFVs</li>



<li>50 Artillery systems</li>



<li>2 MLRS</li>



<li>6 Air defense systems</li>



<li>1591 UAVs</li>



<li>9 UGVs</li>



<li>534 Vehicles &amp; fuel tanks</li>



<li>2 Special equipment</li>
</ul>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ukrainian General Staff morning report</h2>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Operational information at 08:00 on October 10, 2026, regarding the Russian invasion</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Glory to Ukraine!<br>The 1690th day of Russia&#8217;s full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine has begun.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the past 24 hours, a total of <strong>218</strong> combat engagements were recorded.<br>Yesterday, the enemy carried out a missile attack and <strong>88</strong> airstrikes, including <strong>282</strong> guided aerial bombs. In addition, the Russian attackers used <strong>9,389</strong> kamikaze drones and conducted <strong>2,471</strong> shellings against populated areas and Ukrainian military positions.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Sumy region, the communities of Ulanove, Pysarivka, Bachivsk, and Tovstodubove were subjected to hostile artillery fire.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Northern Slobozhanshchyna front: The Russian attackers carried out eight attacks in the areas around Tovstodubove, Mala Slobidka, Bachivsk, Doroshivka, Buniachyne, and Mala Rybytsia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Southern Slobozhanshchyna front: Ukrainian units repelled 18 hostile attacks. The occupiers tried to advance in the areas around Buhaivka, Izbytske, Hrafske, Vovtjansk, Varvarivka, and Vodiane.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Kupiansk front: The enemy conducted two attacks in the areas around Novoplatonivka and Kolisnykivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Lyman front: Eight hostile advance attempts were stopped in the areas around Novoserhiivka, Novomykhailivka, Lyman, and Novoselivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sloviansk front: The enemy carried out one attack in the area around Ozerne.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Kramatorsk front: The enemy conducted no offensive operations during the past 24 hours.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Kostiantynivka front: A total of 16 attacks were recorded. The occupiers conducted assault attempts in the areas around Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Novoselivka, Illinivka, and Mykolaipillia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Pokrovsk front: The Ukrainian defenders stopped 22 attacks. The enemy concentrated its main efforts in the areas around Serhiivka, Molodetske, and Novopavlivka and conducted assault attempts towards Hannivka, Volodymyrivka, Vilne, Dobropillia, Rodynske, Bilytske, Novyi Donbas, Krasnopodillia, Dorozhnie, Myrne, and Vasylivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Oleksandrivka front: The enemy conducted no active offensive operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Huliaipole front: Twelve hostile attacks were repelled in the areas around Kosivtseve, Rizdvianka, and Shyroke.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Orikhiv front: The Ukrainian defenders repelled a hostile attack in the area around Prymorske.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Dnipro front: No hostile activity was recorded.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Volyn and Polissia fronts: The situation is largely unchanged. No signs of the enemy gathering forces for an offensive have been detected.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Join the defense forces! Together we will win! Glory to Ukraine!</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Comment: </em><br>88 localized attacks out of a total of 218 leaves 130 unlocalized, resulting in a ratio of 130 / 88 ≈ <strong>1.48</strong>.</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/large-fire-at-the-oil-terminal-in-rostov-on-don-russian-losses/">Large fire at the oil terminal in Rostov-on-Don &#8211; Russian losses</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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			<slash:comments>70</slash:comments>
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Ukraine Front Report, 9 October 2026</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/ukraine-front-report-9-october-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/ukraine-front-report-9-october-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[johan No.1]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2026 05:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johanno1.se/ukraine-front-report-9-october-2026/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>It is still tricky to figure out what is going on, and now it seems that Project Owl is also [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/ukraine-front-report-9-october-2026/">Ukraine Front Report, 9 October 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is still tricky to figure out what is going on, and now it seems that Project Owl is also holding back, so one has to rely on Russian sources. When Russian sources scream about negative news, there is more credibility than when they lie about Russian successes. My filter goes through other credible UA OSINT analysts who reference the Russian sources.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That didn’t stop me, it seems, and I posted a bad map in the last post. I was after the Zherebets line, but it showed an advance towards Siversk and Bilohorivka that does not exist; it is considerably further east than UA has reached (I think).</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It doesn’t help that RU has started a new influence operation where they deliberately exaggerate UA successes to discredit OSINT analysts who are close to the truth.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then we apparently have a battery of Indian content farmers on X who cobble together anything with AI and make it sensational for clicks. I have learned to recognize the worst offenders, but serious OSINT analysts are furious with them and argue every day – and contribute to the clicks&#8230;</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now they have also figured out how to open accounts with Ukrainian names and write in Ukrainian, which complicates things a bit because they take similar names from established OSINT analysts.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A flash I believe in: UA crossed the Russian border and is advancing, sniffing around Tetkino in Belgorod Oblast. No huge surprise, but it is Russian territory even if it is only in square meters.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Invasion of Russia – again.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The North Koreans from their 11th AC are positioned in the rear up there, so I guess UA is advancing slowly so they don’t crash into them again. UA respects the North Koreans, who apparently are quite formidable.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">South Korea, as far as I understand, has a shaky president now, and the dispute with Ukraine over the two captured North Koreans is probably staged. South Korea has also sold enormous amounts of diesel to Russia this summer.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Maybe it’s time for Europe to be cautious with the huge amount of materiel we have bought from South Korea so it doesn’t turn out like with the USA – they take the money and delay deliveries for a few years?</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MYcV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5190b24-7dcb-43cb-97d4-eddd97427619_1142x762.png" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MYcV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5190b24-7dcb-43cb-97d4-eddd97427619_1142x762.png" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:1.4986876640419948;width:1142px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is also likely that UA crossed Zherebets northeast of Lyman but that RU launched counterattacks to try to stabilize the area.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There have been fights in Terny, Yampolivka, and Novosadove, but also reports that RU has brought forward reserves.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is probably still a sharp situation for RU in that area, and in my opinion, Zherebets has still been passed in a couple of places.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is the 67th and 144th MRD defending that line, and they have just run a gauntlet during a Russian retreat, which is an unorganized flight, everyone for themselves.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The 3rd MRD defends in the north, and they are probably the unit that has fared best.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Reserves are 4-5 BARS battalions and some DPR regiment that has taken up defense along the next watercourse, the NS-going Krasna.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Still the 20th and 25th CAA have overall responsibility for the area.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xebV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F248a105c-f2b3-4ddc-b8fc-8afed892f3e0_805x683.png" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xebV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F248a105c-f2b3-4ddc-b8fc-8afed892f3e0_805x683.png" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:1.1786237188872621;width:805px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If the more optimistic maps up there are correct, like the one I posted in the last front update, then it is a total front collapse, and we would probably have heard a lot more from a well-run Twitter. Even though David D writes exactly that about the whole war.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, we do not yet have a full front collapse.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">New Chief of Defense Drapatyi has both fired commanders and promoted others; he has been praised quite strongly, but it probably went about the same as when Sirsky took over and the axe fell.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What he has also done is take over a ready corps system from Sirsky and then took what he considered the best corps commanders and upgraded them to military district commanders – suddenly you got experienced troop commanders in all positions who make a difference instead of staff officers who mostly occupy themselves with avoiding danger.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Apparently, he has sent staff officers without combat experience to fighting units, and now only officers with combat experience are allowed to lead corps and MILOs.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">He has also delegated responsibility strictly and expanded the freedom of action for corps and MILO commanders, which we saw immediately. They probably all had combat plans that they couldn’t get through with Sirsky, and when that was lifted, they got going quite quickly.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Drapatyi has also developed an overall combat plan that is strategic and covers MILO and corps commanders’ activities.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">He probably still has the offensive strategic reserve at his disposal and can then carry out overarching strategic operations together with MILO.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One thing you can probably say already is that the decisions made have been good and that what we see is a tuned team with a lot of will to win. The national team ’94 with Brolin and the other guy, Sandelin?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If the staffs, command, himself, the Armed Forces, and politics just stay out of the way, this could go incredibly well.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The accounts of the fighters I follow on X are becoming very positive; life has been breathed back into the Ukrainian armed forces, and that gets you far.