Ukraine has attacked a refinery and an airbase – Russian losses

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Ukrainian forces attacked a Russian airbase in Engels and an oil refinery in Saratov during the night. In Engels, explosions were reported near the airbase and a fire broke out at an oil refinery in the nearby city of Saratov. Read more here.

Kyiv Independent has updated its article regarding the bomb at the restaurant in Moscow. According to their information, a woman tried to bring the bomb into the restaurant and it detonated as she was stopped by the guards at the door. 3 dead and 21 injured. Read the article here.

Russian losses

  • 1500 KWIA
  • 10 AFVs
  • 69 Artillery systems
  • 8 MLRS
  • 2 Air defense systems
  • 1788 UAVs
  • 11 UGVs
  • 456 Vehicles & fuel tanks
  • 2 Special equipment
  • 2 Cruise missiles

SLAVA UKRAINI

NOTE! A security vulnerability has been discovered in the plugin used for the surveys. I have therefore uninstalled it until the developer releases an update. If no new version comes out, I will have to look for another plugin. Meanwhile, the surveys do not work, neither the current one nor the archive of previous surveys.

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70 thoughts on “Ukraine has attacked a refinery and an airbase – Russian losses”

  3. MXT

    Summary of the Ukrainian General Staff

    • 234 combat clashes
    • 91 aviation strikes (31 missiles)
    • 298 KAB/CAB
    • 11,083 kamikaze drones

    Instead of a lower number of FPV drones as I had hoped for after the Wildberries attacks, we now have a new record. The previous one was 10,968.

    1. maggan

      Hope that Ryzh has a dwindling military stockpile where they are now making a final withdrawal to show themselves as big and strong. The replenishment MUST! be affected by the Wildberries attacks, otherwise there is a direct military pipeline for products from China.

      It might be reasonable that the “real” Ryzh military uses China directly, but there was clearly an SVO division at Wildberries, which average Ivan used, perhaps without sanctions from the leadership. That part should be affected by the Wildberries attacks.

        1. maggan

          Sure, there are more, but Wildberries is probably Ryz’s biggest? So there should be a dip in the curve. The military’s purchases (directly) via China can hardly compensate for the loss of the soldiers’ own purchases? They barely get water and fuel, so the army’s finances should be strained to the breaking point.
          Today I am working positively-positive!

      2. DenGamle

        I am a pessimist. A country with such great resources and an ally like China solves all logistical problems quite quickly. But definitely a serious disruption.

        1. Umlaut

          But logistics have probably been a Russian hindrance. We have the distances, the condition of the infrastructure, and a lot of manual labor.

  5. Umlaut

    It’s unfortunate if it’s true that the bomb was stopped in the door. But the photographs I have seen from the outside show no major damage to the facade. I know that there was previously talk of several (double-digit) critically injured.

    1. MXT

      Well, Kyiv Independent writes 21 injured, so the bomb was probably inside the doors after all.

      Omni writes:

      “The woman suspected of carrying the bomb that exploded at a restaurant in Moscow on Saturday evening probably did not know about it, according to reports from Russian police. This is reported by CNN citing the Russian business newspaper Kommersant.

      The woman was stopped by a security guard when she was on her way into the restaurant, and then stated that the box she was carrying contained a gift. When the guard checked the box, the homemade bomb detonated.

      The woman, the guard, and another person were killed in the explosion. 21 people are said to have been injured. Russian authorities have so far not released any information about what the motive for the attack might have been, CNN writes.”

      https://omni.se/uppgifter-kvinna-visste-inte-att-hon-bar-pa-bomb/a/e7ko1M

    3. Lasse W

      I do hope that Cuba will also become democratic. Marco Rubio is working on that. But I believe there is an elite in Cuba that controls the assets, certainly many generals. They also hold the means of violence. Poverty is enormous in Cuba. I saw a report from the city of Santiago de Cuba. It was extremely poor and looked like Haiti.

