Extensive Russian terror attacks during the night – Continued high Russian losses

Russia carried out extensive terror attacks with both rockets and drones during the night. The attacks were targeted at the Kyiv region and at least one person has been killed and 24 injured. Other parts of Ukraine were also affected, in Kharkiv, among other things, a church was hit and set on fire. Read more here Kyiv Independent, Kyiv Post and posts from United 24 with videos here and here.

Russian losses

High Russian losses mainly in personnel, artillery, soft vehicles and special equipment.

  • 1110 KWIA
  • 1 Tank
  • 4 AFVs
  • 61 Artillery systems
  • 1 MLRS
  • 2 Air defense systems
  • 1843 UAVs
  • 7 UGVs
  • 292 Vehicles & fuel tanks
  • 4 Special equipment

Russian activities

High number of clashes, many KAB and suicide drones

  • 248 combat clashes *)
  • 82 air strikes
  • 255 KAB/CAB
  • 9,203 kamikaze drones
  • 2,886 shells (48 from MLRS)

*) Probably also includes Ukrainian attacks


Update 08:48:
Unfortunately, the numbers of dead and injured are rising. According to Kyiv Post, there are now 2 dead and 56 injured, and the figures are likely to continue to be adjusted throughout the day.


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74 thoughts on “Extensive Russian terror attacks during the night – Continued high Russian losses”

  1. **Video footage from earlier tonight shows the likely impact of submunitions from a Russian “Oreshnik” Intermediate-Range Nuclear-Capable Ballistic Missile, equipped with a Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicle (MIRV), in the vicinity of the Ukrainian city of Bila Tserkva, southwest of Kyiv. This follows warnings early Saturday by Ukrainian President Zelensky and the U.S. Embassy of intelligence suggesting preparations for such an attack by Russia.**
    https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2058342191601434741

  2. **Kyiv Post received rare access to spend a day with the “Lava” brigade of Ukraine’s Khartiia Korps in the Kharkiv region, where soldiers assemble, launch and coordinate Leleka reconnaissance drones and Bulava strike systems near the Russian border. Operators described how Ukrainian drones evade Russian interceptors, conduct deep attacks and survive electronic warfare while crews work from hidden command posts under constant threat of detection.**
    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/76410

  3. Rising number of confirmed Russian attacks in the reported front sections, focusing on Pokrovsk and Huliaipole.

    The sum of these subtracted from the total also gives a rising number of unlocalized, likely Ukrainian*, attacks.

    The Ukrainian attacks increased more than the Russian ones, resulting in an increased ratio of unlocalized/localized, 0.78

    Rising pressure in Pokrovsk.

    N Slobozhansky 2
    S Slobozhansky 5
    Kupyansk 5
    Lyman 14💥
    Slovyansk 3
    Kramatorsk 2
    Kostjantynivka 21💥↗️
    Pokrovsk 50💥💥💥↗️
    Oleksandrivskij 2
    Huliaipole 32💥💥
    Orikhivsk 3
    Prydniprovskij 0

    Localized 139↗️
    Unlocalized 109↗️
    Total 248↗️
    Ratio unloc/loc 0.78↗️

     

    1. “As I have previously mentioned, approximately 40 million of Russia’s population of 140 million are not Russians. A large proportion of these non-Russians are extremely negative towards Moscow and the men in power in the Kremlin. These views have also grown stronger over the past four or five years. Partly, they hate Russia’s illegal war of aggression against Ukraine, but worst of all is that the war affects the non-Russian peoples much worse than the young Russian men in Moscow and St. Petersburg.
      The criminal and imbecilic leadership in Moscow primarily sends young men from the Asian peoples in southern Russia. Firstly, this creates enormous anger which has already led to bombings, arson, and murders of uniformed persons such as soldiers, policemen, and others. Secondly, it results in thousands of young non-Russians who are now fully trained and experienced soldiers, who in many cases have also armed themselves with firearms, ammunition, and explosives thanks to the poor control in the military units. The non-Russian parts of Russia are overflowing with illegal weapons workshops and hidden underground weapon caches. How many of these will the Russian leadership in Moscow come to know about in the future?”

