We have now delved deeply into Ukraine’s upcoming jackpot to a point where it is difficult to discuss it any further than we already have; this week we will go through the fronts, but only light blue with soothing elevator music in the background.
As said – read the maps as if the gray zone is where UA currently stands since they are on the offensive.
There are some geographical problem areas, but they are only a visit away from the strategic offensive reserve to no longer be so.
Today we discuss possible counterfire from the USA/China, what Russia might come up with in its death throes, but also what we are undertaking from the EU.
Stuff like this makes me tearful – they are apparently called the E3 now, Merz, Starmer, and Macron. They want to try to negotiate with Putin to avoid “another winter full of terror bombings against Ukraine”.
It sounds commendable, but considering that Ukraine has already had 4.5 years of this and wants to fight – why this concern for the children right now?
Merz and Starmer have no history, but Macron managed to fool Zelensky before the war started that Putin would not attack because he “personally talked to Putin who gave me personal rock-solid guarantees.” His greatest achievement on his CV is thus being totally fooled by Putin in broad daylight.
No one likes Kier Starmer, a weak leader who has given bad times in the UK – his domestic political problems are worse than he can handle, so no Eisenhower directly.
Merz sometimes says the right things, but besides his CEO for Rheinmetall trash-talking Ukraine’s drone weapons earlier this year, Merz recently stated that Ukraine should not become a full member of the EU – he thinks they do not deserve it.
Despite this, apparently it is at the top of these world leaders’ agenda to protect Ukrainian children this winter. That there is a whole underground lake of various hidden agendas we can assume.
This gives us a timeline and what they want – a stop to hostilities until winter, why exactly until winter I think I have figured out below.
(Interjecting again that the EU gave just under 500,000 Russians Schengen visas in 2025 – our borders are not closed at all. Russia was in fourth place in visas after China, Turkey, and India. A quick Google confirms this if you lack a source).
A bit further down in the article it gets considerably brighter, not everyone in the EU agrees, there are shining white lights who understand the situation too, I think they read Johan No.1
“Some officials from within the E3 nations themselves argue it is not the time for talks with Moscow, as Putin has shown no sign of being serious about negotiations and continues to harbor maximalist demands, including that Ukraine cede unoccupied territory.
Those same people said Kyiv’s allies should instead exploit this moment to provide Zelenskyy with the weapons he needs and further ramp up pressure on the Kremlin by tightening and toughening sanctions. The E3 should be working with the US to get Russia to the table, the Bloomberg sources stressed, as the problem is in Moscow, not Kyiv. European nations should not be the side petitioning Putin to talk — it should be the other way round, given Russia’s increasing economic struggles and staggering monthly casualty rates”.
Since Ukraine will now inexorably advance like an exponentially rising moon rocket, there is nothing on the Russian battlefield that can stop them anymore, the balance is shifted and Russia is hopelessly behind in the strategic drone war, the drone weapon, and ground battles.
Previously Europe and the USA could steer development with arms deliveries as a gas and brake, unfortunately we no longer have that.
After that it was cold cash, but funds have now been added so it is enough. Then Ukraine has probably received piles of gold bars from various countries in MENA as thanks for their drone interceptor packages including personnel delivered. On top of that many want to do business with Ua’s arms industry today – something that can no longer be politically controlled that the Ukrainian bastards have found new ways to snatch money in some kind of market economy.
There is only one big threat left to the development that otherwise exponentially goes in the right direction – ceasefire.
Putin is tricky – I cannot determine whether he understands the situation or not, probably the information flow is filtered quite heavily up the chain and as of May 9 he got his damn ceasefire again which is proof for him that Ukraine does as they are told by his buddies in the West. But he should also understand where this is heading.
At least Putin has left the point that he wants Donetsk, Zaporizha, and Kherson in their entirety, now it seems it is only the rest of Donetsk that Ukraine must abandon to get world peace?
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-says-russia-will-defeat-ukraine-2026-06-04
This is something Putin-Trump agreed on in August 2025 when they met in Anchorage, but Ukraine has so far refused.
Since the E3 have already opened the negotiation book for Putin and pointed out what they want to achieve, he knows very well what he can do, the practical idiots make it easy for him.
The E3 also have the only negotiation card worth its name left to play against Ukraine – EU membership.
The concern is therefore the following – at some point Putin has completed his puzzle and understands that he is on the way to getting beaten in a fair war in Ukraine, period. Exactly when we get there cannot be said, but Ukraine will increase the pressure from now on so that at some point something breaks somewhere.
What Budanov and Zelensky really want is the following –
– Take back Ukraine from the barbarian horde.
– Let Belarus have its statutory international freedom.
