On johanno1.se, a daily summary of RU and UA attacks as well as the daily lottery line of Russian losses is posted.
Our guess was that offensive operations would start when the ground was bearable sometime in mid-April, and that was quite accurate.
In the statistics, you can now see how UA attacks are increasing and sometimes exceed 50% of the total, and that RU losses are rising again.
We previously guessed that UA had a strategic offensive reserve they held back, maybe +60,000 strong, consisting of their elite units β Rangers, GUR, SOF, Airmobile, Assault formations, Azov, and the 3rd which were previously brigades but are now corps.
In autumn 2025, they were forced to start fighting when RU managed to break through north of Pokrovsk, and it went so-so, but since then they have shown an extremely high capability to fight offensively in a drone-saturated battlefield.
At some point, I stopped watching RU advances because when needed, this reserve conducted an operation over a few days where they advanced, fought mobile (probably almost constantly) for a few days, then slipped back behind the RU drone screen.
The RU units in the area were quite worn out after the protective hunt, and the units responsible for the area could then enter and occupy their old positions again, so everything started over.
This has been the pattern during 2026 in several places, and UA has now adjusted how they fight in defense β spaced out between pits and using many drones to keep their own losses down, and when some Russian brigade commander wins the lottery and manages to break through, a company (maybe a battalion) from the strategic offensive reserve is sent forward to wipe out the breakthrough together with gathered indirect capabilities, as the operation is prioritized by the advancing brigade and its commander.
Until autumn 2025, when UA deployed their elite units, it looked like a slow retreat and the unit maps showed a different picture than UA conveyed; I also keep a small eye on Deepstatemap because they start painting a more negative picture than it is, but project owl is good β I was quite worried.
Trump tried to depose Zelensky, the army fighting then was under heavy pressure, and Europe did not dare to cross the USA.
The second the strategic offensive reserve made its entrance, everything changed, and if there are setbacks, they are now just temporary hiccups in the upward curve.
Probably UA was forced to fight with that reserve earlier than planned due to the situation in Pokrovsk, but now that is behind us.
A qualified guess is that behind the strategic offensive reserve there is a larger number of maneuver brigades that have had time to be resourced and rested.
How many and which ones I do not know, but the amount of heavy vehicles and mine-clearing equipment delivered to UA during 2025 is enormous and far exceeds what the strategic offensive reserve would absorb, and they were already resourced.
UA has already shown us that they master fighting in urban areas and clearing fortifications at a level that is almost incomprehensible.
I did about 2.5 years total and know Swedish mechanized infantry well. Our armored infantry gets orders to take attack objective A, and then a platoon or company moves in and attacks with fire and movement, but the focus is to attack according to training in group-platoon-company-battalion; how it goes at the attack objective is unknown. If it doesnβt work, you die on the way, and the lifespan of an armored infantry company in combat was calculated to be low β a consumable.
When we reached the level where we functioned as a platoon, it meant we could operate together and that would be enough.
When the Ukrainian infantry attacks, it looks messy, unorganized, and not particularly good, but what they have done is elevate themselves beyond the level of fighting as a platoon, which happens automatically, and each soldier reads the threat in front of them and acts completely individually β more like warriors than soldiers.
When we fight according to training and hopefully overrun the defense, they read the target area and adapt in real time.
Yes, we see the videos when it goes well, but there are very many of them.
This level is now so high that UA has stopped training their soldiers with us in Europe; our elite forcesβ training no longer adds anything.
Stubb also admitted that the Ukrainian infantry is exceptional, but in terms of now having work-life experience; I thought it was unfair, but he has been the most vocal in praising them.
We were supposed to attack with a 3:1 numerical advantage, no less, and RU has a 10:1 numerical advantage for their attacks.
UA attacks with a 1:3 or worse numerical disadvantage, knocks out defending group/platoon, and gets a few wounded.
They master defense, urban combat, mechanized attacks, fortification clearing β the hardest tasks there are.
On top of that, they manage to fight in a drone-saturated combat environment and have the worldβs best drone weapons today.
These are their maneuver brigades, and in addition, they have SOF/Reconnaissance numbering in the tens of thousands, where even their home guard has its own platoons with operators β a swarm of hornets buzzing in the Russiansβ rear areas, even inside Russia.
ATESH not to be forgotten, which now moves across the entire area inside Russia together with local liberation fronts.
Today, during attacks, UA has real-time information from observation drones that direct fire and provide situational awareness in seconds so they can constantly meet the threat in the best way.
When the USA or UK tried this, it turned out that the attacking force had such an advantage that they considered starting to write memorandums and seek permission to implement it in units within the next 30 years.
In 2023, the capability existed in prioritized units like Azov; today, the entire armed forces have it.
The drone units are highly mobile and carry ammunition with them so they can quickly pool what is needed and then move on when the targets are destroyed.