  7. Pehr

    DI article on “Defensive Rewilding”
    Peatlands that swallow tanks and overgrown forest roads. Around the world, the realization is growing that untouched nature can serve as a national defense line.
    In Finland, with its long border with Russia, an investigation is now underway into how “rewilding” can become the country’s new shield.
    Using nature as a barrier is historically nothing new, but in the wake of the deteriorated security situation in Europe, the concept has experienced a renaissance. The idea is to restore drained wetlands, let forests grow denser, and remove infrastructure such as roads and bridges in border areas.
    The purpose is twofold: to hinder advancing hostile forces that depend on solid ground and road networks, and at the same time address the crises surrounding biodiversity and climate change. Historical “involuntary” nature reserves, such as the demilitarized zone between North and South Korea, have shown how extremely strong nature becomes when humans are forced to stay away.
    Now this trend is highly relevant in Finland. A working group from the Ministry of the Environment and the Ministry of Defence has recently been tasked with investigating how restoration of nature and natural obstacles can support defense and border security, especially in the eastern parts of the country.
    For Aino Tuominen, chairperson of Rewilding Finland, it is a logical and long-awaited development. She points to the strong contrast that already exists at the Finnish-Russian border.
    “Looking at the satellite map, you can see a clear difference. The Finnish side is heavily exploited by the forestry industry, and on the Russian side many areas are completely untouched,” she says.
    That Russia has left its side of the border wild has, however, not primarily been about nature conservation.
    “It has always been wild. They did not want to make it easy to approach the border, not even for their own people, so that they could escape.”
    On the Finnish side, however, forestry has created a landscape that is vulnerable from a military perspective.
    “The Finnish side would really need rewilding and removal of forest roads, the roads we built for timber collection, which we have quite a few of near the eastern border. It has long been discussed that these roads are not good for defense, as they make it easier for intruders to enter the country,” explains Aino Tuominen.
    Combining defense interests with nature conservation is a strong argument in a country where security policy has always been a high priority.
    “We have a different geography. Swedes and Norwegians are lucky, we are not as lucky. For us in Finland, defense has always been a high priority, that is why we have a conscript army. Finns always take defense very seriously, so if you can improve our defense by removing some forest roads, that is a pretty strong argument. It would not disturb anyone. We would not need to relocate people to do it.”
    But it is not just about roads. One of the most effective natural obstacles is wetlands.
    “From a defense perspective, it would be really good to restore certain swamps and wetlands that we have lost due to peat harvesting for combustion. Crossing these swamps with tanks is quite difficult. Restoring these would also be good for biodiversity and support endangered species. So it would serve many purposes,” says Aino Tuominen.
    She also sees that this work can be linked to larger, international nature conservation projects, such as the “European Green Belt,” a 12,500-kilometer-long initiative that follows the former Iron Curtain through Europe.
    “It was left untouched in a fairly natural state in many places. The European Green Belt would actually be perfect to further develop now. The advantage is that animals can move across large areas, because habitat fragmentation is otherwise such a big problem, especially in Europe.”
    As climate change progresses, these corridors also gain a new, vital dimension.
    “All climate zones are moving northward, so we should build these types of corridors, especially from south to north, so that animals, plants, and insects can more easily move northward as the climate warms.”
    However, there are challenges. The Finnish forestry industry, which has already been affected by Russia’s import ban on timber, may oppose converting productive forest land into protected zones.
    “The forestry industry is probably not so excited about this. They are struggling to find enough timber for the industry,” notes Aino Tuominen.
    Finland, however, like the rest of Europe, is under pressure to comply with the EU’s restoration directive which requires the restoration of damaged environments.
    Finland, however, like the rest of Europe, is under pressure to comply with the EU’s restoration directive which requires the restoration of damaged environments.
    https://www.di.se/mobil/nyheter/sa-vill-finland-stoppa-ryssen/

