Zelenskyy already warned yesterday that there would be a massive attack and he was right. During the night, Russia carried out extensive attacks on large parts of Ukraine, Kyiv and Dnipro were the cities hardest hit. So far, 9 dead and 105 injured have been reported, but the number of casualties is likely to rise during the day. Read more at Kyiv Independent, Kyiv post and posts on Bluesky here, here and here.
Ukraine also sent drones etc. against Russia (see the drone map here) but unfortunately I have not yet seen any reports on the results.
Russian losses
Russia continues to suffer enormous losses mainly in personnel, artillery and soft vehicles for, among other things, logistics. 517 is the next highest number during the entire war.
1440 KWIA
3 Tanks
7 AFVs
75 Artillery systems
1 MLRS
1 Air defense system
1583 UAVs
14 UGVs
517 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
2 Special equipment
We are currently at a seven-day average of 374 per day, which corresponds to 136,510 per year if Ukraine can continue at the same pace.
Here is how the losses of soft vehicles have developed since the beginning of 2022:
Ukrainian General Staff reports
- 249 combat clashes
- 91 airstrikes
- 317 airstrikes
- 9,007 kamikaze drones
- 3,342 shells (59 from MLRS)
SLAVA UKRAINI
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For the first time since 2023, Ukraine puts more troops into combat than it loses. Commanders in Kyiv now believe they can fight Russia to a cease-fire — Jack Watling, Foreign Affairs.
Sounds good, for Russia it is the opposite. Ukraine will soon gain an advantage that Russia cannot handle. It will be interesting to see if Putin dares to attempt a mobilization.
That is where we have the Baltics – an aspect our esteemed Johan has completely overlooked.
If Europe/NATO sends troops now, Putin can point to that (with the usual Kremlin distortion) and escalate an ongoing threat from NATO against Russia. To begin with, send forward already accumulated troops towards the border with the purpose of creating the conditions for a false-flag that gives Putin the motive to pull the trigger on the mobilization alarm.
That may be the risk of responding to the buildup of Russian troops and materiel projecting a threat against the Baltics. And perhaps something Putin is working towards.
And, to return to your comment, since Putin has mobilized, he does not necessarily have to attack the Baltics but can use the forces in Ukraine.
Maybe the Kremlin is using Johan’s account? Have you checked the IP addresses?
The Old One, bribed with vodka barrels, who is borrowing Johan’s computer?
Attacking the Baltics, that is, once again letting Russia start a war against a neighboring country when it has not even managed to win in Ukraine, while the Russians now finally seem to be getting tired of the war, would be totally stupid.
However, as you write, it is by no means impossible that this is exactly what Putin wants to achieve instead, to provoke some form of counter-reaction so that he gets a reason to rally the people for a mobilization.
A too large troop buildup could actually be used for that, “NATO is about to attack us!”
Putin cannot risk losing in Ukraine, so it is quite clear that the mobilization, if it happens, will go there.
Then I still believe that he wants to project a threat to make us think about our own security and primarily build up our capabilities but also to get people to want to stop supporting Ukraine so as not to risk Russia attacking, etc. That is exactly what the Russian trolls are trying to spread in Europe.
Yes, for a street-smart type like Putin, every escalation is an opportunity to get new cards in hand. A bit like the principle of a kaleidoscope. A small twist and a completely new constellation appears.
Yes, that is definitely one aspect of it all. However, the Russian bastards will probably mobilize their population regardless if/when the tsar wants.
Kyiv Independent has updated the figures to 10 dead and 104 injured.
“The massive Russian attacks last night on Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Kyiv, and Kharkiv are basically over. It must be acknowledged that the situation is dire for air defense: There are hardly any Patriot missiles left to shoot down ballistic missiles, and the consequences are accordingly. Already, 7 deaths are known, and that number will rise.
Smoke from fires is rising over the city from almost all directions, and it seems to be without power in many areas. The Russians have struck many targets—and succeeded because their missiles in many cases could not be shot down. External help with air defense is needed immediately to handle ballistic and some other missiles.
There is no point in sugarcoating this. President Zelenskyy’s letter to the Americans, pleading to be able to buy more Patriot missiles, was sent for exactly this reason.” https://bsky.app/profile/friaukraina.bsky.social/post/3mnbmlvdadc2n
Reduced Russian and Ukrainian pressure, total and also ratio.
A Ukrainian offensive wave has broken on the shore. Almost as strong as the previous wave two to three weeks ago in early/mid May.