All traditional indirect platforms are also available; their kill-chain is excellent.
Soon precision aircraft.
The drone cover is now so far back that Russian MLRS, which had the longest range and were protected, are regularly being knocked out.
I will try to describe an RU attack as I perceive it and a UA one.
A Russian troop commander gets orders to take attack objective A and probably solves it at the CAA level by assigning divisions responsibility areas, and then brigades attack forward toward attack objective A until they are exhausted and a new brigade takes over.
RU has learned the extremely hard way that large mechanized failures mean runaway death.
They have adapted their tactics to attack in small groups that swarm forward to many sub-objectives on the way, which for a Russian troop commander preferably should be small communities where they can plant a flag.
CAA has been tasked with taking dominant terrain or cities for prestige, and brigade commanders mark small communities on the map that lie in a line toward the Big Prize.
The swarming has two goals β partly to identify UA defenses so they can be fought with indirect fire and then to gain a “foothold” in a locality so they can build up the capability to continue swarming forward.
The brigade commander always hopes for a breakthrough and the CAA commander has an offensive reserve he intends to use at the breakthrough.
The Ukrainian line is infinitely stretchable, so it is probably associated with some frustration among the Russian troop commanders to constantly be banging their heads against a rock wall.
If things get tight as in Pokrovsk, they throw in their offensive reserve there as well β this time it was the 76th GAAD which was probably heavily decimated in that battle recently.
When Ukraine fought the Russian artillery, Putin agreed with Trump to give them air protection status so they could replace artillery with FAB bombs.
GPS-guided bombs delivered by air with an unpleasantly good hit pattern.
During 2024-2025 was their heyday before UA adapted tactics and too many Ukrainians were buried under the FAB bombs.
By autumn 2025, UA had adapted tactics so a hit on the target resulted in at most one lost flight pair, but as I understand it, they have also started jamming them so it takes up to 6 to hit the target.
Then there is the stealth aircraft coming, and UA completely denies access to the weapon carriers.
RU has solved this with longer range but the FAB threat is definitely declining.
Russia has no plan B here β they will continue to fight this way and when they start to get worried, Putin will demand intensified attacks leading to larger mechanized failures with catastrophic results.
Orders have already been issued to the CAA commanders and everything is underway, and with the inertia RU has, they will carry out offensive operations for too long.
Yes, RU also tries to have a drone cover over UA lines but it is more sensitive to EW and apparently UA now has a drone superiority of 3:1.
RU is less flexible and UA can pool capabilities where needed in a much more efficient way.
RU in defense β it will go just as badly and I describe it below.
The Russian spearhead is already quite weak today.
FSB and Rosgvardia will not choose death in Ukraine.
The Russian rear units such as artillery, logistics, and depots will not choose death in Ukraine either.
Yes, RU has about +/-700,000 in the army in Ukraine but not all are prepared to die and the spearhead is quite worried today about the chance of survival β but it is always easier when you have the initiative yourself and can calmly control the situation.
So what does a UA attack look like?
Until now, we have seen local counteroffensives and tactical offensives on various front sections β probably UA will wait out some low point in the RU offensive or when something breaks on a front section and then it will be a classic MXT “all-in” which he always burns himself on with Bitcoin.
What they are doing now works but the drone superiority has an expiration date, RU has started to get interceptor drone rifles out to units but still far too few.
UA isolates a company or battalion and puts a drone cover over them that softens up the defense.
Small FPV drones that buzz into every opening, vertical and horizontal, and JDAM/artillery.
When the attack gets going, the defense tries to get into firing positions but is then completely exposed and often it is mostly about UA throwing bundle charges into bunker openings when the Russian bastards try to hide.
The entire attacking force is in direct contact with observation drones that guide them and give them a complete overview of the battlefield.
If RU tries to bring forward task forces, they have to move on roads and become big fat targets just like when RU tries with their mechanized failures β 50 km from the combat area UA has full control and drone cover.
The defending battalion/brigade is thus completely isolated and must wait for their death.
When UA attacks, it is at a numerical disadvantage of 1:3 or more and they sweep the floor completely.
There is nothing RU can do to counter this and UA will keep chipping away at the defense lines until something breaks somewhere.
They try to take out brigade staffs and CAA staffs where they can to cut off the head of the snake, FSB/Rosgvardia are high-value targets.
This will increase in intensity and what we have not yet seen is when UA decides to exploit a weak point and go for a breakthrough.
We can however guess how it will go because RU is as poorly prepared as in 2022 and 2023, only that since autumn 2023 they have had the initiative.
Since they have been allowed to grind on with their low-intensity offensive because Zelensky had to try to survive politically from Trump’s ravages and UA got badly burned when we forced them to fight according to NATO doctrine in 2023, they needed the time.
But it also makes RU believe that their tactical adaptation works best because they are lazy bastards and the whole organization has adapted to this.