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Have the Russian bastards managed to stabilize Lyman is the question you all anxiously await to be answered.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, RU doctrine now is that riflemen are consumables, and during their own offensive they choose time, place, pre-fight, and send forward the riflemen. No one is inside their decision circle.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During defense, which many interpret as an easier task, they do not know what will happen, and UA units are mobile, so their indirect fire works worse.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is also there and then that UA can get inside their decision circle, which they have now done.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The riflemen are still consumable ammunition, and huge amounts are used even during defense.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then they are reactive, which means they must move units to threatened areas, and then they are completely exposed to drone weapons where they are moving on roads – we have probably seen some of that hidden in the high loss figures in recent weeks.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We have seen the beginning now, and the offensive operations are starting to become front-wide.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">According to earlier, UA can pool capabilities at front sections and gain an absolute advantage; they have their own drone weapon, so the defense is isolated in depth, and their anti-drone weapons mean RU cannot fly their poor drones.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then UA can start fighting mechanized again, which they are doing, and on the other side of the fence stands scattered riflemen without food, water, ammunition, or reinforcements.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Not all army corps have the same luxury treatment as the 3rd AC or Azov, and in some places the situation is still tight, but it is moving forward across the whole area really.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Putin has three tough choices to make –</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">&#8211; defend with what he has in Ukraine until they have withdrawn from Ukraine.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">&#8211; reinforce Ukraine with the offensive strategic reserve or newly mobilized units.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">&#8211; defend Ukraine with what he has in Ukraine to buy time while opening a new conflict front against an opponent who cannot wage war in 2026 – a perceived advantage.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">He can theoretically also try to attack southward from Belarus, but he has probably been advised against it because even the Russians understand it would be a bloodbath.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In 2022, the plan was for Hungary and Transnistria to attack northwards while Belarus attacked southwards, cutting Ukraine off from Europe &#8211; the pals who betrayed did not do so.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Orban then dismissed a few hundred senior officers, so maybe they were the ones who refused orders?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One and two are unattractive, and I am quite sure he will choose three, remains to be seen where.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">At the same time, he will increase pressure on us, now the hybrid war he has waged since last summer did not work and Russian DNA dictates that if the current level of violence does not work, you increase the level of violence – they have no other option with that steering wheel that only turns clockwise.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This will continue until Russia collapses inwardly and starts eating itself. It has already begun and the FSB has purged heavily in the military over the past year.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Ukraine is locked, they can only move forward until their land is reclaimed; anything else will throw them into domestic chaos which over time leads to RU eating its way into the country.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If they have the slightest chance, they will try to collapse Russia inwardly so that it becomes total chaos there – the weaker Russia is, the better for them.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The unknown is what Europe will do, but since last summer we have started showing our teeth and I am satisfied with that. We are far from doing enough but at least we don’t have to be ashamed, something like that.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">From a safe spectator’s perspective, I see positive signs everywhere but we fumble a bit blindly due to OPSEC and have to rely on OSINT. I apologize again for the poor map, MXT should have stopped me, feel free to bring it up with him.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Don’t forget to rush to a paid subscription now, more faulty maps promised. I am working on the book about Dengamle which will be posted here and open is best until it no longer works.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">MXT at johanno1.se has been working extra to migrate all posts from the other blog, he posts translated films and will now dive into AI films based on the bestselling book. Apparently, I have also been reported to the police by three book publishers but that seems to be a completely different beef than the one I have with Mona.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The undersigned was also scammed by DeepL where a full unlimited annual subscription now has a few post limits and they want 500 EUR more as thanks for my annual subscription. Both time and money for both of us, so if you read and value the work we do – swish MXT and subscribe to my Substack.</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/ukraine-front-report-9-october-2026/">Ukraine Front Report, 9 October 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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			<slash:comments>56</slash:comments>
		
		
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		<item>
		<title>Hybrid warfare and subversive activities, 8 October 2026</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/hybrid-warfare-and-subversive-activities-8-october-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/hybrid-warfare-and-subversive-activities-8-october-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[johan No.1]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 05:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johanno1.se/hybrid-warfare-and-subversive-activities-8-october-2026/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>As we know, we have two branches here, one is Ukraine&#8217;s eriksgata where things are accelerating faster and faster, and [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/hybrid-warfare-and-subversive-activities-8-october-2026/">Hybrid warfare and subversive activities, 8 October 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As we know, we have two branches here, one is Ukraine&#8217;s eriksgata where things are accelerating faster and faster, and the other is the global escalation with a potential Russian edge aimed at us.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It&#8217;s salt or sour, light or dark, Gävle or the rest of Sweden – just as happy as one gets about all the UA successes, one gets equally tired of everything else, with some bright spots.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Today we go through the escalation we in Europe are exposed to at an ever-increasing pace. We have vividly described Russian hybrid warfare for several years, previously known as subversive activities or influence operations. In Europe, we have now reached the level of intense hybrid warfare, which then includes all of the above where Russia has begun to activate what they have in their palette and paints broadly.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the forest fires last summer, which were facilitated by the drought, thousands were arrested in southern Europe for having started fires, some individuals had started dozens.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Before an outbreak of war in some form, we enter a twilight mode closely followed by an interstate war which will be masked as something else until it can no longer be – we are not there yet.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">First, a journey through history, again.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I got so upset when I started summarizing everything that I had to take a long break and revise the post so it wouldn&#8217;t just become the world championship in whining. It is infinitely difficult not to look 20 years back in time and see the extremely bad decisions that have led us to today.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">After two hours of meditation in front of the TV and a crispbread sandwich with butter and household cheese, I was calm enough to sanitize the post. You probably still feel it&#8217;s a bit too harsh.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A calibration many need – Russia has captured parties on the right and left edges in addition to individual politicians in all parties they have bought. Very many have a forgiving attitude towards the group of parties they themselves associate with, the Gävle party for example, but dislike all others.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then it seems the far left in the West has begun to approach the last -ism, extreme Islamism.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Somewhere around there we stand today – all the -isms are sh1t; right-wing extremism, left-wing extremism/communism, and extreme Islamism.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As soon as any of the above gain political influence, it goes bananas and we see it everywhere right now in the West where the political center retreats and the edges grow. This is partly because we have had weak politicians during good times who have not done their jobs, but also due to enormous subversive activities aimed at Europe. Russia is indisputably world-leading in this mostly because it is state-prioritized and we in the West do not engage much in it.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We have many different problems created by bad decisions over a long time and what we see today are the symptoms of the underlying disease – the Russian subversive activities.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The only way to solve this is strong centrist parties with strong leaders who start cleaning up bit by bit, I personally think the Tidö coalition made good progress in that direction last term and many indicators started pointing upward in green.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Politically, Johan No.1 stands close to the center even though some have guessed in the comment thread that I must have at least voted AfS, I have to accept that I may write unclearly. I liked the old pragmatic S but they are a fleeting memory nowadays. Now Mona has reported me to the police for stalking which didn’t feel entirely fair after she got my vote, are 800 emails really something to get upset about?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the Cold War, the KGB spent 80%-85% of its budget on influence operations and subversive activities in the West as it gave great returns for little money.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The university world was an easy target – young adults with strong opinions and at that time the Soviets understood that they could radicalize people in under a year and then they had total tunnel vision. Then adult life usually knocks and opinions change except for a group of hardcore believers for life, they stayed and worked their way up the food chain.