The Russian pressure as usual focused around Pokrovsk / Huliaipole.
N Slobozhansky 4↘️
S Slobozhansky 13💥
Kupyansk 5
Lyman 10💥
Slovyansk 10💥↗️
Kramatorsk 2
Kostjantynivka 10💥↘️
Pokrovsk 56💥💥💥↗️
Oleksandrivskij 3
Huliaipole 35💥💥↘️
Orikhivsk 0↘️
Prydniprovskij 2
Localized 150↘️
Unlocalized 99↘️
Total 249↘️
Ratio unloc/loc 0.66↘️
Thank you!
👍🏻
Question to MXT and 205
In today’s post, MXT writes “276 combat clashes” while 205 writes “total 249”.
Edit: Just saw that both the image with Russian losses and the list of what the Ukrainian General Staff has reported that MXT posted in the post are from yesterday!
Edit 2: The image has been updated, I was looking at the page in an old, not updated tab from earlier today…
It is time for me to go on vacation. Forgot, of course, to change that list as well.
Have to hand over the reporting to 205 so there will be some damn order here!
99 + 150 I usually get to 249, but MXT possesses mathematical abilities that I apparently lack. Could be numbers from some report he gets directly from the staff?
Försvarets materielverk (FMV) is purchasing parts for a ground-based air defense system from Saab, the company announced on Tuesday morning. These include sensors and command systems.
The order value amounts to 1.2 billion kronor, and the parts are to be delivered in 2029–2030.
The deal provides the Armed Forces with an increased capability to detect and combat advanced threats from the air, Saab writes.
– We are proud to contribute to strengthening the ground-based air defense capability of the army’s brigades, says Carl-Johan Bergholm, head of the Surveillance business area.
I just want to make you aware that the summary in the introduction with the total Russian losses does not indicate today’s total but yesterday’s. So we can conclude that Ukraine has now broken through the line and has destroyed 1,400 Russian air defense systems. I am already looking forward to them reaching 1,500.
Thank you, I have changed the picture now.
I long for the day when their material runs out. Unfortunately, there seem to be inexhaustible sources.
No one knows what the Russians have in stockpiles of the Kinshal and Iskander types. I think they are keeping up appearances as long as they can. Until suddenly they can’t anymore. There is too much at stake for Russia.
About 2000 left.
UA drones their gray when they can
China has increased the production lines for them.
A few thousand is the best guess
**❗️In Russia, the 🇷🇺Ilsky oil refinery in Krasnodar Krai is on fire after a 🇺🇦Ukrainian drone strike.**
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mnatyvgdwc2v
**🔥 Russian logistics is getting worse. Work of 422nd regiment.**
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mncajjhu3c23
Just have to write something.
What fucking pigs and assholes the Russian bastards are!
Well written!
💯Russian bastards
Don’t like all the talk about “being forced into negotiations” hope it’s a good war tactic.
I see that the logic for the day is not to defend the Baltics preventively so as not to give Russia an excuse to escalate – Chamberlain sends his warmest congratulations.
Then a friend of mine asks –
Is the Canada-led brigade provocative.
Or our Baltic battalion.
Our rearmament?
Boarding of the shadow fleet?
All our weapons to Ukraine?
ICC war crimes cases?
Frozen oligarch billions
Gripen to Ukraine
Putin does what he wants anyway when he wants to.
Yes, Ukraine may come out victorious from this but if they had lost in 2022-2023 and then turned against us over time, the gamble we took isn’t even on the risk list.
Yes, we may be lucky again but we are just cowardly and submissive, and have let Ukraine take the whole hit for over four years – there is no honor in that at all.
If you want peace, you prepare for war, everyone knows that
Since my son is on his second tour in Latvia, I sincerely hope that the Russian does not come up with anything ill-considered.
I still believe that what 205 writes is a “risk,” that they will use our defense as a justification for needing to mobilize. However, I believe that the alternative, i.e., not strengthening the defense of the Baltics, is considerably more dangerous.
I can almost promise that all other things being equal, and if UA has not yet won the war, RU will mobilize around 300,000 this autumn.
Yes, the risk of not being dimensioned to defend the Baltics is unacceptable from a military perspective given the goals set – to defend the Baltics in a conflict.
Point taken. Like N Eklunds. At the same time, if Putin wanted to attack the Baltics, why wave this around? The full-scale invasion, like Crimea, was Maskirovka to the extreme. Then again, NATO attacks on Russia have been spun by Peskov lately? Mobilizing still requires some of a population that begins to see the effects of the extremely special operation.