  13. Pehr

    “In mid-July, an 18-year-old man in Poland was charged on suspicion of carrying out 47 acts of sabotage on behalf of the Russian intelligence service. ‘Ilja K’, as he has come to be called in the reporting, is one of hundreds of teenagers believed to have been recruited by the spy organization FSB just in the past year.
    The Polish news site Wiadomości writes that ‘Ilja K’ had advanced plans to sabotage a military parade where the Polish president Karol Nawrocki was to participate. The crime was to be carried out with the help of drones, but it is unclear what the plan entailed and ‘Ilja K’ was arrested three days before he could carry it out.
    The purpose behind the actions was, according to Polish authorities’ suspicions, to increase tensions between Poland and the neighboring country Ukraine.”
    https://omni.se/a/JOpyQ6

  14. Pehr

    ” Representatives from the Ukrainian intelligence service, SBU, have for some time been campaigning in the country’s schools in hopes of trying to stop the Russian recruitment of teenagers for espionage, writes the Financial Times.
    Under the slogan ”Don’t burn your own, burn the enemy,” they try to teach children to expose malicious recruitment attempts. The SBU has, among other things, published a video explaining how the attempts are made and how they should be handled.
    ”This is not a job. It is a deadly trap,” warns the SBU in the video.
    According to the intelligence service, those who are contacted are not paid, and they risk being killed. Furthermore, they urge reporting all recruitment attempts.
    By the end of May, about 50 Ukrainian youths had reported to Ukrainian authorities that they had been contacted by the Russian intelligence service.”
    https://omni.se/a/43r83e

  15. Pehr

    Just as is highlighted on this page several times, it is also picked up by the MSM.
    ”The Russian intelligence service is doing like Swedish gang leaders and recruiting young people to commit serious crimes in Europe, reports Danmarks Radio. According to the podcast Lyssky, Russian agents are increasingly trying to contact young people via the messaging service Telegram.
    The channel has obtained a price list where young people are promised thousands of kronor in compensation for, for example, setting fire to NATO facilities in Poland.
    Arson, photo assignments, or placement of bombs are three tasks that the Russian FSB has been caught ordering, mainly from youths in Ukraine, according to the Financial Times.
    Orphaned children who have been driven away from their homes or who have fallen into financial trouble are particularly vulnerable, according to the Ukrainian intelligence service. The extent is said to be large. A quarter of all those arrested in the past year for association with the FSB in Ukraine have been under 18 years old.
    – Minors cannot foresee the consequences of their actions, says spokesperson Artem Dekhtiarenko.”
    https://omni.se/a/bO42zv

    1. MXT

      It is starting to become time for the EU countries to take this seriously, although it is not so easy to access it. We value personal privacy highly, and therefore the police and intelligence services are of course not allowed to eavesdrop on communications just any way they want.

      1. maggan

        How did it go with chat control? Still not implemented, “think of the chiiildren.” A Trojan horse to be able to monitor everything on the internet.

        I personally hope that nothing comes of it, but of course, it would be nice if it were possible to monitor what shouldn’t occur in a less invasive way. But then the troublemakers will probably switch to carrier pigeons, so that likely won’t help either.

        1. Pehr

          I don’t like Chat Control either.
          Stopping all Schengen visas would be a good start.
          Banks and social media also bear a great responsibility already today under current legislation.

  16. fedtmule

    It will be interesting to see how the Iran/USA conflict develops over the coming weeks. According to betting sites, the probability that the Republicans will lose the majority in the House of Representatives is as high as 78-86%, and regarding the Senate, there is a 39-44% chance that they will also lose their majority there.

    If the war continues closer and closer to election day, combined with the deteriorating American economy with soaring fuel prices and rising inflation, the likelihood that the Republicans will lose both chambers will probably increase significantly. Even if that does not happen, Trump, like other presidents nearing the end of their second term, will become a “lame duck.” The regime in Iran will not easily let go of Trump’s grip. Look at what happened to President Carter, and Trump is in a much worse strategic position than his predecessor. The Iranians are likely to prolong this and really twist the knife, at least until election day.