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the Cold War it was a bit more divided but today it seems GRU, FSB, and SVR all operate in the West and they probably do it because they can enrich themselves enormously at the same time. They mix business with state-prioritized subversive activities and get rich in the process since no rules apply to them at all.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Putin does not hesitate to carry out political murders if needed in the West. During the Cold War, a truce was reached between the security services quite early because “an eye for an eye” applied so no one was safe. An agreement not to touch each other&#8217;s personnel except for arrests and prisoner exchanges when unavoidable, otherwise they would have wiped each other out and no one could make a career.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Soviet Union, the state allied with the Russian mafia against the citizens, and in the West they have close contacts with organized crime not only for their own operations but also to destabilize us.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">After the revolution in 1917, many communist thinkers asked why it succeeded in the Soviet Union and not in the rest of Europe. Communism was supposed to be global, not just in the Soviet Union, but it went surprisingly badly as soon as they tried. In Sweden, they lived a declining existence despite promises of a fantastic life if only the oppressed masses made a revolution.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The answer was that society was too resilient, we had our culture, traditions, and administration so even if they got a government in place, this government had the rest of society against it and could not get away with anything.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The solution to the problem became that they had to erase our culture and then “the long march through the institutions” which was then carried out by the group of revolutionaries who were not hit by adult life and became soccer dads instead. The will for revolution simply did not exist so then you have to start from the bottom and march revolutionaries through the administration from within until they sit in decision-making positions and can create the environment for revolution. Then you have to try to erase the citizens&#8217; culture, traditions, and connection to religion as well – then and there they would start to become receptive to the liberating revolution.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Of course, a revolution is facilitated if the citizens are economically poor, insecure, and in other ways have no hope at all.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then and there the Soviet utopia can come and save everyone, but only after having first worsened the country enough so it was possible. If no one wants to be saved, we damn well have to destroy so much for them that they need to be saved seems to be central to the whole philosophy.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In Sweden, there was a shift to the right of the center of the working class since the 90s, I guess. They simply had it too good – they were more interested in renovating the house, buying a new car, and what the interest rates would be than making a revolution. One could say that our socialism had won the fight by knockout and should have been happy, but at the same time made themselves politically irrelevant on the issues they had driven?</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now the same modus operandi probably applies for a fascist takeover, and since the horseshoe theory is real – communism and fascism are just two different names for the same reign of terror, Islamism is naturally included there as well. Don’t get hung up on whether it’s left or right, they are all extremisms that are bad for the country. After texts like this, I usually get comments that I am completely wrong about *insert any party*, but I’m actually trying to paint the whole picture here.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Today in 2026, Russia is not communist in the slightest, they are a criminal clan that happens to have a country – but they have not abandoned their will to divide and rule in Europe.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We can safely assume that they have dusted off all the old hybrid plans from the Cold War and are running them on repeat.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Europe is also full to the brim with filthy rich oligarchs, Russian-connected companies, and hidden black money in our banking systems.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Few people in Europe today support Russia out of ideological conviction; the majority do it for money in their accounts, I guess. Except for a few who still dream of the revolution that never came.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You no longer get a suitcase full of dollar bills in a park, your wife/husband starts a limited company, goes once a month to an empty meeting room in Stockholm, and invoices a million per occasion as long as you do what you’re supposed to for your handler. The tax agency gets its tax and is satisfied, the customer is an established company so no eyebrows are raised – legal and congratulations on your side gig you can retire on.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">All you need to do is small favors, and when you first hesitated, five gang criminals stood outside your door admiring the house on a Friday night – even if you know you’re doing wrong, you must always think about the children’s safety first, that is taking responsibility.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Tim Pool in the USA changed his mind and started praising Ukraine, but his umbrella organization took Russian money, and each writer received 4 million SEK annually for their work.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If you remember the FBI and their list of 2,850 (or something) Russian-linked debaters, they said 600 were in the USA but then it went quiet. Many were probably in Europe?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hand on heart, wouldn’t 4 million SEK per year be attractive even for you to do nothing illegal?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Because this does not seem illegal at all, no one is arrested except maybe a rare case, and then it’s pure espionage?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On social media, Russian agents pay anyone a few thousand kronor to perform acts, so gone are the agent rings that first had to learn Swedish and work their way up over 15 years before they were valuable. Those rings consisted of 3-4 people, I think, and helped each other higher up in the administration. If someone stood in the way, a big scandal was created with some minor, or they suddenly died of a heart attack and the field was cleared. During the Cold War, no one knew who they could trust and Russian agents were high up in our security services throughout Europe – total paranoia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Today it seems you can buy your way into the levels that previously took many years, so today we have the far right and far left with connections to Russia paired with some politicians within established parties who can sabotage everything that is good for us.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Besides that, Russia has a direct line to gang crime and the criminal clans that work for cash.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The broad center is torn apart by destroying the target country – in the last 20 years, Russia has amused itself by polarizing groups, worsening, for example, electricity production, creating increasingly complicated rules/charges that make companies’ competitiveness more difficult, and all sorts of other things they do solely to complicate and worsen.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then when things get worse, they blame “the rich,” “immigrants,” “capitalism,” and similar, exactly everyone has something they feel must be *insert any group*’s fault. And finally, they promise that everything will be solved if only the citizens take to the streets or vote out the lousy governments.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is well described in various Soviet manuals on how to destabilize countries from within (or companies) – start demanding investigations, discuss peripheral issues, throw in constant curveballs until everything is paralyzed and nothing gets done.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sit in meetings and talk as much as you can about everything except the issue at hand, put in constant vetoes, say you need time to consider, and make sure absolutely nothing happens on important issues.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We also have a perfect situation today in Sweden where we have many different groups and identities, and if you can get everyone to demand special treatment all the time, very little gets done because as soon as you do something, you have stepped on at least one other group’s toes hard.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What we see throughout Europe is that the broad center is becoming weaker while the far right and far left grow stronger. This is because citizens see the problems and governments have failed for a long time, so they do the only thing they legally can – vote for something they believe can solve the problems.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then when voices start rising that we must ban parties that are doing too well, a revolutionary fire is ignited among all those who have tried to vote for them for improvement because it is undemocratic and Russia starts cashing in.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">These parties are the biggest con artists there are, and as soon as they get power, the promised better becomes even worse, then we play the record again and blame everything on *insert any* and promise that if only they get to continue, then damn.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Europe is under attack from all sides, no one wants a strong Europe – and we are well on our way to becoming a strong Europe again.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The USA needs Europe as a buyer of their national debt, weapons, and security preferably at an overprice besides that we assist with military capability when the USA needs it – none of that do we do.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia wants its Soviet borders back and for us to stay away from Ukraine – we agree to none of that.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">China wants us to buy their products as obedient consumers – we have started to stop doing that and try to manufacture ourselves.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You have seen the USA and Trump rush for something, they have done more in two years than what should be done in ten years.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You see that interest rates are soaring and that something usually breaks somewhere, since the USA has been working on this for at least two years and Europe is reactive, they are ahead.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If it comes down to the USA and Europe, the USA chooses Europe to crash every day of the week, if the USA falls the petrodollar falls and Europe will immediately take over as a safe haven for many years to come.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The USA is not ready to give this up yet, they do what is good for them. Whether it succeeds remains to be seen.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Right now they probably need the stock market, Europe, and many others to rotate into US government bonds and then inflate away their enormous debt?</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia, on the other hand, has completely stalled in Ukraine and is well on its way to being beaten in a fair war. The next best option would be an escalation towards Europe in some form that coincides with the start of a financial crisis to trigger capital flight from Europe to the USA. This benefits Russia and the USA, where the USA, in return, tries to make Europe lose interest in Ukraine and promises to ease sanctions on Russia, I guess?