       

      Sources for further future knowledge:
      https://activatica.org/
      https://vkrizis.info/russia/
      https://t.me/s/united_front_of_resistance

  4. Off topic
    https://omni.se/a/vr3l6j
    An “agreement” with the mullahs that basically does no more than the old agreement negotiated by the Obama administration.

    “USA and Iran have agreed on a peace agreement that will be presented shortly. This is written by President Donald Trump on Truth Social.
    A spokesperson for Iran’s Foreign Ministry confirms, according to several media outlets, that the two countries have approached a final agreement covering 14 points.
    According to sources from the New York Times, Iran has agreed to hand over its stockpiles of highly enriched uranium, something it previously refused. Exactly when and how this will happen is to be the subject of continued broad negotiations regarding Iran’s nuclear program.
    According to Donald Trump, the agreement also means that the Strait of Hormuz will be opened. Sources to the New York Times say that Iran has also received promises, among other things, that the blockade against the country will be lifted and that frozen Iranian assets will be released.”

    1. If they hand over the uranium, the war has been somewhat useful in any case, but it probably could have been achieved anyway with continued negotiations if the USA threatened war in connection with it.

      A little more from Omni:

      “The new peace agreement between the USA and Iran could be presented as early as Sunday, according to Axios sources.

      This would mean that the current ceasefire would initially be extended by 60 days, while new negotiations on, among other things, Iran’s nuclear program and the lifting of sanctions begin.

      During these 60 days, the US military would remain in the area and only withdraw if a “final” agreement can be reached later.

      The agreement is also said to include a new ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon. Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is said to have had objections to the agreement but expressed them to Donald Trump in a “compliant” manner, according to a source.

      The agreement between the USA and Iran is reported to be based on a principle of “relief for results,” where parts of Iran’s frozen assets, for example, can be unlocked in exchange for demonstrating compliance with other parts of the agreement.

      Already in an initial phase, the agreement would mean that the Strait of Hormuz is gradually opened for traffic and that Iran commits to clearing the mines placed there, according to sources. In exchange, the USA will ease sanctions on Iranian oil sales.

      According to Iranian state media, however, there are no plans from Iran to relinquish control over the passage.”
      https://omni.se/60-dagars-fred-och-slut-pa-kriget-i-libanon-det-har-sager-kallor-om-avtalet/a/L4P3PR

      1. The USA could have stepped in and helped them with nuclear power plants in exchange for handing over highly enriched uranium. I don’t know if it can be down-enriched again, but help them and maybe they’ll eventually realize that the outside world can actually be good to be friends with.

        1. The Russians are already helping them with nuclear power. Therefore, they do not need to enrich their own uranium; they buy it from RU.

          Since the revolution, Iran has called the USA the Great Satan and Israel the Little Satan. We dismiss it as mere rhetoric, but for them, killing Satan is the goal here on earth.

          I have probably mentioned this before, but nuclear weapons with uranium do not need to be test-exploded. The USA built three atomic bombs during World War II, one with uranium and two with plutonium. The uranium bomb was not test-exploded because they were sure it would work, while one of the plutonium bombs was test-exploded. Anyone who thinks Iran will test-explode before a real situation is naive (which I am not accusing you of; the last paragraph was a digression).

    2. As MXT writes, the uranium is good but probably could have been resolved with threats of violence, without violence.

      What has been achieved then? Sure, several heads of the hydra have been cut off, but it still has heads left. And now it will probably be a bit like last time Israel entered Lebanon when even some Christians joined Hezbollah, because it was the military power that had the muscles. National unity against external threats, instead of division and revolt. 

      If this had been handled better (with violence, but with a plan for what would happen on the ground) we would have seen a revolt in Iran, the hope is probably not completely lost but I predict a letdown. One can only hope for a Syria scenario (minus the Islamists), a sudden collapse of the regime.

    3. If they have really agreed to release the uranium, I guess it is because the rift between the IRGC and the army has grown. It could possibly be the IRGC’s only way to avoid a military coup.

      Or it might be, as in previous negotiations, that the representatives say more than they are authorized to.

      Of course, very hypothetical.

  5. 205

    One thing you could try is to go into your profile here on the site and turn off the advanced editor for a day, just to see if it helps. (I don’t want to turn it off for everyone).

