Ukraine has struck a Russian oil depot in Crimea and a refinery in Samara – Today’s report on Russian losses

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Ukraine has carried out several drone attacks against Russia overnight. In Crimea, among other targets, an oil depot in Sevastopol was hit, and in Samara, fires have been reported at the Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery in the Samara region. Read more about the successful attacks overnight at Kyiv Independent.

Russian losses in Ukraine

Today’s report contains no surprises. 6 tanks and 10 AFVs are, of course, now quite high loss figures for armor, and 82 artillery also stand out a bit.

  • 1080 KWIA
  • 6 Tanks
  • 10 AFVs
  • 82 Artillery systems
  • 4 MLRS
  • 2104 UAVs
  • 180 Vehicles & fuel tanks

Russian activities

KAB has taken off a bit, otherwise nothing out of the ordinary.

  • 151 combat engagements
  • 63 airstrikes
  • 217 KAB/CAB
  • 9,305 suicide drones
  • 3,447 artillery attacks (of which 106 from MLRS)

SLAVA UKRAINI

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79 thoughts on “Ukraine has struck a Russian oil depot in Crimea and a refinery in Samara – Today’s report on Russian losses”

        1. MXT

          Yes, that’s true, they have a fixed fee so sending five or ten SEK via Swish is quite silly because the percentage share that goes to them becomes quite high. If the recipient then has to pay VAT on the amount received, it basically becomes a losing business if you take into account the time for the administration of that payment when it is made to a company where everything must be accounted for.

            1. MXT

              If you mean his Substack, then yes, I have nothing to do with it at all.

              If you mean Cornu, then yes, he is probably driven by the desire to surpass him. 😄

                1. N Eklund

                  Don’t forget Nelson Mandela!

                  You can promote the page in Angola, there is growth potential there.

    1. 205

      Zelenskiy / Official
      A speech was held by Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi.

      First and foremost to the front – thanks to all our
      units that hold their positions and keep the enemy back from Russian attacks. In April, the high pace
      of the elimination of the occupiers continues. The Russians are unable to launch an offensive push, and that is important.
      We also note attempts by the occupation forces
      to regroup their forces – probably from
      in order to compensate for personnel shortages. In
      this context, it becomes increasingly clear why
      On Belarusian territory, the activity of the armed forces has increased.
      According to intelligence, in the border area with Belarus
      they are expanding the road network to Ukraine and
      establishing artillery positions. We believe that
      Russia will once again try to drag us into its war
      with Belarus. A task has been given to convey a warning via appropriate channels
      to the actual leadership in Belarus regarding the readiness
      of the Ukrainian people to defend their country and their independence.
      The nature and consequences of recent events in Venezuela
      should deter the Belarusian leadership from making mistakes.
      We also discussed our issues with the Commander-in-Chief
      regarding future long-range operations. Glory to Ukraine!
      103
      24
      21
      t.me/V_Zelenskiy_official/18718
      4.2 thousand
      April 17 at 19:25

    1. MXT

      A small war that has only been fought remotely and they are the world’s richest nation with the world’s largest military power and yet they still cannot deliver?

      They don’t have the cards, in other words!

    2. johan No.1

      That is more of a slaughter than an attack.

      RU are outrun.

      But if they get another year, the bars will shift.

      But this season they are smoked out.

  5. Proxima

    Yes. Or second to last. I came in an honorable second place anyway. That will be some money for Ukraine.
    In the 60s (among other times during the Cuban crisis), the UN Secretary-General was U Thant.
    He was from Burma and was well regarded as capable, I believe. A UN-organized fundraiser, I don’t remember what it was for, naturally led Mosebacke Monarki to joke with this slogan: “Donate a penny to Uncle Thant.”

  8. MXT

    Off-Topic, Twitter is broken!

    Elon seems to have handed over full responsibility for Twitter to Grok, an AI known for being quite bad and that should be shut down.

    Yesterday I received three emails from Twitter notifying me that my reach is now limited because I apparently posted violent content. I’m not quite sure how they could limit my reach even more. If I post something neutral, it reaches about 100 of my 10,000 followers. We’ll see if anyone even sees what I do from now on 😄

    Yes, yes, you’re probably thinking, you have only yourself to blame if you pollute Twitter with violent posts!

    I myself was a bit puzzled, what have I done now?
    Maybe the reports on Russian losses are now classified as violent? That might have been understandable.