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia can create chaos and gradually install pro-Russian governments in country after country as the situation worsens for Europe.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now Russia is very cornered and thus takes risks, however, they forfeited the chance to succeed militarily by being too late to the game and starting with hybrid warfare instead – that is my opinion.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the spring, Johan No.1 suggested that all countries except Spain should block state-supported trafficking/migration – except Spain – then Ceuta happened.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Johan No.1 also suggested that Sanchez would not last long – now there is an election on November 26.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In Ireland, the government has incurred the people&#8217;s wrath, and during a general strike, they tried to deploy the military who refused – an intense aftermath debate is ongoing there now.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the UK, Kier Starmer fell in no time as we guessed would happen, and now Burnham is starting to be on shaky ground.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Many lean ideologically in one direction, and if you are left of center, you do not look kindly on Orban but may think Sanchez should be given a chance – and vice versa.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">After far too many years, we got rid of Orban, who blocked every law or decision that disadvantages Russia – you’d almost have to look hard to find a more openly pro-Russian traitor. He has leaked all the information he could directly to Putin every day from all the secret meetings he attended. His ministers even sat and WhatsApped their Russian contacts directly during meetings asking for instructions; this came out before their election down there.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Both groups do the same thing but on their respective sides outside the center.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I have really tried to understand Sanchez&#8217;s motivations but have not succeeded – first, as many people as the population of Ceuta arrive within a few days, and chaos ensues with looting, rapes, and riots.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The central government in Madrid fails to act, and maybe 15,000 remain when they say everyone has left. Every citizen and the political leadership in Ceuta are begging on their bare knees for help, but very little happens, so schools remained closed and citizens locked themselves in their homes without being able to buy food.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">At some point, the Spanish mainland has had enough, and there are huge demonstrations of several million people against Sanchez over Ceuta. Then, sure enough, riot police and military show up, tear gas is thick, and batons fly. The same police who should have restored order in Ceuta but never did.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The government loudly chants that fascists must be fought; we hear this more and more from different countries where the taxpaying majority society (regardless of nationality) has reached the point where, out of pure frustration, they take to the streets – then THEY must be suppressed, the taxpayers who are now the least fascist. Is it really them who have drifted away, or is it politics that has drifted away from doing what is best for the country and its citizens?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sanchez has an obligation to pursue policies that are for his country&#8217;s citizens, the broad taxpaying group regardless of nationality.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">He does exactly the opposite.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Why?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In country after country, there is talk of billionaire taxes, tax increases, new rental regulations granting tenants almost perpetual tenancy rights, takeover of housing companies at half the market price – all to provide better welfare and housing for everyone. And these countries already have some of the highest taxes in the world, which should more than cover the welfare they claim to want to create.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Why don’t we already have this welfare they promise if we have already paid for it?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Granted, throughout Europe, there is a situation where more and more people use welfare, so the proportion paying in is smaller today than 30 years ago – but it is actually the responsibility of our politicians to manage this just as I, as a family provider, have a limit to how many can sit around my dinner table at my expense.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Generally, corruption is starting to spread in Sweden; you are probably following Jens Nylander who just posted that every year companies connected to municipal politicians invoice 50-60 billion SEK, often in the municipality where they operate. There you have another large expense item that is unfortunately very difficult to handle. Calculations show that corruption of public funds costs over 350 billion SEK per year, so no small change, and Jens’s 60 billion SEK are not included at all because he looks at municipal and state corruption that goes to companies or individuals offering services and not the outright theft we have from municipal social accounts, the social insurance agency, and others.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then we have those farthest to the right – throw out ALL immigrants. The 75%-80% who have integrated and work probably feel uncomfortable with the rhetoric of recent years that only contributes to polarization.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Until the 80s-90s, the Social Democrats’ line was to raise wages for the working class and that companies paid their share for welfare. I support that; I support that the first 250,000 SEK/year should be tax-free. Having a salary you can live on is fundamental, and that it is enough to live in as well. The old pragmatic Social Democrats solved this with Own Homes, for example – why is that impossible today?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Or our corporate wonders, Volvo, IKEA, Ericsson, Gävle Puts och Städ, Scania, SAAB Aero, SAS.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Nuclear power, twelve reactors over some decades where we learned from scratch.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hydropower and the electricity system.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The rail network, the Million Programme (maybe not the best).</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Armed Forces – 10% of the country’s citizens under arms at full mobilization.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">All this, apparently, we could afford with a lower tax burden than today, and it worked significantly better than today.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A country’s welfare is built by companies that employ people; if they do well, they hire more. Over what, 20-25 years, we have sent all manufacturing to China, shut down the oil industry and others to the tune of net zero – and then we buy everything from other countries outside Europe because we need it anyway.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is absolute madness and some kind of voluntary strangulation that the rest of the world just laughs at. When Spain got so much gold from its raids in South America that the whole country stopped producing and just consumed until the gold ran out and they fell into eternal siesta, it almost pales in comparison.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now Germany’s car industry is wobbling, the UK has near power outages every winter, and electricity prices are so high that energy-intensive industries can no longer sell their more expensive products because everyone buys Chinese instead. Previously, this was a choice of slightly lower price but poorer quality. Now the price difference is so high that China almost sells too easily, and the German car industry is dying to the tune of double the price.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Not everything is Russia of course, but they are very satisfied together with the USA and China.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The worse it gets, the louder voices we hear calling for tax increases so we can improve welfare when it is exactly the opposite; in the end, companies start to go bankrupt and there are fewer jobs instead – then the tax base plummets.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The 25% with the most assets in Sweden account for +60% of the tax revenue; if they start emigrating, there will definitely not be more money in the state treasury. Several countries in Europe have understood where we are headed and have attractive tax reductions for the &#8220;rich&#8221; to move there. Now &#8220;the rich&#8221; is a bad word; those targeted are also all those who have built their business and worked themselves to death all their lives, those who have managed to save a little on the stock market from an ordinary salary – everyone who has saved. All of these already pay some of the highest taxes in the world in Sweden and have stayed in the country so far, but it has never been easier than today to move away from Sweden and into the EU. An untested scenario thus, and no one knows how it will turn out before we try.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now we have an excellent example of a Russian influence operation that has just begun where they probably seized the opportunity and you never miss a good crisis, the &#8220;school riots&#8221; in France. They have now spread over half the country and are wild riots with destruction that the police can no longer handle, so the military has been called in.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Several hundred thousand are participating and it has just spread to Belgium and the UK. Russia has the media apparatus, resources, personnel on site, and the right manual for the right situation if they intend to create chaos. They know exactly how to best capitalize on situations like this.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Le Pen&#8217;s party is the favorite ahead of next year&#8217;s election, and if this just continues, they will probably get their own majority. The party is proven to have connections to Russia and upon election victory, they will likely cut support to Ukraine immediately.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Moldova, Romania, Bulgaria are all countries where Russia tried to get their candidate to win by all available means.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The EU has been unwise; we allowed any crooks to rule down in the Balkans as long as they voted as the EU wanted, and then we sent billion-euro subsidies. This led to them being able to firmly establish their power very strongly, and the EU contributed to a criminal clan rule in several countries – the citizens of those countries hold us responsible for this, by the way.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Then the EU tries to counter all this with a more authoritarian society; right now the focus has been directed at those who feel that migration is too high, and in the UK they began imposing heavy penalties for thought crimes. People like Mr Bean and John Cleese, the old renowned comedians, have fought hard against this.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They are still trying to pass Chatcontrol 2.0, which would allow all your communication to be intercepted without suspicion of crime to save vulnerable children.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">&#8211; Can it be abused? Yes, absolutely.