    Then you get it to work when you reload the page, but it would be interesting if it works longer after a proper restart. If it is possibly the memory being used up, it should take longer before it starts to act up after a restart.

    I really find it difficult to troubleshoot when I can’t reproduce the problems myself.

    There is no good troubleshooting mode directly on the iPhone where you can see what is happening. If you have a Mac, you can connect it to the iPhone and run the troubleshooting on the Mac.

  6. **❗️55 out of 90 missiles and 549 out of 600 UAVs were shot down/suppressed over Ukraine. The main direction of the strike was Kyiv, – Ukrainian Air Force.

    ▪️0/1 – medium-range ballistic missile;

    ▪️0/2 – Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missiles;

    ▪️0/3 – Zircon anti-ship missiles;

    ▪️11/30 – Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles;

    ▪️44/54 – Kh-101/Iskander-K/Kalibr cruise missiles;

    ▪️549/600 – attack UAVs;

    ▪️19 enemy missiles most likely did not reach their targets (information is being clarified);**

     

    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mmlglonof22e

  7. Regarding Iran, Israel, and the Middle East, a likely scenario, if the latest news about a possible agreement is true, is that virtually all parties involved are losers to varying degrees.
    Even if Iran might gain increased influence over the Strait of Hormuz, it is only a temporary success as the existing infrastructure for petroleum export via pipelines is already being expanded at an ever faster pace. Iran is severely damaged in terms of infrastructure, both physical and economic, and it is doubtful whether the current regime will be able to reverse the downward trend in the foreseeable future.
    The USA is no longer seen as a reliable and strong partner by its allies around the Persian Gulf, and they will look for other solutions. If these countries feel that their security cannot be guaranteed through old solutions, they will probably consider entirely new ones. This is because the historical tension between Persians and Arabs, Shia versus Sunni, remains. I do not see it as impossible that within one to two decades we will see new nuclear powers emerge in this region.
    Israel, under the Netanyahu government, has had its “a bridge too far” moment, and the relationship with the USA will also be negatively affected. The USA has currently shown the whole world that it can no longer project power and strength but behaves irrationally, destructively, and impulsively, and more and more people see that the country’s days as a hegemon are numbered.
    So, who are the ones who have lost the least in this debacle? Well, it is naturally China but paradoxically also Europe, as the USA has probably realized that they cannot manage without us and that we can actually manage without them, and that we are increasingly coming to realize this. We will also make ourselves more independent of extortion through raw materials and technology, and soon even the Green Party will have seen its Excalibur weapon twisted out of its hands as what has happened accelerates the transition from fossil energy sources towards a true renaissance for nuclear power.
    European integration is also gaining more and more momentum, which will also make the Russians realize that their soldiers will never get to wash their boots in the Atlantic at Lisbon but will have to settle for rinsing their socks in the sewage ditch in Arkhangelsk.

    1. Like the analysis, as it follows the lines I am thinking. But I am not particularly convinced that the USA has learned a good lesson regarding Europe; I rather believe that the Trump administration is trying to save face by cultivating a stab-in-the-back legend, and if that takes hold in a sufficiently large minority of Americans, it is bad. And the unity in Europe is fragmented, although the tendency is in one direction.

      That China is the big winner is unfortunately the conclusion.

    2. I do not agree that the USA has shown weakness. That peace negotiations and a ceasefire are ongoing is not a sign of weakness. They have also removed the military threat to the US presence in the Persian Gulf; otherwise, they would not have been able to remain and wait out the Iranian regime. I also do not believe the Arab states are particularly harmed in relation to the USA. It should be worse for Europe, which has not given even minimal support to the USA during the attack. Something Rubio criticized as recently as this week when he visited the security meeting in Helsingborg. However, I believe that Ukraine, by showing initiative, has advanced its position.

      1. I do not trust for a second that Iran will give up its Uranium.
        The USA does not have the capacity to conquer Iran except by significantly increasing efforts, which will not happen.
        Bolton and others have been completely right regarding the lack of strategy, I am afraid.

    1. The Caucasus and Svalbard are also on the table.

      Belarus into UA or Poland you can probably forget.

      Green men in the Baltics on the table.

      But… Caucasus + Kazakhstan have about half a million in defense forces, if they manage to unite under one banner, RU will have real problems. 