    This, combined with the fact that many of the newly and re-elected Republican senators will then be secure for another 6 years, along with the accelerating dissatisfaction with a leader who is definitely on his way out and a party facing not only a far from obvious leadership change but also a party that needs a new direction and a thorough overhaul to avoid becoming irrelevant with an increasingly stagnant and shrinking MAGA swamp and an almost total implosion among the so-called independent voters and a rapidly changing demographic.

    This should pave the way for more cross-party cooperation to navigate important issues and decisions to completion, such as the budget, defense, and relations with allies as well as traditional enemies.
    That said, I believe we will see a Senate where Republican senators, even those considered Trump loyalists and even MAGA-tinged, will dare to challenge and oppose Trump and his administration on more and more issues, hopefully especially regarding Ukraine.

    1. MacMelmac

      Trump will blame those who, after seeing where it is headed, turn their backs on him.
      A narcissist can never be wrong, and if you were to prove that they are wrong, the fault always lies with others who have provided wrong information, causing them to be wrong.

      Damn! I recognize that so well, I worked for a long time with a narcissist who made life miserable for many.

      1. fedtmule

        Of course Macmemac, Trump, as the severely personality-disordered narcissist and fraudster he is, will do it. But no one will listen and even less care about what he says and claims, as he is on his way out with anything but a good legacy, and few within the Republicans will want to be associated with him in any way and will do everything to avoid just that.
        I believe Trump already senses this and therefore is accelerating the pace of filling his own and his circle’s pockets with money and assets derived from increasingly obvious and shameless corruption. Not to be forgotten, he is the third generation fraudster in a family with a long tradition of shady dealings and questionable business ethics.

    2. MXT

      Support for Trump is at a record low and the war in Iran is certainly the biggest reason for that.
      The question is whether the Democrats will manage to attract all the dissatisfied or if many will not even vote.

      It may well be that more and more Republicans dare to go against Trump. That was the case at the end of his previous term and especially after the storming of the Capitol. At the same time, he has succeeded well by outmaneuvering the Republicans who are against him; those he supports are the ones who most often win in their respective states. At the same time, this could backfire now if many have grown tired of him and MAGA.

       

      1. fedtmule

        Good day MXT.
        Yes, one has to give him, Trump that is, that he is a successful manipulator, but this tool tends to become increasingly blunt even in the hands of a master swindler.
        Trump usually only wants to be associated with winners and seems to change loyalties as soon as the wind shifts even slightly.
        My thesis is that within a not too distant time horizon, the opposite will be true: few of his handpicked puppets in Congress will want to be associated with him when he is no longer considered a “winner,” but the motto will be to save what can be saved and fend for oneself.

        1. MXT

          Hello! I think you are probably right there, when Trump is on his way to being written off and losing influence, many will likely pretend that they never really liked him. Then again, it’s hard to know; if he can/wants to hold on to the grip on MAGA, he can surely continue to influence even if he himself is gone as president.

          1. fedtmule

            The question is whether those who will remain of Maga want to hear from him or if they are looking for a new tamer instead. In any case, the Pied Piper in the White House has begun to lose his magical power, and fewer and fewer listen to the tones from his fool’s flute.

    3. maggan

      Unfortunately, the Democrats are very good at making themselves unelectable, so the only option is to hold your nose and vote for the least bad, which is the GOP.

      When will a new party be started that could actually threaten the two that have long passed their expiration date?

      1. fedtmule

        I can only agree with Maggan. First, they appointed Hillary Clinton, who was about as popular among the general masses as Mona Sahlin was. Popular among party loyalists but not among the grassroots. Biden worked better, but he was so tone-deaf that he didn’t do the logical and right thing: to clearly declare after half of his term had passed that he was not running for re-election and that the party now had to choose a new presidential candidate.

        It’s tragic to see how American politics has deteriorated; both parties are tragic remnants of what they once were.