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">&#8211; Will it be abused? Guaranteed. We are only one simple majority decision away from banning criticism of politicians, for example, with the justification that it is threats, hate, or incitement against the group of politicians. Something like that can be quite comfortably manufactured during a term.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They are smart too – politicians and officials in key positions cannot be intercepted under this law, so not equal for all, only for us.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can ask yourselves if far-right governments would have used the same tools if they got the chance?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the end, the Metropolitan Police chose not to continue with it; in the UK, the police solve maybe 10% of serious crimes but are heavily prioritized and heavily recruited to trawl social media for thought crimes that could lead to a couple of years in prison. Even though the legal basis was highly questionable, and that is why MetPolice finally backed down.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Will it get better if we get governments further to the right in Spain or the UK?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, it will not, because they have exactly the same modus operandi – the only ones we have reason to assume will refrain are centrist governments.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The broad centrist parties are helpless and unable to win back voters.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Parties like Afs in Sweden are directly connected to Russia, and the possible governing party V is not much better with its connection to Islamism. Within SD, there are definitely people who play double with Russia.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In other parties, there are infiltrators to varying degrees, and this has been an issue for several terms. &#8220;Sleepers&#8221; who sneak forward and only vote when needed. We do not know who they are, but after politics, one could see where they work and who they associate with – Merkel, Schröder, Scholz, Sarkozy, and Jeremy Corbyn it was.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Is this something new?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No, it looked like this until the wall fell, and Putin, who ran exactly this operation from East Germany during the Cold War, has probably just continued?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now to potential escalation after this broadside, which I understand may seem a bit whiny, I apologize but it broke through.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia, which supposedly had zero reserves according to everyone, has just held a high-tech exercise with 45,000 soldiers and a fully integrated drone and anti-drone weapon system. The goal of the exercise was to establish a buffer zone in a neighboring country, and experts agree that it was somewhere intended.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now they will hold two staff exercises in Belarus, and the exercise description includes the word &#8220;PEACE&#8221; probably five times.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I ask the question to EVERYONE – a united analyst corps and media have stubbornly claimed that &#8220;Russia has no reserves.&#8221; A 45,000-strong force that can wage war in 2026, is that a reserve or not?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The follow-up question is whether all other analysts and media are complete idiots or if there is Russian influence involved as well?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Russia has learned the extremely hard way how to wage war in 2026. In Ukraine, they no longer want to sacrifice their better units, but THEY HAVE RESERVES, I have been nagging about this for I don&#8217;t know how long, and now we saw it.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now they showed that they can muster 45,000 in a combined arms warfare exercise with Rubicon drone weapons in all categories. Moreover, the entire evil team participated with observers or specialists – Iran, China, India, North Korea, and a few more.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">How far they would get in the Baltics I cannot answer, and neither can anyone else. But we KNOW that during 2025-2026, about a dozen Ukrainian drone operators caused mass destruction in all our exercises where they participated – Europe is NOT ready for 2026.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Not infrequently, the exercises had to be stopped, the Ukrainians sent to McDonald&#8217;s, and then they had to show how to win a war.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Germany, Poland, and the Baltics now want to show strength – there is mechanized movement where they are just big targets, nothing else. When the shooters dismount and advance – big targets, nothing else.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You can only move like that under your own drone and anti-drone umbrella; if you don&#8217;t have that, you should crawl between burrows with leafy branches on your helmet and mine yourself in.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As was just written, progress is still being made with entrenched shooting positions and mines, and this is where the Balts themselves come in; if they just manage to dig in in the forests of eastern Ukraine, Russia will get stuck quite quickly, and from what I can see, they seem to be on the alert now.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And Europe has clearly shown that in the event of conflict, we will pave over Kaliningrad and take out the Baltic Fleet.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So now it remains to be seen whether Putin will refrain or not – the decision lies with this, to say the least, unstable despot who is already under enormous pressure, and all preparations have already been made.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now you might feel that all of the above about Russian subversive activities is exaggerated and unreasonable, but then I must remind you that this has only just begun so far. As long as the war in Ukraine continues, Russia will increase the pressure on us, and the lowest hanging fruit on the whole tree is sabotage against our LNG storage and electricity transmission this winter. If nothing at all happens but the war in Ukraine goes on, I will eat my words here in the editorial and close the account on johanno1.se, but open Johan No.2 instead and pretend nothing happened.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">An entirely unrelated question to the highly valued readers besides whether you were satisfied with Johan’s travel tips the other day and have already booked your weekend trip to Athens – I have started working on a first chapter for; <em>Dengamle – a not always so successful journey through world history.</em></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is now completely detached from my attempts to lure Dengamle back into the thread with lots of exciting stories and has taken on a life of its own. It is a way for me to build a story where I can dive into different events and write from Dengamle’s perspective in the way I enjoy writing. Dengamle also has the ability to unknowingly drift around and become a central figure in the midst of events without having understood why.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I get stuck in something which will probably become a chapter or two long, and then move on to the next century or something. Trying to do a two-year preliminary work where the skeleton of a whole book is ready and then filling it out would have stopped at half the skeleton before I got tired. The common thread then becomes Dengamle where the first chapter is about why he will live so long, and the start of his many-hundred-year journey. You guessed right, a lot of alcohol involved when he got extended life.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I plan to post the first chapter for feedback when it is ready and just understand how you as readers perceive it. Wild guess is that there is a lot for me to work on <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f600.png" alt="😀" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If MXT doesn’t block me just for posting the worst text ever, I plan to continue building one chapter at a time over time as long as it’s fun to write and it is read.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The day it happens will then be unrelated to Ukraine but I hope for your understanding.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Cliffhanger – maybe there will even be a chapter about Gävle, there seems to be a lot to dig into up there apparently.</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/hybrid-warfare-and-subversive-activities-8-october-2026/">Hybrid warfare and subversive activities, 8 October 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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		<title>At least two dead in Russian terror attacks on Kyiv &#8211; Russian losses</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/at-least-two-dead-in-russian-terror-attacks-on-kyiv-russian-losses/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/at-least-two-dead-in-russian-terror-attacks-on-kyiv-russian-losses/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MXT]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 05:50:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johanno1.se/at-least-two-dead-in-russian-terror-attacks-on-kyiv-russian-losses/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Massive attacks on Kyiv - Russian losses</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/at-least-two-dead-in-russian-terror-attacks-on-kyiv-russian-losses/">At least two dead in Russian terror attacks on Kyiv &#8211; Russian losses</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Putin celebrates his 74th birthday with massive attacks on Kyiv where at least two have been reported killed. <br>Several explosions were heard in Kyiv around 03:15 and Ukraine&#8217;s air force had earlier warned that several Russian Tu-95 bombers were approaching the border. <br>&#8220;The missiles fall one after another. At least 10-12 explosions from what I can count. It&#8217;s quite loud in the city center,&#8221; described Tim Zadorozhnyy from Kyiv Independent. Other journalists from Kyiv Independent described attacks around Kyiv&#8217;s Podil district with flames and smoke visible in the capital.<br>Explosions were heard again two hours later at 05:15 in the middle of a second wave of missile attacks.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Other parts of the country were also affected, a cruise missile hit a residential building in Kremenchuk in the Poltava region. In Zaporizhzhia, it is reported that transport infrastructure has been damaged. </p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Ukraine&#8217;s President Volodymyr Zelensky earlier in the day urged everyone to take air raid alarms seriously as he warned that Russia was preparing a large-scale attack on Ukraine. &#8220;Please, please, take care of yourselves. Please respond to missile danger signals,&#8221; he said.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Here you can see his speech to Ukrainians where he warns of the attacks: <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/media-tt/1685th-day-of-the-war-address-of-volodymyr-zelenskyy-to-ukrainians/"><strong>Zelensky&#8217;s speech &#8211; day 1685</strong></a></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To Putin on his birthday, I simply wish him that it will be his last.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Russian losses</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Today they have omitted the graphics so you will have to settle for the numbers. I guess this might be an exception just today as they also mention Putin&#8217;s 74th birthday along with the report. Otherwise, I will have to try to find a way to make my own graphics.