Ukraine attacked energy infrastructure in Crimea and a gas facility in Orenburg during the night – Russian losses

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During the night, Ukrainian drones attacked, among other things, explosions at the power station in Simferopol which led to power outages, and in Sevastopol their main transformer station was hit repeatedly. Authorities had already admitted before the attack that about half of Crimea had suffered multiple power outages.

The Orenburg gas facility in Russia was also attacked by Ukrainian drones, causing a fire at the facility. The region’s governor has confirmed the drone attack and that drones were shot down over the industrial area. It is somewhat unusual that he does not claim all drones were shot down and that debris caused the fire.

Read more at Kyiv Independent also see posts here, here and here.

Russian losses in Ukraine

Ukraine continues to inflict heavy damage on Russia with high losses of soldiers, artillery, and transport vehicles.

  • 1260 KWIA
  • 6 Tanks
  • 4 AFVs
  • 60 Artillery systems
  • 2 MLRS
  • 3 Air defense systems
  • 1873 UAVs
  • 7 UGVs
  • 430 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
  • 3 Special equipment

Russian air defense also continues to suffer unusually high losses. Three in one day does not sound like much and considering the whole war the average is over 6 per day (there were large losses at the start of the war) but looking back one year the average is a low 0.68 per day while the trend of increased losses is clear. Over the past year, 7 is the highest recorded while 9 is the highest in a single day for the entire war.

The increase may seem small since we are down to single digits but going from around 0.5/day to 2.5/day is five times as many, or 400%. Compare that to if KWIA had increased from 1000 to 5000 over half a year. I doubt Russia has been able to increase air defense production to such an extent; I guess it is Ukraine’s capability that has improved combined with a greater focus on air defense to clear the way for deep strikes.

Russian air defense losses, one year back:

Russian air defense losses, one year back:

Ukrainian General Staff report

Regarding activities at the fronts, it looks roughly the same every day but of course with some variation. One can sense a slight decline in combat clashes recently; otherwise, no trend can be seen. Hopefully, this means that Russia currently does not have the capability to deploy more KAB, manufacture and send out more suicide drones, or fire more artillery. Fingers crossed that we soon see those last numbers clearly decrease going forward. That would definitely mark a turning point in the war in Ukraine’s favor.

  • 251 combat clashes
  • 77 air strikes
  • 260 KAB/CAB
  • 9741 kamikaze drones
  • 3159 shelling (42 from MLRS)

SLAVA UKRAINI

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27 thoughts on “Ukraine attacked energy infrastructure in Crimea and a gas facility in Orenburg during the night – Russian losses”

  7. MXT

    ** FT: Putin Frustrated as Trump Warms to Ukraine After Drone Successes
    In brief: The Financial Times reported that Vladimir Putin is growing increasingly frustrated with Donald Trump as Washington continues to support Ukraine instead of pushing Kyiv toward a quick peace deal on Russia’s terms. Ukrainian officials told the FT they see signs of stronger US backing after Ukraine’s recent military gains, including deep-strike drone successes inside Russia. **
    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/78820

    1. MacMelmac

      Donald Dick may have realized that you want Ukraine on your side, not on the opposing side. They have experience defending themselves against drones, which the USA does not.

    2. 205

      Here is a reason why RU keeps a low profile in relation to the rest of Europe and NATO. From a Russian perspective, a restrained Trump is a much stronger card than a rest of Europe/NATO pressured by skirmishes.

  10. MXT

    Off-Topic, Economy/AI Bubble

    It will probably become a self-fulfilling prophecy if enough people warn that the bubble will burst. 😄

    “The warning: ‘The AI bubble the largest humanity has seen’

    The global tech frenzy reflects the market’s concern that the AI boom has gone too far. At the same time, investors are expected to soon buy the major tech companies again. This is what analysts tell several media outlets after Tuesday’s steep stock market drop.

    Matt Maley at the management company Miller Tabak assesses that it will require significantly greater weakness in the US stock market to trigger any serious warning signs, writes Bloomberg.

    Paul Gambles at the advisory firm MBMG is more worried.

    – The AI bubble is by far the largest stock market bubble humanity has ever seen, he says to the news agency but adds that there is more downside before it becomes a crash.

    Read the experts’ comments on the stock market development below.”
    https://omni.se/varningen-ai-bubblan-den-storsta-manskligheten-sett/a/43RLna

    1. MXT

      “The Stockholm Stock Exchange was pressured on Tuesday in the wake of the global AI frenzy. Among other things, the Kospi index in Seoul was halted earlier in the morning before closing down 10 percent for the day.

      At closing, the leading indices OMXS30 and OMXSPI were down 1.4 and 1.2 percent respectively. The development comes after the indices in Stockholm had risen for seven consecutive trading days.

      Sivers Semiconductors, which has ridden the stock market’s AI wave, fell nearly 12 percent. AI-related Atlas Copco declined about 2.7 percent, despite the stock receiving an increased target price from Goldman Sachs.

      Skanska has received an additional order worth 2.3 billion kronor for the construction of a data center for a secret customer in the USA. Despite this, the stock traded slightly downwards.

      UBS has dropped its recommendation for the mining company Epiroc and now labels the stock as a sell, which lost just over 5 percent.

      Defensive stocks such as Astra Zeneca, Essity, and both Tele2 and Telia went against the trend and topped OMXS30. The pharmaceutical giant’s stock rose around 3 percent, while the others were up 0.5–1 percent.”
      https://omni.se/borsen-mot-rod-oppning-efter-sju-plusdagar/a/aJ3OzM

  20. MXT

    Off-Topic

    “The crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is driving up freight prices, and India has now booked an oil tanker at a price that is 897 percent of the normal rate, sources told Bloomberg.

    The ninefold increase in the price tag is reported to be the most expensive freight so far this year.

    The unusually high price reflects the shortage of available empty ships in the region, the news agency writes.

    The vessel from the South Korean shipping company Sinokor is a so-called supertanker with a capacity of about two million barrels of oil.”

    https://omni.se/oljefrakten-rusar-tog-897-procent-av-normal-taxa/a/oE97vj

  21. MXT

    Off-Topic

    The Swedish Transport Administration ignores the risks of IT services from the USA.

    “The Swedish Transport Administration has decided to approve the use of American cloud services such as Microsoft Teams – which has led to strong criticism from employees at the agency, reports Ekot. The critics argue that the decision could lead to significantly increased operating costs and that sensitive information risks being disclosed.

    However, to Ekot, the Transport Administration’s IT director Niclas Lamberg says that the decision is well-founded and the result of a ‘balanced assessment.’

    At the end of May, DN reported that the Swedish government has a new policy urging authorities to move away from American cloud services. This stood in sharp contrast to the Swedish Social Insurance Agency, which at the same time chose to allow, among other things, Microsoft Teams, after having opposed it for several years.”
    https://omni.se/myndighetspersonalens-oro-for-molntjanster-avfardas/a/WvokqK

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