– Make the six provinces bordering Ukraine friends with trade.
– Get -stan on the right side (in progress).
– Get many sub-republics to proclaim themselves as new internationally recognized countries.
Voila – the future Russian threat is considerably more toothless. Unless we reach this point, the Russian threat is not eliminated, and this opportunity that Ukraine has paid for in children’s blood will never come again in our lifetime.
Johan No.1 dreams of Operation Rostov but then Ukraine, as one man, woman, or other established gender identity, must be ready for a Finnish continuation war after 4.5 years of high-intensity war where they must get Armenia, Georgia, and Azerbaijan on board.
What Putin will first try is to personally go to the E3 and promise to start serious negotiations – but that it must begin with a full ceasefire in the war.
There Ukraine’s momentum is lost – the mosaic where everyone pulls in the same direction will become significantly looser, power struggles will start, stab-in-the-back legends will be written, and in the middle of it all stand the FSB, SVR, GRU with their subversive activities and totally tear everything apart.
Ukraine will naturally refuse – what will the E3 do then, the only thing they have left is probably EU membership and when it starts being written in the media that Zelensky does not want peace, then the Ukrainians will have to wait for their EU membership – good luck being Zelensky then.
How can Putin further pressure the E3 – unfortunately, there are many ways, but the gas weapon is probably the one with the most explosive power. After the Iran war, we are apparently behind in our stockpiling of LNG, 25% below average storage now in May. I usually get pushback on johanno1.se when I throw around numbers I get from AI, we’ll see if this holds true or if it turns into a public backlash.
Since I am interested in everything, it seems we are going to have an “El Nino” winter this year, which will bring a very cold January – February in Europe.
Our gas is supplied 60%-65% by the USA, which so far has shown it does everything Putin asks.
The Middle East accounts for 9%-14%, which is probably zero now?
Azerbaijan’s gas, which has been heavily publicized recently, is under 4%, and then some from Nigeria and Algeria, 15%-20%.
If Putin manages to get the USA not to sell us LNG at the pace we need and then we have some accidents in our LNG tank farms, this could become a good means of pressure – especially if both the USA and Russia promise to deliver everything we need as long as Ukraine agrees to a trivial ceasefire that everyone benefits from. Putin will surely promise a “peace discount for five years”.
The entire E3 seems, as far as I can see, to be dependent on gas imports and have too little domestic production. All self-inflicted through suicidal politics over the last 30 years, but if you have the chance to sacrifice Ukraine because you have pursued foolish policies, it is an attractive way out.
The UK seems to have domestic production for over 60%, and 85% of households are heated with gas.
Germany is 100% import-dependent, 56% of households use gas for heating.
France is like Germany in imports but only 35% use it for heating.
France is an electricity exporter; in winter, the UK and Germany import less than 10% of their electricity needs – I think it seems like gas is our Achilles’ heel?
Why the E3 is striving to save the Ukrainian children right now until winter is easy to see – a not-so-well-hidden agenda.
Putin has also planted all the explosives he thinks he needs around Europe’s subsea cables for electricity transmission now, but as far as I can see, it is not as big a threat to continental Europe as gas is?
However, the Baltics import 40%-50% of their electricity, where subsea cables dominate totally from Sweden and Finland. They also have direct electric heating for their heating just like us in Sweden, along with district heating and some other heat sources.
Since, for example, Poland recently asked Ukraine not to bomb targets in the Baltic Sea area, there are good reasons to believe that several countries in Europe would be affected by interruptions in gas imports in the coming months. Pushing for peace in Ukraine, which is preferable anyway, becomes politically attractive.
What Poland has done well, however, is to de-escalate the dispute with Ukraine over that unit that got an inappropriate name.
https://ua.news/en/world/u-polshchi-zaklikali-ne-zagostriuvati-superechki-z-ukrayinoiu
Since we absolutely seem to be heading towards a “2008-type financial crisis” this autumn, it adds another layer of acute war fatigue on our politicians who will have to handle the “wave of layoffs”, “bank crisis”, “crisis interest rates”. All those things that appear on newspaper front pages against a dark gray background, a red downward-pointing stock chart in the middle, and then “-35%” in pitch-black Arial font size 24.
Ukraine has been subjected to these high treasons for 4.5 years already and knows exactly what we morally superior in the West are capable of, but if the pressure is applied correctly, it will sting for them this year too – EU membership was why the country got into this war in the first place.
It doesn’t seem to stop there; the EU is throwing in an “800 billion USD” bribe as well but is clear that both EU membership and lots of pesetas entirely depend on whether there will be peace in our time or not.