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Personnel</strong> – about 1,545,950 (+<strong>1,690</strong> in the last day)<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Aircraft</strong> – 443<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Ships and boats</strong> – 35<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Submarines</strong> – 2<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Helicopters</strong> – 356<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Tanks</strong> – 12,396<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Armored vehicles</strong> – 25,498 (+<strong>4</strong>)<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Artillery systems</strong> – 50,836 (+<strong>51</strong>)<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)</strong> –<strong> 2,192</strong> (+<strong>8</strong>)<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Air defense systems</strong> – 1,690 (+<strong>2</strong>)<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Operational-tactical level drones</strong> – 551,876 (+<strong>1,890</strong>)<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Vehicles and fuel tankers</strong> – 159,128 (+<strong>577</strong>)<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Special vehicles and special equipment</strong> – 4,800 (+<strong>5</strong>)<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Cruise missiles</strong> – 5,126<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/25aa.png" alt="▪" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <strong>Ground-based missile systems</strong> –<strong> 2,878 </strong>(+<strong>12</strong>)</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ukrainian General Staff morning report</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Operational information as of 08:00 on October 7, 2026, regarding the Russian invasion</strong></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Glory to Ukraine!<br>The 1687th day of the Russian Federation&#8217;s full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine has begun.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the last day, a total of <strong>202 combat contacts</strong> were registered.<br>Yesterday, the enemy conducted <strong>85 airstrikes</strong>, including with <strong>278 guided aerial bombs</strong>. Additionally, the attackers used <strong>9,728 kamikaze drones</strong> and carried out <strong>2,521 shellings</strong> against communities and our troops&#8217; positions.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Sumy region, the communities of Ulanove, Pysarivka, Khrapivshchyna, Seredyna-Buda, Korchakivka, Hirky, and Volfyne were subjected to hostile artillery fire. The area around Khrapivshchyna was also targeted by airstrikes.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the last day, the defense forces&#8217; air units, missile units, and artillery struck an area with a concentration of enemy personnel and a command post for unmanned aerial vehicles.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the northern Slobozhanskyi sector, the attackers launched three assaults in the areas around Bachivsk, Rivne, and Volfyne.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the southern Slobozhanskyi sector, Ukrainian units repelled 11 enemy attacks. The occupiers attempted to advance in the areas around Volokhivka, Starytsia, Izbytske, Zakharivka, Mala Vovcha, and Varvarivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Kupiansk sector, the enemy attacked once in the area around Kivsharivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Attempts to advance were stopped in the Lyman sector, where our defenders repelled eight attacks in the areas around Novomykhailivka, Nadiia, Stavky, Novoselivka, and Lyman.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Kramatorsk sector, Ukrainian soldiers repelled two enemy attacks in the area around Minkivka.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Kostyantynivka sector, 14 attacks were registered. The occupiers conducted storming operations in the areas around Kostyantynivka, Novoselivka, Mykolaipillia, and Osykove.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Pokrovsk sector, our defenders stopped 27 attacks. The enemy concentrated their main efforts in the areas around Serhiivka and Molodetske and also conducted assaults towards Kucheriv Yar, Vilne, Bilytske, Vodianske, Dobropillia, and Novohrishyne.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Huljajpole sector, 13 enemy attacks were repelled in the areas around Hirke, Rybne, Vozdvyzhivka, Dolynka, Rivne, Kopani, Yehorivka, Novoselivka, and Charivne.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Orikhiv sector, our defenders repelled two enemy attacks in the areas around Stepnohirsk and Plavni.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Sloviansk, Oleksandrivka, and Prydniprovsk sectors, the enemy conducted no active operations during the last day.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the Volyn and Polissya sectors, the situation remains largely unchanged. No signs have been detected that the enemy is forming offensive force groupings.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Ukrainian defenders continue the systematic fight against the enemy, effectively resisting on all front sectors and inflicting significant losses on the occupiers.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In total, the Russian attackers&#8217; losses during the last day amounted to <strong>1,690 personnel</strong>. Additionally, <strong>four armored combat vehicles, 51 artillery systems, eight rocket artillery systems, two air defense systems, 12 ground-based missile systems, 1,890 unmanned aerial vehicles, two heavy flamethrower systems, 577 vehicles, and five units of special equipment</strong> were neutralized.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Join the defense forces! Together we will win! Glory to Ukraine!</strong></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Comment:</em><br>81 localized attacks out of a total of 202 leaves 121 unlocalized, making the ratio 121 / 81 ≈ <strong>1.49</strong>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>SLAVA UKRAINI</strong></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"></p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/at-least-two-dead-in-russian-terror-attacks-on-kyiv-russian-losses/">At least two dead in Russian terror attacks on Kyiv &#8211; Russian losses</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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		<title>Ukraine Frontline Review, 6 October 2026</title>
		<link>https://johanno1.se/en/ukraine-frontline-review-6-october-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://johanno1.se/en/ukraine-frontline-review-6-october-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[johan No.1]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2026 05:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Ukraine war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://johanno1.se/ukraine-frontline-review-6-october-2026/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Back to the Dominican Republic with a bang, the same bang as Ukraine apparently – they are throwing everything they [&#8230;]</p>
<p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/ukraine-frontline-review-6-october-2026/">Ukraine Frontline Review, 6 October 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Back to the Dominican Republic with a bang, the same bang as Ukraine apparently – they are throwing everything they have now against the Russian bastards all over the map. I’m also seeing some Ukrainian soldier accounts popping up and there’s a strong sense of morning air there, they feel the tailwind and deliver overwhelming force, not necessarily in that order.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Today there will be a review of the fronts mixed with some highlights about everything going badly for Putin, we often feel at our best when he’s sitting there in his dark room gloomily staring at the wall. A lonely little man now, knowing that far too many wrong decisions are becoming a pile of papers too big for him to even see over, even with platform shoes.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To not tire you out too much, of course Johan’s travel tips will follow after this historic travel odyssey I have undertaken to the cradle of democracy (no, it’s not Gävle).</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">First, I want to thank you for all the positive comments when I described the buildup ahead of this violent offensive for over a year now, the tailwind has been fresh and strong.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Draparyi recently said – “we have a spectacular hit coming,” straight from the horse’s mouth, so you can stop doubting.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o_-M!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f5b9ff-e35b-427c-8974-fcaa31fb639d_828x1382.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o_-M!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f5b9ff-e35b-427c-8974-fcaa31fb639d_828x1382.jpeg" alt="" style="width:382px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They have been preparing that spectacular hit with rested and newly equipped brigades for well over a year, certainly, which is what we picked up on if you remember. When Russia was at its worst with FAB and attacks, the lines were hard to hold which consumed resources, but when Ukraine got a drone umbrella and sparse manning in the trenches, they have been able to rest, train, and re-equip everything not at the front, which we have described under a storm of backslapping, and have evidently been completely right about.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Besides the offensive strategic reserve, where just Skala is about 15,000 strong, they have thus equipped many mechanized brigades with the enormous amount of offensive materiel they have received from Europe over the past two years. We had many videos of transport trains from Europe for a while in the posts, and there were boats for amphibious combat, mine clearance, fragmentation protection, tanks, and REMO on all the old wagons that now have new weapon stations. Thousands of vehicles have quietly been delivered by Europe but not so quietly and secretly that we couldn’t reveal everything here in the thread.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The sharp-eyed might also note that Mertz has just promised “long-range ammunition” to Ukraine, you can read Taurus into that, but Germany confirms nothing which they shouldn’t either, so we have to keep hoping. You also know that our Gripens we will send soon can hang on to Taurus, right?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The worry that Ukraine is running out has been great among many, so Johan No.1’s guarantees of the opposite with a sparse home team (but in full tailwind) have not always been received as absolute truth. Johan No.1 is therefore happy that we have reached the point where you now get to see the result of this diligent and patient work by Ukraine, even though it shouldn’t have worked for them. They are absolutely legendary on all levels, almost hard to describe fairly. “The world’s best shooting” which has been the mantra since 2022 is almost an understatement, total wizard level on those guys.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Besides, they are cunning Ukrainians, so you have only seen half so far, you can be absolutely sure of that.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">At Lyman, the Russians are screaming about “new rested brigades with new materiel” – i.e., they have been skimping on these newly equipped and rested brigades we wrote about a year ago.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The strategic offensive reserve has been moving around since October 2025, I think, when they urgently needed to plug the breakthrough in Pokrovsk. We enthusiastically declared after that that a tough area is just that until they arrive so we no longer had to draw big conclusions from difficult situations. Which we didn’t either after that.