Yes, there are competent well-equipped task forces behind the fronts, many of them are probably VDV but they MUST MOVE ON ROADS to be useful.
Every building block is in place now, all Ukraine needs is for Europe not to betray them again.
USA knows very well what kind of relationship they have with Ukraine and no longer cares but they need Europe.
Putin will demand a ceasefire sometime this summer and THEN Europe MUST stand strong and not chicken out again for the fifteenth time.
At the fronts we have some exciting developments β
At the Dnieper, the only remaining task force is the 98th AD but only two of the regiments, otherwise undermanned.
Crimea is poorly defended, a few thousand, behind the Dnieper front down to Crimea there is basically no defense at all.
The southern front is not strong anymore either and the two task forces 104th AAD and 7th MAAD are already in combat near Stepnohirsk where UA has attacked for a long time β they are retreating.
There are 5 BARS in depth but they are battalion-sized.
Further up near Donetsk β
At Zeleny Haij it is the 90th TK that has fought and they are said to be in poor shape, there is no task force in the vicinity.
I have poor knowledge of the Huliapole area which is just south of the 90th TD but they have attacked a lot there so it should be a mixed bag of capabilities.
Between just south of Pokrovsk up to Chasiv Yar seems to be a focus point for RU β high density of Russian bastards but at Pokrovsk the 76th GAAD wore themselves out to take the city and quite a few brigades around Pokrovsk should be in poor shape.
Something a bit strange is that RU has deprioritized Chasiv Yar and Bakhmut, UA is advancing in Chasiv Yar, Prigozhin is turning in his grave.
Up in northern Luhansk, RU also looks weak, and near Kupiansk it is now battalion-sized units instead of brigades that are fighting.
Along the northern front, however, RU seems to have a fairly good defense.
Everything is always relative, and UA must be strong where RU is weak for it to make a difference. Northern Luhansk looks like a defense so far, UA has a lot of capability around Kupiansk, but RU is also trying to attack down from the north along the border.
Now it probably matters less because UA has so far shown that they can quickly concentrate highly mobile offensive units together with devastating indirect fire; RU is weak in several places.
This year we will see what should have happened in 2022 and 2023 if the USA and Europe had not sabotaged Ukraine and rigged the game for Putin.
He is trying again this year to get a ceasefire on May 9th; last year we forced Ukraine into it.
The world’s best infantry β which I have argued about over the years but now everyone with some knowledge admits that I was right.
And the ridicule over UA offensive operations not breaking through and that I was looking for false explanations when it was crystal clear that it was Europe and the USA who destroyed it β this year you will see.
Those of you who have canceled paid subscriptions on Substack, don’t forget to reactivate them, and those of you still considering it β go ahead and become a winner.
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
Russian losses in Ukraine 2026-05-04:
SLAVA UKRAINI
What is special equipment doing?
AFU Reports:
148 combat clashes
86 aviation strikes
312 KAB/CAB
10,394 kamikaze drones
3,384 shells (37 from MLRS)
High number of KAB and the second highest number of suicide drones.
Thank you for a great overview of the situation Johan no 1πππ
Yes, times change. Four years ago, the Ukrainians went to NATO countries to learn how to fight in a war that does not exist. And now the Ukrainians are traveling around the world to teach other friendly countries how to fight in a war that does exist.
That’s how it goes.
thank you thank you π
πππππ
Thank you for a massive yellow wall of the highest class and on the subject of Ukraine, which I at least appreciate the most.
“Massive” was the word and I agree otherwise, as far as I have read.
Thank you thank you ππ
Finally, it arrived! I miss your long posts when you’re on vacation, but good things come to those who wait, etc……
**Β “Luxury Moscow tower 7 km from Kremlin reportedly hit by Ukrainian drone strike
Ukrainian forces launched a drone attack on Moscow overnight on May 4, reportedly hitting a high-rise residential complex in the Russian capital, Russian Telegram media channels reported.
Videos posted on social media appear to show drone flying at a low altitude towards Moscow just before 1 a.m. local time. Residents reported hearing loud explosions in the capital soon after.” **
https://kyivindependent.com/damaged-reported-in-moscow-after-ukrainian-drones-reportedly-hit-residential-building/
** A Ukrainian drone slammed into a high-rise near the Kremlin in Moscow early Monday, blowing out walls on an upper floor and scattering debris across the area. **
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/75335
** Moscow. A cosmetic, non-political repair in the apartment that was hit by a drone tonight. **
Moive:
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3mkyxbnptf22r
With another movie.
** π₯ Russia: Ukrainian drones attacked Moscow, likely to test Russian air defenses, 5 days before Putin’s war parade on May 9th. The drones reached within 6km of the Kremlin. **
https://bsky.app/profile/igorsushko.bsky.social/post/3mkys2vd2q226
Now Omni has woken up:
“A drone early Monday morning struck a residential building in western Moscow, about six kilometers from the Kremlin, reports Bloomberg. According to the city’s mayor Sergei Sobyanin, no one was injured.