“While Brussels and Washington are lining up hundreds of billions of dollars in long-term funding and pitching Ukraine as a future EU member and investment destination, the strategy hinges on a ceasefire that remains elusive — leaving the prosperity plan vulnerable as long as the fighting continues”.
https://www.politico.eu/article/document-eu-us-pitch-800b-post-war-prosperity-plan-for-ukraine
Chatham House understands this, I think they stole it straight from Johan No.1.
As far as I can see, this is the single biggest threat we have to peace in our time – the E3 who want to protect the Ukrainian children now this winter. Unfortunately, the carrot and stick seem already well advanced, but we can hope that Ukraine manages to hold out.
What Trump failed at seems to have been better formulated by the E3 and EU – an orange carrot so big that the citizens of Ukraine want it instead of war. If it were even leaked that the offer would end if Ukraine chooses war, then it’s probably game over for the home opinion’s will to kill Russians.
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👍👍👍 Good post, thanks. The E 3 runs between La Rochelle and Cherbourg and only passes through French cities. There they can keep going back and forth and play world politicians.
Thank you Johan for an interesting analysis of possible scenarios.
Regarding the guys at E3, as you write, Starmer is weak and unpopular and is living on borrowed time as prime minister and party leader; he will likely be ousted as soon as his opponents within the party have sufficiently rallied around a new candidate, and there are two in the making.
Macron will step down as president in 2027, and it is written in the stars who will take over. The candidate who takes over after him will need “some time on the job” before they can fully leverage their new role. Certainly, gas-dependent Germans may lament quite a bit in their withdrawal, but Merz and company cannot be too obvious in using a frozen or severely delayed EU membership as a threat. The resonance of that message will ring quite loudly in the neighborhood and will hardly be well received either among parts of the German public opinion or among more resilient EU member states such as Poland, the Nordic countries, and the Baltics, among others.
Regarding possible Russian sabotage against European energy infrastructure, there are clear limitations such as that it is Casus Belli and that it will definitely open the floodgates completely for active and expanded support to Ukraine on all levels, as well as not to forget that Russian shipping would be completely blocked. It would not have been difficult for politicians in Europe to justify limited and temporary rationing, etc., and easily and pedagogically explain it by a pivot to the east pointing out Russia’s actions as the cause of the situation. The gauntlet would have been thrown.
I also question whether money-focused Trump supporters ahead of the midterm elections really want to limit gas and oil exports to the EU and partly miss out on the ringing income as well as risk alienating even more voters from the so-called independent segment and the remaining “real Republicans,” who cannot exactly be accused of being friendly towards the Russians.
Agree 👍🏻.
Shouldn’t Starmer think that “not being allowed to join the EU” is more of a carrot? He should threaten that you must join the EU if you don’t do as we say.
Here is a little reflection. It is difficult to negotiate with a Russia that is so entrenched in its lies/wishful thinking that they don’t even know if they are winners or losers in the war. What would a negotiation look like then? It must not be said that the SMO has been a failure. Instead, Peskov comes out saying that practically all of Kherson and Zaporizhia are legally Russian. Add to that that the Russians, in their fatalism, would rather see the world go up in flames than have Russia appear as a loser. Russians are a strange people. It is all or nothing. The conditions for negotiations are probably more or less non-existent. Better then to wait out some sort of non-agreement in the Kremlin that gives some opening leading to Russia seriously starting to retreat along the fronts.
But the problem is probably whether the requirement for negotiations is a ceasefire first? Then Putte can negotiate as long as he needs to regroup and catch up technologically.
That it is pointless to negotiate doesn’t matter, since the gain for Ruz is the ceasefire?
I believe Putin fears a ceasefire. Such a thing brings the harsh reality closer. A reality that he does not see or want to see. And whose continuation he cannot control. Yes, one can wonder.
An interesting thought. A REAL ceasefire, the longer it lasts, should make it harder to start the war again. However, I find it difficult to see a complete ceasefire as I don’t believe ryz has that control over their army.
** Oil depots, substations reportedly set ablaze in occupied Crimea, Mariupol, western Russia following Ukrainian drone strikes.
Ukraine’s military reportedly launched another onslaught of middle strikes on Russian and Russian-occupied regions overnight on June 8, striking multiple oil depots and electrical substations, Russian Telegram media channels reported. **
https://kyivindependent.com/oil-depots-substations-reportedly-set-ablaze-in-western-russia-occupied-crimea-mariupol-following-ukrainian-drone-strikes/
Russian losses in Ukraine 2026-06-08
1550 KIA
2 Tanks
8 AFVs
68 Artillery systems
2 MLRS
1 Air defense system
2046 UAVs
14 UGVs
329 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
2 Special equipment
A violent day for the red team 👍🏻.