      1. Don’t quite agree with you there. Russians from Belarus against Ukraine in the hope of succeeding better with a new attempt against Kyiv, I believe is a significantly higher risk than the Baltics.

    2. Think like this – it completely screams that RU must do SOMETHING.

      We must prepare for the Baltics, period.

      To the old town – we send instructors and SOF and try to unite them.

      UA can handle their country

      If we do nothing, RU will do something

      1. Completely agree.
        Preparing for the worst increases the likelihood that it will not happen, as the Russian bastards see that we are prepared.

  8. Considering how terribly things have gone in Ukraine, I don’t know which is “easier,” the Baltics with NATO in tow or the old Soviet states with only corrupt compliant leaders and a bunch of angry residents who want to be left alone?

  9. Thanks for May 9, just want to show that we didn’t care – Putin.

    Two – signal to Europe because we also can’t shoot down Oreshnik.

    Our satellites (USA or Europe?) probably saw the preparation and notified UA?

    The big question – how many do they have?

    Previously it was probably 2-3 and with all that exploded in the silo, at departure and two shot down – do they have any left?

    I don’t think one should underestimate Europe’s cowardice when RU shows that they can’t be shot down.

    Best is probably drone attacks against the nuclear triad from UA but Europe doesn’t even want them to bomb the raff anymore – so it’s POLAND that says that.

     

    1. Why is the oreshnik actually called a terror weapon (a term used by the tabloid press)?
      Sure, it is difficult to shoot down, but it does not seem to cause enormous damage since it does not carry nuclear warheads when fired at Ukraine, and the likelihood of it doing so if fired at targets in a NATO country is even smaller. This, combined with the fact that the Russians have a small number, probably says more about Putin’s desperation and limited toolbox.

      1. That is the point, but they have shown that the carrier cannot be shot down, so if they load it with live ammunition, we cannot do anything.

        Why don’t they have conventional warheads, do you understand that?

        If a leader in Europe with a slim majority has to handle threats against the capital, it may be attractive to delay decisions.

        1. I am fully aware that they are only loaded with scrap and concrete and use the kinetic energy upon impact.
          I don’t think the quarter-tsar dares to take the chance that he won’t get multiple times the amount of plutonium back in his head, and as a cherry on top, permanently make himself an enemy of Winnie the Pooh in China.
          If the Russian hasn’t even dared to conduct a nuclear test on Novaya Zemlya, then the risk that they would dare to atomic bomb a NATO country’s territory is probably as big as Putin’s piss-stinking little meat flute.

      2. Exactly. It’s just a weapons system that they also seem to have big problems with. But sure, they managed to burn down some garages in a suburb of Kyiv.

  10. Flew past some pieces of information suggesting that RU is preparing a bit of everything.

    In Ukraine, they are probably starting to feel like they have hit a wall, the cost-benefit ratio is no longer attractive.

    A Russian always increases the level of violence because his life depends on it. The Romans, Macedonians, North Vietnam, Germany, and the others who got far did the same – it seems to be one of the factors for expansive empires to go far; as soon as someone sticks up, the level of violence increases.

    UA is not taking chances, so they have defenses against Transnistria, Belarus, and are preparing for tactical nuclear weapons – everything is up for discussion and then Putin will probably get the most sensible analysis they can produce.

    Cutting eleven sea cables here was risk-free, so more of that.

    Will we defend the Baltics – probably a question mark on that.

    The Caucasus – they know very well that they have started to free themselves and have defense forces BUT are also vulnerable to Russian subversive activities, FSB, SVR, GRU, direct murders, and all that. They probably know that we will not defend them.

    Svalbard – attractive.

    In Ukraine, they know exactly that it will always backfire, so soon they will probably try a ceasefire there.

    I think it is on the rise.

    Trump/USA is on the rise.

    China is on the rise – right now over 100 military ships around Taiwan.

    1. Interesting, yes, Putin probably stands or falls on whether he can present any gain from the violence. Right now, the gain in Ukraine is slipping out of his hands. Therefore, negative voices are starting to be heard in Russia.