The building hit is a high-rise in an exclusive area. Parts of the facade collapsed onto a parked car, according to Kyiv Post.
The attack occurs just days before the annual Victory Day parade on May 9. For the first time since 2007, the parade is held without heavy military equipment, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense.”
https://omni.se/dronare-traffade-hoghus-i-lyxkvarter-nara-kreml/a/q6Ooz1
And another movie:
** Ukrainian drones attacked Moscow and the Moscow region overnight, hitting the high-rise Dom na Mosfilmovskaya complex. Mayor Sergey Sobyanin confirmed the attack, locals said drones flew at very low altitudes, and airports closed for several hours. **
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mkz3unktpk2b
It should be enough that the air raid siren goes off in central Moscow. That alone would be a success for UA.
Only downside for Putin π€£π€£π€£π₯
** “Russian hacker who targeted global oil, gas facilities pleads guilty
A Russian hacker accused of damaging critical oil and gas infrastructure in multiple countries has agreed to plead guilty in a U.S. federal case that could carry a sentence of up to 27 years in prison, Bloomberg reported May 1.” **
https://kyivindependent.com/russian-hacker-targeted-global-oil-gas-facilities-pleads-guilty/
Off-Topic, Iran
“Representatives of the USA for ‘very positive talks’ with Iran and they could lead to ‘something very positive for everyone.’ This is what Donald Trump writes on Truth Social.
The post is a complete turnaround compared to the weekend. At that time, Donald Trump said he found it very difficult to see that Iran’s latest negotiation proposal could be accepted and that the country has still ‘not paid enough’ for previous violations. The president had not read the proposal himself at that time.
According to Iranian state media, they have recently received an American response to their proposal, which was delivered by the mediating country Pakistan. The USA has not confirmed the information.”
https://omni.se/iran-sager-sig-ha-tagit-emot-svar-trump-kallar-samtal-valdigt-positiva/a/j035Aw
“On Monday, the USA will begin helping ships navigate through the blocked Strait of Hormuz, announced President Donald Trump and the military command Centcom. Trump writes that the USA will “to the best of its ability” escort the ships.
According to Trump, countries from around the world, most of which are not involved in the conflict, have reached out and requested the USA’s help.
“They are neutral and innocent bystanders!”
Trump describes it as a “humanitarian gesture” from both the USA and Iran. Centcom states that around 15,000 soldiers, over 100 planes as well as drones and ships will participate in the operation.
It is unclear how many ships will receive help.”
https://omni.se/trump-usa-ska-lotsa-fartyg-genom-hormuz/a/JOn9Am
“Iran lashes out at the USA after President Donald Trump and the military command Centcom announced that they will assist ships stuck in the Strait of Hormuz starting today, Monday.
The Iranian regime leader Ebrahim Azizi writes on X that the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf will not be “governed by Trump’s reality-denying posts.”
He believes that all American involvement in the strait will be seen as a violation of the ceasefire.
On Truth Social, Trump calls the operation “Project Freedom,” and according to Centcom, 15,000 soldiers, over a hundred planes as well as ships and drones will be used. The goal is to “restore free navigation.”
https://omni.se/iran-rasar-mot-trump-all-amerikansk-inblandning-bryter-mot-vapenvilan/a/JOnd77
Does Trump know where the mines are? Iran doesn’t know that. But that’s good. Then it will be quick to sweep the strait. The Strait of Hormuz has a lunch break this week between 12-13 if you happen to visit the Perverse Gulf.
Ukrainian soldiers have, with the help of an unmanned ground robot, managed to rescue a 77-year-old woman from an active war zone near the city of Lyman in Donetsk.
Antonina Horuzja was discovered via drone as she struggled along a shelled road. The robot was driven up to her, covered with a blanket and with a note: “Grandma, hop on!”
β I didnβt think I would make it, that I had the strength, she tells the BBC.
Unmanned ground vehicles are increasingly used in the war, including for evacuations, transports, and combat missions, according to The Telegraph.
Several media outlets have published the drone video from the Ukrainian military showing the evacuation, see it in the player below.
πππ
Off-Topic, Nonsense
Maybe it’s a shame that I didn’t invest in Bitcoin (as Johan constantly claims) it seems to have recovered well:
“Bitcoin rises above 80,000 dollars on Monday morning for the first time in three months.
At around 6 a.m., the cryptocurrency rises 2 percent to 80,500 dollars, the highest level since January 21, writes Bloomberg. The boost pulls along other sibling currencies like ether.”
https://omni.se/bitcoin-tillbaka-over-80000-viktig-psykologisk-niva/a/3pBag9
I need to come up with something new to mess with π³
The development of the Russian attacks by artillery and drones. Artillery has long had a downward trend while drones have instead increased. Looking back over 250 days, it is quite clear:
However, if we limit it to 100 days, you can see that they have instead followed each other quite closely and that the very recent days indicate a slight upward trend (which of course may be temporary).