Ukraine has regained 600 square kilometers of its territory since the beginning of 2026, according to Ukraine’s top commander Oleksandr Syrskyj on Telegram on Monday.
Just during the month of May, Ukraine is said to have regained 100 square kilometers more than it lost. However, Syrskyj does not specify which areas are involved.
https://omni.se/hundratals-kvadratkilometer-har-atertagits-av-ukraina-i-ar/a/gkzkOq
Off-Topic, AI and Cyber Threats from China
“China will have access to AI models with cyber capabilities as advanced as the latest models from Anthropic and Open AI within six to twelve months, according to experts Politico has spoken to.
The risk with these models is that they could enable large-scale cyberattacks against critical infrastructure.
Rob Lee at the cybersecurity institute SANS believes that the pace of finding vulnerabilities and fixing them must be significantly increased before time runs out.
– There is still time to nail the windows shut and secure what is most important. But the storm is coming, and you need to make sure you are not standing unprotected in the garden when it arrives.”
https://omni.se/kina-kan-ha-lika-kraftfull-ai-som-usa-inom-ett-halvar/a/QJjJOQ
“Ukraine has carried out an extensive wave of attacks against targets on Russian territory during the night and morning. Several Russian oil depots are said to have been hit, writes Kyiv Independent referring to Russian Telegram channels. The newspaper has obtained images and videos showing black smoke rising from an oil depot in Novorossiysk.
There are also reports that an oil facility in occupied Crimea has been hit by Ukraine.
The Russian governor of the peninsula states that one person was killed when the Ukrainian attack hit a train.
Repeated Ukrainian attacks on Crimea have forced the authorities to introduce fuel rationing.”
**A compilation of videos from the Grushovaya oil depot in the Russian Caucasus. Through this oil depot, Russian oil gets to Sheskharis export terminal. The less oil tanks remain intact there, the less Russian oil will be available for export and earning money to wage the war against Ukraine.**
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3mnrcjkw4f225
Off-Topic, Trump
Of course he gets angry, as president he must be allowed to lie as much as he wants, right?
“U.S. President Donald Trump stormed out of an interview with NBC’s program ‘Meet the Press’ aired on Sunday after getting into a verbal dispute with the host Kristen Welker.
Trump got angry when Welker questioned the president’s false claims that the 2020 election was rigged. The host also contradicted him when he claimed that the primary election in California was manipulated.
Trump then launched a verbal attack against Welker and NBC and also accused ABC and CNN of being too one-sided in their reporting.
– We’re ending here, because I’ve had enough, said the president before leaving the interview chair.”
https://omni.se/donald-trump-stormade-ut-fran-intervju-med-nbc/a/Okjk9O
Tr🤡mp continues to deliver circus.
Off-Topic, United Kingdom
“Ten years after Brexit, more than half of Britons think that the United Kingdom should rejoin the EU, according to a new opinion poll reported by Bloomberg.
33 percent believe that the United Kingdom should continue to stay out, while one in ten respondents are uncertain.
At the same time, the issue divides generations. Among younger voters, more are positive about rejoining, while half of all those over 55 oppose the proposal.
Discussions have arisen again after Philip Rycroft, who led the Brexit department between 2017 and 2019, expressed that the United Kingdom must begin discussing a return.”
https://omni.se/fler-an-halften-av-britterna-vill-ga-med-i-eu-igen/a/lnOneo
When Great Britain left the EU, I thought it was the best for GB.
When England stands alone, it is at its best. As usual, I was wrong😡
Off-Topic, the weather
“It has been record warm in Sweden this spring, writes DN. The average temperature during the spring months was higher than ever since measurements began in 1859.
– Climate change is causing this type of warm springs to become more common and the winters to become increasingly shorter, says Charlotta Eriksson, climatologist at SMHI.
The local spring heat record was set in Oskarshamn on May 1, when the temperature reached 28.6 degrees.” https://omni.se/rekordvarm-svensk-var-blir-vanligare/a/d4k4qo
Be careful with the sausage grilling or if you are experimenting with thermite production!
“SMHI warns of a high risk of forest fires on Monday, the authority writes on its website.
Affected areas are Stockholm County, Uppsala County, Gotland and southern Öland as well as parts of Blekinge, Småland and Skåne.
SMHI urges people in the affected counties to be extra careful when making fires outdoors, and not to forget to keep track of whether there is a fire ban in effect.” https://omni.se/smhi-varnar-risk-for-skogsbrander-i-sodra-sverige/a/43m3gE
It will of course always be anecdotal evidence, but in the Gothenburg area, April and May have been the coldest I have recorded since 2016 (collected every 5 minutes and averaged over the entire month).
If March is included in the spring, it was pretty much an average month.