      2. Lasse W

        I agree. The Democratic Party is in ruins. So what is the hope pinned on? Trump is a narcissist. And a businessman first and foremost. His early statements about Ukraine were downright repulsive. But we don’t know much about how Americans think and vote. The media in the West have their narrative clear that Trump is heading for a loss. But the unwritten is best.

  18. MXT

    Off-Topic, Iran

    “Iranian representatives deny Donald Trump’s claim that they had pleaded with him to cancel his planned attack on the country, reports AFP.

    “A new lie,” the regime announces, according to the semi-official Iranian news agency Mehr.

    Representatives from the Revolutionary Guard say at the same time that Iranian forces are on alert and ready to act regardless of how events unfold.

    The US president wrote on Truth Social last night that the US had prepared for the biggest attack since World War II, but that he stopped it at the last moment:

    “Based on this request, I have agreed, for the world’s best and for a successful and prosperous Iran’s survival, to cancel the attack,” he wrote.”
    https://omni.se/iran-dementerar-trumps-pastaende-vi-har-inte-vadjat-till-usa/a/K8b9PM

  19. MXT

    Off-Topic, Trump Approval Ratings

    For a while it looked like it was leveling off but now at the end it has gone worse for Trump again and he now has the lowest approval rating so far.

    New York Times (-23%):

    Silver Bulletin (-20.6%):

    The Economist (-25% weighted, while the latest survey appears to be around -28%):

      2. MXT

        True. He accused FOX News of that earlier when they had the nerve to publish one of their surveys that showed roughly the same lousy numbers as those from CNN. 

    1. maggan

      Wasted drone. Although you didn’t know that when it was sent out. It’s a bit of a shame that you can’t redirect those that “are left over,” to a slightly smaller target that isn’t already burning.

  25. Pehr

    Article in SVD about Laura Loomer’s turnaround now that the tide has turned.
    She has spent years spreading Russian propaganda and has called Ukraine’s president “a self-hating Nazi Jew.” Now the Maga-profile Laura Loomer has changed her stance – and supports Ukraine.
    Malin Carlsson/TT
    Published 08:19
    Updated 13:04
    In the lush garden belonging to the Ukrainian presidential residence in Kiev, President Volodymyr Zelensky sits at a table. Opposite him sits Laura Loomer, American influencer, far-right profile – and former critic of Ukraine.

    – I admit, I have said terrible things about Ukraine and about you. I have mocked you, Loomer says to Zelensky, in the nearly 45-minute-long video where she interviews the president.

    Deceived by propaganda

    The visit to Kiev, which according to the presidential office took place at Loomer’s initiative, sparked major reactions. Loomer, who previously had a clear anti-Ukrainian stance, has made a complete turnaround.

    In an interview with The Kyiv Independent during the Ukraine visit, Loomer says she was deceived by Russian propaganda, including the claim that Ukraine was governed by Nazis.

    – I bought this from a very nice Orthodox Ukrainian just around the corner, says Loomer, who is Jewish, showing the Star of David she wears around her neck.

    – It is my proof that the country is not governed by Nazis, she continues, laughing.

    Timely turnaround

    When the American Trump-loyal senator Lindsey Graham died earlier in July, Ukraine lost one of its strongest advocates in Washington. Loomer’s changed attitude therefore comes very timely for Ukraine, as she reaches an audience of one million on her social platforms.

    Laura Loomer is a controversial person. She still claims that the 2020 presidential election, when Donald Trump lost to Joe Biden, was rigged and that there was fraud in the vote counting. Additionally, she has promoted conspiracy theories about the September 11 attacks and calls herself a “proud Islamophobe.”

    Others who have turned

    Tim Pool, also an American far-right profile, as recently as two years ago called Ukraine “an enemy of this country” and demanded that the US withdraw its military aid and support to the war-torn country. Last week, in a post on X, he instead urged US President Donald Trump to stand behind Ukraine in the war against Russia.