    Nope, it turned out that all three violent posts from my side consisted of me giving a thumbs up to other users’ comments:

    It would have been a bit more understandable if I had given a thumbs down…

    But what exactly was I commenting on then? Maybe I gave a thumbs up to something that in turn was violent? I had to check it out.

    It turned out that MorctheOrc had simply wished me “Good morning” and that was what I responded to.

    But apparently even that post was considered violent because Morc had also received a warning:

     

     

      2. MXT

        It is quite clear that the algorithms throttle those who are not appreciated.

        I see nonsense posts from users with a couple of thousand followers getting thousands of views. My loss reports reach up to around a thousand, but then there are also several who comment and retweet.

    2. johan No.1

      You seem to have been completely throttled?

      100/10,000?

      That is not good 😳

      After my huge attempt to get followers on X, I have 150, so there is some difference in popularity. Do you have any tips?

      1. MXT

        The reason I have gathered quite a few followers is mostly because of NAFO. Then again, if you don’t post highly appreciated content every day, you probably have to follow others and hope they follow back.

  9. MXT

    The War in Iran

    The war, or at least the communication about it, mostly resembles a twisted comedy.

    By the way, didn’t they bomb away all the Uranium already last summer?
    Anyway, it’s really good if Iran has now agreed to hand over all the enriched Uranium! Great that they managed to reach that agreement!

    “Trump: Will take the uranium to the USA very soon

    Donald Trump continues to claim that Iran’s enriched uranium will be taken to the USA “very soon,” several American media report. The president repeated the message during a speech in Phoenix on Friday local time, despite the Iranian regime saying that no such agreement has been reached.

    – We will go in together with Iran with lots of excavators, says Trump, referring to the remains at nuclear facilities bombed by the USA.

    The information is dismissed by the Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei, who says that the uranium will not be “moved anywhere,” according to the state news agency Tasnim.”
    https://omni.se/trump-kommer-ta-uranet-till-usa-valdigt-snart/a/6q4Jze

    Or wait, apparently Iran has not agreed at all…

    “Iran contradicts Trump: ‘Will not give our uranium’
    Handing over its enriched uranium to the USA has “never been an option” for Iran. This is what Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei tells state media according to Sky News.

    – I can state that Iran’s enriched uranium under no circumstances will be transported anywhere. Just as Iran’s land is important and sacred to us, this issue is of utmost importance to us.

    The statement comes after Donald Trump claimed that Iran had agreed to stop its nuclear program and hand over all its enriched uranium to the USA, without compensation.

    – We will go in with Iran, at a calm and leisurely pace, and start digging with heavy machinery. […] We will transport it back to the USA, he says to Reuters.”
    https://omni.se/iran-sager-emot-trump-ska-inte-fa-vart-uran/a/43OwG9

    Still nice that he finally admits that he doesn’t know how the war, which was already won several weeks ago, will turn out!

    “Uncertain if the USA will extend the ceasefire: ‘Then we bomb’

    Donald Trump states that it is uncertain whether the ceasefire with Iran will be extended when it expires next Wednesday, several media report. The USA will continue to block Iranian ports and ships – even if a new agreement is not reached, says the president.

    – I might not extend it (the ceasefire), but the blockade will continue. Then it’s a blockade, and unfortunately we will have to start dropping bombs again.

    Negotiations to extend the ceasefire will continue over the weekend, according to Trump.

    Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz again if the USA’s blockade is not lifted.”

    https://omni.se/osakert-om-usa-forlanger-vapenvilan-da-bombar-vi/a/XM906B

     

     

    1. johan No.1

      It must be surreal to be Iran and read that they have agreed to A, B, C…

      Then they go out in their media channels and have to clarify.

      What Trump/USA probably does is say things that calm the markets?

      I have zero trust in what is said from the USA, simply cannot be trusted.

      and then UA has been completely honest for four years…

      2. Flurrevuppen

        Guessing that the USA is trumpeting an image that they hope to sell as a “win” for their home audience… but which in practice is a strategic win for Iran and China.

        1. Lasse W

          Strategic gain for Iran and China? I don’t know. The Revolutionary Guard has enough violent resources to hold on to power. And the goal wasn’t really to bring about a regime change in Tehran. Rather to clip the country’s wings militarily so that Israel and a few other countries can breathe for a few more years. Then we know that the country’s educated elite have moved to places like Stockholm and Vancouver. What’s left, then? Farmers and poor craftsmen who regularly attend the mosque? We actually know very little about Iran.