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The miracle at Lyman, also something we wrote about for a long time but since full OPSEC was in place, there was some doubt there too, but now Ukraine has passed Zherebets in several places even if official reporting is probably 3-4 weeks behind. The deep state guys have been threatened with mobilization if they post too much and have chosen life.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fVQJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7de15d1-3983-489a-bb7d-a8c99478279a_828x816.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fVQJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7de15d1-3983-489a-bb7d-a8c99478279a_828x816.jpeg" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:1.0147058823529411;width:828px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is the 3rd Army Corps fighting in the area. A unit where many have fought since 2014, volunteers with high demand so presumably they could choose and the whole organization is permeated by professionalism with competent troop leaders at all levels. The corps commander probably started as a platoon leader or something and has worked his way up purely on merit in tough competition.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They have a direct line to the drone weapon and experiment with the latest in everything always, together with Azov they were first with sensible mechanized assaults and to capture the defense systems around Bakhmut. We sat and compared with our own experiences from conscript armored infantry and praised them if you remember. Our attacks were that we followed the training and the unknown was the goal, either it worked or it didn’t.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Ukraine’s attacks are always a flowing can of ants where they constantly adjust to what is at the target. When we should have been 3:1 in numerical superiority to have a chance to succeed, they fight at 1:3-1:5 numerical inferiority in their own attacks and rarely take heavy losses. Yes, we have seen the videos that go well but there are very many and it is supported by other information – the picture is accurate.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The 3rd AC masters the drone weapon fully, has great operational freedom and the old mantra “if you have drone superiority you fight mechanized” you have heard until you got tired of it proved true because they are now fighting mechanized.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Something big happened maybe two weeks ago, Russia started bringing in reserves to the Lyman area and then losses went up in the daily count – since Ukraine has a fully deployed drone umbrella in the area, it’s not unlikely that there has been a bloodbath on the highway up there for a few weeks.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Kuwait Highway 2.0 maybe you remember?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">They are very selective with information now as OPSEC prevails, for example they have continued to drone ships in the Black Sea even if we don’t see anything anymore, and have engaged over 300 ships down there.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The goal is probably to have full fire control over Svatove to start with – a central supply hub for Luhansk/Donetsk, much of what goes from Russia down to Donetsk passes there. They are about 15 km from there so they probably already have fire control?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When that town, and Starobilsk, are like a devastated desert supply-wise, 1-2 NS roads remain outside Ukraine’s eastern border along with 1-2 railway tracks and some central transshipment points. I’m trying to find the map with the railway tracks and will get back in a later post.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WeRi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F46d7db8e-37ab-458f-be27-8ff6ad966ec3_1115x827.png" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WeRi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F46d7db8e-37ab-458f-be27-8ff6ad966ec3_1115x827.png" alt="" style="aspect-ratio:1.3482466747279322;width:1115px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When Ukraine pushed in 2022 in their Kharkiv offensive, we went through the roads, junctions, and railway tracks but unfortunately it stopped there.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Next is of course Rostov Na Don and Taganrog but this town is what comes from western Russia and goes down to the fighting units in Ukraine.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In addition, Ukraine is pressing increasingly hard in several places between northern Luhansk – Dnipro, will return in detail but progress is being made mostly everywhere even though RU is still conducting its swarm offensive.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Recently, the first signs appeared that UA is preparing something over by the Dnipro. What we can say at least is that they are not inactive there and a mechanized brigade has been added, subordinated to the Marine Corps&#8217; AC, apparently to become a marine brigade.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aKdb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb6af6df-63e8-46ba-a4bd-fa97de506f72_828x865.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aKdb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb6af6df-63e8-46ba-a4bd-fa97de506f72_828x865.jpeg" alt="" style="width:462px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">You have all read about the Azov thrust and The Great Campaign Plan that came already in 2022. Then the US and Europe intervened and effectively destroyed all UA attempts to win the war. We tore our sparse hair out and have raged against weak politicians since the start of the war. My big blind spot was to severely underestimate the US and Europe&#8217;s sluggishness, cowardice, and outright disinterest.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now in 2026, the US/Trump has no power to influence and Europe finally chose life under the gallows, so now we will see how it would have gone already then if everything had not been rigged in Putin&#8217;s favor. When Ukraine planned to trap the entire Russian VDV on the wrong side of the Dnipro in Kherson, Putin called the West and threatened with nuclear weapons if they were not allowed to withdraw unharmed, so we forced Zelensky to comply – there went the first chance to end the war.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump has now been exposed trying to secure an oil deal with Putin, so it is becoming increasingly clear why the US, Trump, and Biden have done/are doing what they do, this also applies to the early years for Europe – they just wanted to return to business as usual and Ukraine was a collateral they preferably wanted to cede land. Trump&#8217;s latest claim that higher diesel prices are due to Ukraine&#8217;s attacks on Russian refineries, when it is proven with a graph that it was the US-Iran war that drove prices up. That didn&#8217;t convince anyone at all, it failed.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It was an attempt to form an opinion in the West to benefit Russia and it was paired with threats of an American export ban against Europe. They are simply trying to stir up a public opinion that forces politicians to ease support for Ukraine – but we seem to stand firm now, the tide has turned.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That was what we guessed would happen if you remember, but it failed.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Ukraine fights as they see fit and probably no longer cares excessively about criticism. During the Duma election, Ukraine carried out one of the war&#8217;s largest drone attacks straight against Moscow, it was directly dystopian scenes when Moscow&#8217;s refinery burned down.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">That action probably made little Putin sleepless with rage for a few days and previously Ukraine has always without exception faced very strict demands not to do anything on May 9 and similar occasions when that is when they want to strike. Already in 2022 we talked about &#8220;the red cards&#8221; which Zelensky confirmed in 2023 – a tight stranglehold they have now taken off.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Europe did not utter a word so presumably we were okay with this embellishment of the Russian election day?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The US has not only stopped delivering equipment, they have also taken advances on equipment Europe bought for UA and when pesetas were paid, deliveries were delayed for one or more years with the justification that the Iran war drained their own stocks. Tomahawks and interceptors were mainly affected?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Europe is withholding direct financial support to Ukraine for various administrative reasons, but maybe it is not attempts to increase pressure but just incompetent bureaucratic administrators who don&#8217;t understand better?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Anyway, it seems Ukraine has now disconnected from us and is accelerating?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Zelensky says here that the military wanted to start this offensive last year but they managed to pause it and that was good. Probably they wanted to have the corps system ready and then the anti-drone and drone weapons including medium range in place first perhaps.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Some weight to my previous posts that Ukraine thus had reserves.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8la5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34ddf9d2-1470-4c87-8209-ed99c13738df_828x1266.jpeg" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8la5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34ddf9d2-1470-4c87-8209-ed99c13738df_828x1266.jpeg" alt="" style="width:434px;height:auto" /></a></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Dudayev said &#8220;when the Ukrainian sun rises, Russia falls&#8221; – we are there now. We have probably reached the turning point and the critical mass is in UA&#8217;s favor.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Putin also missed the window he had to shock Europe into running around in circles, had he attacked the Baltics this summer it would have been too early for us. Unfortunately for him, it seems he hasn&#8217;t read Johan No.1, but that&#8217;s not our fault so don&#8217;t come and blame us for being stingy with an 80 SEK monthly subscription for world-leading analyses.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now he chose a gradually escalating hybrid war up to a very intense hybrid war so we had time to get used to it step by step, and we can handle that.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Our politicians do not have it easy with all Russian influence but we have now managed it in many governments in Europe. They no longer fear the Russian threat, both the war threat and the internal threat against you as a person. The unpredictable thing that can knock you out of your career in a few weeks with a curveball you could never have expected.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now you have all read about France where &#8220;too little money in schools&#8221; has led to huge riots with thousands arrested and 400 schools closed. Now it has escalated into general destruction and looting where the police have difficulty managing the scale of the unrest so the military has been called in.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In Spain, Sanchez has made so many bad decisions that there will now be a new election on November 29 – we predicted that long ago.