    Even the president himself seems to have somewhat changed his view on Ukraine, after the country managed to withstand Russian attacks while striking targets deep inside Russia. During the NATO meeting in Turkey earlier this summer, Trump announced that Ukraine would be licensed to manufacture the Patriot air defense missile. However, the president seemed to backtrack on that promise at a government meeting on Tuesday, where he said the matter is being discussed but that “it is difficult to give away that kind of technology.”

    In a post on Truth Social, the president calls Loomer’s interview with Zelensky “very good!!!!!”.
    https://www.svd.se/a/pB9kLE/maga-profiler-fran-putinvurmare-till-team-ukraina

    2. MacMelmac

      It’s strange. How quickly things change.

      I thought Tim Pool was a breath of fresh air when he landed in Sweden and visited, among other places, Rosengård. SVT and others freaked out because he did it better than them. Then it went downhill and he became unbearable.

      Even Fox News, at the time of Trump/Clinton, was one of the few channels that was critical of certain parts of Trump’s policies. CNN was looking for faults everywhere, and SVT’s Carina Bergström could spew her hatred during prime time. Tucker Carlson had quite a few good questions that were both thoughtful and relevant. Then it went downhill and he became unbearable.

      Fox went off the rails and became just as bad as CNN. MSNBC, which I didn’t like at all from the start, has gotten better. Yes, actually even CNN. Fox, on the other hand, is completely off the rails!

  26. Pehr

    More good news.

    The owner, the state nuclear company Rosatom, reports that the ship “Janina” was hit by at least two Ukrainian drones near the Russian port city of Novorossiysk.

    “All 17 crew members have been rescued and are in good health,” Rosatom states in a statement on Telegram.

    Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky confirms on Telegram that the ship was attacked and has sunk.

    Ukraine has previously attacked Russian-flagged ships in the Black Sea, which according to Ukraine are used by Russia for transporting oil and other goods that are under sanctions.

    According to Zelensky, Ukraine also attacked three Russian oil refineries in the Russian republic of Bashkortostan during the night.
    https://www.di.se/mobil/nyheter/ukraina-sankte-ryskt-fraktfartyg/

    1. MXT

      Really good payout this night.👍

      This morning it sounded like a refinery, but now we have three plus the ship, the port, and Wildberries, etc.! 🤩

       

  32. MXT

    Off-Topic, the weather.

    One would wish it were Russia that was hit by heatwaves and drought.

    Yet another heat record, this time in South Korea.

    “42.5 degrees. That was the thermometer reading in the South Korean city of Yangsan on Sunday, reports TT. This marks the highest temperature recorded in the country since measurements began over 100 years ago. Yangsan is the epicenter of an ongoing heatwave, which has meant that residents have had to endure temperatures over 40 degrees for five consecutive days. According to the news agency AFP, many have taken refuge in air-conditioned shopping centers and cafes to escape the heat. Authorities have urged citizens to rest and keep cool, writes TT. On Sunday, a match in the South Korean baseball league was also canceled due to the heat, according to AFP.”

    https://omni.se/a/ArxMJr

    It seems that the heatwaves will cost quite a lot after all. Perhaps it is not so far-fetched after all to believe in Russian involvement.

    “This summer’s repeated heatwaves in France and the United Kingdom have hit future harvests hard, write Le Monde and BBC. The situation is described in places as ‘catastrophic.’ In England, in some areas, only a few percent of the usual June rainfall has fallen. In France, the corn harvest is expected to decrease by thirty percent, and poultry farmers have raised alarms about unusually high mortality in their flocks. – The western parts of the country, from Landes via Centre-Val de Loire, are the hardest hit, says Cyril Pogu of the vegetable organization Légumes de France to Le Monde. In some places in France, it has not rained for two months, and many farmers are considering changing crops for future summers.”

    https://omni.se/a/n1M74J

     

  35. johan No.1

    Good for China – Russia if D wins the election.

    Locked in the USA for two years.

    Iran also ties up the USA.

    They are probably very satisfied?

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