  10. johan No.1

    Do you remember Elon shutting down Starlink?

    Fits with the Russian shutdown of Telegram, so it was after pressure from Putin

    and not something good as we probably first thought

    I don’t think it has come up before

    1. MXT

      But it’s probably good anyway? Has made many angry and worsened the possibilities to communicate?

      Putin obviously doesn’t know what is best for Russia..😂

  12. johan No.1

    UA offensive has not started yet just to be clear.

    They are still engaged in local counterattacks where in some places it seems to be going surprisingly well.

    and that is right in the middle of RU’s own spring offensive.

    2. MXT

      If what we are seeing now is the Russians’ spring offensive, one can conclude that they do not have much to offer, but I still wonder if they might have gathered something bigger that we have not yet seen.

      The tank losses have been ridiculously low for a long time, so I would not be surprised if we see them make some more massive attacks later on.

      They were really passive after Bakhmut and Ukraine’s summer offensive, but in October 2023 they pushed hard and, although they suffered enormous losses, they still gained a large advantage that has basically persisted since then, even if it has diminished long ago.

      Since they looked weak before but then turned around, I don’t really dare to count them out now either.

    1. MXT

      Not at all impossible that NAFO could be something that partly has a negative impact.

      But then it is probably also very individual. As I have written before, before Trump took power I got around 5-7000 views on my morning reports.

      I wrote a number of dripping comments directed at both Musk and Trump for a couple of days and shortly after the views plummeted and ended up around 2000 from one day to the next.

      Since the loss reports look the same every day, it cannot be explained by the content itself having an impact.

  15. 205

    Continued low-level sniffing from the Russian side, only Pokrovsk and surrounding areas where an offensive is ongoing. High proportion (0.57) of unlocalized likely Ukrainian attacks – probably the reason* for the high KWiA (1080) this morning.

    *The evening report 22 reported 62 KWIA/24 attacks = 62/24=2.583 KWiA per Russian localized attack, i.e. the morning report’s 96 localized attacks should be counted high (100 attacks, 3 KWiA /attack) and have caused about 300 KWIA. The rest, 780 KWiA, is attributed to the 55 unlocalized likely Ukrainian attacks: 780/55=14 kwia per Ukrainian attack on average. Which corresponds with previous checks when a Ukrainian offensive has been ongoing.

    “In the direction of Pokrovsk, the enemy carried out 24 attacks. The occupiers tried to advance in the areas around the settlements of Rodynske, Chervonyi Lyman, Novooleksandrivka, Hryshyne, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Myrnohrad, Shevchenko, Muravka, Udachne and Novopavlivka. Two battles are still ongoing.

    According to preliminary estimates, 48 occupiers have been killed and 14 wounded in this area today; one artillery system, three vehicles and eight special vehicles as well as one personnel shelter have been destroyed; one tank, two artillery systems, five vehicles and 49 personnel shelters have been damaged. 247 drones of various types have been destroyed or disabled.”

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 3
    S Slobozhansky 3
    Kupyansk 2
    Lyman 2
    Slovyansk 3
    Kramatorsk 0
    Kostjantynivka 22💥
    Pokrovsk 33💥💥
    Oleksandrivskij 10💥↗️
    Huliaipole 12💥
    Orikhivsk 2
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 4

    Sum sectors 96↗️
    Unlocalized 55↗️
    Total 151↗️
    Unloc/sectors: 55/96=0.573 ↗️

    1. MXT

      Feels a bit hesitant, or they have simply run out of energy in the end.

      Thinking a bit about the period after Bachmut when everything came to a halt and everyone was waiting for Ukraine’s spring offensive (which became a summer offensive).

      1. 205

        See update. If Ukraine counterattacks, one goes on the defense, and it is not a time for anything other than sporadic presumably desperate counterattacks from the Russian side. This is kind of the point of holding the initiative, right..?

    2. johan No.1

      UA is trying to wrestle the initiative, but their offensive has not started.

      I believe RU will keep pushing hard for a long time – orders have already been given.

  21. johan No.1

    What a summer this is going to be 😅

    Our Swedish battalion is expected to rotate back to the Baltics and will gain combat experience.

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