Russia only understands strength, that has been known for a long time. If you are kind, you are considered weak.
This means that if we move troops to the Baltics, Russia will be provoked, and will be angry and rampage, but at the same time the risk of them attacking the Baltics decreases, because the respect for the EU/NATO increases the more military force we move there. If we do not reinforce, the attack will come when Russia feels strong enough.
Russia can take our mobilization in the Baltics as an excuse to mobilize; they may even have it in their plan to provoke us so that we reinforce, giving them an excuse. If the war in Ukraine is still ongoing when they mobilize, the troops will go there as a drone army.
We can really hope for that.
When the mud season comes, it should be over, I think, in a few more months?
Lex 1940 – 2026.
However, I don’t know what it looks like in the Baltic forests, but everything becomes roads instead of the whole terrain.
Midsummer, which the Balts take as seriously as we do, and the turn of July-August is probably the time not to let your guard down this year.
Crimea is probably not many months away from falling either, which with a bit of luck will give Putin internal problems so he gets occupied.
Sweden leads in many ways, and to be picky – if all countries in the EU sent one battalion each, that would be enough as a threshold guarantee.
Now my discussion about the Baltics is concluded, there is nothing more to reason about, the previous post was the last.
Forgot one point above – a 60,000-strong corps is to be created by Germany and the Netherlands where all decisions have been made and they can be in the Baltics within hours. When that capability is in place in a few years, it will also be a threshold.
What I see is a discrepancy between what we intend to do – reactive and then arrive on site, versus what we will be able to do.
Therefore, I think we should be on site beforehand with a dimensioned defense.
Summer in the field is not so bad 😀
Just because there is a risk that Putin will exploit it to gain support for a mobilization does not mean that we should refrain from strengthening our presence.
If he mobilizes using that as an excuse, he will also be forced to deploy many of them along the border with the Baltics, and then we will spot some of them there.
Yes, and if he sends the troops down to Ukraine, we are doing what we are accused of: moving against Moscow.
👍✊
There will be many more of these robotic interventions – very Russian unfortunately.
Oh, a “10 for 1” offer.
Let’s see if those survive!😂
Oh wow, what a nice fire that will/can be. I wonder if the drivers are nervous 🙂
What an obvious goal 😳
So now there are queues on the RU side of hundreds of tanker trucks in line – RU is really behind the curve here 🤣🤣🤣
WarTranslated on X:
“Ukrainian media claim that Russia has over 200 “Zircon” missiles. The flight time to Kyiv from Kursk is only 3 to 6 minutes – its hypersonic speed leaves no chance for air defense interception or finding shelter. Since the missile was designed to strike ships in the open sea, it may be more accurate than Russia’s other missile systems. Russia produces about 10 such missiles per month. This poses a significant danger to Ukraine: while Patriot systems can intercept “Zircons,” the country faces an acute shortage of the required PAC-3 missiles.”
Trump knows what he is doing 😡
Krasnov…
The death toll in Ukraine rises after last night’s Russian attacks, reports Sky News. 22 people have been confirmed dead and over 100 people are injured.
In Dnipro, 16 people were killed, including two children, while 42 were injured.
The attacks were some of the largest during the course of the war and targeted several cities, including Dnipro, Kyiv, and Zaporizhzhia.
Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky wrote this morning that over 600 drones and 73 missiles were used in the attacks.
https://omni.se/a/e75VGK
Bad luck for Putin that they moved all the air defense to Moscow 😳
**🔥🫡 Self-propelled guns “Gvozdika”, drones- and antennas – “Destruction Team” worked in North-Slobozhansk direction**
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mncqaa63hs2u
**❗️In the video from occupied Donetsk region, 🇺🇦Ukrainian drones continue to set up ambushes on 🇷🇺Russian logistics — the road has been blocked.**
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mnatyvgdwc2v
**🦅🇺🇦 “Now we are already flying 3,500 kilometers. That is, any territory of Russia up to the Urals is within our reach. Just 2 years ago, launching a few dozen was considered luck for us. Now we are launching hundreds,”— head of GUR drone group “Vector”.**
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mncl3fa4cs2s
**🇺🇦Volochivskyi direction: The enemy continues attempts to expand its presence in Volochivka! Another group of Russian infantry tried to entrench themselves in the territory of the Volochiv Lyceum, using buildings and cellars as temporary shelters for personnel accumulation. However, the plan did not work out, our fighters timely detected the enemy’s movement & carried out fire on the building.