      In the short term, he might be able to present some kind of gain if, for example, they could open a land corridor to Kaliningrad, or “liberate” the Russians in Narva. However, these potential gains would come with a very high risk. If Europe/NATO gets their act together in time and strikes back on a broad front, the Baltic Sea is lost for Russia. However, Russia is risk-prone, since they are a dictatorship and feed lies to the people as needed.

      Putin is starting to run out of time, his unpopularity is increasing, and Europe’s defense capability is growing.

      Xi has received the green light for Taiwan from Trump, but that hardly lasts forever; if he fails to steal the midterm election, he may find it harder to pursue his policies after November. China’s time window is shrinking.

       

       

      1. I have tried to understand why the USA has rushed all of 2026 – they have pressed every key on the keyboard at the same time.

        The only conclusion is that it is a lack of time, but for what?

        One reason is the upcoming financial crisis, but the other could certainly be that Europe is starting to get organized little by little?

         

  11. It is rumored that Israel is panicking because Trump is making deals without them; it is very difficult with this war to know what is true since everyone is spreading disinformation to the max.

    We know that the IRGC has deployed units in eastern Kurdistan.

    We believe we know that the army – IRGC has started fighting.

    We know that the UAE has bombed targets in Iran and that Iran recently fought targets in MENA again.

    What the USA is up to is a good guess – it seems mostly to be a “stock market war”?

    If the USA backs out, the rest of MENA + Israel will be in serious trouble because Iran will be strengthened immediately by China and Russia 😀

    We also believe we know that Trump is making decisions that Pentagon is tearing its hair out over.

    When do we reach the point where everything is connected?

    Is Trump driving the USA into a worse situation and has he, with a hidden agenda, destabilized MENA?

    I agree that Europe is currently coming out on top, but if different events are connected, we are one war away from being tested – we can FORGET that trade and handshakes will bring us to a favorable position in the next 100 years because the other three will try to achieve that by force.

    1. Heard something about it being the USA that got Israel to end the 12-day war, otherwise they might have solved the problem then, and the strait might have been open throughout the entire operation and afterward.

    2. Well, I actually think that both regret their decisions. Netanyahu regrets that he allied himself with Trump, and Trump regrets that he let himself be persuaded.

      Netanyahu complains that Trump is negotiating with Iran over his head, hmm, does that sound familiar from Ukraine? Trump does not want to negotiate together with anyone else; he is the one who should make the deal, it is He and the USA who should come out winning from the negotiations. If he has to negotiate together with someone else, that means he has to take others into account, and that is not possible for a narcissist.

      Trump/USA is never an impartial mediator; they see a conflict as an opportunity for economic gain.

      1. A bit of a setback anyway for Netanyahu who has gone a bit too far in general.

        I thought it looked pretty good for a while and that the rest of the MENA region was starting to accept Israel as a stable party in the region.

        Then Trump comes swirling in and three months later everything is destroyed 😀😀

    1. The next step in Chinese support, no protests from the West, the next step will probably be openly exporting military equipment. 

      However, I do not know, apart from the political gain for the Russians, if this has any direct military benefit. Unless the Russians trained on some specific Chinese system that they are going to battle test. If one thinks that the West does not have much to contribute to Ukraine in terms of training nowadays, then the Chinese should have even less. They are stuck in a top-down mindset and their latest military actions are mostly just harassing their neighbors’ fishing fleets. Running boats undisturbed in a well-orchestrated manner around Taiwan is not exactly a sharp situation either.

      1. Yes exactly, if there is one thing those three do, it is to test the waters and if it works, they increase.

        Clear boundaries are good.

        Clear boundaries that do not have consequences when they are crossed – pointless.

  12. The only way to interpret the meetings in China with Trump and Putin for me is that the plan is slowly starting.

    Then you meet in person to coordinate.

    That’s what I believe.

    If it isn’t so – great.

    But Europe must assume that it is, we have had –

    Syria, Iran, Venezuela, and soon Cuba just during 2026.

    The likelihood that this is increasing is greater than everything returning to normal.

  13. Not preparing for defense in a situation where there CAN be war only costs a hell of a lot more later on – Lex Ukraine that never mobilized.

     

  14. I will try to get the post out by tomorrow – it will be Aurora 26, so you’ll probably be as annoyed as FM is about all the criticism 😀

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