Pokrovsk, Konstantinivka and Huliaipole were the only sectors where the Russians faced Russian pressure in the last 24 hours according to the morning report from AFUπΊπ¦. According to the same report, they have lost 1120 KWIA and 268 vehicles:
In total, the last day the loss of Russian zagarbnikív amounted to 1120 people. Ukrainian soldiers also damaged six tanks, four combat armored vehicles, 113 artillery systems, two jet systems of assault-fire, 11 ground robotic complexes, 2249 unmanned aircraft, 5 missiles, 268 units of vehicles and 17 units of special equipment.
At 22:00 yesterday, after 23 attacks in Pokrovsk, the AFRFπ·πΊ, according to AFUπΊπ¦, in this sector, had lost nine vehicles and 94 KWIA (66 killed, 28 wounded).
Operational information as of 22:00 03.05.2026 regarding the Russian invasion.
The enemy committed 23 attacks in the Pokrovsky direction. The occupiers tried to advance towards the settlements of Bilitske, Dorozhne, Rodinske, Pokrovsk, Grishine, Kotline, UdaΔne, Molodetske, Novopavlivka. Two clashes are underway.
According to preliminary calculations, today 66 occupants were eliminated and 28 wounded in this direction, six car units and five special equipment units destroyed, one enemy control point. Two artillery systems, three units of automobile and three units of special equipment, one control point of BPLA, 20 enemy covers were also damaged. Destroyed or suppressed 181 BPLA of different types.
In total, for the day, 96 Russian attacks were counted from the reported sectors. With the respective ratio for KWIA and vehicles from Pokrovsk at 22:00 yesterday; 1 vehicle/attack (high estimate) and 4 KWIA/attack, we get 96 vehicles and 384 KWIA related to the localized attacks. But an additional 836 KWIA and 188 vehicles in the loss statistics are unaccounted for, which are thus not related to the attacks in any of the listed sectors. Unless the ratio in localized attacks differs significantly from what it was at 22:00 in Pokrovsk. It remains to connect the surplus to the unlocalized 52 attacks, for vehicles and soldiers cannot just disappear without someone actively doing something? A counteroffensive from the Ukrainian side, we know, from Johan’s reports not least, is not Russian two/four-man attacks in unprotected vehicles, but a larger maneuver with armor and more forces. It is therefore not surprising that we get significantly more KWIA and vehicles per attack when the Ukrainians are behind it. Just over 16 KWIA and 4 vehicles per unlocalized presumed Ukrainian attack.
N Slobozhansky-Kursk 1
S Slobozhansky 3βοΈ
Kupyansk 2
Lyman 5
Slovyansk 3
Kramatorsk 1
Kostjantynivka 23π₯βοΈ
Pokrovsk 26π₯π₯
Oleksandrivskij 6
Huliaipole 23π₯
Orikhivsk 1
Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 2
Localized 96
Unlocalized 52
Total 148
Ratio unloc/loc 0.54
Thank you! π
Nice to see that the unlocalized continue to stay above the localized and that the losses are also higher for those attacks.
πππ
Nice 205 ππππ
βοΈOvernight, πΊπ¦Ukrainian forces shot down 135 out of 155 π·πΊRussian drones (UAVs).ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mkz2s43kwc2u
The Ukrainians have fought brilliantly – Keith Kellogg. Kellogg said: “And I would tell the Russians, you’re not winning this war. You’re losing this war.”
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3mkz34jd5cc2i
He says that now…..
Sweden’s defense
“More and more Swedes are willing to defend their country with violence, reports Novus/TV4. According to a survey answered by just over 1,000 Swedes, 43 percent of Swedes between 18 and 84 years old are prepared to take up arms if Sweden were threatened.
This is an increase of two percentage points compared to last year when a similar survey was conducted, writes TV4.
The largest increase is in the youngest age group, between 18 and 34 years.
β You don’t want to die, but when it comes down to it, you do what is necessary, says Nora Krantz, who is doing her military service at P7 SΓ₯tenΓ€s, to the channel.”
https://omni.se/novus-stridsviljan-okar-bland-unga-svenskar/a/M750zJ
Off-Topic, AI
Useless AI chatbots are about to take over support management everywhere, hopefully it will be a while before AI has taken over all contact with healthcare as well. In the long run, it is quite possible that they can do a better job, but that will probably require more than today’s LLM-based AI even though it has come far.
“Some AI models can make more accurate diagnoses than doctors in emergency situations, according to a new study from Harvard published in the scientific journal Science.
