Ukraine attacked energy infrastructure in Crimea and a gas facility in Orenburg during the night – Russian losses

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During the night, Ukrainian drones attacked, among other things, explosions at the power station in Simferopol which led to power outages, and in Sevastopol their main transformer station was hit repeatedly. Authorities had already admitted before the attack that about half of Crimea had suffered multiple power outages.

The Orenburg gas facility in Russia was also attacked by Ukrainian drones, causing a fire at the facility. The region’s governor has confirmed the drone attack and that drones were shot down over the industrial area. It is somewhat unusual that he does not claim all drones were shot down and that debris caused the fire.

Read more at Kyiv Independent also see posts here, here and here.

Russian losses in Ukraine

Ukraine continues to inflict heavy damage on Russia with high losses of soldiers, artillery, and transport vehicles.

  • 1260 KWIA
  • 6 Tanks
  • 4 AFVs
  • 60 Artillery systems
  • 2 MLRS
  • 3 Air defense systems
  • 1873 UAVs
  • 7 UGVs
  • 430 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
  • 3 Special equipment

Russian air defense also continues to suffer unusually high losses. Three in one day does not sound like much and considering the whole war the average is over 6 per day (there were large losses at the start of the war) but looking back one year the average is a low 0.68 per day while the trend of increased losses is clear. Over the past year, 7 is the highest recorded while 9 is the highest in a single day for the entire war.

The increase may seem small since we are down to single digits but going from around 0.5/day to 2.5/day is five times as many, or 400%. Compare that to if KWIA had increased from 1000 to 5000 over half a year. I doubt Russia has been able to increase air defense production to such an extent; I guess it is Ukraine’s capability that has improved combined with a greater focus on air defense to clear the way for deep strikes.

Russian air defense losses, one year back:

Russian air defense losses, one year back:

Ukrainian General Staff report

Regarding activities at the fronts, it looks roughly the same every day but of course with some variation. One can sense a slight decline in combat clashes recently; otherwise, no trend can be seen. Hopefully, this means that Russia currently does not have the capability to deploy more KAB, manufacture and send out more suicide drones, or fire more artillery. Fingers crossed that we soon see those last numbers clearly decrease going forward. That would definitely mark a turning point in the war in Ukraine’s favor.

  • 251 combat clashes
  • 77 air strikes
  • 260 KAB/CAB
  • 9741 kamikaze drones
  • 3159 shelling (42 from MLRS)

SLAVA UKRAINI

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79 thoughts on “Ukraine attacked energy infrastructure in Crimea and a gas facility in Orenburg during the night – Russian losses”

  7. MXT

    ** FT: Putin Frustrated as Trump Warms to Ukraine After Drone Successes
    In brief: The Financial Times reported that Vladimir Putin is growing increasingly frustrated with Donald Trump as Washington continues to support Ukraine instead of pushing Kyiv toward a quick peace deal on Russia’s terms. Ukrainian officials told the FT they see signs of stronger US backing after Ukraine’s recent military gains, including deep-strike drone successes inside Russia. **
    https://www.kyivpost.com/post/78820

    1. MacMelmac

      Donald Dick may have realized that you want Ukraine on your side, not on the opposing side. They have experience defending themselves against drones, which the USA does not.

    2. 205

      Here is a reason why RU keeps a low profile in relation to the rest of Europe and NATO. From a Russian perspective, a restrained Trump is a much stronger card than a rest of Europe/NATO pressured by skirmishes.

      1. Pehr

        Why not? The Kremlin has been shown (or at least accused of) infiltrating green movements in other countries in Europe, so one might think something should come back in return.

  10. MXT

    Off-Topic, Economy/AI Bubble

    It will probably become a self-fulfilling prophecy if enough people warn that the bubble will burst. 😄

    “The warning: ‘The AI bubble the largest humanity has seen’

    The global tech frenzy reflects the market’s concern that the AI boom has gone too far. At the same time, investors are expected to soon buy the major tech companies again. This is what analysts tell several media outlets after Tuesday’s steep stock market drop.

    Matt Maley at the management company Miller Tabak assesses that it will require significantly greater weakness in the US stock market to trigger any serious warning signs, writes Bloomberg.

    Paul Gambles at the advisory firm MBMG is more worried.

    – The AI bubble is by far the largest stock market bubble humanity has ever seen, he says to the news agency but adds that there is more downside before it becomes a crash.

