Yesterday our worst fears were unfortunately confirmed.
But let’s first step back to the bigger picture –
-Trump and the trio in Europe (Starmer, Macron, and Merz) have kept Ukraine on a tight leash since the turn of the year in order to achieve peace in our time. Apparently, it’s Ukraine’s fault that there is no peace 😐
-The refinery attacks ceased, Ukraine left Kursk, Ukraine did not bomb the May 9 parade, Trump halted material support to Ukraine for a few weeks, and probably something else I forgot – oh yes, they have also prevented Ukraine from opening new attack vectors across the northern border.
-While no one has done anything against Putin, he is strolling around in his platform shoes feeling fine.
-China showed its loyalty to Russia on May 9, and there were 29 other countries there that wanted to show their loyalty to Russia.
-China, together with Russia, has instigated a war between India and Pakistan (more on that below).
-Russia is threatening the Baltic states and Finland, and has built up a strategic offensive reserve for a limited offensive against the Baltics.
-Russia has built up offensive capabilities in Ukraine and is gearing up to start its summer offensive.
Zelensky and Ukraine are really trying to play along with the West here, Kudos 🙏
But the fact remains – either Russia wins the war or Ukraine wins the war, and the longer it goes on, the greater the likelihood of a global conflict.
-Trump is blowing hot and cold – his latest peace trip in the Middle East probably couldn’t have been done much better even by Gandhi, but at the same time, one constantly gets the feeling that he could declare war before breakfast if the mood strikes, no point in even trying to predict the long-term plan 😀
Now back to the big peace meeting in Turkey that was supposed to bring us peace in our time.
Ukraine and Russia agreed to a ceasefire a month before the May 9 parade, which only Ukraine respected, as Russia violated the agreement countless times. We know that Ukraine followed it because Kriegsforscher said they had their hands tied.
Europe and the USA stopped talking about the ceasefire after a while when Russia didn’t care anyway – no one really took a hard stance against Putin.
And no one thanked Ukraine when, after a month, they confirmed that they had honored the agreement.
Prior to the May 9 parade, Putin begged for a ceasefire between May 8-10, and Xi Jinping asked Zelensky not to ruin the parade with drones – please. Ukraine came out strong beforehand to intimidate but respected the ceasefire. Probably after demands from Trump and Europe, but nothing communicated outwardly.
Since Ukraine, which had been sending five hundred drones per night even up to Moscow in the days before, stayed away, Putin projected his parade strength – a large fleet of vehicles, lots of soldiers marching in unison, and 10-11 countries participating with troops.
Xi Jinping hasn’t been there since 2015, so it was a big deal for the Axis of Evil, and quite a few countries now see China and Russia as a superpower.
After the parade, Starmer, Macron, and Merz came out very strongly and demanded a ceasefire of at least 30 days starting from May 12 – they had met with Zelensky and called Trump on WhatsApp so everyone was clear on what they needed to force Russia into.
“If Putin doesn’t comply, we will get tough” – now damn it ✊
Putin said – screw off, I won’t agree to any ceasefire (after he had received one from Ukraine three days earlier for his parade), but I can agree to negotiate peace in Turkey on May 15, if Zelensky dares to come and talk to me, that coward.
Starmer, Macron, and Merz said something like – “okay, we’ll wait, but you must come, otherwise there will be very big consequences for you – almost German-sized.” And they looked tough and warlike.
Trump flooded Twitter and hinted that he would go there and meet all his buddies for a McDonald’s dinner, almost a bit giddy.
All four leaders put their full prestige into this.
Zelensky and Ukraine saw their chance and Zelensky was quick as a ferret to confirm that he would go to Turkey himself and negotiate with Putin in person.
At this point, Putin got cold feet – he is now at a disadvantage and of course cannot go to Turkey. Moreover, Turkey did not invite him to their fancy parade, so as far as they are concerned, they could choose to arrest and send him to The Hague.
Zelensky did his part – he got off the plane, waved, and said, “I hope Putin comes because peace is the most important thing.”
Ukraine began to hint that Putin didn’t care to come, but the media fell asleep.
Putin now comes out and says “I’m not coming – losers.”
Trump says “I’ll stay in Qatar and eat kebabs.”
Macron, Starmer, and Merz remain silent and have turned off their phones.
And then it’s over, the PR war is lost – the world’s media says “Zelensky is not attending the meeting,” “Zelensky accuses Putin,” “all three skip the meeting” 😭
Voilà – Putin slithered away because no one even made an attempt to challenge him.
On a plain note, this is not good –
-Starmer, Macron, Merz, and Trump ensured that Putin got the respite he needed to prepare for his offensive. They also made sure that Ukraine did not get to do what they could to disrupt this, or alternatively carry out their own offensive – exactly what that would have been, we do not know.