Of course, just one geographic point, but these records should show up a bit in my measurements?
MXT ran a full sausage grilling in Kalmar during May to boost the numbers?
Everything has its end except the sausage because it has three. A right end, a left end, and the misery in between
👍 West Coast,
Agree with Maggan. Lots of sun but an icy wind every day. Not even in the shelter was it comfortable.
Same here in my little part of Sweden, it has been a long time since it was this chilly.
** 📡💥 In the area of Kabardinka, Krasnodar Krai, an enemy radar station was damaged – General Staff **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mnrcafh5nc27
** 👀🏃♂️ According to ATESH, the actions of the Ukrainian military to cut off supply routes forced the occupiers to hastily evacuate from the Kinburn Spit. Units of the 337th regiment are leaving their positions. The delivery of ammunition, fuel and food has stopped. **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mnrc6ph7p227
**⚡Ukraine struck the Chonhar Bridge using FP-2 and new “Behemoth” drones, closing a key Russian supply route to occupied Crimea. **
https://united24media.com/war-in-ukraine/ukrainian-drone-attack-damages-chonhar-bridge-deck-forcing-closure-of-key-crimea-logistics-route-19591
NATO fighter jets have shot down a suspected drone that violated Latvia’s airspace on Monday, according to the Latvian Defense Forces.
The defense raised the alarm about a threat in the airspace at the border with Russia earlier in the morning. During the forenoon, the military reported that they had again detected a hostile drone.
Recently, a series of drone incidents have led authorities in the Baltic countries to warn the population.
https://omni.se/nytt-dronarlarm-vid-lettlands-grans-mot-ryssland/a/K8j8W5
🚧
Cannot update the post above. Tried twice. Update times out.
This was possible to update.
Russian pressure unchanged, Ukrainian cautious advance was the summary above.
https://x.com/coxoxoffoxoffic/status/2063930219124162769?s=46
“Merz and Starmer have no history, but Macron managed to fool Zelensky before the war started into believing that Putin would not attack because he ‘personally spoke with Putin who gave me personal rock-solid guarantees.’ His greatest achievement on his CV is thus being completely duped by Putin in broad daylight.”
Borrowing the quote 👍
Can’t upload image now. Once again, no image when sharing the link, looks plain to say the least.
https://x.com/coxoxoffoxoffic/status/2063935627792372213?s=46
Again, I cannot edit the comment. It seems to have to do with the fact that I uploaded an image the first time using Chrome on the iPhone.
That was more interesting, I will see if I can recreate it and then maybe also fix it.
Maybe it’s the same for me, don’t know if I have edited any like that afterwards.
Testing:
Editing and adding a bit more text.
Worked without any problems, will try to recreate it on iPhone and see how it works then.
Now I am wondering what you mean, the image in your comment above you have uploaded and it appears as it should.
The reason no image appears when you share the entire post on X is because Johan has not uploaded any image to the post nor included any image in the body text. The latter can sometimes work and sometimes not, but it probably depends on whether the image is linked or not and whether X considers it relevant or not.
What I can look into is adding a default image that is used if there is no image.
The question is what kind of image it should be, since it is not always about Ukraine.
Johan, do you have any suggestions?
I believe MXT is still working hard on it, late nights and early mornings 👍
Oh dear MXT,
Leaving RU Kinburn spit due to food shortage already now is sensational.
Then it has been longer than we guessed 🤩🤩🤩
💪🔥🍾
If they are short of jaws, it is thanks to the drones. If Ukraine starts to gain such a good advantage with the drones, we may soon see the Russians retreat from the Dnieper’s shore all the way up.
Maybe we will eventually see Ukraine cross over and drive them away.
Hope 🙏
Risk of RU escalation just went up
Assuming you mean Armenia?
How many trolls does ryz actually have, it feels like they have their fingers in every jam jar (election). Do they spend their entire GDP on weapons and trolls?
80% of the KGB budget went to subversive activities and influence operations in the West, surely the same % today 😀
State-prioritized activities and murder if necessary.
Without Russia and Iran, calm would settle in the free West
MXT is working like an animal with it still but I can’t both post a picture and write text, have to choose
Can only write.✍️
I think we are on different lists regarding what we are allowed to do, and if you don’t behave, you get moved down to fewer functions?
✅
Yes, if you are not nice, you will soon only be allowed to post emojis (and then only a limited selection).
There are two levels when it comes to images.
One is that you paste a link to an image (which you then have to copy from somewhere first).
The new feature allows you to upload an image. Then you instead choose an image on your computer or mobile phone. But then you must first, of course, have it saved there.
I have not distributed that feature to everyone yet. I first thought to let Johan and 205 test it.