…”
https://omni.se/ai-mer-traffsaker-an-lakare-i-harvardstudie/a/3pBaw9
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adz4433
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/apr/30/ai-outperforms-doctors-in-harvard-trial-of-emergency-triage-diagnoses
At the same time, The Guardian also has this article:
“Flaws in Kenyaβs AI-driven health reforms driving up costs for the poorest”
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/may/04/kenya-ai-healthcare-reforms-driving-up-costs-for-poor
Don’t understand why people think AI is the solution to everything?! AI is a great help for most, but in the end, it’s me who makes the decisions.
I think AI is fantastic to have as a sounding board and that you can get things analyzed quickly while you do something else yourself. Even though they are often pleasers.
However, I hate, for example, FedEx’s AI receptionist who, when she answers, sounds like she’s picking up a phone receiver from the hook and then you hear keyboard typing. It’s ridiculous. Nowadays, I always say that I want to speak to a human, and then I get transferred.
Agree that there is a great overconfidence in AI which leads to it being used in the wrong way.
AI works well in many contexts but definitely not everywhere, and considering that AI is also often completely wrong and makes mistakes with factual information, fails with logic and calculations, etc., it can go really wrong if implemented without understanding.
At the same time, enormous progress has been made in just a few years. A big difference compared to just a year ago.
Further ahead, I suspect that AI will be able to replace most tasks where there are clear instructions and logic, but we are not there yet even though many seem to believe so.
Further ahead (in 10-40 years) it will be interesting to see how we will manage to create a functioning society economically when companies and authorities reduce staff and replace them with AI and robots (that technology is also making quite significant progress every year).
It will be difficult for companies to make money if half the population has been made redundant and is unemployed, and difficult for the state to collect enough taxes to offer a reasonable standard of living to all these people.
The advantage might be that we perhaps will no longer need to worry about declining birth rates, rather the opposite.
Guess Putin is now wearing double diapers as he becomes increasingly paranoid.
“The Kremlin has significantly tightened security around President Vladimir Putin after several assassinations of high-ranking military officers and growing concerns that he might be overthrown in a coup, reports CNN citing a European intelligence report. Among the measures are surveillance in the homes of Putin’s closest associates and a ban on his cooks, bodyguards, and photographers from using public transportation.
According to the report, Putin has reduced the number of places he regularly visits and spends longer periods in an upgraded bunker near the Black Sea. He has not visited any military facilities this year, in contrast to regular visits last year. Instead, the Kremlin publishes pre-recorded clips of him.
The intelligence report also points to former Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu as a possible coup threat, since he still has influence within the military. The report notes that Shoigu’s former deputy and close ally Ruslan Tsalikov was arrested in March, which is considered to weaken Shoigu’s position.” https://omni.se/kreml-skarper-sakerheten-oro-for-kuppforsok-mot-putin/a/oEMrL7
Yes, he is nervous now. According to reliable sources, he has also canceled his year-round subscription to the magazine BlΓΆyboy.π€«
ππ
Yep, that’s how it is ββπ‘π₯
** βοΈConsequences of the πΊπ¦Ukrainian drone attack on the oil depot (refinery and sea terminal) in the port of π·πΊTuapse ** Movie:
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mkz5ebgq2c2u
** Footage shows total destruction in Kostiantynivka. Yet another front line city that is wiped off the earth. The city is bombarded by artillery and guided bombs on a daily basis. Still Ukrainian units maintain control over the majority of the city. Russia holds presence in the outskirts.Β **
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mkz5bjosjs2b
The rest of the participants: π±
π
“βοΈ Ukrainian drones could reach the May 9 parade in Moscow β Zelenskyy at the European Political Community summit in Yerevan.ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mkzacitwbk2y
** Congratulations to the great geostrategist Putin. Armenia is moving away from the Russian sphere of influence and into the European sphere of influence. πΉ: footage from a coordination meeting on Ukraine in Yerevan **
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3mkzamnxajk24
π
** Russian propagandist Simonyan is outraged by President Zelenskyy’s visit to “ungrateful Armenia” that Russia has “saved so many times” and is threatening Armenia with military aggression. **
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3mkzbl6lev224
Hm, I thought she had other things to think about. Still interesting that she talks about the tsar’s successor (the other talking points seem to be just about the usual violent rant).