-Putin can do whatever he wants – nothing ever has any consequences for him. That’s the message from the West after three years of aggression against Ukraine and murdered women sent back without brains and eyes.
-Macron, Merz, and Starmer have shown themselves to be weak, and THAT is a language Russia understands, Russia can smell cowards 🧐
-Trump has now taken on a passive role and will naturally not be driving – he also seems to be on some kind of peace trip, and then his trade deals are moving forward, so he will probably be busy with that in the future to try to strengthen the USA.
Trump’s priority is probably not Europe, as we are expected to have put on our big-boy pants now and learned to fight.
We know that Zapad25 is in September, and it’s no big secret that Russia uses exercises as an excuse to mobilize for war when it suits them.
Russia is also very concerned about the Russian minority in the Baltics now, and that they are educating the Russian people that the Baltic states historically belonged to Russia but were stolen by Western Nazis. If one is inclined to conspiracy theories, one might suspect that they are building up to some trouble.
Russia has just declared 22 coordinates/areas in the Gulf of Finland as risk zones for civilian ships until after Zapad25 (link from MXT on johanno1.se)
https://omni.se/ryssland-utfardar-svepande-varning-for-finska-viken/a/pP26O1
Even CNN has now caught on that RU is preparing for further offensives in Ukraine.
We also know that Putin has been recruiting 50,000 – 60,000 people per month in the past six months – it has been mentioned a few times, and Ukraine has been warning for a long time.
China is advancing its positions in India – the Pakistan conflict.
Apparently, India now has Pakistan, Bangladesh, the Taliban, and China against them in the region, so they are a bit isolated and looking around at the moment.
And the classic move that the Russians are surely behind – India is anti-Muslim, full of Islamophobia, and trying to ethnically cleanse the Muslim minority.
Match lit and bring to the powder keg for a huge explosion 💥
Then we have two more – the internet is full of how much better the Chinese weapons are compared to India’s Rafale and all their other systems. The Axis of Evil is very happy that they have bought made in China.
And then when Estonia was supposed to board a shadow fleet tanker, RU just sent out an SU-34 and then “the Estonians fled” – also making the rounds in the evil team. The fact that the Estonians did not board the ship is clear.
At what point do we feel that the West is setting clear boundaries?
Nowhere, I think – Putin can do whatever he wants and nothing has any consequences. As soon as he makes a violent move in the air, our great leaders run and try to hide behind each other, even though Zelensky is standing a bit away and generously offers to strangle Putin after he headbutted Lavrov.
It is very clear that the Axis of Evil is sensing a new dawn – anything else would almost be a dereliction of duty.
Maybe I missed something, but if I haven’t, Putin has just outplayed Macron-Starmer-Merz, they ran and hid behind each other, and Macron started crying uncontrollably.
Considering that we are dealing with Russia here – do you think such actions seem deterrent to them regarding testing if Europe is ready to defend itself in September?
An offensive in Ukraine with thousands more murdered children will of course happen, but that doesn’t seem to deter the West anymore, so there’s no point in highlighting it.
Putin is probably quite confident that he can manipulate Trump, but the trio above would finally show us worthy of the world’s respect after losing in two world wars and then enduring a whole Cold War with a bent back. That didn’t happen, and even preschoolers are now laughing at Merz and Macron.
We have a lot of criticism for Trump for everything he does, just as we have always shouted ourselves hoarse at the USA. Or Israel – where everyone really dares to unleash their inner ninja because there is zero risk of consequences.
And we write more white papers than there are victims in how we treated the world in the 18th century so that we never forget this original sin.
But as soon as someone in the present could possibly fight back, we remain silent and let the children be tortured and murdered instead.
This doesn’t mean that Ukraine is giving up, just that the trio + Trump has put them in the worst possible position as usual, after three years 😐
But things are starting to look a bit tangled in this area now.
And finally, a very small reminder that India is currently standing alone with more enemies against them than Ukraine, and maybe we should show that we stand united with them too?
I hear absolutely zero support for India actually, and if I were in that government, I would start looking around to see who my friends are.
Continued appreciation for the page is always gratefully received, and there is a QR code for that purpose, as well as a donation page with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.
On Substack – there is still a chance to become subscribers and it is valuable to me.
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social
Glömt inte att donera, Ukrainas sak är vår! Stöd Ukraina!
Loading ...Här hittar du resultatet från våra tidigare läsarundersökningar: Enkätarkiv
OBS! De av er som INTE vill tillåta automatisk översättning av era kommentarer, gå in på er profilsidan och ange det.
För musen över ert namn längst upp till höger, välj redigera profil, så hittar ni sedan inställningen under rubriken språkinställningar.