But regardless, to be able to handle images in any of the ways, you must first have activated the advanced text editor in your profile.
Then you get a toolbar with some other functions as well.
It looks like this when you write:
If you do not have the advanced editor but want access to it, check at the top right of the website in the black field where it says “hello + your username”.
If you hover your mouse over your name, a menu appears:
Then click on Edit profile.
You will then go to your profile page on the site.
Scroll down a bit and you will find this:
Check that option then scroll down and click Update profile.
✅🙏
Will come by with the fronts tomorrow 👍
Automated anti-drone defense in Ukraine.
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mnrohxd3ic2g
👍
👍🏻
Is it possible to upload movies directly to MXT?
Can’t find the button 😀
It probably won’t happen, the hard drive space will be used up quite quickly.
But if you feel like sponsoring a substantial drive, it should be possible to arrange. 8TB should be enough for a while, then it would be good to have two to mirror them (in case one breaks), here is a consumer version that would fit:
https://www.inet.se/produkt/4306172/samsung-9100-pro-m-2-nvme-gen5-8tb
Off-topic. Advertisement with a contradictory message. Compare expensive consultant who is supposed to help companies cut costs.
Has Israel broken with the USA and is now running its own race?
Some thoughts about E3 and the EU.
There is concern about Ukraine being forced to a ceasefire in order not to miss a possible EU membership.
The interesting question is, DOES Ukraine really NEED the EU??
At least the past year has clearly shown that Ukraine – during intense war – has managed to:
A) Produce military products that deliver.
B) Establish trade with the outside world regarding these products.
Then the question arises, WHAT does Ukraine need from the EU?
Free movement? As far as I know, Ukrainians could move relatively freely within the EU already before.
Free trade? Well… The EU is not the world’s hub and only trading partner, and individual EU countries can also make their own trade agreements.
This means that Ukraine actually does not need to long for the EU. It might be easier, but not a necessity.
Furthermore, Ukraine probably also knows that the EU involves a lot of bureaucratic unnecessary hassle – which they have worked hard to reduce = not quite such an attractive reason for membership.
Ukraine has shown it can both create trade and earn its own money – without the EU.
WE – the EU need Ukraine, but Ukraine does not need the EU.
Another question is raised, namely the coming winter and the gas issue.
We assume that Ukraine (for natural reasons) opposes a “ceasefire”. What does Putin have then? Left is then the small window of the Baltics, which will lead to an even greater exhaustion of the Russian military apparatus.
Yes, it might get cold. Yes, it is terrible.
They have it worse in Ukraine and if they can manage, then we can manage it.
Ukrainian EU membership is definitely beneficial in the long term and an explicit goal for both the government in Kyiv and the majority of the population. However, I hope and believe that Z & B will manage to navigate the political game around ceasefire, peace negotiations, and membership negotiations.
No is the simple answer but…
The whole war that started in 2014 was because the citizens wanted to join the EU.
The path to membership has begun and there is 800 billion USD as a gift on top of that.
If 51% of the citizens in Ukraine want this then it is democratically chosen, right?
—
You and I understand the situation and what should happen but this pressure on the country right now is deadly.
EU is more important than NATO for Ukraine, in my opinion
To fedtmule and Lynx,
I posted the message on Friday and wrote something about hoping that the meeting between E3 and Zelensky on Sunday would not crash it.
I don’t think you understand how urgent it actually is, with the risk that I misunderstood your answer fedtmule?
“The leaders called on Russian President Vladimir Putin to agree “an immediate and complete ceasefire” with the current line of contact as a starting point for any negotiations, Downing Street said”.
https://www.irishtimes.com/world/europe/2026/06/07/european-allies-and-zelenskiy-urge-immediate-ceasefire-with-ukraine-after-meeting/
A ceasefire along the contact line where it stands today that is immediate will totally crash UA momentum for the simple reason that there will be no summer offensive.
Since it is enough for Putin to say yes to that, the attacks will end that day, so the situation is urgent.
Zelensky and Budanov can choose to ignore this but you know from the post above that then “there will be no EU membership or 800 billion USD” right?
The fact is that E3 is on track to do what Trump failed to do…
Sure, but this has been a standing item on the agenda for a long time and something that Zelenskyy has repeated many times without being together with the E3 (or Tr🤡mp).
I would not interpret the meeting as Europe trying to force Zelenskyy to give up the Ukrainian win with the help of the EU, I am quite sure it is rather the opposite, the EU has no interest in Russia’s aggression paying off.
The peace initiatives should probably be seen as necessary elements in the negotiations using violence that are currently ongoing. The parties are so far apart that real peace negotiations are likely far in the future and I guess post-Putin.