Have you found your way back Lynx, fun π
** Ukraine has struck Russian warships and a shadow fleet tanker in the port of Primorsk, President Volodymyr Zelensky said. The attack reportedly disabled a Karakurt-class missile ship and a tanker linked to Russiaβs shadow fleet. **
https://bsky.app/profile/kyivpost.com/post/3mkzamrh7js27
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/75320
** UK Opens Talks to Join β¬90B Ukraine Loan Plan in EU Defense Shift
The initiative is shaping up as a key deliverable ahead of an EU-UK summit later this summer, part of a broader reset in relations nearly a decade after Brexit. **
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/75337
** IAEA has been informed by the ZNPP that a drone targeted its External Radiation Control Laboratory (ECRL) today. There were no reported injuries and it is not yet known if the strike damaged the lab, which is located outside the ZNPP perimeter. IAEA team at the site has requested access to the lab, Director General @rafaelmgrossi
says, reiterating that any attacks near nuclear sites can pose nuclear safety risks. **
https://x.com/iaeaorg/status/2050924082955235612
** βοΈCanada will allocate a $200 million contribution to the PURL program, according to Ukrainian President Zelensky. Additionally, NATO Chief Mark Rutte confirmed that anti-missile supplies for Ukraine are continuing as previously agreed. **
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mkzbjj7tbs2b
** βοΈUkraine can produce everything necessary to independently protect itself from ballistic attacks in the future, β Zelenskyy βWe are offering Europe our drone technologies in order to unite these countries togetherβ¦We need to focus on what we will do if the Russian Federation does not end this war..
We are in contact with the United States, we understand their vision and position, but we need to develop a common European voice for talks with the Russians.βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ **
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mkzbip6kak26
ππ»
FINALLY
The captain of the Syria-flagged vessel Jin Hui, which was boarded off Trelleborg on Sunday, has been detained, writes SVT Nyheter with reference to the Coast Guard.
“The man is suspected of aggravated use of a false document. Sweden’s Minister for Civil Defence, Carl-Oskar Bohlin (M), wrote on X on Sunday that the vessel is suspected to belong to the Russian shadow fleet and that it has sailed under a false flag. It is also on the EU’s and Ukraine’s sanctions list.
β Interrogation of the detainee will be held during the day, says senior prosecutor Adrien Combier-Hogg in a press release.
Mattias Lindholm, press officer at the Coast Guard, tells SVT that the authority is still present and working on the vessel, which is anchored off the Swedish south coast.”
https://omni.se/forhor-vantar-med-anhallen-fartygskapten/a/vrkRwV
NATO – USA – Europe
“NATO’s European member countries have taken to heart Donald Trump’s criticism that they are not contributing enough to the US war in Iran. This is stated by NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte according to AFP.
β They heard the message loud and clear, says Rutte, who states that the members have, among other things, strengthened their commitments regarding logistical support to the US.
He also claims, without giving any details, that several European countries have moved βkey materialβ closer to the area in preparation for the βnext phase.β
All European NATO countries have said no to participating in the war in Iran, and have opened up to contributing in the Strait of Hormuz only after its end.
At the same time, AP reports that Donald Trump’s announcement that he is withdrawing 5,000 soldiers to Germany β seemingly because the country has not entered the war β appears to have made NATO countries think that they will have to manage without the US.
β I would say that it shows that we really need to strengthen the European pillar in NATO, says the EU’s foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas.”
https://omni.se/natochefen-europa-har-lyssnat-pa-trumps-kritik/a/aJGzlO
** 56% of Russians want the return of Western companies, 27% are against it, and 17% are undecided. Most often, they want the return of car manufacturers (41%), followed by film and music (28%) and software producers (27%). They are also desperate for furniture and building materials (25%), food (23%), and cosmetics (22%). **
https://x.com/Beefeater_Fella/status/2051226914329698455
Off-Topic, Nonsense
Doesn’t look like Johan will get his driver’s license today either, he who has been waiting in line all morning!
“All theory and driving tests in the country are canceled on Monday morning due to a technical error between the Swedish Transport Administration and the Swedish Transport Agency, reports TT. Troubleshooting is ongoing and the authorities are working to find the cause. …”
https://omni.se/tekniskt-fel-stoppar-alla-korkortsprov-i-landet/a/0pvR0G
π³
Off-Topic, climate change and our food
One of the few advantages of increased carbon dioxide levels is that plants grow better (up to a certain limit).
Unfortunately, studies show that this in turn leads to lower nutritional content in our crops.
Of course, yield is also maximized in other ways (and many also argue that farmland is depleted over time) so it is not solely due to carbon dioxide.
The differences are not yet huge either, it is a matter of a few percent, but it still means that we get more energy but less nutrition, the opposite of what most people would need.
For those who, like Johan, live on chips, it obviously does not matter much.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/dec/19/higher-carbon-dioxide-food-more-calorific-less-nutritious-study
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/interactive/2026/carbon-pollution-diluting-key-nutrients-food/
Africa’s four harvests per year are not good π
** Ukraine strengthens defense on the border with Transnistria As RBC-Ukraine was told by OK “West”, it concerns:
βͺοΈFortifications and logistics.
βͺοΈEcheloned defense.
βͺοΈCivil security.
βͺοΈMedical readiness. **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mkzdkufuac22
** PM Donald Tusk: “There are conflicting signals about what a so-called short-term ceasefire would mean. For now, the message coming from Moscow spoke of a one-day ceasefire – just so that a parade can take place in Moscow.