    Read the experts’ comments on the stock market development below.”
    https://omni.se/varningen-ai-bubblan-den-storsta-manskligheten-sett/a/43RLna

    1. MXT

      “The Stockholm Stock Exchange was pressured on Tuesday in the wake of the global AI frenzy. Among other things, the Kospi index in Seoul was halted earlier in the morning before closing down 10 percent for the day.

      At closing, the leading indices OMXS30 and OMXSPI were down 1.4 and 1.2 percent respectively. The development comes after the indices in Stockholm had risen for seven consecutive trading days.

      Sivers Semiconductors, which has ridden the stock market’s AI wave, fell nearly 12 percent. AI-related Atlas Copco declined about 2.7 percent, despite the stock receiving an increased target price from Goldman Sachs.

      Skanska has received an additional order worth 2.3 billion kronor for the construction of a data center for a secret customer in the USA. Despite this, the stock traded slightly downwards.

      UBS has dropped its recommendation for the mining company Epiroc and now labels the stock as a sell, which lost just over 5 percent.

      Defensive stocks such as Astra Zeneca, Essity, and both Tele2 and Telia went against the trend and topped OMXS30. The pharmaceutical giant’s stock rose around 3 percent, while the others were up 0.5–1 percent.”
      https://omni.se/borsen-mot-rod-oppning-efter-sju-plusdagar/a/aJ3OzM

  20. MXT

    Off-Topic

    “The crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is driving up freight prices, and India has now booked an oil tanker at a price that is 897 percent of the normal rate, sources told Bloomberg.

    The ninefold increase in the price tag is reported to be the most expensive freight so far this year.

    The unusually high price reflects the shortage of available empty ships in the region, the news agency writes.

    The vessel from the South Korean shipping company Sinokor is a so-called supertanker with a capacity of about two million barrels of oil.”

    https://omni.se/oljefrakten-rusar-tog-897-procent-av-normal-taxa/a/oE97vj

  21. MXT

    Off-Topic

    The Swedish Transport Administration ignores the risks of IT services from the USA.

    “The Swedish Transport Administration has decided to approve the use of American cloud services such as Microsoft Teams – which has led to strong criticism from employees at the agency, reports Ekot. The critics argue that the decision could lead to significantly increased operating costs and that sensitive information risks being disclosed.

    However, to Ekot, the Transport Administration’s IT director Niclas Lamberg says that the decision is well-founded and the result of a ‘balanced assessment.’

    At the end of May, DN reported that the Swedish government has a new policy urging authorities to move away from American cloud services. This stood in sharp contrast to the Swedish Social Insurance Agency, which at the same time chose to allow, among other things, Microsoft Teams, after having opposed it for several years.”
    https://omni.se/myndighetspersonalens-oro-for-molntjanster-avfardas/a/WvokqK

    2. alfaomega

      The Swedish Transport Administration doesn’t do many things right, weren’t they the ones who granted a bunch of Russian ship captains pilot exemption to numerous Swedish ports? It’s just asking for trouble. I can imagine about 27 Russian ships lying in sensitive areas, and then containers are opened and a bunch of drones of various kinds fly out over Sweden’s most sensitive areas, an idea they stole from Ukraine and the trucks.
      Säpo should conduct a security check on the entire staff, and those who are allowed to stay should be trained in risk analysis and consequence analysis, and learn to think worst-case scenario type.

  22. johan No.1

    There is only one thing that is important after September – the interest rates.

    In the UK they are starting to move upwards (I am exaggerating a little) due to political unrest.

    Things like that can break a country immediately.

    Both parties must prioritize this first, whoever wins now, if they start with the wrong signaling policy it can happen very quickly.

    Swedes are also especially sensitive with their adjustable or one-year fixed rates.

  23. johan No.1

    Now the “economic” war is probably underway.

    One can only hope that we won’t be the losers again…

    The UK is really in a bad position this time

  26. johan No.1

    It is a great World Cup in the USA, all supporter groups do their country’s thing, total street parties and everyone likes it – just as it should be 👍😀

  27. johan No.1

    Did you see yesterday that Dengamle called me a finance genius 😎

    However, should have sold SpaceX, still don’t dare to tell my better half that 50% of the savings are there and dying 😭

  28. johan No.1

    Hey MXT, do you think I’ll be right about the dollar in the end?