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We recognize the pattern, when Turkey as the last country did not approve Sweden&#8217;s NATO membership, Qurans began to be burned and swastikas painted on mosques almost everywhere and we got the Quran riots (or whatever they were called). Turkey was fiercely angry at our blazing Muslim hatred but roughly on the day Turkey finally gave in, everything stopped as if on a given signal and calm settled over the country again. It is paid for, initiated, and driven by Russia. For Russia, this is a state-prioritized activity and the KGB spent 85% of its budget on destabilization in Europe as it was a big payoff for little money.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">During the Cold War, the rampant neo-Nazism in West Germany was partly Russian agents with felt-tip pens who scribbled swastikas everywhere they could – that operation is well established.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In France, Le Pen is close to winning the election next year, if they can just get serious riots going until then it will probably be a walkover victory.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is so extremely simple and works disturbingly well as long as we have weak politicians in good times.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">These are not guesses, the fact that everything dies out as soon as the goal is achieved is as close to proof as one can get that these are state-supported influence operations aimed at creating maximum chaos in the target country.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In Europe, we have democracy and that means a simple majority of the government base has the power to change a lot. If Putin manages to get parties and politicians who are bought in, he can cut support from an entire country in a few months. The easiest way to do this is by blaming budget constraints and that other activities must be prioritized such as schools, care, and roads.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But not everything turned light blue, of course we had to test a new route back to work in the Dominican Republic while also checking that one of the kids got started at university in Thessaloniki, Greece. If you can&#8217;t get into Sweden, you have to apply to some university where you manage to sneak in instead, that&#8217;s an old rule.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">My role was to be bombarded with wishes over a few months and then, when ticket prices started to skyrocket and had to be booked urgently, to nag everyone until they gave in under duress. When everything was booked, everyone wanted to change their minds and thought what was booked was too expensive, and anyone could understand that everything that went wrong was because you don&#8217;t do it that way. Tour guiding is not my thing; it&#8217;s crossed off the list of future career opportunities even though I would have liked to work in Benidorm.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It becomes a little puzzle where everything that falls under the definition of a business trip is sent to the employer and I cover the rest, but apparently they didn&#8217;t like a receipt for five Souvlaki in bread as a &#8220;business lunch&#8221; during vacation; I guess the limit is three?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So what is the verdict on Greece, this cradle of democracy that months of planning have gone into exploring so I can become more democratic and make more friends –</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The University of Thessaloniki tries to attract international students and has some international programs of very high quality.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In Thessaloniki, they apparently have roots in the Balkan group and in my opinion are quite reasonable in their treatment of others; you get what you pay for, you are treated correctly, and there is a light atmosphere in the air.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The city is a buried silver treasure, we walked around for two days in a bustling anthill without feeling cramped and everything is open except early in the morning. Instead of distinct phases like rush hour, lunch, gearing up time, and evening party, everyone is active simultaneously all day and everything is open until almost midnight. The city has exactly everything and the restaurant scene is individually run without the big chains. There was a whole street with organic food of the highest quality, locally grown with mountains of cheese and smoked meat. Didn’t have time to dive deep into it but I usually don’t hold back when I see new exciting cheese varieties, then I always overbuy and since my wife is not a passionate cheese fan, it usually becomes a somewhat one-sided cheese diet for me for a week.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The city is very nice with a 5km beach promenade and lots of historic buildings besides stylish architecture and ancient churches. The club scene is supposed to be rigorous but we are a bit too old to go out partying; if you’re nodding off at nine after two beers, you simply have to stay within your age group.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Crime is low but that is probably due to the police who move around the city and look like in case of a criminal act they first drag you down to the basement for a serious beating because you had the audacity to disturb them in the middle of the constant coffee breaks mixed with meal breaks and group hangouts outside some café. Probably minimum height as an application criterion since no one was shorter than me and they were broad as church doors instead of the wide waist and sloping shoulders I have trained myself to.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Their bureaucracy seems to have adapted for people who come from abroad and everyone speaks English, so it doesn’t become a carousel of queuing and constant new visits to various hot offices with chain-smoking secretaries in hair rollers who don’t care the least – okay if you want to try to establish yourself, I guess.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The airport is newly built and worked like a German car factory; some &#8220;head of department&#8221; at the university explained why &#8220;now the airport works well because the Germans run it&#8221;.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A Souvlaki in bread for 4 EUR gets you through a day and is divine, kind of their kebab in bread and just the beginning of a culinary space journey to another galaxy. They have a good kitchen up to fine pastries even though we were there too briefly to dive deep into everything exciting, I got quite hooked on the Souvlaki. The only thing I never touched was the Greek coffee and stuck to espresso. I don’t trust them to handle the coffee bean carefully enough yet but will try to dare to try it next time we are there.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As happy as we were to have had the privilege of visiting the bright and beautiful Thessaloniki, Athens hit us hard like a ton of fertilizer when we were to sleep there one night for the flight the next day.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Chaotic airport, scammer taxis where their fixed price is as flexible as the rigged moving taximeter.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The four-star hotel was like a hostel and &#8220;yes, we probably wrote it wrong on Booking, we’ll fix it&#8221; was the only answer you got but the low price was a warning I ignored. The room was miserable and when I asked them to book a regular taxi for our 03:00 exit. &#8220;It costs 75 EUR at night by law&#8221; – already there you knew it was a rip-off incoming and I tried Google AI. After being talked down, I accepted that we needed to get to the flight early in the morning and couldn’t take chances, but of course asked the taxi driver for the fixed price that Google AI said but &#8220;a deal is a deal and I can leave if you want&#8221;. Then he called the hotel guy who groggily explained that was the price we agreed on, you always have to honor agreements, that’s honorable. The overall impression was that you go into &#8220;fight or flight&#8221; mode immediately and couldn’t relax until you managed to escape this huge nest of snakes with your clothes still on.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Besides that, &#8220;city center&#8221; on Booking was also all the ghettos on the outskirts, their national dish down there seemed to be pizza with a mountain of cheese and the sea of restaurants up in Thessaloniki replaced by about three within walking distance in Athens. My verdict is that Athens is a beaver lodge best avoided altogether because then you just sit on a rock-hard bed in a room less than half as big as it said on booking.com and scrape the cheese off a burnt pizza base with a dissatisfied family asking if I even bothered to Google before I booked. I got 1/10 in rating anyway so that’s what Athens gets too.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The four-hour flight to Madrid you had to rawdog, no screen or internet so you slept your hour until the coffee cart crashed into your leg and asked if you wanted to buy a glass of water, then the clocks stopped.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Between Madrid and Santo Domingo they apparently have wild beef with Air Europa over customers so that was the biggest screen we’ve ever had, pre-coffee, okay food (unusual), ice cream, coffee and breakfast sandwich but then the best – free Starlink without any registration or payment. You sat like on the couch at home with a half-melted ice cream in one hand and messed around out in cyberspace. Probably the best economy class we’ve ever flown if you ever get the idea to visit the Dominican Republic sometime, Iberia ftw.</p>
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<p>Anyway, now we are back at work and can start writing full-time again. The long-awaited Bible studies are on their way now after Johan&#8217;s praised travel tips mixed with global escalation, what is happening in Europe and not least the UA war which is a source of great joy right now. After 4.5 years of setbacks, they really deserve this.</p>
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<p>You remember the soothing elevator with its elevator music at just the right volume, which was in matte yellow and light blue – it feels like it is going up and down all the time right now without stopping.</p>
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<p>That Putin has missed his chance to go after Europe does not mean he will not try, they have just had an exercise with 45,000 soldiers with full drone weaponry where the goal was to secure an area in a nearby country, the whole evil team had sent personnel and observers there. Some -stan they say who know but it could just as well be the Baltics, we will know when we know.</p>
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<p>Note here that when Johan No.1 writes that RU has strategic offensive reserves, a united media and analyst corps say they do not – they have to explain where those 45,000 come from then in my opinion, that would be honest.</p>
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<p>I will return in another post regarding the escalation against us but it is my opinion that the chance was this summer if it could have worked out for Putin.</p>
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<p>Now don’t forget to rush to a paid subscription to Johan No.1’s Substack for continued travel tips and above all the Bible studies will blow your socks off, they are so good that you will become Catholics just by the momentum if you are not already Jehovah’s.</p>
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<p>I also want to recommend this, an excellent summary of everything about the UA war with real-time updates made by a guy who knows his stuff unlike analog Johan No.1</p>
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https://ukrainakriget.github.io
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<!-- /wp:embed --><p>Inlägget <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/ukraine-frontline-review-6-october-2026/">Ukraine Frontline Review, 6 October 2026</a> dök först upp på <a href="https://johanno1.se/en/">Johan No.1</a>.</p>
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