Don’t miss the two most important points.
– everything must start with a ceasefire.
– it must happen now during the autumn.
What happens if Putin agrees to a ceasefire?
At least the USA and China are very interested in it the day Putin wants it.
So Russia, Europe, China, and the USA all demand a ceasefire, do you think Ukraine can withstand that?
—
It has been a standing item on the agenda from TRUMP throughout 2025 and into 2026 where we assumed that the EU and Europe supported Ukraine.
The difference now is that E3 is pushing the issue hard and Trump is silent.
—
E3 only wants a ceasefire and that’s where it stops because there won’t be any “negotiations,” right?
But if there is a ceasefire and the fronts freeze – what is your definition of it ending there in practical terms?
—
What is interesting, after all, is the practical consequence if E3 gets what they are actively negotiating against – hard to misinterpret the quotes, I think, where they are quite clear about what they want.
Yes, Ukraine is absolutely playing along and now Zalizhny, Zelensky, and Budanov have all said they want the whole country back.
BUT – isn’t it our DAMN DUTY to try to break Russia’s back instead?
We still give them Schengen visas, we still sell components to their weapons industry, we ask Ukraine to stop bombing the oil industry, we let the shadow fleet continue, Putin gets his May 9.
That is just half of all the crap we are still doing. Ireland has an aluminum plant that openly dumps material over Russia.
Biden and Trump are starting to look reasonable here compared to us.
iPhone test
Writing some text.
Clicking done on the keyboard so it closes. Then clicking Upload image. Taking a photo. The image is inserted. However, it ends up in the wrong place, because it places itself at the very top.
In some damn way, the keyboard hides the button so you have to close it, but then it also loses its position in the text.
Can’t they just ban iPhone?
Now clicking edit. At least that seems to work. We’ll see if the image is still there when I save.
Yes, it stayed.
What happens if I try to add another image?
Then the touch area is off, so you have to click on the left edge. Probably because the position is a bit different in edit mode. Then the image didn’t end up at the top this time but where the newly written text began..
Sigh.
Prohibit from? I am first in line, even if I have one.
😄
Now E3 reasonably has a mandate from the EU even if it does not seem to be formal?
Isn’t it time for the rest of the EU to vote on this and forbid them from commenting on the matter at all?
Why does the UK have a mandate from the EU?
I don’t mean a mandate but “permission” to pursue the issue.
After all, Europe is more countries than just these three clowns.
When you thought it couldn’t get worse than Trump 😭
Has E3 even understood that if there is a ceasefire in Ukraine, half a million RU troops will be freed up from there?
What are we doing?
It’s deplorable that one has to put their hope in an unreasonable Tsar.
Hopefully, Putin will say no just as he has done before.
yes you can sign 🤩🤩🤩
You can also add an image afterwards.
Then it works MXT – give everyone access 👍👍👍👍
Text
Now it inserts the image where you were in the text.
Still problems with the button if you edit and want to upload another image.
But it should probably be possible to fix that as well.
Something I discovered is that on the iPhone I cannot click “Remember me” when I log in. It’s really strange because it’s WordPress’s own login function and checkbox..
(By the way, I think Apple should be shut down 😄).
I’m switching to Motorola now, you’ve convinced me damn iPhone 😡
The text you provided is a URL link and does not contain any visible user-facing text to translate. If you have specific text from that webpage that you want translated from Swedish to English, please provide the text here.
👍
Yes! 💪
It works for me.
However, you have to check that box first.
Ah, starting with that works then? Good!
Yep
The leaders of Ukraine, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany held a meeting in London over the weekend. They have now set five conditions to reach a “fair and lasting” peace agreement with Russia, reports BBC. These include, among other things, that all hostilities must cease and that Ukraine receives “robust” security guarantees. Furthermore, the leaders discussed the “urgent need” to expand Ukraine’s air defense and its capability to carry out attacks deep into Russian territory.
https://omni.se/a/k0QvLv
Why would they have an urgent need for air defense if the nice Russians are going to sign a “fair and lasting” agreement? Then we can shut down all defense and reduce NATO’s defense spending requirement to 0.001% of GDP, so we can afford an answering machine: “if you wish to invade Sweden press 1…”
👍
As Maggan is into – find five mistakes 😐
As MXT has also been into, and is into.
“fair and lasting peace” – since a ceasefire comes first, how do they think they will make the peace fair?
If there is going to be peace as Maggan says, why is LV urgently needed then?
“robust security guarantees” – are they completely DAMN shameless 😡😡
For 4.5 years they have done absolutely nothing.
—
The Budapest Memorandum all over again – I didn’t see Chamberlain showing up now when Ukraine has almost won the war, only caught on to this about E3 just this past week 😡😡😡😡😡
No, this doesn’t feel right.