That is simply absurd.” **
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3mkzdzwjkr224
Yep
Hurrrra! The Johan we know is back. The only thing missing are words like positive-positive.
Jokes aside, now we of course hope for continued reasons to lift our spirits.
He is back like Fantomen π₯π₯π₯
Thank you MXT and Proxima for the kind words π
The Bitcoin joke died off on its own I saw π€£π€£
Excellently supplemented in the thread by MXT and 205 when I haven’t had time to drive it completely off-topic πππππ
Jo saw MXT that Zelensky read your comments and ordered full throttle towards Moscow π€£π€£π€£π₯π₯π₯ππ‘π‘
Fingers crossed that they continue and that it then ends with a real fireworks display on the 9th where Ukraine sets fire to every refinery and depot and maybe finally even hits the bridge!
Then, of course, they can send some harmless drones to Moscow as well that drop confetti consisting of Ukrainian flags over the entire parade. That would be a mockery and a show of power demonstrating that no one is safe and that they could have bombed but chose to refrain.
Guess you want to see the whole performance wiped out instead? π
Wiped out and the ground salted ββπ₯π₯π₯π₯π‘
Off-Topic, Iran
“Iran has attacked a US warship on its way to the Strait of Hormuz, according to Iranian state media cited by Reuters.
According to the regime-loyal Fars news agency, it concerns a frigate that was hit by two missiles. It is claimed that the ship has “violated security regulations” and has not heeded warnings from the Iranian navy.
A senior US official denies reports that a ship was hit, reports Axios reporter Barak Ravid on X.
President Donald Trump stated on Sunday evening that the US will “to the best of its ability” escort stranded ships through the strait. Iran has responded by stating that foreign forces approaching the strait will be attacked.”
https://omni.se/iran-har-attackerat-amerikanskt-fartyg/a/WvmpGQ
—
The stock market reacted immediately (of course, it could also be a coincidence).
“The Stockholm stock exchange turned down after news that Iran has attacked a US ship. Shortly thereafter, however, the indexes turned up again and at 12:45 it looks like this:
β’ OMXSPI: +0.2%
β’ OMXS30: +0.2%
…”
https://omni.se/borsen-mot-gron-start-efter-langhelgen/a/2pv63r
I have simply given up on Iran, too much disinformation
Just throw them out!
“Austria is expelling three people employed at the Russian embassy in Vienna. They are suspected of spying on behalf of Russia, several media outlets report.
The three individuals are said to have engaged in intelligence gathering using equipment installed on the embassy’s roof.
The public service company ORF reports that the suspicions have been known previously. The Russian ambassador in the country was summoned already in April, and Austria then demanded that Russia terminate the suspects’ contracts.
Foreign Minister Beate Meinl-Reisinger says that espionage threatens the country’s security.
βIn this government, we have initiated a change of course and are now acting consistently.β”
https://omni.se/ryssar-tros-ha-spionerat-i-wien-fran-ambassadtak/a/ArRKK5
** βοΈDestruction of π·πΊRussian logistical vehicles in the area of the occupied Debaltsevo and Pisky (approximately 60 km from the front line) by operators of the πΊπ¦Ivan Franko Group UAV unit.ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ **
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mkzjrieagc2v
** π§ The penguins are back. Drone operators from the 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade are mowing down occupiers at night who have come to believe in the invisible power of anti-drone cloaks. **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mkzjwprj2222
** π₯ “Hart” border guards thwarted the enemy’s offensive in the north of the Kharkiv region. π₯ The result for the week: 47 eliminated, 32 wounded. The rest – fled. **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mkziy7qkws22
** π¦ πΊπ¦ FP-1 drone was able to completely overcome three echelons of defense of Moscow, consisting of 101 confirmed positions, – DroneBomber This route ran through the area of ββresponsibility of at least 10 regiments of strategic S-400 systems and over 80 Pantsir and Tor systems.
The drone even bypassed special positions on the roofs in the city center and towers along the roads, specially erected to intercept low-flying targets. The map shows all verified points of air defense positions in the Moscow region. **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mkzin2rxis22
Oh my god π³
The pants are down now π€©π€©π€©π€©
May 9 will not be missed.
UA wanted to cause mischief last year but we forced them into passivity.
This year, probably no one can do that?
The funny thing is that absolutely anything will be terrible PR for Putin.
Already now they are installing drone nets over the march route and lots of air defense systems UA just slips past.
Putin will NEVER stand in the middle of the square again this year, no chance.
– just that alone looks bad.
Then UA can –
– drone the parade
– release pamphlets as the violent MXT suggests.
– drone another location that currently has no air defense.
– just fly lots of FPV drones OVER the parade so everyone on camera sees the generals diving for cover and Shoigu pulling some colonel over himself and pushing Gerasimov out of cover.
This is all upside for Ukraine β absolutely INCREDIBLE how hard Russia finds it to read the room.