    In times of unrest, everyone turns to the dollar and all that.

    However, the salary doesn’t move an inch, it goes from USD to another currency, I was just checking this morning but according to the receipt they have sent the full salary. Otherwise, you might suspect that they start scaling down when the rate goes up so I get the same 😀

    1. MXT

      You might be right that it will continue to go up a little more. But the question is whether it is due to worry; it actually feels a bit calmer now than when the war in Iran started. Probably requires something more to happen.

      It has taken quite a beating (about -10% since Trump took over) so it has some ground to recover.

      But of course, if it goes like it did the last time he was president, it will probably stay around this level. It was higher in 2015-2017, then dropped when he was appointed. Then when Biden came back, it took about half a year before it started to increase again. It then peaked at the end of 2022 and pulled back a bit after that but was on average higher then than now. 

      So I don’t know if the idea that the US is seen as a safe haven when things are uncertain really applies nowadays.

      1. johan No.1

        -10% 😍😍

        Was down around 20% for a while and it feels to get 20% less in salary.

        Then it never becomes the XE exchange rate, the banks also steal a few % there from dollars to my currency whatever it is now (Bogota pesetas).

  29. johan No.1

    There is really only one cloud of concern left now.

    Europe continues to talk about negotiations and ceasefire.

    Within a few months, Putin will agree to it and Trump will push for it – then Europe must hold firm.

      1. DenGamle

        I have a piece of advice that has helped me. Sell just before a stock market crash, buy after a stock market crash.
        Not as good as the herring and crayfish theory, which is brilliant,

        1. johan No.1

          I’m absorbing all these lessons from the masters, just one question – if someone bought Bitcoin when it was 125,000, do you think it will go up enough so they can sell without a skyrocketing crash loss to the herring or crayfish – asking for a friend.

          It’s becoming urgent since my friend took out the loan in his wife’s name because the banks seem to have him on some kind of blacklist the last time he tried to speculate in oil futures.

  31. 205

    🍎

    APPLE DELETES PUTIN’S STATE APP. KREMLIN PROPAGANDA LOSES UP TO 90% OF ITS REACH. 📱🇷🇺

    On June 3, MAX — Russia’s state-controlled mandatory messenger — disappeared from the Apple App Store.

    Apple cited sanctions as the reason.

    Over 20 million Apple users thereby lost normal access. Push notifications for messages and calls have not worked since. (Pravda Germany)

    …

     

    https://x.com/annademilanese/status/2069469432934723658?s=46

  39. Pehr

    Off topic
    The GOP seems to have received a gift ahead of the midterm elections.
    “A political rebellion is brewing within the Democrats. The left wing in New York has knocked out centrist candidates in the party ahead of this fall’s congressional elections. They are backed by New York’s currently strongest political power broker – and are being labeled as ‘trash Democrats’ by party colleagues.”
    https://www.svd.se/a/pBrKy1/new-yorks-borgmastare-zohran-mamdans-vanstrerdemokrater-skapar-uppror-i-partiet

    1. Umlaut

      Maybe not just a gift. It has been shown that super PACs affiliated with the Republicans are financing campaigns against centrist Democrats and for left-wing Democrats precisely to take centrist voters away from the Democrats.

      https://www.dn.se/varlden/fusket-i-usa-valet-pengar-fran-vansterdonatorer-kom-egentligen-fran-hogern/

      The idea is to influence Democratic voters so that they choose a weaker candidate, perhaps one further to the left. This will then make it easier for the Republican candidate to win the actual election in November.

  40. MXT

    Today’s lottery numbers:

    1270 KWIA

    1 Tank

    2 AFV

    67 Artillery systems

    4 MLRS

    3 Air defense systems

    1994 UAVs

    2 UGVs

    450 Vehicles & fuel tanks

    6 Special equipment

    Slava Ukraini!

  41. 205

    Lower Russian pressure and somewhat higher Ukrainian, for increased ratio.

    N Slobozhansky 7, S Slobozhansky 11💥, Kupyansk 2, Lyman 16💥, Slovyansk 19💥, Kramatorsk 2, Kostjantynivka 19💥, Pokrovsk 32💥💥↘️, Oleksandrivskij 0, Huliaipole 13💥↘️, Orikhivsk 1, Prydniprovskij 0,

    Localized 121↘️, Unlocalized 111↗️, Total 232↘️, Ratio unloc/loc 0.9↗️.

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