Exactly. E3 and Ukraine have thus practically set out the demands that Russia must agree to in order to achieve peace. This is the actual meaning. Ukraine is to, among other things, continue to build up its air defense and develop its deep-strike capabilities (and deepen industrial cooperation with Europe).
As I said, I believe that real peace talks with Russia will only be possible post-Putin. Not for all the butter in Småland would he agree to a ceasefire and peace talks while Ukraine is rearming together with Europe.
Seems like ryzland is not interested in a peace agreement…:
https://kyivindependent.com/russia-rejects-ukrainian-european-peace-initiatives-says-battlefield-will-decide-war/
It’s good if the ryzzars themselves reject it, so it’s not Ukraine that is “blocking”.
Z has perhaps coldly counted on it.
B probably has a good handle on the situation in the bunker with the Russian bastards.
Still very cold 🥶
As I wrote above.
“It’s pathetic that one has to place their hope in an unreasonable Tsar.
Hopefully Putin will say no, just as he has done before.”
It is deplorable, tragic, sad – not necessarily in that order…
Good good, with a bit of luck E3 will shut down before Putin panics?
** 🔥 Logistical lockdown in full swing. Zaporizhzhia direction. The enemy’s rear is more than 100 km away from the target. This KamAZ was transporting ammunition. But it didn’t make it… 😎 Work of the 422nd Separate Regiment of Unmanned Systems! **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mns2gobz222z
💥🔥✊👍
**🤯 A massive explosion has rocked an ammunition depot in Russia’s Belgorod region.**
https://bsky.app/profile/united24media.com/post/3mns24z6nh72q
**The explosion in Belgorod, Russia, comes from a small forest east of the city, where Russians set up several bunkers. It is a rather new site. Coordinates: 50°35’48.73″N, 36°42’59.07″E Casualties and fatalities must be high.**
https://bsky.app/profile/tendar.bsky.social/post/3mnryjeefd22c
**💥👀 Reconnaissance of the destruction of the arsenal of the missile weapons, ammunition and military property storage complex of the 1060th Logistics Center (Bolshaya Izhora, Leningrad Region), – Exilenova **
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mnrzjixmgk2z
**🤓💥 The enemy in the Pokrovsky direction stormed the positions of the 71st brigade, but was captured. “Mavic” with a loudspeaker offered to lay down their weapons. Russians agreed and obediently followed the bird straight to safe captivity to the Ukrainian paratroopers.**
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mnrzgocaok2z
**Russia cut food deliveries to occupied Rubizhne. Military supply convoys? Still running fine. The Luhansk governor says it’s staged—bare shelves manufactured for Russian TV cameras. “They chose Rubizhne” as the next victim, he said.**
https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/06/08/russia-food-shortage-occupied-rubizhne-luhansk-shelves-empty/
What?
So there is a bit of NÖ near Lyman 😶
Hey MXT, has UA now managed to achieve full range with its “medium-range” drone weapon.
** Vacationers in occupied Crimea – those who “don’t care about politics” – are suddenly getting plenty of cardio, sprinting away from Ukrainian drones. Trouble came from where they least expected it – they signed up for a “special military operation,” and ended up with an actual war. **
https://bsky.app/profile/perevaa.bsky.social/post/3mnrxogbab22t
**EU has changed rules of engagement for naval “Operation IRINI” and has already started going after shadow fleet tankers in the Med. A week ago recently re-flagged to Cameroon, 18 year old ONEIROI was intercepted south of Malta and judging from statements more are expected.**
https://bsky.app/profile/auonsson.bsky.social/post/3mnrwrxzmbk2e
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/77752
Ryssarna är verkligen dåliga förlorare! 😂
**🤡 Russia has accused Armenia of “Gross Violations of Democratic Procedures” Foreign Ministry secretary Zakharova claimed that the election was held under Western pressure and that the Armenian authorities had allegedly carried out repressions against the opposition and its supporters.
“All of this is a gross violation by Yerevan of democratic principles and the procedures of free elections,” said the Foreign Ministry’s chief booze spokeswoman.
Moscow also insists that Armenians want to maintain close ties with Russia and remain in the CSTO and the Eurasian Economic Union, while describing the country’s European ambitions as a “dead-end path.” **
https://bsky.app/profile/slavaukraini033.bsky.social/post/3mnrwrxocx224
**In true Russian fashion and with total disregard for any Russian life except for the dictator and his immediate family, Moscow continues to stack air defense units on residential buildings all over the city.**
https://bsky.app/profile/stratcomcentre.bsky.social/post/3mnrujv7pgd2o