🇺🇦Despite the enemy’s previous statements about supposedly full control over the settlement, the real situation remains much more complicated for the occupiers. Our forces still hold individual positions inside Volochivka and continue to create problems for the Russians in areas that they had already claimed as their own.
At the same time, the situation remains tense, the enemy’s infiltration zone is gradually stretching, and the enemy is trying to infiltrate through buildings in small groups and look for new points for entrenchment.
🇺🇦In fact, the battle for every suitable building and shelter is currently ongoing. The enemy is striving to create a continuous control strip in the settlement, but is currently facing constant fire pressure and is forced to pay a high price for each subsequent attempt to advance.
🇺🇦Muchnoy ✙ Jugend |”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3mncqnczqhk2l
Here the country’s largest Home Guard battalion is practicing a drone attack
Over 1,000 people were involved when the Västerbotten Battalion conducted a major total defense exercise in several parts of the county.
– It has to work perfectly, says the Home Guard battalion’s information officer Nicke Grahn.
https://www.svt.se/nyheter/lokalt/vasterbotten/har-ovar-landets-storsta-hemvarnsbataljon-pa-dronarattack
Off topic
”Gold overtakes the dollar as banks dump
Almost half of Sweden’s gold reserves are stored at the Bank of England in the United Kingdom.
Almost half of Sweden’s gold reserves are stored at the Bank of England in the United Kingdom. Photo: Kin Cheung/AP
Demand has increased – and central banks have now made gold the world’s most common reserve asset, ahead of US Treasury bonds, according to the Financial Times.
Elin Roumeliotou
Published 14:54
On Tuesday, the European Central Bank published its annual report on the euro and noted that the currency’s international role has steadily strengthened over time. Even as a reserve currency, the euro has increased somewhat, but above all it is gold that has emerged as the safe haven for the world’s central banks.
“Geopolitical tensions continue to drive strong demand for gold from central banks,” writes European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde in the foreword to the report.
Purchases of physical gold declined slightly in 2025, but still remain above historical levels despite the record-high gold price. In 2025, Poland was the largest public buyer, with acquisitions of around 100 tons, followed by Kazakhstan, Brazil, China, and Turkey.
According to the ECB, geopolitical concerns are behind the purchases, and central banks with larger gold acquisitions also tend to be located in regions near conflicts or with higher risk of conflict.
In 2024, physical gold accounted for one-fifth of central banks’ reserve assets, and the following year the share of gold had increased to 27 percent. During the same period, US Treasury bonds fell from constituting 25 percent of central banks’ assets to 22 percent.
According to the Financial Times, the shift is partly due to the increase in gold prices during the period, but at the same time there is a general decline in US assets; both the dollar and US Treasury bonds are decreasing among central banks.
Observers the newspaper has spoken to interpret the changed composition of reserve assets at the banks as many countries trying to find alternatives to the US dollar.
Regarding gold purchases, the world’s central banks have now hoarded more than 36,000 tons of gold – that is almost as much gold as in the 1950s, when central banks could always exchange dollars for physical gold, writes the Financial Times.
Photo: Anders Wiklund/TT
But gold has also been sold, according to the newspaper. After the outbreak of war in the Middle East in early 2026, the Turkish central bank sold large amounts of gold. In total, they lent out and sold 130 tons of physical gold. This is one of the largest disposals of gold reserves in many years. Russia is also among the recent known sellers, writes the Financial Times, and according to reports the sale is to finance the war in Ukraine.
Elin Roumeliotou”
https://www.svd.se/a/7pqa24/centralbankernas-guldkop-nu-varldens-vanligaste-reservtillgang
After last night’s deadly attacks on Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky warns that new Russian attacks are on the way.
– We know from intelligence information that new large-scale attacks could happen as early as tonight, Zelensky says in a video message on X.
22 people were killed and over 100 injured in the Russian attacks during the night to Tuesday, which targeted several major cities. In Dnipro, 16 people were killed, including two children.
– All our partners and everyone in Europe should work to ensure the delivery of missiles to our air defense, and other things that help us save lives, Zelensky continues.
https://omni.se/a/BxypEe
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/2061882320479486183
Many NK soldiers now.
One of the signs someone wrote
Good morning!
1130 KWIA
5 Tanks
7 AFVs
60 Artillery systems
5 MLRS
3 Air defense systems
1853 UAVs
6 UGVs
437 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
4 Special equipment
40 Cruise missiles
Slava Ukraini